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All Games Monday, October 29, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Pelicans
39%117
111
6
Nuggets
61%121
116
ORTG#PossPace
NOP logo NOP
103.7107115.9
DEN logo DEN
109.410698.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOPDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
0%
116
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.18 59.0%
DEN
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
26
35
74%
DEN
22
37
59%
Midrange
NOP
6
23
26%
DEN
9
21
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
DEN
11
16.5
35
31%
47%
Free Throws
NOP
14
20
70%
DEN
21
23
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Randle2475%12.0 / 16
E. Moore1890%9.0 / 10
N. Mirotic1750%8.5 / 17
J. Holiday1667%8.0 / 12
F. Jackson1063%5.0 / 8
J. Okafor950%4.5 / 9
C. Diallo880%4.0 / 5
T. Frazier5125%2.5 / 2
S. Hill433%2.0 / 6
I. Clark0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray2357%11.5 / 20
G. Harris2364%11.5 / 18
P. Millsap1864%9.0 / 14
T. Lyles1761%8.5 / 14
N. Jokić1267%6.0 / 9
M. Beasley1267%6.0 / 9
M. Morris739%3.5 / 9
T. Craig225%1.0 / 4
M. Plumlee250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOP
85
+10
-22
95
DEN
93
+12
-13
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.18 59.0%
DEN
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
112.6
NOP 103.7
DEN 109.4 +5.7
Pace
103.4
98.0
NOP 115.9 +17.5
DEN 98.4
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
14.7
NOP 12.4 +2.2
DEN 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
52.7%
NOP 59.1% +8.0%
DEN 51.1%
TO %
14.0%
13.1%
NOP 19.5%
DEN 11.2% +8.3%
ORB %
24.1%
26.6%
NOP 17.9%
DEN 19.6% +1.7%
FTrt
25.4
23.2
NOP 24.4
DEN 24.7 +0.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
65.3%
NOP 65.1%
DEN 66.7% +1.6%
STL %
7.2%
7.9%
NOP 7.5%
DEN 13.2% +5.7%
BLK %
9.1%
8.2%
NOP 8.6%
DEN 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
54.5%
NOP 59.0% +3.8%
DEN 55.2%
Rim FG%
62.1%
59.6%
NOP 74.3% +14.8%
DEN 59.5%
Mid FG%
41.1%
43.3%
NOP 26.1%
DEN 42.9% +16.8%
3P %
34.4%
35.1%
NOP 45.8% +14.4%
DEN 31.4%
FT %
76.1%
75.5%
NOP 70.0%
DEN 91.3% +21.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
37.5%
NOP 42.7% +2.9%
DEN 39.8%
Mid Att. %
27.4%
27.7%
NOP 28.0%
DEN 22.6% +5.5%
3P Att. %
32.4%
34.8%
NOP 29.3%
DEN 37.6% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOPDEN
Possessions107106
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points111116
Rebounds4441
Assists2828
Steals814
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2517
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals43-8242-93
At-the-Rim FG26-3522-37
Midrange FG6-239-21
2-Point FG32-5831-58
3-Point FG11-2411-35
Free Throws14-2021-23
Fast Break Pts913
2nd Chance Pts1216
Points in Paint5656
Pts off Turnovers1827
Bench Points4738
Biggest Lead918

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
9 New Orleans Pelicans
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Nikola Mirotic
#3 · PF · 6'10" 238 · 28
37.9
17
50%
10
2
3
1
2
1
0
10
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
3-11
27%
E'Twaun Moore
#55 · SF · 6'4" 191 · 30
37.8
18
90%
2
2
0
0
5
3
1
1
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
3-5
60%
Jrue Holiday
#11 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 28
34.5
16
67%
8
9
1
1
5
6
0
8
0-0
-
5-10
50%
2-3
67%
Solomon Hill
#44 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 28
19.8
4
33%
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
Jahlil Okafor
#8 · C · 6'11" 260 · 23
17.8
9
50%
3
0
0
0
2
2
2
1
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
Julius Randle
#30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 24
26.5
24
75%
8
6
1
1
5
4
1
7
8-11
73%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
Frank Jackson
#15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 20
26.5
10
63%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-2
100%
Tim Frazier
#10 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 28
20.0
5
125%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
Cheick Diallo
#13 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22
13.7
8
80%
5
2
1
1
2
3
2
3
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
#2 · SG · 6'3" 175 · 28
5.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
#23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 26
DNP - Injury/Illness | Right Elbow Sprain
Wesley Johnson
#33 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenrich Williams
#34 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
Darius Miller
#21 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Quad Contusion
Elfrid Payton
#4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
Trevon Bluiett
#5 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
59%
44
28
8
5
22
25
7
37
14-20
70%
32-58
55%
11-24
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.