FinalWin Prob.pScore
1435%90
94
1165%95
100
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
101.193102.7
IND logo IND
105.39586.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND94
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLJohnson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Jenkins 2 AST)94
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)92
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLGreen STEAL (2 STL)92
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)92
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 292
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLJohnson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Mack 4 AST)92
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 0:27.0ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLHibbert BLOCK (3 BLK)90
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDGreen 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)90
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLAugustin STEAL (2 STL)90
2.4%
94
97.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
5.8%
94
94.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDMISS Hansbrough 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)90
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 0:49.0INDMISS Augustin 19' Jump Shot90
5.2%
94
94.8%
Q4 - 1:07ATLJenkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)90
4.3%
94
95.7%
Q4 - 1:07ATLJenkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
3.9%
94
96.1%
Q4 - 1:25ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 1:26INDMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 1:44INDGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q4 - 1:45INDMISS Hansbrough 1' Layup88
4.0%
94
96.0%
Q4 - 1:48INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)88
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 1:49INDMISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot88
4.2%
94
95.8%
Q4 - 2:08ATLJenkins 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)88
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 2:12INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T21)86
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 2:25ATLMack 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jenkins 1 AST)86
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 2:30INDAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T20)83
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 2:44ATLJohnson 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)83
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 2:59INDGreen Slam Dunk (13 PTS)81
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 3:02ATLGreen STEAL (1 STL)81
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 3:17INDHansbrough Traveling Turnover (P2.T19)81
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 3:36INDGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 3:37ATLMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 3:58INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T18)81
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 4:15ATLStevenson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)81
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 4:30ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 4:31INDMISS Hibbert 11' Jump Shot79
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 4:48INDGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 4:49ATLMISS Mack 3PT Jump Shot79
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 5:04INDAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T17)79
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 5:19ATLJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T13)79
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 5:34INDAugustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)79
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 5:40INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)79
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 5:41ATLMISS Mack 2' Layup79
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 5:57ATLScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q4 - 5:58INDMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot79
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 6:11ATLJenkins 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)79
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q4 - 6:21INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)77
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 6:30ATLJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12)77
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 6:46INDGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 6:46INDGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 7:03ATLScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)77
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 7:03ATLMISS Scott Free Throw 1 of 276
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 7:03ATLScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 7:04ATLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)76
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 7:07INDPendergraph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)76
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 7:27ATLScott 1' Layup (4 PTS)76
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 7:29ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 7:30ATLMISS Stevenson 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 7:36ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 7:37INDMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 7:57ATLScott 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)74
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 8:12INDGeorge Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)72
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 8:29INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 8:30ATLMahinmi BLOCK (1 BLK)72
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 8:40ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 8:41INDMISS Pendergraph 4' Layup72
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 8:52INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 8:53ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot72
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 9:06ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 9:07INDMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 9:19INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 9:21ATLMISS Jenkins 28' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 9:30INDHansbrough Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T13)72
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 9:43ATLMack 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)72
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 9:49ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 9:50INDMISS Mahinmi 21' Jump Shot69
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 10:10INDPendergraph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 10:11ATLMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot69
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 10:19INDMahinmi Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)69
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 10:40ATLStevenson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 10:48ATLStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 10:49INDMISS Pendergraph 14' Jump Shot67
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 11:08ATLStevenson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)67
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 11:26INDPendergraph 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Hansbrough 3 AST)65
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 11:46ATLJenkins 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)65
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL63
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound63
