Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, April 1, 2013

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	2	Spurs	45%	95	90
	8	Grizzlies	55%	96	92

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAS	103.4	87	85.8
MEM	103.4	89	90.3

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-16

MEM

+11

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.08 54.2%

MEM

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MEM
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAS		90 0%	92 100%
Q4 - 0:00.0	MEM	Conley Layup (23 PTS)	90 2.6%	92 97.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0	MEM	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	90 33.3%	90 66.7%
Q4 - 0:07.0	SAS	MISS Parker 14' Running Bank Shot	90 42.2%	90 57.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0	MEM	Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)	90 61.9%	90 38.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)	90 85.5%	87 14.5%
Q4 - 0:42.0	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)	89 84.0%	87 16.0%
Q4 - 1:01	MEM	Gasol 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)	88 72.8%	87 27.2%
Q4 - 1:17	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	88 80.4%	85 19.6%
Q4 - 1:18	MEM	MISS Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2	88 87.7%	85 12.3%
Q4 - 1:18	MEM	Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	88 83.2%	85 16.8%
Q4 - 1:27	MEM	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	88 86.9%	84 13.1%
Q4 - 1:29	SAS	MISS Parker 21' Pullup Jump Shot	88 88.7%	84 11.3%
Q4 - 1:49	SAS	Spurs Rebound	88 90.0%	84 10.0%
Q4 - 1:51	MEM	MISS Bayless 16' Step Back Jump Shot	88 88.4%	84 11.6%
Q4 - 2:15	SAS	Parker 20' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)	88 84.1%	84 15.9%
Q4 - 2:37	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	86 79.2%	84 20.8%
Q4 - 2:37	MEM	MISS Conley Free Throw 1 of 1	86 77.8%	84 22.2%
Q4 - 2:43	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	86 84.2%	82 15.8%
Q4 - 2:46	SAS	MISS Neal 13' Pullup Jump Shot	86 86.6%	82 13.4%
Q4 - 2:48	SAS	Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	86 91.0%	82 9.0%
Q4 - 2:50	MEM	MISS Conley 2' Layup	86 89.3%	82 10.7%
Q4 - 2:52	MEM	Conley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	86 81.9%	82 18.1%
Q4 - 2:54	MEM	MISS Bayless 6' Turnaround Bank Shot	86 86.8%	82 13.2%
Q4 - 3:04	SAS	Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	86 82.1%	82 17.9%
Q4 - 3:04	SAS	Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	85 80.9%	82 19.1%
Q4 - 3:20	MEM	Gasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)	84 76.9%	82 23.1%
Q4 - 3:39	SAS	Splitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	84 62.4%	82 37.6%
Q4 - 3:39	SAS	Splitter 1' Tip Shot (13 PTS)	84 62.4%	82 37.6%
Q4 - 3:41	SAS	MISS Diaw 1' Driving Layup	82 47.1%	82 52.9%
Q4 - 4:01	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	82 54.4%	82 45.6%
Q4 - 4:01	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	82 56.1%	81 43.9%
Q4 - 4:15	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	82 62.8%	80 37.2%
Q4 - 4:17	SAS	MISS Parker 17' Pullup Jump Shot	82 65.8%	80 34.2%
Q4 - 4:32	MEM	Conley 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)	82 72.3%	80 27.7%
Q4 - 4:46	MEM	Bayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	82 78.7%	78 21.3%
Q4 - 4:47	SAS	MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	82 80.9%	78 19.1%
Q4 - 5:11	MEM	Davis 1' Layup (4 PTS)	82 81.3%	78 18.7%
Q4 - 5:14	SAS	Davis STEAL (1 STL)	82 85.6%	76 14.4%
Q4 - 5:16	SAS	Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	82 89.5%	76 10.5%
Q4 - 5:18	MEM	MISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	82 88.5%	76 11.5%
