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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 11, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Warriors27%93100
10Lakers73%100111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.7
32.0
35.7
18
51%
1
5
1
2
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
2-9
4-9
22%
42%
3-6
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
29.6
26.4
20
49%
2
0
1
1
0
4
1
1
4-8
50%
5-12
4-8
42%
48%
2-5
40%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.6
27.3
32.7
12
58%
6
2
0
1
0
3
1
5
1-3
33%
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
3-5
60%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.9
21.8
34.2
2
26%
10
1
1
1
0
1
2
8
2-2
100%
0-3
4-9
0%
45%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.1
21.7
26.2
9
77%
3
1
2
1
2
0
3
0
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
51%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.5
27.5
21.6
11
56%
5
2
2
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
1-2
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.2
21.8
19.3
7
36%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
20.0
17.6
10
85%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
51%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
16.0
7.5
8
58%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.0
14.0
5.9
0
0%
6
3
1
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
60%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
8.3
10.0
3
39%
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.7
5.0
0
1-1
46%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 21.1
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.6
34.3
40.9
31
55%
4
5
2
2
0
1
1
3
9-14
64%
8-14
11-21
57%
49%
2-8
25%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.4
33.6
38.9
15
75%
13
10
0
1
1
3
5
8
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
51%
1-2
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.1
31.0
32.5
15
61%
15
2
0
1
1
2
6
9
1-5
20%
7-10
3-7
70%
51%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.9
29.7
29.9
18
61%
6
2
4
1
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
3-9
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.0
21.3
29.1
6
34%
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
0-2
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.1
23.8
18.7
5
83%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
21.0
16.8
7
35%
4
0
0
1
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
2-8
1-3
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
20.3
15.3
7
39%
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
1-5
20%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.5
10.5
5.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.5
8.3
5.3
2
25%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 23.2
6.3
5.7
5
66%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.5
3.3
0
0-0
48%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.7
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.