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Teague 28' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0INDHibbert 3' Layup (17 PTS) (Pendergraph 1 AST)63
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLTolliver 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)63
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0INDMISS George 30' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 1:01INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)61
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 1:02ATLMISS Teague 13' Jump Shot61
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 1:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 1:09INDMISS George 2' Layup61
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 1:21INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 1:22INDMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 1:39INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 1:40ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot61
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 1:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 1:50INDMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot61
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 1:54ATLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)61
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 1:56ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 1:57INDMISS Pendergraph 18' Jump Shot61
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 2:16ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)61
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 2:35INDHansbrough Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)61
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 2:54ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)61
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 3:10INDHansbrough 2' Layup (12 PTS) (George 4 AST)58
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 3:19INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)58
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 3:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 3:20ATLMISS Horford Tip Shot58
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 3:21ATLMISS Teague 2' Layup58
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 3:26ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 3:27INDMISS Hibbert 17' Jump Shot58
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q3 - 3:43ATLTeague 3' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 3:52ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 3:53INDMISS Hansbrough 16' Jump Shot56
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 4:10ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)56
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 4:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 4:22INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 153
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 4:47ATLSmith 9' Jump Shot (20 PTS)53
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 5:01INDGreen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)51
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 5:06ATLAugustin STEAL (1 STL)51
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 5:28INDGeorge 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)51
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 5:40ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 5:40ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 250
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 5:45INDAugustin Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)50
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 5:56INDAugustin Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)50
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 5:58ATLHorford 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)50
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 6:04INDAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)48
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 6:14ATLTeague Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)48
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 6:23INDHansbrough 2' Dunk (8 PTS)48
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 6:34ATLTolliver Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)48
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 6:49INDGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)48
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 6:54ATLHibbert STEAL (1 STL)48
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 7:07INDHansbrough 1' Layup (6 PTS)48
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 7:09INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)48
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 7:11INDMISS Hibbert 6' Jump Shot48
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q3 - 7:20INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)48
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 7:21INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 7:44ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)48
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 7:51ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 7:52INDMISS George Layup46
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 7:56INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)46
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 7:57ATLMISS Teague 2' Layup46
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 8:17INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)46
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q3 - 8:17INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 8:18INDMISS Hibbert 1' Layup46
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 8:20INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)46
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 8:20INDMISS Hansbrough 3' Jump Shot46
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 8:41INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 8:42ATLMISS Korver 20' Jump Shot46
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 8:59INDGeorge Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)46
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q3 - 9:08INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 9:09ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot46
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q3 - 9:23INDGreen 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)46
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 9:36INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)46
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 9:37ATLMISS Korver 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
3.1%
65
96.9%
Q3 - 9:45INDHibbert Layup (15 PTS)46
3.5%
65
96.5%
Q3 - 9:47INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 9:48INDMISS Hansbrough 1' Layup46
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 9:51INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 9:52INDMISS Hibbert 12' Jump Shot46
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 10:09INDPACERS Rebound46
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 10:10INDMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 10:24INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 10:25ATLMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 10:28ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 10:29ATLMISS Horford 6' Jump Shot46
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 10:50INDHibbert 2' Layup (13 PTS)46
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 11:05ATLHorford 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 11:29INDGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (George 3 AST)44
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q3 - 11:43INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q3 - 11:43ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 244