Q4 - 5:37	SAS	Splitter 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)	82 85.7%	76 14.3%
Q4 - 5:54	MEM	Bayless 20' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)	80 81.6%	76 18.4%
Q4 - 6:05	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)	80 82.9%	74 17.1%
Q4 - 6:09	SAS	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	77 73.2%	74 26.8%
Q4 - 6:10	MEM	MISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 1	77 72.3%	74 27.7%
Q4 - 6:26	SAS	Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)	77 78.3%	72 21.7%
Q4 - 6:32	SAS	Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	74 67.0%	72 33.0%
Q4 - 6:34	MEM	MISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot	74 64.7%	72 35.3%
Q4 - 6:47	MEM	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	74 59.3%	72 40.7%
Q4 - 6:49	SAS	MISS Parker 20' Pullup Jump Shot	74 61.7%	72 38.3%
Q4 - 7:06	MEM	Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	74 65.5%	72 34.5%
Q4 - 7:06	MEM	Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	74 67.5%	71 32.5%
Q4 - 7:22	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	74 71.0%	70 29.0%
Q4 - 7:22	SAS	MISS Diaw 20' Step Back Jump Shot	74 72.9%	70 27.1%
Q4 - 7:49	MEM	Conley 20' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)	74 76.9%	70 23.1%
Q4 - 8:16	SAS	Bonner 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blair 4 AST)	74 79.3%	68 20.7%
Q4 - 8:43	MEM	Bayless 20' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)	71 69.7%	68 30.3%
Q4 - 8:56	SAS	Bonner Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)	71 74.9%	66 25.1%
Q4 - 9:14	SAS	Blair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	71 77.5%	66 22.5%
Q4 - 9:16	MEM	MISS Daye 15' Jump Shot	71 76.3%	66 23.7%
Q4 - 9:27	SAS	Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)	71 73.2%	66 26.8%
Q4 - 9:45	MEM	Daye 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)	71 77.6%	66 22.4%
Q4 - 9:55	SAS	De Colo Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)	71 81.6%	64 18.4%
Q4 - 10:15	MEM	Arthur Foul Turnover (P1.T9)	71 83.3%	64 16.7%
Q4 - 10:22	MEM	Arthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	71 80.0%	64 20.0%
Q4 - 10:23	MEM	MISS Bayless 9' Running Jump Shot	71 82.4%	64 17.6%
Q4 - 10:39	MEM	Daye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	71 80.0%	64 20.0%
Q4 - 10:40	SAS	MISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot	71 81.1%	64 18.9%
Q4 - 11:01	MEM	Bayless 18' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)	71 81.9%	64 18.1%
Q4 - 11:23	SAS	Neal 28' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)	71 84.9%	62 15.1%
Q4 - 11:44	MEM	Daye Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)	68 78.6%	62 21.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS		68 74.8%	62 25.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0	MEM	Bayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	68 77.3%	62 22.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0	MEM	MISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 2	68 77.8%	61 22.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0	SAS	Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Neal 3 AST)	68 77.5%	61 22.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0	MEM	Gasol 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)	65 69.4%	61 30.6%
Q3 - 1:03	SAS	Neal 17' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)	65 72.5%	59 27.5%
Q3 - 1:20	MEM	Bayless 1' Layup (8 PTS)	63 68.4%	59 31.6%
Q3 - 1:24	SAS	Gasol STEAL (2 STL)	63 72.6%	57 27.4%
Q3 - 1:46	MEM	Bayless 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	63 76.3%	57 23.7%
