FinalWin Prob.pScore
639%113
113
361%117
117
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
113.0100112.1
BOS logo BOS
117.010090.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILBOS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.113
0%
117
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.15 57.7%
BOS
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
28
45
62%
BOS
7
13
54%
Midrange
MIL
4
11
36%
BOS
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
BOS
24
36.0
55
44%
65%
Free Throws
MIL
22
30
73%
BOS
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo3366%16.5 / 25
K. Middleton1644%8.0 / 18
M. Brogdon1680%8.0 / 10
E. Bledsoe1350%6.5 / 13
T. Snell9113%4.5 / 4
E. Ilyasova857%4.0 / 7
D. DiVincenzo867%4.0 / 6
J. Henson660%3.0 / 5
B. Lopez225%1.0 / 4
P. Connaughton250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving2878%14.0 / 18
A. Horford1856%9.0 / 16
G. Hayward1882%9.0 / 11
M. Morris1777%8.5 / 11
J. Tatum1267%6.0 / 9
S. Ojeleye1083%5.0 / 6
T. Rozier732%3.5 / 11
A. Baynes536%2.5 / 7
M. Smart225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
86
+12
-14
98
BOS
88
+14
-12
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.15 57.7%
BOS
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.9
111.8
MIL 113.0
BOS 117.0 +4.0
Pace
103.2
100.0
MIL 112.1 +21.8
BOS 90.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
14.2
MIL 12.9 +3.1
BOS 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
53.4%
MIL 53.5%
BOS 57.6% +4.1%
TO %
12.8%
12.4%
MIL 12.5%
BOS 11.7% +0.8%
ORB %
20.8%
21.7%
MIL 19.0% +1.2%
BOS 17.8%
FTrt
25.5
21.5
MIL 35.3 +21.2
BOS 14.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
62.4%
MIL 48.8%
BOS 73.2% +24.4%
STL %
7.2%
8.5%
MIL 8.0% +3.0%
BOS 5.0%
BLK %
10.4%
9.7%
MIL 8.1%
BOS 14.3% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.1%
55.3%
MIL 57.7% +0.3%
BOS 57.4%
Rim FG%
64.1%
61.6%
MIL 62.2% +8.4%
BOS 53.8%
Mid FG%
39.4%
43.1%
MIL 36.4%
BOS 41.7% +5.3%
3P %
35.2%
36.5%
MIL 31.0%
BOS 43.6% +12.6%
FT %
77.2%
80.2%
MIL 73.3%
BOS 84.6% +11.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
32.1%
MIL 52.9% +38.8%
BOS 14.1%
Mid Att. %
17.8%
29.8%
MIL 12.9% +13.1%
BOS 26.1%
3P Att. %
42.0%
38.1%
MIL 34.1%
BOS 59.8% +25.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILBOS
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points113117
Rebounds4542
Assists2030
Steals85
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)12 (1)
Fouls2023
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals41-8541-92
At-the-Rim FG28-457-13
Midrange FG4-1110-24
2-Point FG32-5617-37
3-Point FG9-2924-55
Free Throws22-3011-13
Fast Break Pts1615
2nd Chance Pts114
Points in Paint6222
Pts off Turnovers159
Bench Points3331
Biggest Lead415

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 24
36.3
33
66%
11
2
3
0
4
2
2
9
7-11
64%
13-21
62%
0-1
0%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 27
34.3
16
44%
4
5
2
0
3
2
1
3
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
3-10
30%
#6 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 29
32.9
13
50%
1
7
1
0
2
4
0
1
6-9
67%
2-7
29%
1-2
50%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
29.0
16
80%
6
2
0
1
2
2
3
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
2-3
67%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 31
23.5
2
25%
5
0
1
2
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
#77 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31
26.4
8
57%
5
0
1
0
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
#9 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 22
24.4
8
67%
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
#21 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 27
14.6
9
113%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
#31 · C · 6'11" 229 · 28
9.9
6
60%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 26
8.9
2
50%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#7 · C · 7'1" 223 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#23 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · PG · 6'4" 198 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Suspended | NBA Suspended List
#5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring Strain
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#30 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
58%
45
20
8
3
14
20
8
37
22-30
73%
32-56
57%
9-29
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.