FinalWin Prob.pScore
263%97
97
1337%93
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.69192.1
CHI logo CHI
109.89290.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (James 3 AST)97
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)94
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 294
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0CHIButler Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T19)94
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)92
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)92
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)92
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHIRobinson 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIADeng STEAL (2 STL)89
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0CHIBoozer 2' Putback Layup (21 PTS)89
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)89
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0CHIMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q4 - 1:22MIAAllen 2' Layup (7 PTS)89
6.2%
94
93.8%
Q4 - 1:34CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)87
5.0%
94
95.0%
Q4 - 1:34CHIBULLS Rebound87
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q4 - 1:34CHIMISS Gibson 19' Jump Shot87
4.2%
94
95.8%
Q4 - 1:58MIAJames 1' Driving Slam Dunk (29 PTS)87
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q4 - 2:01CHIBoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T17)85
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 2:04CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)85
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 2:19CHIGibson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hinrich 7 AST)85
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 2:41MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)85
3.6%
92
96.4%
Q4 - 2:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
6.8%
92
93.2%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
4.4%
92
95.6%
Q4 - 3:07CHIBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
8.4%
92
91.6%
Q4 - 3:07CHIMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 285
9.2%
91
90.8%
Q4 - 3:07CHIBULLS Rebound85
7.6%
91
92.4%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
8.8%
91
91.2%
Q4 - 3:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
12.5%
91
87.5%
Q4 - 3:15CHIMISS Hinrich 2' Driving Layup85
10.7%
91
89.3%
Q4 - 3:32MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)85
12.2%
91
87.8%
Q4 - 3:41MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
6.2%
91
93.8%
Q4 - 3:43CHIMISS Hinrich 2' Layup82
5.5%
91
94.5%
Q4 - 3:52CHIMISS Boozer Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 282
4.1%
91
95.9%
Q4 - 3:52CHIBoozer Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (18 PTS)82
3.1%
91
96.9%
Q4 - 4:02MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)82
5.7%
90
94.3%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 281
5.3%
90
94.7%
Q4 - 4:10CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)81
5.8%
90
94.2%
Q4 - 4:10CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)81
6.2%
89
93.8%
Q4 - 4:11CHIBULLS Rebound81
8.0%
88
92.0%
Q4 - 4:11CHIMISS Hinrich 2' Running Layup81
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 4:32MIABosh 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)81
7.8%
88
92.2%
Q4 - 4:52CHIDeng 2' Running Layup (24 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)79
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q4 - 4:54CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)79
7.7%
86
92.3%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot79
8.7%
86
91.3%
Q4 - 5:06CHIBoozer Foul Turnover (P4.T16)79
15.3%
86
84.7%
Q4 - 5:13CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
11.1%
86
88.9%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 279
11.6%
86
88.4%
Q4 - 5:14MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)79
14.2%
86
85.8%
Q4 - 5:34CHIButler 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)78
11.3%
86
88.7%
Q4 - 5:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)78
19.4%
83
80.6%
Q4 - 6:08CHIDeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)75
14.7%
83
85.3%
Q4 - 6:26MIAJames 2' Layup (26 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)75
23.2%
80
76.8%
Q4 - 6:39CHIHinrich 5' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)73
18.6%
80
81.4%
Q4 - 6:45CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
23.1%
78
76.9%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
24.9%
78
75.1%
Q4 - 7:03CHIDeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)73
33.0%
78
67.0%
Q4 - 7:24MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)73
45.4%
75
54.6%
Q4 - 7:44CHIDeng Foul Turnover (P2.T15)71
39.1%
75
60.9%