Q3 - 2:02	SAS	De Colo 11' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)	63 78.0%	55 22.0%
Q3 - 2:15	SAS	Spurs Rebound	61 74.8%	55 25.2%
Q3 - 2:16	MEM	MISS Gasol 5' Turnaround Jump Shot	61 73.7%	55 26.3%
Q3 - 2:45	SAS	De Colo 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)	61 71.1%	55 28.9%
Q3 - 3:13	MEM	Conley 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)	59 66.3%	55 33.7%
Q3 - 3:27	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	59 70.0%	53 30.0%
Q3 - 3:29	SAS	MISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot	59 71.2%	53 28.8%
Q3 - 3:36	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	59 73.8%	53 26.2%
Q3 - 3:36	MEM	Randolph 1' Layup (10 PTS)	59 73.8%	53 26.2%
Q3 - 3:38	MEM	MISS Conley 1' Reverse Layup	59 79.2%	51 20.8%
Q3 - 3:45	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	59 77.0%	51 23.0%
Q3 - 3:46	SAS	MISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot	59 78.0%	51 22.0%
Q3 - 4:07	SAS	Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	59 79.4%	51 20.6%
Q3 - 4:08	MEM	MISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot	59 78.3%	51 21.7%
Q3 - 4:33	SAS	Jackson 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)	59 75.9%	51 24.1%
Q3 - 4:49	MEM	Conley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)	57 73.2%	51 26.8%
Q3 - 4:56	MEM	GRIZZLIES Rebound	57 69.1%	51 30.9%
Q3 - 4:56	MEM	MISS Randolph 3' Jump Shot	57 72.0%	51 28.0%
Q3 - 5:12	SAS	Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	57 68.1%	51 31.9%
Q3 - 5:17	SAS	Splitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	54 61.1%	51 38.9%
Q3 - 5:19	MEM	MISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot	54 59.7%	51 40.3%
Q3 - 5:22	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	54 56.5%	51 43.5%
Q3 - 5:25	SAS	Diaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	54 61.1%	51 38.9%
Q3 - 5:25	SAS	Gasol BLOCK (1 BLK)	54 57.9%	51 42.1%
Q3 - 5:28	SAS	MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	54 57.9%	51 42.1%
Q3 - 5:38	MEM	Prince 1' Dunk (11 PTS)	54 61.1%	51 38.9%
Q3 - 5:43	SAS	Prince STEAL (3 STL)	54 64.4%	49 35.6%
Q3 - 5:51	SAS	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	54 68.7%	49 31.3%
Q3 - 5:52	MEM	MISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot	54 67.4%	49 32.6%
Q3 - 6:04	MEM	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	54 63.7%	49 36.3%
Q3 - 6:07	SAS	Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	54 67.8%	49 32.2%
Q3 - 6:07	SAS	MISS Jackson 1' Tip Shot	54 65.0%	49 35.0%
Q3 - 6:09	SAS	MISS Parker 18' Pullup Jump Shot	54 65.0%	49 35.0%
Q3 - 6:32	MEM	Gasol 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)	54 67.8%	49 32.2%
Q3 - 6:57	SAS	Diaw 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)	54 70.8%	47 29.2%
Q3 - 7:16	MEM	Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	52 66.6%	47 33.4%
Q3 - 7:16	MEM	Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	52 67.4%	46 32.6%
Q3 - 7:34	SAS	Parker 4' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)	52 69.8%	45 30.2%
Q3 - 7:59	MEM	Gasol 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)	50 66.7%	45 33.3%
Q3 - 8:13	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	50 69.1%	43 30.9%
Q3 - 8:15	SAS	MISS Diaw 18' Step Back Jump Shot	50 70.2%	43 29.8%
Q3 - 8:30	SAS	Splitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	50 72.5%	43 27.5%
Q3 - 8:31	SAS	MISS Splitter 4' Jump Shot	50 70.2%	43 29.8%
Q3 - 8:46	MEM	Randolph Layup (6 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)	50 72.5%	43 27.5%
Q3 - 8:53	MEM	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	50 75.2%	41 24.8%
Q3 - 8:57	SAS	Prince BLOCK (1 BLK)	50 76.1%	41 23.9%
