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All Games Saturday, October 27, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
3
Celtics
57%113
109
15
Pistons
43%110
89
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
107.9101101.3
DET logo DET
88.1101100.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSDET
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.109
100%
89
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.11 55.6%
DET
0.90 44.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
16
20
80%
DET
12
25
48%
Midrange
BOS
9
32
28%
DET
14
27
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
DET
7
10.5
37
19%
28%
Free Throws
BOS
17
25
68%
DET
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown1959%9.5 / 16
M. Morris1890%9.0 / 10
D. Theis1785%8.5 / 10
G. Hayward1568%7.5 / 11
T. Rozier1478%7.0 / 9
J. Tatum633%3.0 / 9
M. Smart563%2.5 / 4
A. Horford433%2.0 / 6
B. Wanamaker450%2.0 / 4
K. Irving338%1.5 / 4
R. Williams2100%1.0 / 1
G. Yabusele250%1.0 / 2
S. Ojeleye0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond1869%9.0 / 13
S. Johnson1673%8.0 / 11
R. Jackson840%4.0 / 10
I. Smith850%4.0 / 8
B. Griffin723%3.5 / 15
H. Ellenson758%3.5 / 6
R. Bullock630%3.0 / 10
B. Brown650%3.0 / 6
J. Leuer4200%2.0 / 1
J. Calderon3150%1.5 / 1
L. Galloway217%1.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia2100%1.0 / 1
G. Robinson III220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
88
+10
-13
98
DET
90
+9
-11
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.11 55.6%
DET
0.90 44.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
109.0
BOS 107.9
DET 88.1 +19.8
Pace
100.0
97.3
BOS 101.3 +0.6
DET 100.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.2
BOS 14.2 +0.1
DET 14.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
50.8%
BOS 53.5% +12.5%
DET 41.0%
TO %
12.4%
13.2%
BOS 11.8%
DET 10.1% +1.7%
ORB %
21.7%
24.9%
BOS 16.3% +4.8%
DET 11.5%
FTrt
21.5
26.1
BOS 29.1 +6.6
DET 22.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
57.9%
BOS 64.1% +15.6%
DET 48.5%
STL %
8.5%
7.1%
BOS 4.0%
DET 4.0%
BLK %
9.7%
7.1%
BOS 15.4% +9.6%
DET 5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
53.0%
BOS 55.6% +10.7%
DET 44.9%
Rim FG%
61.6%
57.5%
BOS 80.0% +32.0%
DET 48.0%
Mid FG%
43.1%
38.4%
BOS 28.1%
DET 51.9% +23.8%
3P %
36.5%
34.8%
BOS 41.2% +22.3%
DET 18.9%
FT %
80.2%
74.7%
BOS 68.0%
DET 80.0% +12.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
36.7%
BOS 23.3%
DET 28.1% +4.8%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
23.9%
BOS 37.2%
DET 30.3% +6.9%
3P Att. %
38.1%
39.4%
BOS 39.5%
DET 41.6% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSDET
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points10989
Rebounds5447
Assists2516
Steals44
Blocks83
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (0)
Fouls2624
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)46 (2)41 (0)
Field Goals39-8633-89
At-the-Rim FG16-2012-25
Midrange FG9-3214-27
2-Point FG25-5226-52
3-Point FG14-347-37
Free Throws17-2516-20
Fast Break Pts158
2nd Chance Pts915
Points in Paint4038
Pts off Turnovers148
Bench Points6234
Biggest Lead292

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
3 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 21
28.3
6
33%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
1-2
50%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 22
25.3
19
59%
2
1
1
1
2
4
0
2
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
3-7
43%
Gordon Hayward
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 29
23.7
15
68%
5
1
1
0
3
3
0
5
1-3
33%
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
Kyrie Irving
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
23.4
3
38%
7
5
1
1
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-1
100%
Al Horford
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 32
20.7
4
33%
4
1
1
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-5
0%
Terry Rozier
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
27.4
14
78%
8
2
0
0
0
2
0
8
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
Marcus Morris
#13 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29
24.9
18
90%
8
1
0
0
1
3
1
7
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
Marcus Smart
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 25
23.3
5
63%
4
9
0
1
1
3
0
4
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Daniel Theis
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
19.3
17
85%
8
1
0
0
2
4
3
5
1-2
50%
5-6
83%
2-3
67%
Robert Williams III
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
8.0
2
100%
2
1
0
3
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Guerschon Yabusele
#30 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 23
5.3
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Brad Wanamaker
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 29
5.3
4
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
PJ Dozier
#50 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Walter Lemon Jr.
#45 · SG · 6'3" 180 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Jabari Bird
#26 · SG · 6'6" 198 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision | Personal Reasons
Aron Baynes
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
56%
54
25
4
8
13
26
8
46
17-25
68%
25-52
48%
14-34
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.