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All Games Monday, October 29, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
23
Mavericks
27%114
108
16
Spurs
73%122
113
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
97.3111109.7
SAS logo SAS
101.811192.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
OT1 - End of 1st OT.108
0%
113
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.05 52.4%
SAS
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
18
28
64%
SAS
14
20
70%
Midrange
DAL
15
29
52%
SAS
19
51
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
10
15.0
34
29%
44%
SAS
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
DAL
12
17
71%
SAS
20
21
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić3174%15.5 / 21
D. Smith Jr.2255%11.0 / 20
H. Barnes1864%9.0 / 14
D. Jordan857%4.0 / 7
W. Matthews836%4.0 / 11
D. Finney-Smith867%4.0 / 6
J. Barea750%3.5 / 7
J. Brunson650%3.0 / 6
M. Kleber0-0.0 / 4
D. Powell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3474%17.0 / 23
L. Aldridge2048%10.0 / 21
R. Gay1558%7.5 / 13
M. Belinelli1354%6.5 / 12
B. Forbes1255%6.0 / 11
P. Mills1056%5.0 / 9
D. Cunningham467%2.0 / 3
D. Bertans375%1.5 / 2
Q. Pondexter2-0.0 / 0
P. Gasol0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
89
+13
-22
102
SAS
94
+8
-17
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.05 52.4%
SAS
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
112.6
DAL 97.3 +4.5
SAS 101.8
Pace
99.1
98.6
DAL 109.7 +16.9
SAS 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.0
DAL 13.1 +2.4
SAS 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
53.4%
DAL 52.7% +1.6%
SAS 51.1%
TO %
13.6%
11.9%
DAL 18.9%
SAS 14.5% +4.4%
ORB %
22.6%
20.9%
DAL 18.2% +7.3%
SAS 10.9%
FTrt
29.1
23.7
DAL 18.7
SAS 23.1 +4.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
58.0%
DAL 34.9%
SAS 64.3% +29.4%
STL %
6.5%
6.2%
DAL 8.1%
SAS 15.3% +7.2%
BLK %
7.6%
8.3%
DAL 4.2% +0.7%
SAS 3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
56.0%
DAL 52.4%
SAS 55.4% +3.0%
Rim FG%
62.0%
62.7%
DAL 64.3%
SAS 70.0% +5.7%
Mid FG%
39.0%
44.0%
DAL 51.7% +14.4%
SAS 37.3%
3P %
34.0%
39.2%
DAL 29.4%
SAS 45.0% +15.6%
FT %
74.2%
81.8%
DAL 70.6%
SAS 95.2% +24.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
27.8%
DAL 30.8% +8.8%
SAS 22.0%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
43.7%
DAL 31.9% +24.2%
SAS 56.0%
3P Att. %
42.2%
28.6%
DAL 37.4% +15.4%
SAS 22.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions111111
Possession Minutes24.328.7
Points108113
Rebounds4941
Assists1527
Steals917
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)22 (1)17 (0)
Fouls2119
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (0)36 (2)
Field Goals43-9142-91
At-the-Rim FG18-2814-20
Midrange FG15-2919-51
2-Point FG33-5733-71
3-Point FG10-349-20
Free Throws12-1720-21
Fast Break Pts107
2nd Chance Pts134
Points in Paint5028
Pts off Turnovers1930
Bench Points2128
Biggest Lead713

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
23 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
DeAndre Jordan
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
41.1
8
57%
19
2
1
1
3
3
1
18
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Luka Doncic
#77 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 20
39.9
31
74%
8
4
1
1
6
0
2
6
5-6
83%
7-12
58%
4-6
67%
Wesley Matthews
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 32
39.0
8
36%
2
3
0
0
2
4
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-4
0%
Dennis Smith Jr.
#1 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21
37.8
22
55%
1
4
2
0
4
3
0
1
3-4
75%
8-12
67%
1-6
17%
Harrison Barnes
#40 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26
34.1
18
64%
6
1
1
0
2
2
0
6
0-1
0%
6-9
67%
2-5
40%
Maxi Kleber
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
16.1
0
0%
4
0
1
1
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-4
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25
16.0
8
67%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
J.J. Barea
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 34
15.2
7
50%
4
0
1
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
Jalen Brunson
#13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22
14.0
6
50%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
Dwight Powell
#7 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
11.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Salah Mejri
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
Ryan Broekhoff
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
Kostas Antetokounmpo
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
Ray Spalding
#26 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Daryl Macon
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
Devin Harris
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left hamstring
Dirk Nowitzki
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 40
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left ankle
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
108
52%
49
15
9
3
22
21
8
41
12-17
71%
33-57
58%
10-34
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.