Q3 - 9:14	MEM	Randolph 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	50 77.2%	41 22.8%
Q3 - 9:27	SAS	Prince STEAL (2 STL)	50 79.6%	39 20.4%
Q3 - 9:30	SAS	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	50 82.0%	39 18.0%
Q3 - 9:31	MEM	MISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot	50 81.3%	39 18.7%
Q3 - 9:46	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	50 79.6%	39 20.4%
Q3 - 9:47	SAS	MISS Green 3PT Jump Shot	50 80.4%	39 19.6%
Q3 - 9:58	MEM	Conley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)	50 82.0%	39 18.0%
Q3 - 10:14	SAS	Parker 22' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)	50 78.8%	39 21.2%
Q3 - 10:21	SAS	Spurs Rebound	48 76.5%	39 23.5%
Q3 - 10:21	SAS	Allen BLOCK (2 BLK)	48 74.5%	39 25.5%
Q3 - 10:36	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	48 76.5%	39 23.5%
Q3 - 10:37	MEM	MISS Conley 17' Jump Shot	48 75.6%	39 24.4%
Q3 - 10:55	SAS	Parker 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	48 73.7%	39 26.3%
Q3 - 11:20	MEM	Prince 17' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)	46 70.2%	39 29.8%
Q3 - 11:46	SAS	Jackson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	46 72.9%	37 27.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM		44 70.3%	37 29.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM	Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44 67.2%	37 32.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0	SAS	MISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot	44 67.4%	37 32.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0	MEM	Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	44 68.9%	37 31.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0	MEM	Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	44 69.5%	36 30.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	44 72.4%	35 27.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0	MEM	MISS Prince 1' Layup	44 73.7%	35 26.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0	SAS	Prince STEAL (1 STL)	44 72.4%	35 27.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0	SAS	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	44 74.3%	35 25.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0	MEM	MISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot	44 73.7%	35 26.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0	SAS	Splitter 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)	44 72.4%	35 27.6%
Q2 - 1:02	SAS	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	42 68.2%	35 31.8%
Q2 - 1:05	MEM	MISS Randolph 5' Jump Shot	42 67.7%	35 32.3%
Q2 - 1:23	SAS	Splitter 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)	42 66.4%	35 33.6%
Q2 - 1:51	MEM	Conley 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)	40 62.4%	35 37.6%
Q2 - 2:02	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	40 65.1%	33 34.9%
Q2 - 2:02	MEM	MISS Gasol 11' Turnaround Jump Shot	40 67.1%	33 32.9%
Q2 - 2:23	SAS	Parker 13' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)	40 65.2%	33 34.8%
Q2 - 2:32	SAS	Splitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	38 62.3%	33 37.7%
Q2 - 2:35	MEM	MISS Gasol 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	38 61.4%	33 38.6%
Q2 - 2:42	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	38 59.4%	33 40.6%
Q2 - 2:45	MEM	MISS Allen 21' Jump Shot	38 61.4%	33 38.6%
Q2 - 3:06	SAS	Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)	38 58.7%	33 41.3%
Q2 - 3:31	MEM	Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)	35 53.3%	33 46.7%
Q2 - 3:52	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	35 58.7%	30 41.3%
Q2 - 3:52	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	34 58.3%	30 41.7%
