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All Games Monday, October 29, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
5
Raptors
49%116
109
13
Bucks
51%117
124
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
100.9108112.5
MIL logo MIL
114.8108103.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.109
0%
124
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.93 46.6%
MIL
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
18
35
51%
MIL
26
37
70%
Midrange
TOR
12
23
52%
MIL
11
0%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
9
13.5
45
20%
30%
MIL
19
28.5
45
42%
63%
Free Throws
TOR
22
28
79%
MIL
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Ibaka3068%15.0 / 22
P. Siakam2269%11.0 / 16
J. Valančiūnas1045%5.0 / 11
K. Lowry930%4.5 / 15
D. Green867%4.0 / 6
N. Powell8100%4.0 / 4
C. Boucher660%3.0 / 5
L. Brown528%2.5 / 9
C. Miles425%2.0 / 8
D. Wright440%2.0 / 5
M. Richardson325%1.5 / 6
G. Monroe0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Ilyasova1979%9.5 / 12
M. Brogdon1771%8.5 / 12
E. Bledsoe1771%8.5 / 12
K. Middleton1464%7.0 / 11
D. DiVincenzo1260%6.0 / 10
T. Maker1169%5.5 / 8
T. Snell11138%5.5 / 4
B. Lopez941%4.5 / 11
P. Connaughton850%4.0 / 8
J. Henson450%2.0 / 4
C. Wood233%1.0 / 3
M. Dellavedova0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
98
+17
-10
115
MIL
91
+12
-17
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.93 46.6%
MIL
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
113.9
TOR 100.9
MIL 114.8 +13.9
Pace
100.2
103.2
TOR 112.5 +8.7
MIL 103.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
13.9
TOR 12.8 +1.1
MIL 13.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
55.0%
TOR 42.2%
MIL 58.6% +16.4%
TO %
13.2%
12.8%
TOR 8.0% +6.4%
MIL 14.4%
ORB %
21.8%
20.8%
TOR 22.2% +2.6%
MIL 19.6%
FTrt
24.7
25.5
TOR 27.2 +6.8
MIL 20.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
60.1%
TOR 64.1% +1.9%
MIL 62.2%
STL %
8.2%
7.2%
TOR 8.3% +3.7%
MIL 4.6%
BLK %
9.1%
10.4%
TOR 16.7% +8.1%
MIL 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
57.1%
TOR 46.6%
MIL 60.2% +13.6%
Rim FG%
61.6%
64.1%
TOR 51.4%
MIL 70.3% +18.9%
Mid FG%
43.1%
39.4%
TOR 52.2% +52.2%
MIL 0.0%
3P %
36.6%
35.2%
TOR 20.0%
MIL 42.2% +22.2%
FT %
80.4%
77.2%
TOR 78.6%
MIL 78.9% +0.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
40.2%
TOR 34.0%
MIL 39.8% +5.8%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
17.8%
TOR 22.3%
MIL 11.8% +10.5%
3P Att. %
37.9%
42.0%
TOR 43.7%
MIL 48.4% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIL
Possessions108108
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points109124
Rebounds5158
Assists2528
Steals95
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)17 (0)
Fouls1921
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)49 (0)
Field Goals39-10345-93
At-the-Rim FG18-3526-37
Midrange FG12-230-11
2-Point FG30-5826-48
3-Point FG9-4519-45
Free Throws22-2815-19
Fast Break Pts1118
2nd Chance Pts108
Points in Paint4852
Pts off Turnovers1215
Bench Points3248
Biggest Lead525

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
5 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
34.1
9
30%
6
15
2
1
4
3
2
4
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
0-9
0%
Pascal Siakam
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
33.3
22
69%
8
2
4
1
2
2
2
6
2-3
67%
10-12
83%
0-4
0%
Danny Green
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 31
29.7
8
67%
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
Serge Ibaka
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 29
28.5
30
68%
9
1
0
1
0
3
2
7
4-4
100%
10-16
63%
2-5
40%
Norman Powell
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 25
27.1
8
100%
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
-
2-3
67%
CJ Miles
#0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32
19.5
4
25%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-7
14%
Lorenzo Brown
#4 · PG · 6'5" 189 · 28
19.1
5
28%
4
2
1
2
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
Malachi Richardson
#22 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23
13.2
3
25%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-6
17%
Delon Wright
#55 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27
13.2
4
40%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 26
12.9
10
45%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
4-4
100%
3-9
33%
0-1
0%
Greg Monroe
#15 · C · 6'11" 265 · 28
4.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
Jordan Loyd
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Chris Boucher
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 26
2.3
6
60%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
OG Anunoby
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 21
Inactive - Personal | NWT
Fred VanVleet
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left big toe strain
Kawhi Leonard
#2 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
 | Load management- NWT
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
47%
51
25
9
8
10
19
14
37
22-28
79%
30-58
52%
9-45
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.