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q3 - 11:43ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)44
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q3 - 11:46INDAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)43
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND43
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound43
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Mahinmi 55' 3PT Jump Shot43
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)43
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 242
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDMahinmi Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)42
6.3%
58
93.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)42
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q2 - 0:09.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 241
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q2 - 0:10.0ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q2 - 0:11.0INDMISS Mahinmi 4' Jump Shot41
5.4%
58
94.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLTolliver Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
5.0%
58
95.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Tolliver Free Throw 1 of 240
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLHawks Rebound40
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
4.4%
58
95.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot40
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLHawks Rebound40
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 140
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q2 - 1:17INDJohnson 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (15 PTS)38
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q2 - 1:40ATLTeague Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)38
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q2 - 1:53INDJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (George 2 AST)38
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q2 - 2:02INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q2 - 2:03ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 2:16ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)38
7.9%
53
92.1%
Q2 - 2:17INDMISS Augustin 1' Layup38
7.6%
53
92.4%
Q2 - 2:20INDAugustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q2 - 2:22INDMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
7.6%
53
92.4%
Q2 - 2:46ATLSmith 1' Layup (13 PTS)38
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q2 - 3:03INDJohnson 8' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
6.6%
53
93.4%
Q2 - 3:26ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 3:26ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 235
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 3:39INDPendergraph 1' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Young 1 AST)35
7.4%
51
92.6%
Q2 - 3:45INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
8.1%
49
91.9%
Q2 - 3:47ATLMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot35
8.4%
49
91.6%
Q2 - 4:13INDJohnson 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)35
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q2 - 4:24INDPACERS Rebound35
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 4:25ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q2 - 4:34ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)35
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q2 - 4:38ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot35
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q2 - 5:00INDPendergraph 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)35
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q2 - 5:11INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 5:12INDMISS Hibbert 15' Jump Shot35
14.1%
45
85.9%
Q2 - 5:40INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 5:41ATLMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
13.6%
45
86.4%
Q2 - 6:05INDYoung 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)35
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 6:20ATLJones Foul Turnover (P2.T4)35
17.6%
42
82.4%
Q2 - 6:41INDHibbert 9' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)35
19.6%
42
80.4%
Q2 - 7:00INDPACERS Rebound35
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 7:03ATLMISS Tolliver 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
22.0%
40
78.0%
Q2 - 7:20INDJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
23.5%
40
76.5%
Q2 - 7:29INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
21.4%
40
78.6%
Q2 - 7:30INDMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
22.8%
40
77.2%
Q2 - 7:42ATLMack 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
21.4%
40
78.6%
Q2 - 8:02INDJohnson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)33
20.0%
40
80.0%
Q2 - 8:17ATLMack 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 8:34INDPendergraph 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)31
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 8:49INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
23.4%
35
76.6%
Q2 - 8:51ATLHibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)31
24.0%
35
76.0%
Q2 - 9:01ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
25.4%
35
74.6%
Q2 - 9:01INDMISS Hibbert 11' Jump Shot31
24.8%
35
75.2%
Q2 - 9:12INDAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
23.4%
35
76.6%
Q2 - 9:13ATLMISS Horford 12' Jump Shot31
24.0%
35
76.0%
Q2 - 9:41INDPendergraph 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hansbrough 2 AST)31
25.4%
35
74.6%
Q2 - 9:58ATLTolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)31
27.2%
33
72.8%
Q2 - 10:14INDPendergraph Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
23.7%
33
76.3%
Q2 - 10:25INDPendergraph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
27.1%
30
72.9%
Q2 - 10:26ATLMISS Mack 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 10:37ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 10:38INDMISS Pendergraph 21' Jump Shot28
28.8%
30
71.2%
Q2 - 10:52INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
27.1%
30
72.9%
Q2 - 10:53ATLMISS Korver 22' Jump Shot28
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 11:04INDGeorge 13' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q2 - 11:23ATLHorford 9' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)28
31.3%
28
68.7%
Q2 - 11:48INDGeorge 1' Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS)26
29.3%
28
70.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND26
31.3%
26
68.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
31.3%
26
68.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot26
32.0%
26
68.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0INDJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)26
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLKorver Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)26
40.2%
22
59.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
33.0%
22
67.0%
Q1 - 0:45.0INDMISS Mahinmi 1' Layup22
32.6%
22
67.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0INDJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
31.4%
22
68.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 222
31.6%
22
68.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)22
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 1:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
30.9%
22
69.1%
Q1 - 1:07INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 221
30.7%
22
69.3%
Q1 - 1:07INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
29.5%
22
70.5%
Q1 - 1:24ATLSmith 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)21
31.5%
21
68.5%
Q1 - 1:38ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
29.0%
21
71.0%
Q1 - 1:40INDMISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
28.5%
21
71.5%
Q1 - 1:54ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
27.6%
21
72.4%
Q1 - 1:54ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
27.3%
21
72.7%
Q1 - 2:11INDGeorge 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
25.6%
21
74.4%