Q2 - 3:59	SAS	Splitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	33 56.3%	30 43.7%
Q2 - 4:00	MEM	MISS Conley 20' Jump Shot	33 55.2%	30 44.8%
Q2 - 4:14	SAS	Splitter Foul Turnover (P1.T8)	33 52.5%	30 47.5%
Q2 - 4:18	SAS	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	33 55.6%	30 44.4%
Q2 - 4:19	MEM	MISS Allen 6' Jump Shot	33 54.7%	30 45.3%
Q2 - 4:32	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	33 52.5%	30 47.5%
Q2 - 4:33	SAS	MISS Diaw 27' 3PT Jump Shot	33 53.5%	30 46.5%
Q2 - 4:49	SAS	Splitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	33 55.7%	30 44.3%
Q2 - 4:50	MEM	MISS Pondexter Free Throw 2 of 2	33 55.3%	30 44.7%
Q2 - 4:50	MEM	Pondexter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	33 53.4%	30 46.6%
Q2 - 5:00	SAS	Splitter 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS)	33 55.4%	29 44.6%
Q2 - 5:02	SAS	Splitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	31 52.5%	29 47.5%
Q2 - 5:03	SAS	MISS Parker 5' Turnaround Jump Shot	31 50.5%	29 49.5%
Q2 - 5:09	SAS	Splitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	31 52.5%	29 47.5%
Q2 - 5:12	MEM	MISS Prince 2' Finger Roll Layup	31 51.6%	29 48.4%
Q2 - 5:16	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	31 49.7%	29 50.3%
Q2 - 5:19	SAS	MISS Diaw 8' Pullup Jump Shot	31 50.5%	29 49.5%
Q2 - 5:36	SAS	De Colo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	31 52.5%	29 47.5%
Q2 - 5:37	MEM	MISS Randolph 2' Layup	31 51.6%	29 48.4%
Q2 - 5:52	MEM	Bayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 49.7%	29 50.3%
Q2 - 5:53	SAS	MISS Parker 29' 3PT Jump Shot	31 50.5%	29 49.5%
Q2 - 6:18	MEM	Prince Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)	31 52.4%	29 47.6%
Q2 - 6:29	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	31 54.7%	27 45.3%
Q2 - 6:29	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	30 54.2%	27 45.8%
Q2 - 6:42	MEM	Conley 8' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS)	29 52.4%	27 47.6%
Q2 - 6:58	MEM	Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 54.7%	25 45.3%
Q2 - 6:59	SAS	MISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot	29 55.7%	25 44.3%
Q2 - 7:09	SAS	De Colo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	29 57.3%	25 42.7%
Q2 - 7:10	MEM	MISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot	29 56.4%	25 43.6%
Q2 - 7:17	SAS	Randolph STEAL (2 STL)	29 54.4%	25 45.6%
Q2 - 7:36	MEM	Conley 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)	29 57.4%	25 42.6%
Q2 - 7:43	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	29 59.6%	23 40.4%
Q2 - 7:46	SAS	MISS Jackson 4' Running Jump Shot	29 60.5%	23 39.5%
Q2 - 8:10	MEM	Conley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)	29 61.7%	23 38.3%
Q2 - 8:24	SAS	De Colo 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Blair 3 AST)	29 59.1%	23 40.9%
Q2 - 8:36	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	27 56.8%	23 43.2%
Q2 - 8:37	MEM	MISS Prince 19' Jump Shot	27 55.9%	23 44.1%
Q2 - 8:41	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	27 54.1%	23 45.9%
Q2 - 8:43	MEM	MISS Randolph 2' Layup	27 55.9%	23 44.1%
Q2 - 9:01	SAS	De Colo 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)	27 53.6%	23 46.4%
Q2 - 9:06	MEM	Bayless Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	25 51.3%	23 48.7%
Q2 - 9:22	MEM	Pondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 48.6%	23 51.4%
Q2 - 9:23	SAS	MISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot	25 49.4%	23 50.6%
Q2 - 9:32	SAS	Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 51.3%	23 48.7%
Q2 - 9:33	MEM	MISS Wroten 19' Jump Shot	25 50.5%	23 49.5%
Q2 - 9:53	SAS	Blair 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 3 AST)	25 48.6%	23 51.4%
