FinalWin Prob.pScore
1825%93
97
475%102
99
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
101.096106.4
SAS logo SAS
102.19788.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS97
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Jones Free Throw 3 of 397
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASSplitter Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)95
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLJones 18' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mack 8 AST)95
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)93
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 293
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLLeonard STEAL (2 STL)93
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)93
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 293
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 0:32.0ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Scott 2 AST)93
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)91
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)91
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0ATLScott 7' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jenkins 4 AST)91
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 0:56.0SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 1:15ATLScott 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jenkins 3 AST)89
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 1:26SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)87
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 1:26SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 287
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 1:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:14)87
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 1:34ATLMISS Jenkins 3' Running Layup87
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 1:52SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)87
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 2:01ATLMack 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)87
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 2:20SASSplitter 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)85
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 2:37SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 2:38ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 2:58SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST)85
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q4 - 3:11ATLJenkins Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)85
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q4 - 3:27ATLHawks Rebound85
7.6%
90
92.4%
Q4 - 3:27SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot85
6.4%
90
93.6%
Q4 - 3:45ATLMack Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)85
6.2%
90
93.8%
Q4 - 3:45ATLMack Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)84
5.6%
90
94.4%
Q4 - 4:00ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q4 - 4:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 283
4.2%
90
95.8%
Q4 - 4:01SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)83
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 4:25ATLJenkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)83
4.1%
89
95.9%
Q4 - 4:37ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 4:38SASMISS De Colo 2' Layup80
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 4:56SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 4:57ATLLeonard BLOCK (2 BLK)80
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 5:06SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)80
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 5:16ATLScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)80
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 5:16ATLMISS Scott Free Throw 1 of 279
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 5:29SASBlair 3' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (De Colo 3 AST)79
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 5:32SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 5:34SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 5:34SASMISS De Colo 2' Tip Shot79
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q4 - 5:35SASMISS De Colo 2' Layup79
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q4 - 5:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)79
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 5:49ATLMISS Scott 15' Jump Shot79
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q4 - 6:06SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)79
4.9%
87
95.1%
Q4 - 6:16SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
8.3%
84
91.7%
Q4 - 6:17ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
9.2%
84
90.8%
Q4 - 6:28ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
11.2%
84
88.8%
Q4 - 6:29SASMISS Leonard 23' Jump Shot79
10.3%
84
89.7%
Q4 - 6:48ATLTeague 6' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)79
8.3%
84
91.7%
Q4 - 7:08SASJoseph 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)77
7.2%
84
92.8%
Q4 - 7:31ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)77
9.0%
82
91.0%
Q4 - 7:50SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)75
7.1%
82
92.9%
Q4 - 8:09ATLJohnson 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)75
12.6%
79
87.4%
Q4 - 8:27SASJackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)73
10.0%
79
90.0%
Q4 - 8:41SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q4 - 8:42ATLMISS Scott 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot73
8.5%
79
91.5%
Q4 - 9:06SASJoseph 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)73
10.7%
79
89.3%
Q4 - 9:29ATLScott 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)73
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q4 - 9:33SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)71
10.7%
77
89.3%
Q4 - 9:45ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)71
8.6%
77
91.4%
Q4 - 10:02SASLeonard 4' Pullup Bank Shot (20 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)71
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q4 - 10:16ATLJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)71
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q4 - 10:32ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)71
16.5%
75
83.5%
