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All Games Saturday, November 3, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
6
Jazz
39%108
88
8
Nuggets
61%112
103
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
91.79689.6
DEN logo DEN
106.297104.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.88
0%
103
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.94 46.8%
DEN
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
22
33
67%
DEN
23
37
62%
Midrange
UTA
5
17
29%
DEN
9
18
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
6
9.0
31
19%
29%
DEN
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
UTA
16
24
67%
DEN
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crowder2175%10.5 / 14
D. Mitchell1638%8.0 / 21
R. Gobert1246%6.0 / 13
D. Favors1267%6.0 / 9
R. Rubio1146%5.5 / 12
D. Exum660%3.0 / 5
J. Ingles433%2.0 / 6
R. O'Neale467%2.0 / 3
E. Udoh2-0.0 / 0
G. Allen0-0.0 / 1
G. Niang0-0.0 / 1
T. Sefolosha0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Harris2077%10.0 / 13
J. Murray1956%9.5 / 17
P. Millsap1372%6.5 / 9
M. Beasley12100%6.0 / 6
J. Hernangomez880%4.0 / 5
T. Lyles850%4.0 / 8
N. Jokić735%3.5 / 10
M. Plumlee770%3.5 / 5
T. Craig440%2.0 / 5
M. Morris350%1.5 / 3
D. Akoon-Purcell2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
84
+10
-12
94
DEN
80
+13
-17
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.94 46.8%
DEN
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
112.6
UTA 91.7 +14.5
DEN 106.2
Pace
100.5
98.0
UTA 89.6
DEN 104.5 +14.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.7
UTA 16.1
DEN 13.8 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
52.7%
UTA 44.4%
DEN 54.8% +10.4%
TO %
14.6%
13.1%
UTA 12.4% +3.3%
DEN 15.7%
ORB %
22.9%
26.6%
UTA 20.0%
DEN 21.1% +1.1%
FTrt
29.5
23.2
UTA 29.6 +6.7
DEN 22.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
65.3%
UTA 66.7%
DEN 78.0% +11.3%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
UTA 12.5% +4.3%
DEN 8.2%
BLK %
9.7%
8.2%
UTA 12.7% +12.7%
DEN 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
54.5%
UTA 46.8%
DEN 55.4% +8.6%
Rim FG%
62.1%
59.6%
UTA 66.7% +4.5%
DEN 62.2%
Mid FG%
39.1%
43.3%
UTA 29.4%
DEN 50.0% +20.6%
3P %
35.6%
35.1%
UTA 19.4%
DEN 32.1% +12.7%
FT %
73.6%
75.5%
UTA 66.7% +3.5%
DEN 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.5%
37.5%
UTA 40.7%
DEN 44.6% +3.8%
Mid Att. %
21.1%
27.7%
UTA 21.0% +0.7%
DEN 21.7%
3P Att. %
39.4%
34.8%
UTA 38.3% +4.5%
DEN 33.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADEN
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points88103
Rebounds4048
Assists2232
Steals128
Blocks70
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)17 (0)
Fouls2126
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (0)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)40 (3)
Field Goals33-8141-83
At-the-Rim FG22-3323-37
Midrange FG5-179-18
2-Point FG27-5032-55
3-Point FG6-319-28
Free Throws16-2412-19
Fast Break Pts95
2nd Chance Pts1410
Points in Paint5260
Pts off Turnovers1915
Bench Points3340
Biggest Lead919

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
6 Utah Jazz
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Rudy Gobert
#27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 26
35.2
12
46%
12
1
0
1
2
4
5
7
2-8
25%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
#2 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 31
32.7
4
33%
4
6
2
0
1
3
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
Ricky Rubio
#3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 28
32.6
11
46%
4
6
4
0
6
3
0
4
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
Donovan Mitchell
#45 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 22
32.4
16
38%
5
2
5
0
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
7-15
47%
0-7
0%
Derrick Favors
#15 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 27
18.9
12
67%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-1
0%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
#99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 28
31.5
21
75%
5
1
1
3
3
1
1
4
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
4-9
44%
Royce O'Neale
#23 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 25
23.4
4
67%
3
4
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Dante Exum
#11 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 23
17.6
6
60%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
Grayson Allen
#24 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 23
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Georges Niang
#31 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
#22 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 35
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Ekpe Udoh
#33 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31
2.5
2
0%
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Naz Mitrou-Long
#30 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Cavanaugh
#34 · PF · 6'9" 238 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Tony Bradley
#13 · C · 6'11" 248 · 21
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Alec Burks
#10 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hand Chip Fracture
Raul Neto
#25 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring Injury
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
47%
40
22
12
7
12
21
10
30
16-24
67%
27-50
54%
6-31
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.