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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nets52%92101
19Bulls48%91104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 25.8
39.0
38.3
22
54%
6
3
1
1
0
3
2
4
4-5
80%
6-14
5-11
43%
51%
2-4
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 33.1
37.5
35.3
4
19%
8
5
1
2
2
2
1
7
1-3
33%
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
1-5
20%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
36.2
26.1
7
47%
12
1
1
1
1
0
2
10
1-1
100%
3-7
1-4
43%
42%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.2
34.7
34.8
43
62%
6
3
1
1
0
5
2
4
13-17
76%
6-15
6-14
40%
46%
6-12
50%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.7
34.7
33.1
17
62%
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
3-4
75%
7-12
6-12
58%
51%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39.3
23.3
24.6
3
21%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
1-5
20%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.2
19.4
16.0
3
52%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 23.6
9.0
10.3
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.0
5.3
7.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.8
1.0
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22.2
5.7
0
1-1
45%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.0
2.7
0
0-0
42%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
44.3
31.0
22
49%
3
9
2
1
2
2
0
3
5-6
83%
4-14
4-8
29%
45%
3-6
50%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
41.7
27.5
36
69%
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
19-21
90%
4-11
4-8
36%
43%
3-6
50%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.4
40.9
35.8
20
76%
17
4
2
1
1
1
1
16
5-5
100%
6-9
5-11
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.8
29.1
18.1
11
43%
8
0
0
0
0
1
1
7
1-2
50%
5-12
3-6
42%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.5
10.9
15.6
1
57%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-0
3-5
-
49%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.5
28.3
27.3
2
25%
9
0
0
1
2
3
3
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.5
21.4
16.4
5
32%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
40%
0-2
0%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
10.3
6.4
5
43%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-4
25%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Luke Schenscher
C · 7'1" 265 · 24.3
10.1
6.0
2
35%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 31.0
3.0
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.0
34.4
1
6-12
48%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.6
27.5
1
2-4
44%
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.5
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.