Q4 - 10:33SASMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
15.5%
75
84.5%
Q4 - 10:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
13.6%
75
86.4%
Q4 - 10:54ATLBonner BLOCK (4 BLK)71
14.4%
75
85.6%
Q4 - 11:06ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q4 - 11:07SASMISS Blair 15' Jump Shot71
16.0%
75
84.0%
Q4 - 11:23ATLJenkins 6' Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Petro 1 AST)71
14.1%
75
85.9%
Q4 - 11:41SASBlair 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)69
11.7%
75
88.3%
Q4 - 11:46ATLBlair STEAL (1 STL)69
14.1%
73
85.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL69
16.8%
73
83.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)69
16.8%
73
83.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Joseph 5' Turnaround Jump Shot69
16.0%
73
84.0%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLMack 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)69
14.5%
73
85.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)66
10.0%
73
90.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASMISS Bonner 5' Turnaround Jump Shot66
9.5%
73
90.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLJenkins 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Mack 7 AST)66
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 1:06SASJackson 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)64
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q3 - 1:34ATLMack 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jenkins 2 AST)64
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q3 - 1:45SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)61
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 1:45SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)61
6.2%
70
93.8%
Q3 - 2:02ATLScott 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Mack 6 AST)61
7.5%
69
92.5%
Q3 - 2:14ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)59
6.4%
69
93.6%
Q3 - 2:15SASMISS Joseph 3PT Jump Shot59
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 2:35ATLJenkins 3' Layup (16 PTS)59
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 2:40SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)57
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 2:48SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 2:49ATLMISS Scott 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 3:02SASJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)57
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 3:02SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)57
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q3 - 3:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)57
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 3:10ATLMISS Mack 6' Jump Shot57
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 3:29ATLHawks Rebound57
6.6%
67
93.4%
Q3 - 3:30SASMISS Duncan 1' Finger Roll Layup57
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 3:50ATLPetro Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)57
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 3:59SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)54
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 4:17SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q3 - 4:17ATLMISS Scott Free Throw 2 of 254
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 4:17ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
6.5%
64
93.5%
Q3 - 4:19ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)53
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 4:20ATLMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot53
5.2%
64
94.8%
Q3 - 4:39SASJoseph 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)53
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 5:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)53
7.0%
62
93.0%
Q3 - 5:14ATLMISS Jenkins 6' Jump Shot53
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q3 - 5:31SASDe Colo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
8.3%
62
91.7%
Q3 - 5:31SASDe Colo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
8.6%
61
91.4%
Q3 - 5:38SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
9.5%
60
90.5%
Q3 - 5:39ATLMISS Petro 18' Jump Shot53
10.0%
60
90.0%
Q3 - 5:53ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
11.2%
60
88.8%
Q3 - 5:54SASMISS Joseph Layup53
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q3 - 6:18ATLPetro 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)53
9.7%
60
90.3%
Q3 - 6:22SASJoseph Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)51
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 6:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)51
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q3 - 6:26ATLMISS Petro 16' Jump Shot51
7.6%
60
92.4%
Q3 - 6:52SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)51
8.5%
60
91.5%
Q3 - 6:52SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)51
8.8%
59
91.2%
Q3 - 7:06ATLPetro 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)51
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q3 - 7:17SASJoseph 1' Layup (2 PTS)51
11.5%
58
88.5%
Q3 - 7:22ATLSplitter STEAL (1 STL)51
13.0%
56
87.0%
Q3 - 7:39SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P1.T8)51
15.0%
56
85.0%
Q3 - 7:42SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
13.0%
56
87.0%
Q3 - 7:43ATLMISS Petro 13' Jump Shot51
13.6%
56
86.4%
Q3 - 7:58SASDuncan 10' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS)51
15.0%
56
85.0%
Q3 - 8:14ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)51
16.9%
54
83.1%
Q3 - 8:17SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)48
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q3 - 8:27SASSPURS Rebound48
11.4%
54
88.6%
Q3 - 8:28SASMISS De Colo 6' Jump Shot48
12.7%
54
87.3%
Q3 - 8:36SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
11.4%
54
88.6%
Q3 - 8:37ATLMISS Jones 6' Running Jump Shot48
12.0%
54
88.0%
Q3 - 8:55SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)48
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q3 - 9:06ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
16.8%
51
83.2%
Q3 - 9:06ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
16.2%
51
83.8%
Q3 - 9:09ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)46
15.0%
51
85.0%
Q3 - 9:10SASMISS Splitter 4' Jump Shot46
