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All Games Wednesday, November 7, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
6
Nuggets
57%109
87
18
Grizzlies
43%107
89
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
97.88991.2
MEM logo MEM
100.08986.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMEM
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.87
0%
89
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.93 46.3%
MEM
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
13
27
48%
MEM
18
34
53%
Midrange
DEN
11
23
48%
MEM
4
15
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
32
25%
38%
MEM
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
Free Throws
DEN
15
19
79%
MEM
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Harris2056%10.0 / 18
T. Lyles16100%8.0 / 8
J. Murray1536%7.5 / 21
M. Plumlee1071%5.0 / 7
M. Morris844%4.0 / 9
J. Hernangomez758%3.5 / 6
T. Craig542%2.5 / 6
N. Jokić467%2.0 / 3
P. Millsap217%1.0 / 6
M. Beasley0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Gasol2063%10.0 / 16
J. Jackson2063%10.0 / 16
K. Anderson1478%7.0 / 9
M. Brooks975%4.5 / 6
S. Mack6100%3.0 / 3
G. Temple542%2.5 / 6
W. Selden583%2.5 / 3
M. Conley422%2.0 / 9
D. Brooks433%2.0 / 6
I. Rabb250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
73
+20
-16
93
MEM
72
+12
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.93 46.3%
MEM
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
106.1
DEN 97.8 +2.2
MEM 100.0
Pace
98.0
96.6
DEN 91.2 +4.2
MEM 86.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.4
DEN 15.8 +0.8
MEM 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
50.8%
DEN 43.9%
MEM 48.6% +4.7%
TO %
13.1%
13.5%
DEN 17.4% +0.8%
MEM 18.2%
ORB %
26.6%
20.1%
DEN 31.7% +9.5%
MEM 22.2%
FTrt
23.2
27.2
DEN 23.2
MEM 35.7 +12.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
63.1%
DEN 59.4%
MEM 63.3% +3.9%
STL %
7.9%
8.5%
DEN 10.1% +2.2%
MEM 7.9%
BLK %
8.2%
10.7%
DEN 8.2%
MEM 14.0% +5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
53.4%
DEN 46.3%
MEM 53.0% +6.7%
Rim FG%
59.6%
59.9%
DEN 48.1%
MEM 52.9% +4.8%
Mid FG%
43.3%
40.0%
DEN 47.8% +21.1%
MEM 26.7%
3P %
35.1%
34.2%
DEN 25.0%
MEM 38.1% +13.1%
FT %
75.5%
77.2%
DEN 78.9%
MEM 84.0% +5.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
34.8%
DEN 32.9%
MEM 48.6% +15.6%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
31.0%
DEN 28.0%
MEM 21.4% +6.6%
3P Att. %
34.8%
34.2%
DEN 39.0% +9.0%
MEM 30.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMEM
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points8789
Rebounds4136
Assists1919
Steals97
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)16 (3)17 (1)
Fouls2222
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (7)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)28 (3)
Field Goals32-8230-70
At-the-Rim FG13-2718-34
Midrange FG11-234-15
2-Point FG24-5022-49
3-Point FG8-328-21
Free Throws15-1921-25
Fast Break Pts1710
2nd Chance Pts159
Points in Paint4242
Pts off Turnovers2223
Bench Points4126
Biggest Lead88

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
6 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
36.8
15
36%
4
7
1
0
3
2
2
2
1-2
50%
4-12
33%
2-9
22%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
32.8
20
56%
2
2
0
0
3
1
1
1
5-6
83%
3-10
30%
3-6
50%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
25.6
4
67%
7
4
3
0
6
5
1
6
4-4
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
19.8
5
42%
3
0
0
1
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
19.7
2
17%
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
28.1
16
100%
9
1
1
0
0
3
0
9
2-3
67%
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 23
26.4
8
44%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-3
0%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
22.4
10
71%
6
1
2
1
2
4
3
3
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
22.3
7
58%
5
0
0
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
#23 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Barton
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip/Core Muscle Surgery
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Surgery
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot Surgery
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
46%
41
19
9
4
16
22
13
28
15-19
79%
24-50
48%
8-32
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.