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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 9, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Magic33%9093
10Heat67%9584
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.1
38.8
34.5
14
47%
3
1
1
1
0
4
0
3
4-4
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
46%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.2
35.7
21.6
26
71%
2
1
2
1
0
3
0
2
5-5
100%
6-12
3-7
50%
50%
3-4
75%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.3
32.8
35.4
16
68%
8
1
2
1
1
1
1
7
8-13
62%
4-6
5-10
67%
52%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.0
27.7
23.7
11
85%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.2
25.8
30.7
2
33%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.9
23.5
23.4
9
50%
0
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.0
22.3
4.7
4
69%
6
1
2
0
1
0
3
3
0-2
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 20.8
15.0
11.8
4
41%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.8
11.7
21.0
4
34%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.7
6.8
25.1
3
61%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
3-8
50%
44%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 29.6
4.7
0
0-1
46%
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37.7
3.6
0
0-1
40%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.1
Mario Kasun
C · 7'1" 260 · 26.0
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.2
41.6
31.6
27
62%
2
7
4
1
1
7
0
2
9-11
82%
9-16
7-14
56%
52%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.1
36.6
31.6
16
59%
9
4
0
0
3
5
2
7
2-6
33%
7-11
8-13
64%
60%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.8
26.8
30.6
10
51%
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.7
26.2
30.5
0
0%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
23.7
28.9
5
36%
6
1
0
1
1
2
2
4
1-2
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.7
31.6
26.6
8
57%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
14.9
6.1
8
68%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
14.3
6.6
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.3
13.9
22.0
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.8
8.2
16.3
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.4
2.2
3.0
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
2.2
0
0-1
53%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.2
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.4
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.