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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15SuperSonics24%9295
6Spurs76%101104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.2
37.9
29.5
15
77%
4
6
3
1
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
42%
1-2
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
34.5
23.7
15
48%
6
2
0
1
2
3
2
4
7-8
88%
4-11
3-6
36%
47%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.7
32.0
37.2
14
50%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.6
24.5
33.9
8
36%
6
0
3
1
3
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-11
6-11
36%
52%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.4
24.1
22.5
6
44%
5
0
0
0
2
1
3
2
2-4
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.8
25.2
25.7
11
36%
1
3
3
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-9
2-5
11%
44%
2-5
40%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
23.9
13.0
13
39%
12
0
0
0
1
3
7
5
1-4
25%
6-15
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.2
13.8
22.2
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.2
8.3
15.4
8
80%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.4
6.5
12.9
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.9
5.2
4.5
3
80%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
36%
0-0
-
Noel Felix
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.5
4.3
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.8
35.5
32.6
7
58%
9
3
2
1
3
1
1
8
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.0
34.7
34.7
18
39%
14
1
3
1
5
3
5
9
6-12
50%
6-18
7-14
33%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
28.6
33.9
27
71%
5
9
2
1
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
12-18
8-14
67%
56%
1-1
100%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.3
28.6
22.1
16
67%
3
5
0
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
56%
4-8
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.6
20.2
20.1
6
44%
7
0
1
0
0
0
4
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.1
28.3
27.9
17
78%
1
2
1
1
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.4
22.0
14.7
0
0%
5
2
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.9
20.9
8.8
10
83%
5
0
0
0
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
5-5
1-2
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.1
11.1
7.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.8
4.3
7.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Melvin Sanders
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
3.5
3.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
1-1
100%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.6
2.3
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.6
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.