Q2 - 9:59	MEM	Davis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	23 46.3%	23 53.7%
Q2 - 10:14	SAS	De Colo Backcourt Turnover (P3.T6)	23 43.5%	23 56.5%
Q2 - 10:15	SAS	De Colo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	23 46.3%	23 53.7%
Q2 - 10:18	SAS	Davis BLOCK (1 BLK)	23 44.3%	23 55.7%
Q2 - 10:28	MEM	Bayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	23 46.3%	23 53.7%
Q2 - 10:28	MEM	Bayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	23 46.7%	22 53.3%
Q2 - 10:32	SAS	Wroten STEAL (1 STL)	23 48.4%	21 51.6%
Q2 - 10:45	SAS	Blair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	23 51.2%	21 48.8%
Q2 - 10:47	MEM	MISS Pondexter 3' Layup	23 50.4%	21 49.6%
Q2 - 11:07	SAS	De Colo 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	23 48.3%	21 51.7%
Q2 - 11:25	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	21 46.0%	21 54.0%
Q2 - 11:27	MEM	MISS Pondexter 13' Turnaround Jump Shot	21 45.2%	21 54.8%
Q2 - 11:43	SAS	Bonner Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)	21 43.5%	21 56.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS		21 46.0%	21 54.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MEM	Bayless 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	21 46.0%	21 54.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0	SAS	Blair 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (De Colo 1 AST)	21 48.4%	19 51.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 45.5%	19 54.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0	MEM	MISS Wroten Free Throw 2 of 2	19 45.2%	19 54.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0	MEM	Wroten Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	19 43.7%	19 56.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0	SAS	Neal 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 2 AST)	19 46.0%	18 54.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	16 40.8%	18 59.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	16 41.3%	17 58.7%
Q1 - 1:18	SAS	Blair 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)	16 43.8%	16 56.2%
Q1 - 1:33	SAS	Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 40.9%	16 59.1%
Q1 - 1:35	MEM	MISS Wroten 1' Driving Layup	14 40.4%	16 59.6%
Q1 - 1:42	SAS	De Colo Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)	14 39.3%	16 60.7%
Q1 - 1:42	SAS	De Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 40.9%	16 59.1%
Q1 - 1:44	MEM	MISS Bayless 20' Pullup Jump Shot	14 40.4%	16 59.6%
Q1 - 1:56	SAS	Gasol STEAL (1 STL)	14 39.3%	16 60.7%
Q1 - 2:00	SAS	De Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 40.9%	16 59.1%
Q1 - 2:01	MEM	MISS Gasol 4' Jump Shot	14 40.7%	16 59.3%
Q1 - 2:25	SAS	Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)	14 39.2%	16 60.8%
Q1 - 2:45	SAS	Spurs Rebound	11 34.8%	16 65.2%
Q1 - 2:45	MEM	MISS Pondexter 3PT Jump Shot	11 34.2%	16 65.8%
Q1 - 3:13	SAS	Parker 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)	11 32.9%	16 67.1%
Q1 - 3:26	SAS	Blair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	9 31.0%	16 69.0%
Q1 - 3:27	MEM	MISS Prince 19' Jump Shot	9 30.4%	16 69.6%
Q1 - 3:46	SAS	Parker 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)	9 29.0%	16 71.0%
Q1 - 4:08	MEM	Gasol 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)	7 27.5%	16 72.5%
Q1 - 4:17	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	7 29.2%	14 70.8%
Q1 - 4:19	SAS	MISS Parker 7' Floating Jump Shot	7 29.8%	14 70.2%
Q1 - 4:24	SAS	Blair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 31.1%	14 68.9%
Q1 - 4:26	MEM	MISS Arthur 5' Turnaround Jump Shot	7 30.5%	14 69.5%
Q1 - 4:36	MEM	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	7 29.2%	14 70.8%