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q3 - 9:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)46
13.1%
51
86.9%
Q3 - 9:24ATLLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)46
13.7%
51
86.3%
Q3 - 9:49SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)46
15.0%
51
85.0%
Q3 - 10:04SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q3 - 10:05SASMISS Green 2' Reverse Layup46
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q3 - 10:18ATLPetro 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)46
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q3 - 10:38ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
11.5%
51
88.5%
Q3 - 10:40SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot44
11.1%
51
88.9%
Q3 - 11:03ATLJohnson 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)44
10.2%
51
89.8%
Q3 - 11:24SASDe Colo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)42
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q3 - 11:37ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)42
7.9%
51
92.1%
Q3 - 11:37ATLPetro 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)42
7.9%
51
92.1%
Q3 - 11:38ATLMISS Teague 4' Floating Jump Shot40
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q3 - 11:47ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q3 - 11:48SASMISS Leonard 1' Layup40
6.8%
51
93.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL40
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASLeonard 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)40
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLJenkins Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)40
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q2 - 0:11.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)36
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)36
5.9%
48
94.1%
Q2 - 0:11.0SASSPURS Rebound36
6.7%
47
93.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0SASMISS De Colo 2' Layup36
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLScott Foul Turnover (P2.T6)36
6.7%
47
93.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASDe Colo 1' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)36
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
8.5%
45
91.5%
Q2 - 1:00ATLMISS Mack 19' Jump Shot36
8.7%
45
91.3%
Q2 - 1:20SASDuncan 13' Turnaround Bank Shot (16 PTS)36
9.5%
45
90.5%
Q2 - 1:39ATLJenkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
11.0%
43
89.0%
Q2 - 2:01SASDuncan Dunk (14 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)36
12.3%
43
87.7%
Q2 - 2:13ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)36
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 2:26ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 2:28ATLBonner BLOCK (3 BLK)36
14.1%
41
85.9%
Q2 - 2:35ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 2:37SASMISS Duncan Layup36
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 2:40ATLJackson STEAL (1 STL)36
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 2:41ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 2:44SASMISS Duncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot36
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 3:06ATLJenkins 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)36
13.5%
41
86.5%
Q2 - 3:27SASLeonard 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)34
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 3:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)34
13.5%
39
86.5%
Q2 - 3:40ATLMISS Scott 19' Jump Shot34
14.0%
39
86.0%
Q2 - 3:59SASDuncan 13' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)34
15.2%
39
84.8%
Q2 - 4:16ATLJenkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
16.5%
37
83.5%
Q2 - 4:16ATLJenkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 4:26SASDuncan 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)32
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 4:42ATLJenkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
16.5%
35
83.5%
Q2 - 4:42ATLJenkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
16.3%
35
83.7%
Q2 - 4:55SASDuncan 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)30
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 5:07ATLScott 1' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Jenkins 1 AST)30
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q2 - 5:30SASDuncan 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)28
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 5:49SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
16.6%
31
83.4%
Q2 - 5:51ATLMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot28
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q2 - 5:57ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 5:58ATLDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)28
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q2 - 6:20SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 6:20SASJackson 1' Layup (5 PTS)28
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 6:21SASMISS Duncan Layup28
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q2 - 6:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)28
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 6:28ATLDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)28
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q2 - 6:31ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
21.9%
29
78.1%
Q2 - 6:32ATLBonner BLOCK (2 BLK)28
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q2 - 6:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
21.9%
29
78.1%
Q2 - 6:40SASMISS Joseph 1' Layup28
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q2 - 6:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)28
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 6:46ATLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)28
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q2 - 6:57ATLHawks Rebound28
21.9%
29
78.1%
Q2 - 6:58ATLBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)28
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q2 - 7:07ATLHawks Rebound28
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q2 - 7:07SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot28
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 7:17ATLScott 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)28
