FinalWin Prob.pScore
181%126
114
2619%114
105
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
108.610594.0
SAC logo SAC
101.0104117.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORSAC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.114
100%
105
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.12 55.9%
SAC
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
21
30
70%
SAC
21
31
68%
Midrange
TOR
9
22
41%
SAC
13
34
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
11
16.5
36
31%
46%
SAC
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
Free Throws
TOR
21
23
91%
SAC
13
18
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2566%12.5 / 19
P. Siakam2181%10.5 / 13
K. Lowry1667%8.0 / 12
S. Ibaka1478%7.0 / 9
O. Anunoby1169%5.5 / 8
J. Valančiūnas1169%5.5 / 8
F. VanVleet844%4.0 / 9
D. Green630%3.0 / 10
D. Wright225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Hield2463%12.0 / 19
W. Cauley-Stein2492%12.0 / 13
D. Fox2063%10.0 / 16
M. Bagley1372%6.5 / 9
B. Bogdanović758%3.5 / 6
T. Williams788%3.5 / 4
I. Shumpert660%3.0 / 5
K. Koufos217%1.0 / 6
F. Mason233%1.0 / 3
N. Bjelica0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
84
+18
-21
102
SAC
89
+8
-15
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.12 55.9%
SAC
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
110.0
TOR 108.6 +7.6
SAC 101.0
Pace
100.2
103.5
TOR 94.0
SAC 117.7 +23.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
13.3
TOR 15.3
SAC 12.2 +3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
52.4%
TOR 52.8% +0.5%
SAC 52.3%
TO %
13.2%
12.4%
TOR 19.0%
SAC 13.5% +5.5%
ORB %
21.8%
23.1%
TOR 34.2% +21.2%
SAC 13.0%
FTrt
24.7
24.4
TOR 26.1 +5.6
SAC 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
58.8%
TOR 41.5%
SAC 64.3% +22.8%
STL %
8.2%
8.0%
TOR 9.5%
SAC 9.6% +0.1%
BLK %
9.1%
7.9%
TOR 6.2%
SAC 7.7% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
54.1%
TOR 55.9% +1.2%
SAC 54.7%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.3%
TOR 70.0% +2.3%
SAC 67.7%
Mid FG%
43.1%
38.8%
TOR 40.9% +2.7%
SAC 38.2%
3P %
36.6%
37.8%
TOR 30.6%
SAC 34.8% +4.2%
FT %
80.4%
72.6%
TOR 91.3% +19.1%
SAC 72.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
36.7%
TOR 34.1%
SAC 35.2% +1.1%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
31.1%
TOR 25.0% +13.6%
SAC 38.6%
3P Att. %
37.9%
32.2%
TOR 40.9% +14.8%
SAC 26.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORSAC
Possessions105104
Possession Minutes26.821.2
Points114105
Rebounds5331
Assists1727
Steals1010
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)21 (2)15 (0)
Fouls2026
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)25 (4)
Field Goals41-8842-88
At-the-Rim FG21-3021-31
Midrange FG9-2213-34
2-Point FG30-5234-65
3-Point FG11-368-23
Free Throws21-2313-18
Fast Break Pts1421
2nd Chance Pts168
Points in Paint4850
Pts off Turnovers1915
Bench Points3231
Biggest Lead168

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
35.3
16
67%
2
8
3
0
4
3
1
1
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
2-8
25%
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
35.0
21
81%
3
1
2
0
1
3
1
2
5-5
100%
8-9
89%
0-2
0%
#2 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
31.4
25
66%
11
2
0
0
5
0
2
9
9-9
100%
5-12
42%
2-5
40%
#14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 31
31.1
6
30%
5
2
1
0
5
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-8
25%
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 29
28.0
14
78%
14
0
0
3
3
4
3
11
0-0
-
4-7
57%
2-3
67%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 21
23.8
11
69%
7
0
1
0
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
21.4
8
44%
1
2
2
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 27
19.8
11
69%
10
1
0
1
1
3
2
8
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
#55 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27
13.0
2
25%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
#22 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#15 · C · 6'11" 265 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · PG · 6'5" 189 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Injury-Left Shoulder
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32
Inactive - Rest | Injury-Right hip
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
56%
53
17
10
4
21
20
13
40
21-23
91%
30-52
58%
11-36
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.