Q4 - 7:49CHICook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
32.1%
75
67.9%
Q4 - 7:50MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
39.1%
75
60.9%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS Andersen 2' Tip Shot71
34.2%
75
65.8%
Q4 - 7:52MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot71
34.2%
75
65.8%
Q4 - 8:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
39.0%
75
61.0%
Q4 - 8:02CHIMISS Gibson 19' Jump Shot71
39.2%
75
60.8%
Q4 - 8:24CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
35.0%
75
65.0%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS James 11' Fadeaway Jumper71
36.8%
75
63.2%
Q4 - 8:34MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
41.0%
75
59.0%
Q4 - 8:36CHIMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
39.1%
75
60.9%
Q4 - 8:54MIAWade 1' Layup (11 PTS)71
34.9%
75
65.1%
Q4 - 9:04CHIButler 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gibson 5 AST)69
31.4%
75
68.6%
Q4 - 9:19CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
36.9%
73
63.1%
Q4 - 9:20CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
40.7%
73
59.3%
Q4 - 9:26CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
36.8%
73
63.2%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Andersen 1' Dunk69
38.5%
73
61.5%
Q4 - 9:43CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
42.4%
73
57.6%
Q4 - 9:43CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
44.1%
72
55.9%
Q4 - 9:44CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
48.5%
71
51.5%
Q4 - 9:46CHIMISS Butler 5' Running Jump Shot69
52.5%
71
47.5%
Q4 - 9:49CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
48.5%
71
51.5%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
50.2%
71
49.8%
Q4 - 10:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
55.0%
71
45.0%
Q4 - 10:03CHIMISS Cook 3' Finger Roll Layup69
53.3%
71
46.7%
Q4 - 10:22CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
49.3%
71
50.7%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot69
51.0%
71
49.0%
Q4 - 10:27MIAHeat Rebound69
55.0%
71
45.0%
Q4 - 10:27MIACook BLOCK (1 BLK)69
51.0%
71
49.0%
Q4 - 10:32CHIDeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)69
54.9%
71
45.1%
Q4 - 10:39MIADeng STEAL (1 STL)69
49.3%
71
50.7%
Q4 - 10:56CHICook 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)69
54.9%
71
45.1%
Q4 - 10:59CHIBULLS Rebound69
60.5%
69
39.5%
Q4 - 10:59CHIMISS Deng 5' Driving Jump Shot69
64.2%
69
35.8%
Q4 - 11:10CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
60.4%
69
39.6%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 269
61.1%
69
38.9%
Q4 - 11:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)69
64.4%
69
35.6%
Q4 - 11:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
60.4%
69
39.6%
Q4 - 11:19CHIMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
58.8%
69
41.2%
Q4 - 11:44CHIBULLS Rebound68
55.2%
69
44.8%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
56.8%
69
43.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
60.4%
69
39.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHIBoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)68
60.6%
69
39.4%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAChalmers 1' Running Layup (9 PTS)68
70.1%
66
29.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
65.4%
66
34.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0CHIMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
64.0%
66
36.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)66
60.8%
66
39.2%
Q3 - 1:13MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
56.2%
66
43.8%
Q3 - 1:14CHIMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
54.7%
66
45.3%
Q3 - 1:24CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)64
51.4%
66
48.6%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Allen 1' Running Layup64
52.9%
66
47.1%
Q3 - 1:43CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
56.2%
66
43.8%
Q3 - 1:43CHIDeng 2' Layup (16 PTS)64
56.2%
66
43.8%
Q3 - 1:44CHIMISS Boozer 18' Jump Shot64
64.2%
64
35.8%
Q3 - 2:25MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)64
61.1%
64
38.9%
Q3 - 2:27CHIButler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Deng 5 AST)61
52.1%
64
47.9%
Q3 - 2:31CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)61
56.6%
62
43.4%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot61
58.0%
62
42.0%
Q3 - 2:52CHIBoozer 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)61
61.2%
62
38.8%
Q3 - 3:10MIABosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)61
65.8%
60
34.2%
Q3 - 3:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
69.8%
60
30.2%
Q3 - 3:27CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
68.6%
60
31.4%
Q3 - 3:55MIABosh 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)61
