Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, April 7, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Knicks | 31% | 96 | 125 |
 | 1 | Thunder | 69% | 103 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Lakers | 34% | 99 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Celtics | 57% | 94 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Magic | 39% | 98 | 85 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bulls | 62% | 98 | 85 |
 | 25 | Pistons | 38% | 94 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 57% | 99 | 95 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Mavericks | 60% | 105 | 96 |
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Saturday, April 6, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Wizards | 43% | 90 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bobcats | 18% | 93 | 96 |
 | 14 | Nets | 82% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Heat | 72% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 35% | 96 | 101 |
 | 16 | Timberwolves | 65% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Raptors | 38% | 98 | 83 |
 | 15 | Bucks | 62% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, April 5, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 73% | 102 | 89 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 27% | 94 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 35% | 95 | 97 |
| 23 | Celtics | 65% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 32% | 98 | 83 |
| 5 | Knicks | 68% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 35% | 92 | 101 |
| 16 | Hawks | 65% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 46% | 94 | 97 |
| 3 | Pacers | 54% | 96 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 25% | 90 | 86 |
| 12 | Bulls | 75% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 42% | 95 | 95 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 58% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 40% | 98 | 83 | |
| 18 | Jazz | 60% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 67% | 104 | 111 |
| 29 | Suns | 33% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 48% | 106 | 117 |
| 22 | Kings | 52% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 63% | 106 | 116 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 44% | 96 | 84 |
| 7 | Lakers | 56% | 98 | 86 |
Thursday, April 4, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 51% | 96 | 92 |
| 19 | Nets | 49% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 40% | 101 | 94 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 60% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 30% | 96 | 88 |
| 1 | Thunder | 70% | 103 | 100 |
Wednesday, April 3, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 38% | 92 | 78 |
| 17 | Raptors | 62% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 61% | 99 | 83 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 39% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 48% | 97 | 95 |
| 15 | Hawks | 52% | 98 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 54% | 99 | 113 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 46% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 39% | 95 | 93 |
| 23 | Celtics | 61% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 42% | 99 | 107 |
| 14 | Bucks | 58% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 14% | 92 | 84 |
| 2 | Spurs | 86% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 52% | 102 | 113 |
| 16 | Jazz | 48% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 54% | 108 | 112 |
| 20 | Kings | 46% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 68% | 99 | 94 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 92 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 15% | 91 | 101 |
| 4 | Clippers | 85% | 105 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 35% | 98 | 88 | |
| 12 | Warriors | 65% | 103 | 98 |
Tuesday, April 2, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 54% | 94 | 86 |
| 22 | Wizards | 46% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 40% | 96 | 102 |
| 5 | Heat | 60% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 41% | 103 | 81 |
| 8 | Lakers | 59% | 106 | 101 |
Monday, April 1, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 33% | 95 | 108 |
| 16 | Raptors | 67% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 30% | 95 | 94 |
| 19 | Hawks | 70% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 23% | 97 | 102 |
| 14 | Bucks | 77% | 107 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 45% | 95 | 90 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 55% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 19% | 96 | 103 |
| 9 | Rockets | 81% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Celtics | 37% | 92 | 100 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 63% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 99 | 102 |
| 15 | Jazz | 67% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pacers | 40% | 93 | 109 |
| 3 | Clippers | 60% | 96 | 106 |
Sunday, March 31, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 49% | 95 | 92 |
| 24 | Wizards | 51% | 96 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 37% | 97 | 92 |
| 19 | Hornets | 63% | 102 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 29% | 92 | 94 |
| 12 | Bulls | 71% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 38% | 97 | 88 |
| 1 | Spurs | 62% | 101 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 31% | 92 | 89 |
| 6 | Knicks | 69% | 99 | 108 |
Saturday, March 30, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 41% | 97 | 98 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 59% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 30% | 93 | 88 |
| 20 | Hawks | 70% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bobcats | 30% | 94 | 92 |
| 23 | 76ers | 70% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 49% | 103 | 81 |
| 8 | Rockets | 51% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 52% | 95 | 99 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 48% | 94 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 60% | 102 | 109 |
| 14 | Bucks | 40% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 41% | 95 | 107 |
| 15 | Jazz | 59% | 99 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pacers | 77% | 98 | 112 |
| 30 | Suns | 23% | 88 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 55% | 108 | 103 |
| 22 | Kings | 45% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 98 | 98 |
| 12 | Warriors | 74% | 107 | 125 |
Friday, March 29, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 52% | 96 | 92 |
| 27 | Magic | 48% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 49% | 93 | 107 |
| 22 | Celtics | 51% | 94 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 15% | 93 | 102 |
| 5 | Knicks | 85% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 52% | 99 | 99 |
| 26 | Pistons | 48% | 98 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 51% | 98 | 97 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 49% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 43% | 98 | 94 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 57% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 68% | 101 | 108 |
| 17 | Hornets | 32% | 95 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 66% | 101 | 93 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 34% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 33% | 97 | 102 |
| 1 | Spurs | 67% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 33% | 95 | 87 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 67% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 51% | 102 | 105 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 101 | 95 |
Thursday, March 28, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 51% | 105 | 103 |
| 14 | Bucks | 49% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 40% | 95 | 103 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 60% | 98 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 55% | 103 | 117 |
| 29 | Suns | 45% | 101 | 103 |
Wednesday, March 27, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 47% | 96 | 107 |
| 19 | Raptors | 53% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 55% | 99 | 92 |
| 26 | 76ers | 45% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 56% | 101 | 108 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 44% | 99 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Celtics | 52% | 97 | 93 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 48% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 44% | 93 | 101 |
| 7 | Knicks | 56% | 95 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 63% | 97 | 97 |
| 13 | Bulls | 37% | 93 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 62% | 100 | 105 |
| 21 | Hornets | 38% | 96 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 36% | 96 | 100 |
| 6 | Rockets | 64% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 18% | 89 | 80 |
| 3 | Thunder | 82% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 57% | 102 | 120 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 43% | 99 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 29% | 98 | 99 |
| 1 | Spurs | 71% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 31% | 95 | 88 |
| 20 | Jazz | 69% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 33% | 102 | 105 |
| 11 | Warriors | 67% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 46% | 99 | 111 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 101 | 93 |
Tuesday, March 26, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 54% | 95 | 100 |
| 18 | Celtics | 46% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 55% | 99 | 105 |
| 27 | Pistons | 45% | 97 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 56% | 103 | 102 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 44% | 101 | 109 |
Monday, March 25, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 59% | 92 | 94 |
| 24 | Wizards | 41% | 89 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 69% | 101 | 108 |
| 26 | Magic | 31% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 35% | 90 | 94 |
| 11 | Pacers | 65% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 61% | 101 | 86 |
| 21 | Hornets | 39% | 97 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 36% | 94 | 91 |
| 20 | Jazz | 64% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 48% | 102 | 103 |
| 12 | Warriors | 52% | 103 | 109 |