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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Raptors27%9497
12Heat73%102106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
46.8
39.3
23
62%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
5-6
83%
3-7
4-10
43%
45%
4-9
44%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.8
41.0
40.6
32
58%
3
6
2
1
0
5
0
3
11-13
85%
6-14
6-12
43%
47%
3-8
38%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.6
40.6
30.7
8
37%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
2-8
4-9
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.4
15.9
16.3
3
52%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.7
6.1
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.0
32.3
28.3
10
54%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-3
67%
1-6
2-4
17%
51%
2-2
100%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.1
21.6
3.3
13
113%
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
0-0
0-1
-
37%
3-4
75%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
17.1
24.9
3
35%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-3
33%
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.8
15.0
14.8
3
80%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.1
3.5
15.9
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
40%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
10.2
0
1-2
47%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.7
7.3
0
1-1
42%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.0
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
43.4
26.7
32
58%
8
5
2
1
1
1
1
7
4-4
100%
11-18
3-6
61%
50%
2-8
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.8
41.1
28.9
15
97%
9
2
0
1
1
1
2
7
3-4
75%
6-6
4-7
100%
54%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.7
37.5
28.5
15
45%
4
3
2
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
6-13
2-4
46%
52%
0-2
0%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.3
35.2
19.1
8
57%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
49%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.1
28.5
32.5
15
67%
11
10
0
0
1
3
4
7
1-5
20%
7-9
8-13
78%
61%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.7
30.6
27.4
17
67%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
4-7
57%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.8
14.3
13.7
2
33%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
8.1
9.5
2
35%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
1.2
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.2
34.3
2
8-16
53%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.4
3.2
0
0-1
53%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
2.1
0
0-1
57%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.2
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.4
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.