65.7%
60
34.3%
Q3 - 4:15CHIBoozer 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)59
62.2%
60
37.8%
Q3 - 4:30MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)59
65.5%
58
34.5%
Q3 - 4:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
58.1%
58
41.9%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot56
54.6%
58
45.4%
Q3 - 4:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
58.1%
58
41.9%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot56
54.6%
58
45.4%
Q3 - 4:56CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)56
58.1%
58
41.9%
Q3 - 4:56CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
53.1%
58
46.9%
Q3 - 4:56CHIMISS Mohammed 8' Jump Shot56
56.6%
58
43.4%
Q3 - 5:32MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)56
53.5%
58
46.5%
Q3 - 5:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
45.7%
58
54.3%
Q3 - 5:43CHIMISS Hinrich 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
44.3%
58
55.7%
Q3 - 6:03CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)53
42.4%
58
57.6%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot53
43.8%
58
56.2%
Q3 - 6:16CHIBoozer Foul Turnover (P3.T12)53
46.9%
58
53.1%
Q3 - 6:25CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)53
42.3%
58
57.7%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup53
43.7%
58
56.3%
Q3 - 6:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
46.8%
58
53.2%
Q3 - 6:31MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
43.7%
58
56.3%
Q3 - 6:46CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
46.8%
58
53.2%
Q3 - 6:46CHIMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 253
47.4%
57
52.6%
Q3 - 7:04CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
47.0%
57
53.0%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot53
48.2%
57
51.8%
Q3 - 7:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
51.1%
57
48.9%
Q3 - 7:18CHIMISS Boozer 17' Pullup Jump Shot53
49.8%
57
50.2%
Q3 - 7:21CHIMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
46.9%
57
53.1%
Q3 - 7:22CHIMISS Hinrich 22' Jump Shot53
49.8%
57
50.2%
Q3 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)53
46.9%
57
53.1%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 252
46.1%
57
53.9%
Q3 - 7:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
47.2%
57
52.8%
Q3 - 7:45CHIMISS Deng 3' Layup52
46.0%
57
54.0%
Q3 - 8:05CHIMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
43.7%
57
56.3%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot52
44.9%
57
55.1%
Q3 - 8:25CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)52
47.8%
57
52.2%
Q3 - 8:42CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)52
43.6%
57
56.4%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot52
44.9%
57
55.1%
Q3 - 8:54CHIBoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)52
47.8%
57
52.2%
Q3 - 9:07CHIBULLS Rebound52
44.4%
57
55.6%
Q3 - 9:08CHIMISS Boozer 5' Jump Shot52
47.1%
57
52.9%
Q3 - 9:30MIABosh 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)52
44.3%
57
55.7%
Q3 - 9:32CHIButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)50
41.0%
57
59.0%
Q3 - 9:34MIAButler STEAL (2 STL)50
37.3%
57
62.7%
Q3 - 9:58CHIMohammed 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)50
41.0%
57
59.0%
Q3 - 10:22MIAJames 1' Running Slam Dunk (22 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)50
45.5%
55
54.5%
Q3 - 10:26CHIHinrich Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)48
42.2%
55
57.8%
Q3 - 10:43CHIBULLS Rebound48
38.5%
55
61.5%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup48
39.6%
55
60.4%
Q3 - 11:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
43.7%
55
56.3%
Q3 - 11:06CHIMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot48
42.6%
55
57.4%
Q3 - 11:30MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)48
40.1%
55
59.9%
Q3 - 11:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
37.0%
55
63.0%
Q3 - 11:36CHIMISS Hinrich 6' Floating Jump Shot46
36.0%
55
64.0%
Q3 - 11:41CHIMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
33.7%
55
66.3%
Q3 - 11:42CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot46
36.0%
55
64.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI46
33.6%
55
66.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
33.6%
55
66.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAGibson BLOCK (1 BLK)46
36.4%
55
63.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHIRobinson 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)46
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0CHIBULLS Rebound46
41.8%
53
58.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0CHIMISS Deng 7' Jump Shot46
43.5%
53
56.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0CHIBULLS Rebound46
41.8%
53
