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All Games Thursday, November 1, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
5
Nuggets
68%119
110
29
Cavaliers
32%113
91
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
123.68988.6
CLE logo CLE
102.28989.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENCLE
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.110
100%
91
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.7%
CLE
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
32
59%
CLE
21
41
51%
Midrange
DEN
12
27
44%
CLE
8
24
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
CLE
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
DEN
18
21
86%
CLE
18
19
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Hernangomez2388%11.5 / 13
P. Millsap1680%8.0 / 10
G. Harris1450%7.0 / 14
T. Lyles1246%6.0 / 13
M. Plumlee1192%5.5 / 6
J. Murray1071%5.0 / 7
T. Craig788%3.5 / 4
M. Morris750%3.5 / 7
M. Beasley531%2.5 / 8
N. Jokić440%2.0 / 5
T. Lydon150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Clarkson1765%8.5 / 13
C. Osman1354%6.5 / 12
C. Sexton1260%6.0 / 10
T. Thompson1071%5.0 / 7
G. Hill1071%5.0 / 7
R. Hood833%4.0 / 12
L. Nance844%4.0 / 9
S. Dekker630%3.0 / 10
D. Nwaba4100%2.0 / 2
A. Zizic350%1.5 / 3
K. Korver0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
77
+20
-12
97
CLE
76
+18
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.7%
CLE
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
107.4
DEN 123.6 +21.3
CLE 102.2
Pace
98.0
96.9
DEN 88.6
CLE 89.4 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.1
DEN 16.2
CLE 16.1 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
50.3%
DEN 54.1% +10.1%
CLE 44.0%
TO %
13.1%
13.0%
DEN 11.3% +2.0%
CLE 13.3%
ORB %
26.6%
23.7%
DEN 38.9% +8.7%
CLE 30.2%
FTrt
23.2
23.6
DEN 24.7 +1.8
CLE 22.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
53.2%
DEN 53.7% +0.8%
CLE 52.9%
STL %
7.9%
6.7%
DEN 9.0%
CLE 12.4% +3.4%
BLK %
8.2%
4.3%
DEN 10.8% +4.0%
CLE 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
52.5%
DEN 56.7% +7.8%
CLE 48.9%
Rim FG%
59.6%
57.5%
DEN 59.4% +8.2%
CLE 51.2%
Mid FG%
43.3%
39.5%
DEN 44.4% +11.1%
CLE 33.3%
3P %
35.1%
35.5%
DEN 38.5% +10.7%
CLE 27.8%
FT %
75.5%
79.2%
DEN 85.7%
CLE 94.7% +9.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
34.5%
DEN 37.6%
CLE 49.4% +11.8%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
32.2%
DEN 31.8%
CLE 28.9% +2.8%
3P Att. %
34.8%
33.2%
DEN 30.6% +8.9%
CLE 21.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENCLE
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points11091
Rebounds4435
Assists2218
Steals811
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (1)
Fouls1822
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (6)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)22 (3)
Field Goals41-8534-83
At-the-Rim FG19-3221-41
Midrange FG12-278-24
2-Point FG31-5929-65
3-Point FG10-265-18
Free Throws18-2118-19
Fast Break Pts168
2nd Chance Pts1716
Points in Paint4850
Pts off Turnovers1915
Bench Points5944
Biggest Lead2612

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
5 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
27.9
14
50%
3
3
1
2
1
0
0
3
5-5
100%
3-7
43%
1-5
20%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
22.7
10
71%
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
22.4
4
40%
6
3
1
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
20.9
16
80%
6
1
1
0
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
1-1
100%
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
18.2
7
88%
6
1
0
0
1
2
4
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
29.0
23
88%
4
0
1
2
2
1
2
2
6-7
86%
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
24.6
12
46%
8
1
1
1
2
1
2
6
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-3
0%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
24.0
5
31%
0
4
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 23
22.2
7
50%
3
3
2
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
21.7
11
92%
6
3
1
1
1
4
1
5
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
3.9
1
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
#23 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back Surgery
Will Barton
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip/Core Muscle Surgery
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Surgery
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot Surgery
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
57%
44
22
8
7
12
18
14
30
18-21
86%
31-59
53%
10-26
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.