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 7:26ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q2 - 7:28SASMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 7:39SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 7:41ATLMISS Scott 7' Turnaround Jump Shot28
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q2 - 7:56ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q2 - 7:58SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 8:20ATLScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 8:20ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q2 - 8:40SASJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)26
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q2 - 8:54ATLScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q2 - 8:54ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
20.9%
26
79.1%
Q2 - 8:55SASDiaw Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)24
19.7%
26
80.3%
Q2 - 8:57SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q2 - 8:58ATLJoseph BLOCK (1 BLK)24
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q2 - 9:01ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
19.4%
26
80.6%
Q2 - 9:03SASMISS Joseph 3PT Jump Shot24
18.9%
26
81.1%
Q2 - 9:17ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q2 - 9:17ATLTeague 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)24
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q2 - 9:18ATLMISS Teague 7' Floating Jump Shot22
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q2 - 9:37SASBlair Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q2 - 9:53SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
15.1%
26
84.9%
Q2 - 9:54ATLMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q2 - 10:10SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)22
16.7%
26
83.3%
Q2 - 10:16SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q2 - 10:19SASMISS Blair 17' Jump Shot22
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q2 - 10:34SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q2 - 10:35ATLMISS Teague 9' Running Jump Shot22
19.9%
23
80.1%
Q2 - 10:51SASNeal 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
21.2%
23
78.8%
Q2 - 11:21ATLScott 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
22.6%
21
77.4%
Q2 - 11:40ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
21.0%
21
79.0%
Q2 - 11:42SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
19.4%
21
80.6%
Q2 - 11:42SASMISS Blair 1' Putback Layup20
20.5%
21
79.5%
Q2 - 11:44SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
20.5%
21
79.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL20
19.4%
21
80.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)20
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot20
20.5%
21
79.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0ATLMISS Mack 17' Jump Shot20
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0ATLBlair BLOCK (1 BLK)20
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0SASMISS Blair 13' Jump Shot20
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 1:07ATLMack 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 1:31ATLHawks Rebound18
17.7%
21
82.3%
Q1 - 1:32SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
17.4%
21
82.6%
Q1 - 1:40SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 1:42SASMISS Joseph 1' Layup18
17.4%
21
82.6%
Q1 - 1:44SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 1:46SASMISS Joseph 3PT Jump Shot18
17.4%
21
82.6%
Q1 - 2:11ATLScott 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)18
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q1 - 2:28SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
15.3%
21
84.7%
Q1 - 2:28SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
15.7%
20
84.3%
Q1 - 2:40ATLPetro 1' Hook Shot (2 PTS)16
16.7%
19
83.3%
Q1 - 2:42ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 2:44ATLMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q1 - 3:02SASBlair 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)14
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 3:21SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16.4%
17
83.6%
Q1 - 3:24ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 3:33ATLJenkins Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)14
17.8%
17
82.2%
Q1 - 3:53SASDuncan 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)13
16.5%
17
83.5%
Q1 - 4:04ATLJenkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)13
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 4:10ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 4:12SASMISS Joseph 10' Running Bank Shot10
14.7%
15
85.3%
Q1 - 4:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)10
13.9%
15
86.1%
Q1 - 4:29ATLMISS Scott 18' Jump Shot10
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 4:51SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)10
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 4:51SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 210
15.3%
14
84.7%
Q1 - 4:55SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15.0%
14
85.0%
Q1 - 4:57ATLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)10
15.4%
14
84.6%
Q1 - 5:06ATLJenkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
16.4%
14
83.6%
Q1 - 5:08SASMISS De Colo 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
16.0%
14
84.0%
Q1 - 5:17ATLLeonard STEAL (1 STL)10
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 5:32SASLeonard 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)10
16.4%
14
83.6%
Q1 - 5:50ATLScott 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)10
17.5%
12
82.5%
Q1 - 5:57SASDe Colo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
16.4%
12
83.6%
Q1 - 6:14ATLJohnson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)8
15.1%
12
84.9%
Q1 - 6:34SASLeonard 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)6
14.2%
12
85.8%
Q1 - 6:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
15.1%
10
84.9%
Q1 - 6:48ATLMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot6
15.5%
10
84.5%
Q1 - 6:59ATLTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 7:02SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup6
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 7:07SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
15.0%
10
85.0%
Q1 - 7:09ATLMISS Petro 2' Layup6
15.4%
10
84.6%