58.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0CHIMISS Robinson 2' Layup46
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
41.8%
53
58.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0CHIMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot46
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)46
41.8%
53
58.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 245
41.1%
53
58.9%
Q2 - 1:10CHIBoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)45
41.6%
53
58.4%
Q2 - 1:22MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
39.6%
53
60.4%
Q2 - 1:22MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
39.0%
53
61.0%
Q2 - 1:37CHIDeng 2' Dunk (14 PTS) (Gibson 3 AST)43
35.5%
53
64.5%
Q2 - 1:54MIABosh 17' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)43
39.5%
51
60.5%
Q2 - 2:08CHIBoozer 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)41
37.1%
51
62.9%
Q2 - 2:33MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)41
39.9%
49
60.1%
Q2 - 2:44MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
37.0%
49
63.0%
Q2 - 2:45CHIMISS Gibson 19' Jump Shot39
36.1%
49
63.9%
Q2 - 3:11MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS)39
35.3%
49
64.7%
Q2 - 3:38CHIHinrich 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)37
32.9%
49
67.1%
Q2 - 3:54CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)37
38.0%
46
62.0%
Q2 - 3:55MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot37
39.0%
46
61.0%
Q2 - 4:07CHIRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)37
42.2%
46
57.8%
Q2 - 4:29CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)37
39.1%
46
60.9%
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
40.0%
46
60.0%
Q2 - 4:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
42.2%
46
57.8%
Q2 - 4:39CHIMISS Gibson 13' Jump Shot37
41.2%
46
58.8%
Q2 - 5:00MIAChalmers 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)37
39.1%
46
60.9%
Q2 - 5:18CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
37.5%
46
62.5%
Q2 - 5:18CHIBoozer 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)35
37.5%
46
62.5%
Q2 - 5:20CHIMISS Boozer 3' Layup35
42.1%
44
57.9%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade 3' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)35
40.1%
44
59.9%
Q2 - 5:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
37.4%
44
62.6%
Q2 - 5:59CHIMISS Boozer 2' Layup33
36.6%
44
63.4%
Q2 - 6:20MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)33
35.4%
44
64.6%
Q2 - 6:45CHIButler 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)31
33.4%
44
66.6%
Q2 - 7:13MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)31
36.7%
42
63.3%
Q2 - 7:26CHIRobinson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)29
34.6%
42
65.4%
Q2 - 7:40CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
36.6%
40
63.4%
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot29
37.5%
40
62.5%
Q2 - 7:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
39.5%
40
60.5%
Q2 - 7:58CHIMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
38.6%
40
61.4%
Q2 - 8:21MIAWade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (3 PTS)29
37.7%
40
62.3%
Q2 - 8:32CHIButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)27
35.4%
40
64.6%
Q2 - 8:44MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)27
32.9%
40
67.1%
Q2 - 8:54CHIRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)27
35.4%
40
64.6%
Q2 - 9:00MIARobinson STEAL (1 STL)27
40.1%
37
59.9%
Q2 - 9:03CHIRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)27
43.7%
37
56.3%
Q2 - 9:22MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)27
41.0%
37
59.0%
Q2 - 9:47CHIGibson 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)24
36.4%
37
63.6%
Q2 - 10:11CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
38.8%
35
61.2%
Q2 - 10:12MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot24
39.7%
35
60.3%
Q2 - 10:27MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
41.6%
35
58.4%
Q2 - 10:28CHIMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
40.7%
35
59.3%
Q2 - 10:48MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
38.8%
35
61.2%
Q2 - 10:57MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
36.9%
35
63.1%
Q2 - 10:59CHIMISS Gibson 14' Jump Shot22
36.1%
35
63.9%
Q2 - 11:18CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
34.7%
35
65.3%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot22
35.3%
35
64.7%
Q2 - 11:45CHIDeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)22
37.0%
35
63.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
41.5%
32
58.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIRobinson 4' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
44.0%
32
56.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
47.0%