Q1 - 4:38	SAS	MISS Neal 21' Step Back Jump Shot	7 29.8%	14 70.2%
Q1 - 5:03	MEM	Conley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	7 31.6%	14 68.4%
Q1 - 5:19	SAS	Parker 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)	7 33.3%	12 66.7%
Q1 - 5:36	SAS	Spurs Rebound	5 31.5%	12 68.5%
Q1 - 5:38	MEM	MISS Randolph 22' Jump Shot	5 30.9%	12 69.1%
Q1 - 6:09	SAS	Splitter 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)	5 29.9%	12 70.1%
Q1 - 6:36	MEM	Randolph 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)	3 28.4%	12 71.6%
Q1 - 6:53	SAS	Diaw 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	3 29.9%	10 70.1%
Q1 - 7:07	MEM	Prince 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)	1 29.0%	10 71.0%
Q1 - 7:10	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	1 30.3%	8 69.7%
Q1 - 7:12	MEM	MISS Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot	1 31.6%	8 68.4%
Q1 - 7:29	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	1 30.2%	8 69.8%
Q1 - 7:30	SAS	MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot	1 30.8%	8 69.2%
Q1 - 7:41	MEM	Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	1 32.2%	8 67.8%
Q1 - 7:41	MEM	Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	1 32.6%	7 67.4%
Q1 - 7:50	SAS	Randolph STEAL (1 STL)	1 33.6%	6 66.4%
Q1 - 7:50	MEM	Conley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	1 35.7%	6 64.3%
Q1 - 8:06	SAS	Splitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	1 34.0%	6 66.0%
Q1 - 8:06	SAS	MISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 2	0 33.6%	6 66.4%
Q1 - 8:06	SAS	Splitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	0 34.1%	6 65.9%
Q1 - 8:06	SAS	Allen BLOCK (1 BLK)	0 32.9%	6 67.1%
Q1 - 8:13	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 34.1%	6 65.9%
Q1 - 8:15	MEM	MISS Allen 2' Layup	0 33.6%	6 66.4%
Q1 - 8:25	MEM	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 32.3%	6 67.7%
Q1 - 8:27	SAS	MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	0 32.9%	6 67.1%
Q1 - 8:46	SAS	Splitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 34.1%	6 65.9%
Q1 - 8:47	MEM	MISS Prince 21' Jump Shot	0 33.6%	6 66.4%
Q1 - 8:55	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	0 32.3%	6 67.7%
Q1 - 8:58	SAS	MISS Diaw 12' Jump Shot	0 32.9%	6 67.1%
Q1 - 9:18	MEM	Gasol 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	0 34.6%	6 65.4%
Q1 - 9:29	MEM	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 36.2%	4 63.8%
Q1 - 9:32	SAS	MISS Green 2' Reverse Layup	0 36.7%	4 63.3%
Q1 - 9:38	MEM	Allen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	0 38.0%	4 62.0%
Q1 - 9:56	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 36.1%	4 63.9%
Q1 - 9:59	SAS	MISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot	0 36.7%	4 63.3%
Q1 - 10:23	MEM	Allen 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)	0 38.4%	4 61.6%
Q1 - 10:28	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	0 39.8%	2 60.2%
Q1 - 10:29	MEM	MISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot	0 41.1%	2 58.9%
Q1 - 10:38	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 39.8%	2 60.2%
Q1 - 10:40	SAS	MISS Diaw 19' Jump Shot	0 40.3%	2 59.7%
Q1 - 10:56	MEM	Conley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)	0 41.7%	2 58.3%
Q1 - 11:19	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 43.2%	0 56.8%
Q1 - 11:20	SAS	MISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot	0 43.6%	0 56.4%
Q1 - 11:36	SAS	Splitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 44.7%	0 55.3%
Q1 - 11:36	MEM	MISS Allen 22' Jump Shot	0 44.2%	0 55.8%
Q1 - 12:00	MEM	Jump Ball Gasol vs. Splitter: Tip to	0 43.2%	0 56.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.08 54.2%