Q1 - 7:10ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 7:12ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 7:12ATLMISS Petro Layup6
15.4%
10
84.6%
Q1 - 7:14ATLMISS Teague 21' Jump Shot6
15.4%
10
84.6%
Q1 - 7:21ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 7:23SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup6
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 7:43SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
15.0%
10
85.0%
Q1 - 7:45ATLMISS Tolliver 14' Jump Shot6
15.4%
10
84.6%
Q1 - 8:01SASLeonard 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (De Colo 2 AST)6
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 8:10SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
17.0%
8
83.0%
Q1 - 8:11ATLMISS Petro 8' Jump Shot6
17.4%
8
82.6%
Q1 - 8:27ATLHawks Rebound6
18.2%
8
81.8%
Q1 - 8:28SASMISS Splitter Layup6
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 8:30SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
17.0%
8
83.0%
Q1 - 8:31SASMISS Duncan 7' Running Jump Shot6
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 8:43ATLJohnson 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)6
17.0%
8
83.0%
Q1 - 9:06SASDe Colo 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)4
16.1%
8
83.9%
Q1 - 9:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
17.1%
6
82.9%
Q1 - 9:24ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot4
17.4%
6
82.6%
Q1 - 9:35ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 9:36SASMISS Green 20' Jump Shot4
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 9:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
17.0%
6
83.0%
Q1 - 9:47ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
17.4%
6
82.6%
Q1 - 9:53ATLPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 9:54SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot4
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 10:10ATLTeague 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
17.1%
6
82.9%
Q1 - 10:36SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
16.3%
6
83.7%
Q1 - 10:36SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
16.4%
5
83.6%
Q1 - 10:41SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 10:42ATLMISS Johnson 1' Layup2
17.4%
4
82.6%
Q1 - 10:59SASSplitter 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)2
18.2%
4
81.8%
Q1 - 11:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 11:08ATLMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot2
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 11:24SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (De Colo 1 AST)2
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 11:36ATLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:36ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 11:39SASDe Colo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
19.9%
0
80.1%
Q1 - 11:45SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 11:47ATLMISS Tolliver 7' Jump Shot0
19.2%
0
80.8%
Q1 - 11:58SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Petro: Tip to Teague0
19.9%
0
80.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
15
31
48%
SAS
20
39
51%
Midrange
ATL
15
40
38%
SAS
13
26
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
SAS
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
Free Throws
ATL
22
25
88%
SAS
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jenkins23105%11.5 / 11
M. Scott2258%11.0 / 19
I. Johnson1450%7.0 / 14
S. Mack1255%6.0 / 11
J. Petro1146%5.5 / 12
D. Jones938%4.5 / 12
J. Teague627%3.0 / 11
A. Tolliver0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3165%15.5 / 24
K. Leonard2377%11.5 / 15
D. Blair1161%5.5 / 9
S. Jackson964%4.5 / 7
C. Joseph833%4.0 / 12
N. De Colo633%3.0 / 9
T. Splitter542%2.5 / 6
D. Green440%2.0 / 5
G. Neal225%1.0 / 4
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
84
+10
-12
94
SAS
82
+11
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.6
107.8
ATL 101.0
SAS 102.1 +1.0
Pace
92.9
94.7
ATL 106.4 +18.1
SAS 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.4
ATL 13.5 +2.8
SAS 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
53.1%
ATL 45.2%
SAS 46.9% +1.7%
TO %
15.2%
14.8%
ATL 12.1% +1.8%
SAS 13.9%
ORB %
22.2%
20.7%
ATL 18.4%
SAS 23.7% +5.3%
FTrt
24.4
25.8
ATL 30.1
SAS 36.3 +6.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.1%
64.1%
ATL 65.7%
SAS 66.7% +1.0%
STL %
8.7%
8.9%
ATL 10.4% +5.2%
SAS 5.2%
BLK %
7.1%
8.1%
ATL 3.1%
SAS 16.9% +13.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
55.3%
ATL 50.0%
SAS 52.7% +2.7%
Rim FG%
62.5%
60.8%
ATL 48.4%
SAS 51.3% +2.9%
Mid FG%
38.3%
42.4%
ATL 37.5%
SAS 50.0% +12.5%
3P %
37.1%
37.6%
ATL 41.7% +21.7%
SAS 20.0%
FT %
71.5%
79.1%
ATL 88.0% +5.2%
SAS 82.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
37.7%
ATL 37.3%
SAS 48.8% +11.4%
Mid Att. %
36.5%
35.9%
ATL 48.2%
SAS 32.5% +15.7%
3P Att. %
28.6%
26.4%
ATL 14.5%
SAS 18.8% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points9799
Rebounds3849
Assists2324
Steals105
Blocks212
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (5)40 (0)
Field Goals35-8336-80
At-the-Rim FG15-3120-39
Midrange FG15-4013-26
2-Point FG30-7133-65
3-Point FG5-123-15
Free Throws22-2524-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 225 · 32
43.0
9
38%
3
2
3
0
2
4
0
3
5-6
83%
2-9
22%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 247 · 27
30.7
11
46%
15
1
1
1
1
3
4
11
1-1
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 255 · 29
28.9
14
50%
5
0
3
1
2
4
2
3
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 28
25.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 25
23.4
6
27%
3
6
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-10
30%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 237 · 25
36.5
22
58%
6
2
0
0
3
4
1
5
6-8
75%
8-14
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 22
27.8
23
105%
4
4
0
0
3
0
1
3
6-6
100%
4-6
67%
3-3
100%
G · 6'3" 203 · 23
24.6
12
55%
1
8
1
0
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
2-4
50%
· 6'9" 225 · 27
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27
G · 6'7" 212 · 32
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32
G · 6'3" 185 · 30
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
# 3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
50%
38
23
10
2
12
0
9
29
22-25
88%
30-71
42%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.