Q1 - 2:19INDPendergraph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
27.5%
19
72.5%
Q1 - 2:20INDMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot17
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 2:41ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)17
27.5%
19
72.5%
Q1 - 2:46INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q1 - 3:11INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 3:12ATLMISS Teague 8' Jump Shot14
22.7%
19
77.3%
Q1 - 3:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q1 - 3:21ATLMISS Horford 14' Jump Shot14
22.7%
19
77.3%
Q1 - 3:38INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q1 - 3:43ATLGeorge STEAL (1 STL)14
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 3:57INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)14
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q1 - 4:18INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
27.0%
16
73.0%
Q1 - 4:18ATLMISS Petro Free Throw 1 of 114
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q1 - 4:35INDHibbert 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 1 AST)11
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 4:42INDGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
25.3%
14
74.7%
Q1 - 4:43ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)11
27.1%
14
72.9%
Q1 - 4:43ATLMISS Petro Tip Shot11
25.9%
14
74.1%
Q1 - 4:45ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot11
25.9%
14
74.1%
Q1 - 4:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
27.2%
14
72.8%
Q1 - 4:54INDMISS Augustin 29' 3PT Jump Shot11
26.6%
14
73.4%
Q1 - 5:08ATLHorford 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)11
25.5%
14
74.5%
Q1 - 5:28INDHansbrough 1' Layup (4 PTS)9
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 5:33INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
25.5%
12
74.5%
Q1 - 5:34INDMISS George 6' Jump Shot9
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 5:43INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
25.5%
12
74.5%
Q1 - 5:44ATLMISS Petro 1' Layup9
26.0%
12
74.0%
Q1 - 5:46ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 5:48ATLHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)9
26.0%
12
74.0%
Q1 - 5:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 5:54INDMISS Green 1' Layup9
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 6:08ATLJones Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 6:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 6:23INDMISS Green 9' Jump Shot9
26.6%
12
73.4%
Q1 - 6:43INDGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 6:44ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot9
25.9%
12
74.1%
Q1 - 7:01INDAugustin Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)9
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 7:16INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
25.3%
12
74.7%
Q1 - 7:17ATLMISS Horford 5' Jump Shot9
25.9%
12
74.1%
Q1 - 7:32INDGreen 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 7:49INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 7:50ATLMISS Petro 18' Jump Shot9
29.0%
10
71.0%
Q1 - 8:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
30.1%
10
69.9%
Q1 - 8:02INDMISS Hibbert 8' Jump Shot9
29.6%
10
70.4%
Q1 - 8:19ATLPetro 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)9
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 8:43INDGeorge 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
30.1%
10
69.9%
Q1 - 9:08ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)9
31.6%
8
68.4%
Q1 - 9:28INDHansbrough 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
30.1%
8
69.9%
Q1 - 9:42INDGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
31.6%
6
68.4%
Q1 - 9:43ATLMISS Petro 13' Jump Shot7
32.1%
6
67.9%
Q1 - 9:47ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 9:49ATLGeorge BLOCK (1 BLK)7
32.1%
6
67.9%
Q1 - 10:08INDHibbert 7' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)7
33.2%
6
66.8%
Q1 - 10:22ATLSmith 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)7
34.5%
4
65.5%
Q1 - 10:35INDAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 10:35INDAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
33.3%
3
66.7%
Q1 - 11:01ATLJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)5
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 11:22INDHibbert 11' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 11:41ATLSmith 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Petro: Tip to Teague0
31.1%
0
68.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.03 51.6%
IND
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
17
28
61%
IND
18
29
62%
Midrange
ATL
12
31
39%
IND
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
IND
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
Free Throws
ATL
15
25
60%
IND
12
15
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2067%10.0 / 15
A. Horford1343%6.5 / 15
J. Teague1045%5.0 / 11
S. Mack1056%5.0 / 9
J. Jenkins880%4.0 / 5
K. Korver758%3.5 / 6
A. Tolliver650%3.0 / 6
I. Johnson660%3.0 / 5
D. Stevenson650%3.0 / 6
M. Scott583%2.5 / 3
D. Jones338%1.5 / 4
J. Petro0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Green1973%9.5 / 13
R. Hibbert1750%8.5 / 17
O. Johnson1563%7.5 / 12
J. Ayres1470%7.0 / 10
P. George1350%6.5 / 13
T. Hansbrough1255%6.0 / 11
D. Augustin643%3.0 / 7
S. Young3150%1.5 / 1
I. Mahinmi110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
77
+12
-16
89
IND
75
+17
-20
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.03 51.6%
IND
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.6
104.7
ATL 101.1
IND 105.3 +4.2
Pace
92.9
89.9
ATL 102.7 +15.9
IND 86.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.3
ATL 14.0 +2.6
IND 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
47.9%
ATL 49.4%
IND 52.4% +3.0%
TO %
15.2%
16.1%
ATL 15.0% +3.8%
IND 18.8%
ORB %
22.2%
30.3%
ATL 22.7%
IND 34.9% +12.2%
FTrt
24.4
29.3
ATL 31.3 +13.4
IND 17.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.1%
57.8%
ATL 50.0% +5.0%
IND 45.0%
STL %
8.7%
7.9%
ATL 11.8% +4.4%
IND 7.4%
BLK %
7.1%
9.7%
ATL 11.5% +1.3%
IND 10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
50.6%
ATL 51.6%
IND 53.8% +2.2%
Rim FG%
62.5%
55.7%
ATL 60.7%
IND 62.1% +1.4%
Mid FG%
38.3%
38.2%
ATL 38.7%
IND 43.8% +5.1%
3P %
37.1%
34.7%
ATL 33.3%
IND 34.8% +1.5%
FT %
71.5%
74.6%
ATL 60.0%
IND 80.0% +20.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
35.7%
ATL 35.0% +0.5%
IND 34.5%
Mid Att. %
36.5%
39.8%
ATL 38.8%
IND 38.1% +0.7%
3P Att. %
28.6%
24.5%
ATL 26.3%
IND 27.4% +1.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLIND
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points94100
Rebounds3849
Assists1818
Steals117
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals36-8040-84
At-the-Rim FG17-2818-29
Midrange FG12-3114-32
2-Point FG29-5932-61
3-Point FG7-218-23
Free Throws15-2512-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 245 · 27
33.3
13
43%
8
2
1
1
1
1
2
6
1-1
100%
6-15
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
29.5
20
67%
3
4
4
2
2
0
1
2
6-12
50%
7-9
78%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 25
28.7
10
45%
1
1
0
1
3
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
F · 7'0" 247 · 27
16.9
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
2
4
1
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 32
11.8
3
38%
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 212 · 32
24.3
7
58%
6
2
0
1
1
2
0
6
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 28
23.1
6
50%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 203 · 23
19.3
10
56%
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 255 · 29
17.2
6
60%
2
1
4
1
4
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 22
12.0
8
80%
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32
12.0
6
50%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 237 · 25
12.0
5
83%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 30
# 3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
52%
38
18
11
7
16
0
10
28
15-25
60%
29-59
49%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.