30
53.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAAndersen 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)22
47.0%
30
53.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup20
42.8%
30
57.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0CHIRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)20
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAJames Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T6)20
42.2%
30
57.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0CHIButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)20
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
42.2%
30
57.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Andersen 19' Jump Shot20
42.7%
30
57.3%
Q1 - 1:02CHIRobinson 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)20
44.8%
30
55.2%
Q1 - 1:20MIAJames 5' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)20
47.7%
28
52.3%
Q1 - 1:38CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
44.7%
28
55.3%
Q1 - 1:38CHIMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 218
45.1%
27
54.9%
Q1 - 1:58MIAAndersen 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)18
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q1 - 2:18CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
43.2%
27
56.8%
Q1 - 2:18CHIDeng 2' Putback Layup (9 PTS)16
43.2%
27
56.8%
Q1 - 2:20CHIMISS Deng 7' Jump Shot16
47.1%
25
52.9%
Q1 - 2:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)16
45.6%
25
54.4%
Q1 - 2:37MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)15
45.1%
25
54.9%
Q1 - 2:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q1 - 2:55CHIMISS Boozer 2' Reverse Layup14
42.6%
25
57.4%
Q1 - 3:08CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
41.5%
25
58.5%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot14
42.2%
25
57.8%
Q1 - 3:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
43.9%
25
56.1%
Q1 - 3:16CHIMISS Boozer 14' Jump Shot14
43.1%
25
56.9%
Q1 - 3:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)14
41.5%
25
58.5%
Q1 - 3:39MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)13
41.0%
25
59.0%
Q1 - 3:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
39.4%
25
60.6%
Q1 - 3:42CHIMISS Deng 2' Layup12
38.7%
25
61.3%
Q1 - 3:52CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
37.2%
25
62.8%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
37.8%
25
62.2%
Q1 - 4:06CHIDeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)12
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q1 - 4:22MIABosh 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)12
44.5%
22
55.5%
Q1 - 4:40CHIButler Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)10
42.4%
22
57.6%
Q1 - 4:40CHIMohammed 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)10
44.6%
21
55.4%
Q1 - 4:49CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
46.6%
19
53.4%
Q1 - 4:50MIABoozer BLOCK (1 BLK)10
47.3%
19
52.7%
Q1 - 5:14CHIButler 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
49.6%
19
50.4%
Q1 - 5:31MIAMohammed STEAL (2 STL)10
51.5%
17
48.5%
Q1 - 5:51CHIMohammed 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)10
53.8%
17
46.2%
Q1 - 6:14CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
56.8%
15
43.2%
Q1 - 6:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
58.3%
15
41.7%
Q1 - 6:22CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 6:22CHIMISS Deng 2' Putback Layup10
57.6%
15
42.4%
Q1 - 6:23CHIMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
57.6%
15
42.4%
Q1 - 6:45CHIBULLS Rebound10
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 6:45CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
57.6%
15
42.4%
Q1 - 6:52MIAButler STEAL (1 STL)10
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 6:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
58.2%
15
41.8%
Q1 - 6:56CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
57.6%
15
42.4%
Q1 - 7:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 29
56.2%
15
43.8%
Q1 - 7:18CHIDeng 2' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)9
57.0%
15
43.0%
Q1 - 7:43MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)9
58.5%
13
41.5%
Q1 - 7:58MIAHeat Rebound6
55.0%
13
45.0%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 26
53.0%
13
47.0%
Q1 - 7:58MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)6
54.3%
13
45.7%
Q1 - 8:02CHIButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
53.9%
13
46.1%
Q1 - 8:20MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)5
51.8%
13
48.2%
Q1 - 8:36CHIBoozer 3' Putback Layup (6 PTS)2
48.1%
13
51.9%
Q1 - 8:37CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
49.9%
11
50.1%
Q1 - 8:39CHIMISS Boozer 3' Layup2
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 8:52MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T3)2