MEM

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

57%

MEM

52%

Midrange

SAS

52%

MEM

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

12.0

35%

52%

MEM

3.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

SAS

91%

MEM

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	25	60%	12.5 / 21
T. Splitter	13	72%	6.5 / 9
S. Jackson	12	55%	6.0 / 11
N. De Colo	10	83%	5.0 / 6
G. Neal	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Diaw	7	29%	3.5 / 12
D. Blair	6	100%	3.0 / 3
M. Bonner	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Green	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Conley	23	68%	11.5 / 17
J. Bayless	17	61%	8.5 / 14
M. Gasol	16	50%	8.0 / 16
T. Prince	11	50%	5.5 / 11
Z. Randolph	11	42%	5.5 / 13
T. Allen	6	43%	3.0 / 7
E. Davis	4	100%	2.0 / 2
A. Daye	2	50%	1.0 / 2
Q. Pondexter	1	13%	0.5 / 4
T. Wroten	1	17%	0.5 / 3
D. Arthur	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-16

MEM

+11

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.08 54.2%

MEM

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	107.8 105.0	SAS 103.4 +0.1 MEM 103.4
Pace	94.7 88.5	SAS 85.8 MEM 90.3 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time	15.4 16.7	SAS 16.8 MEM 16.0 +0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	53.1% 47.2%	SAS 53.3% +6.5% MEM 46.8%
TO %	14.8% 14.8%	SAS 16.7% MEM 10.0% +6.7%
ORB %	20.7% 31.0%	SAS 18.9% MEM 23.3% +4.4%
FTrt	25.8 26.1	SAS 14.7 MEM 30.4 +15.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	64.1% 57.9%	SAS 58.3% +16.6% MEM 41.7%
STL %	8.9% 9.6%	SAS 9.2% MEM 10.1% +0.9%
BLK %	8.1% 9.0%	SAS 11.1% +1.5% MEM 9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	55.3% 49.8%	SAS 54.2% +3.7% MEM 50.5%
Rim FG%	60.8% 53.9%	SAS 56.5% +4.8% MEM 51.7%
Mid FG%	42.4% 40.0%	SAS 51.7% +7.5% MEM 44.2%
3P %	37.6% 34.5%	SAS 34.8% +6.2% MEM 28.6%
FT %	79.1% 77.3%	SAS 90.9% +15.9% MEM 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	37.7% 38.0%	SAS 30.7% MEM 36.7% +6.0%
Mid Att. %	35.9% 45.4%	SAS 38.7% +15.8% MEM 54.4%
3P Att. %	26.4% 16.6%	SAS 30.7% +21.8% MEM 8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	MEM
Possessions	87	89
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	90	92
Rebounds	40	40
Assists	21	15
Steals	8	9
Blocks	8	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (1)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (4)	30 (1)
Field Goals	36-75	36-79
At-the-Rim FG	13-23	15-29
Midrange FG	15-29	19-43
2-Point FG	28-52	34-72
3-Point FG	8-23	2-7
Free Throws	10-11	18-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Jackson F · 6'8" 220 · 35	34.5	12	55%	7	3	2	2	3	0	1	6	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 31	33.3	25	60%	2	4	0	0	3	0	0	2	7-7	100%	9-17	53%	0-2	0%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 26	32.2	3	25%	3	3	1	2	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Boris Diaw F · 6'8" 250 · 31	31.8	7	29%	3	2	2	2	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-9	22%	1-3	33%
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 28	25.2	13	72%	11	1	1	1	1	6	4	7	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	27.4	8	57%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24	20.2	6	100%	4	4	2	0	0	4	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33	18.8	6	75%	4	0	0	1	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 26	16.6	10	83%	5	1	0	0	5	2	1	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'7" 225 · 22
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 22
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 26
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 25
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tim Duncan #21 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	54%	40	21	8	8	16	0	7	33	10-11	91%	28-52	54%	8-23	35%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Jackson F · 6'8" 220 · 35	34.5	12	55%	7	3	2	2	3	0	1	6	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 31	33.3	25	60%	2	4	0	0	3	0	0	2	7-7	100%	9-17	53%	0-2	0%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 26	32.2	3	25%	3	3	1	2	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Boris Diaw F · 6'8" 250 · 31	31.8	7	29%	3	2	2	2	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-9	22%	1-3	33%
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 28	25.2	13	72%	11	1	1	1	1	6	4	7	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	27.4	8	57%	1	3	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24	20.2	6	100%	4	4	2	0	0	4	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33	18.8	6	75%	4	0	0	1	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 26	16.6	10	83%	5	1	0	0	5	2	1	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'7" 225 · 22
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 22
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 26
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 25
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tim Duncan #21 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	54%	40	21	8	8	16	0	7	33	10-11	91%	28-52	54%	8-23	35%

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8 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mike Conley G · 6'0" 175 · 25	35.6	23	68%	3	2	0	0	4	4	1	2	0-1	0%	10-14	71%	1-3	33%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 28	34.8	16	50%	7	4	2	1	1	3	3	4	4-4	100%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 33	29.3	11	50%	6	4	3	1	0	0	0	6	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-2	50%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 32	28.4	11	42%	10	0	2	0	0	0	3	7	3-4	75%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Tony Allen G · 6'4" 213 · 31	20.1	6	43%	7	2	0	2	1	0	2	5	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 25	28.3	17	61%	2	3	0	0	1	3	0	2	3-5	60%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 25	15.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Quincy Pondexter F · 6'7" 230 · 25	15.1	1	13%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24	14.4	4	100%	2	0	1	1	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 25	12.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Tony Wroten G · 6'6" 205 · 20	6.0	1	17%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24
Dexter Pittman C · 6'11" 285 · 25
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	51%	40	15	9	5	10	0	10	30	18-24	75%	34-72	47%	2-7	29%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE