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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 8, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Heat46%9899
11Wizards54%9986
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.7
33.9
29.6
13
46%
4
8
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-10
2-4
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.8
32.4
30.2
13
55%
14
1
0
1
1
1
4
10
3-4
75%
5-10
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.1
32.0
32.5
27
76%
10
3
1
0
4
4
3
7
1-4
25%
13-16
8-14
81%
59%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
28.6
30.0
5
31%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
1-5
20%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.2
21.5
38.7
11
60%
3
8
3
2
0
4
0
3
5-5
100%
3-6
9-18
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.7
37.8
20.2
20
53%
4
4
2
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-7
1-3
14%
43%
5-10
50%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.3
26.6
19.3
0
0%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.8
16.0
16.2
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.2
6.6
5.4
2
35%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
3.0
6.9
2
114%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.3
1.6
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
2.3
0
0-1
52%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.4
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.2
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.1
45.4
19.6
25
69%
3
3
2
0
0
3
0
3
12-14
86%
5-11
2-4
45%
48%
1-1
100%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
40.7
38.8
30
72%
4
4
1
2
0
6
1
3
7-9
78%
4-9
6-12
44%
48%
5-8
63%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
36.6
38.5
8
22%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-12
6-13
33%
47%
0-6
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
33.3
29.1
4
34%
3
1
2
1
1
2
2
1
0-2
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.4
21.4
20.7
3
52%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.6
17.6
5.3
8
51%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-3
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.2
15.6
18.6
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.7
14.9
14.5
1
15%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
7.8
3.9
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-0
-
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
3.8
10.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
2.9
4.6
3
85%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.1
34.9
1
6-12
46%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.7
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.