49.8%
11
50.2%
Q1 - 9:02CHIDeng 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)2
52.9%
11
47.1%
Q1 - 9:09CHIBULLS Rebound2
54.6%
9
45.4%
Q1 - 9:09CHIMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot2
56.0%
9
44.0%
Q1 - 9:20CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
54.6%
9
45.4%
Q1 - 9:21MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot2
55.2%
9
44.8%
Q1 - 9:36CHIBoozer 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)2
56.5%
9
43.5%
Q1 - 10:02CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.7%
7
41.3%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot2
59.3%
7
40.7%
Q1 - 10:20CHIBoozer 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
60.6%
7
39.4%
Q1 - 10:34MIAChalmers 4' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
62.0%
5
38.0%
Q1 - 10:55CHIHinrich 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
60.6%
5
39.4%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMohammed STEAL (1 STL)0
62.0%
3
38.0%
Q1 - 11:12CHIButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)0
63.9%
3
36.1%
Q1 - 11:31MIABoozer STEAL (1 STL)0
67.1%
0
32.9%
Q1 - 11:42MIAHeat Rebound0
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
67.5%
0
32.5%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Mohammed vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
68.4%
0
31.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 53.9%
CHI
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
25
34
74%
CHI
20
35
57%
Midrange
MIA
5
23
22%
CHI
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
CHI
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
16
23
70%
CHI
13
18
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3273%16.0 / 22
C. Bosh2155%10.5 / 19
D. Wade1856%9.0 / 16
M. Chalmers945%4.5 / 10
R. Allen744%3.5 / 8
S. Battier675%3.0 / 4
C. Andersen440%2.0 / 5
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
N. Cole0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng2858%14.0 / 24
C. Boozer2158%10.5 / 18
J. Butler1771%8.5 / 12
N. Robinson1464%7.0 / 11
K. Hinrich735%3.5 / 10
N. Mohammed675%3.0 / 4
T. Gibson638%3.0 / 8
D. Cook220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+9
-13
87
CHI
74
+20
-18
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 53.9%
CHI
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
104.1
MIA 106.6
CHI 109.8 +3.2
Pace
90.9
88.9
MIA 92.1 +1.2
CHI 90.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.6
MIA 15.6 +0.2
CHI 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
47.0%
MIA 52.6% +0.8%
CHI 51.8%
TO %
14.5%
15.3%
MIA 13.0% +4.7%
CHI 17.7%
ORB %
22.2%
29.4%
MIA 16.2%
CHI 32.4% +16.2%
FTrt
29.7
25.9
MIA 29.9 +8.7
CHI 21.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
64.5%
MIA 40.5%
CHI 67.5% +27.0%
STL %
9.5%
8.0%
MIA 12.1% +2.3%
CHI 9.8%
BLK %
9.1%
7.9%
MIA 19.0% +13.7%
CHI 5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
49.8%
MIA 53.9% +0.7%
CHI 53.2%
Rim FG%
65.9%
56.6%
MIA 73.5% +16.4%
CHI 57.1%
Mid FG%
41.9%
36.3%
MIA 21.7%
CHI 42.9% +21.2%
3P %
39.6%
35.3%
MIA 35.0%
CHI 36.4% +1.4%
FT %
75.4%
77.3%
MIA 69.6%
CHI 72.2% +2.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
37.2%
MIA 44.2% +3.0%
CHI 41.2%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
44.0%
MIA 29.9% +3.1%
CHI 32.9%
3P Att. %
28.5%
18.9%
MIA 26.0% +0.1%
CHI 25.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points97101
Rebounds3143
Assists1527
Steals119
Blocks123
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)18 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)12 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (0)31 (4)
Field Goals37-7740-85
At-the-Rim FG25-3420-35
Midrange FG5-2312-28
2-Point FG30-5732-63
3-Point FG7-208-22
Free Throws16-2313-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
39.9
32
73%
7
3
2
4
4
1
0
7
8-11
73%
9-12
75%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
37.7
18
56%
7
2
4
1
3
3
2
5
4-7
57%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
35.4
21
55%
4
1
1
4
2
0
2
2
4-5
80%
7-15
47%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
29.3
9
45%
3
4
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
10.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
5
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
35.4
6
75%
4
3
1
2
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
28.0
7
44%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
12.6
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
11.1
0
0%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
# 5 · F · 6'9" 250 · 40
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
54%
31
15
11
12
13
0
6
25
16-23
70%
30-57
53%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.