FinalWin Prob.pScore
338%97
88
162%101
86
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.38685.9
SAS logo SAS
100.08686.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS88
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound88
98.8%
86
1.2%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Bank Shot88
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Allen 5 AST)88
98.8%
86
1.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
36.9%
86
63.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot85
28.4%
86
71.6%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
18.3%
86
81.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)84
15.5%
86
84.5%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
9.7%
86
90.3%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASMISS Parker 4' Driving Layup83
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)83
7.5%
86
92.5%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
9.3%
86
90.7%
Q4 - 1:21SASDuncan 14' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)83
17.1%
86
82.9%
Q4 - 1:44MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)83
27.3%
84
72.7%
Q4 - 2:06MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
41.7%
84
58.3%
Q4 - 2:07SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot83
37.2%
84
62.8%
Q4 - 2:26SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)83
27.7%
84
72.3%
Q4 - 2:29MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
31.8%
84
68.2%
Q4 - 2:35SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)83
42.4%
84
57.6%
Q4 - 2:36SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
27.7%
84
72.3%
Q4 - 2:38SASMISS Green 2' Layup83
37.7%
84
62.3%
Q4 - 2:41MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)83
27.7%
84
72.3%
Q4 - 2:59SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)83
41.3%
84
58.7%
Q4 - 3:12MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
49.7%
82
50.3%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 282
47.1%
82
52.9%
Q4 - 3:19SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)82
53.0%
82
47.0%
Q4 - 3:19SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
54.8%
81
45.2%
Q4 - 3:26SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
60.9%
80
39.1%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot82
65.1%
80
34.9%
Q4 - 3:41SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)82
67.4%
80
32.6%
Q4 - 3:41SASSPURS Rebound82
57.6%
80
42.4%
Q4 - 3:42SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot82
64.6%
80
35.4%
Q4 - 4:06MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)82
58.0%
80
42.0%
Q4 - 4:06MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)81
55.2%
80
44.8%
Q4 - 4:30SASParker 4' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)80
49.5%
80
50.5%
Q4 - 4:52SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)80
58.2%
78
41.8%
Q4 - 4:54SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
65.3%
78
34.7%
Q4 - 5:10SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
55.6%
78
44.4%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot80
58.3%
78
41.7%
Q4 - 5:23SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)80
64.4%
78
35.6%
Q4 - 5:35MIADuncan STEAL (1 STL)80
77.6%
75
22.4%
Q4 - 5:56SASLeonard 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Green 2 AST)80
83.5%
75
16.5%
Q4 - 6:15MIAAllen Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)80
84.0%
73
16.0%
Q4 - 6:33MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
80.1%
73
19.9%
Q4 - 6:33SASMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 278
79.4%
73
20.6%
Q4 - 6:33SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
75.7%
73
24.3%
Q4 - 6:52MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)78
79.7%
72
20.3%
Q4 - 6:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)77
78.8%
72
21.2%
Q4 - 7:01SASSPURS Turnover: Backcourt (T#15)76
72.1%
72
27.9%
Q4 - 7:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)76
65.8%
72
34.2%
Q4 - 7:23MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
67.9%
72
32.1%
Q4 - 7:45SASLeonard 1' Driving Slam Dunk (15 PTS)76
72.4%
72
27.6%
Q4 - 7:58MIAAllen 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)76
77.2%
70
22.8%
Q4 - 8:24SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (De Colo 2 AST)74
69.9%
70
30.1%
Q4 - 8:41SASDe Colo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
79.6%
67
20.4%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
80.8%
67
19.2%
Q4 - 8:59MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
83.5%
67
16.5%
Q4 - 9:01SASMISS Neal 28' 3PT Jump Shot74
80.1%
67
19.9%
Q4 - 9:07MIANeal STEAL (1 STL)74
77.4%
67
22.6%
Q4 - 9:20SASNeal 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)74
81.3%
67
18.7%
Q4 - 9:36MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)74
87.6%
64
12.4%
Q4 - 9:50SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)71
81.4%
64
18.6%
Q4 - 10:22MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)71
75.5%
64
24.5%
Q4 - 10:38SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)71
79.5%
64
20.5%
Q4 - 10:54MIASplitter STEAL (2 STL)71
75.6%
64
24.4%
Q4 - 11:12MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
77.8%
64
22.2%
Q4 - 11:14SASMISS Splitter 5' Jump Shot71
76.7%
64
23.3%
Q4 - 11:15SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
73.9%
64
26.1%
Q4 - 11:17SASMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot71
76.7%
64
23.3%
Q4 - 11:39SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
74.0%
64
26.0%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 271
74.6%
64
25.4%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 271
76.8%
64
23.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS71
77.9%
64
22.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
74.1%
64
25.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cole Layup71
75.3%
64
24.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASDe Colo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)71
76.2%
64
23.8%
Q3 - 0:13.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
72.6%
64
27.4%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Cole 13' Jump Shot71
73.8%
64
26.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
76.3%
64
23.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 271
75.9%
64
24.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 271
73.5%
64
26.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)71
72.7%
64
27.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)69
68.2%
64
31.8%
Q3 - 1:17MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)69
62.4%
64
37.6%
Q3 - 1:42SASJackson 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)66
52.9%
64
47.1%
Q3 - 2:04MIACole 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
56.1%
62
43.9%
Q3 - 2:30SASDiaw 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)64
51.7%
62
48.3%
Q3 - 2:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)64
56.3%
60
43.7%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Cole 3' Running Layup64
57.7%
60
42.3%
Q3 - 2:46SASJackson 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)64
60.9%
60
39.1%
Q3 - 2:54SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
65.2%
58
34.8%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
66.5%
58
33.5%
Q3 - 3:18SASJackson 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)64
67.9%
58
32.1%
Q3 - 3:20SASSPURS Rebound64
71.5%
56
28.5%
Q3 - 3:20SASMISS Neal 8' Jump Shot64
74.0%
56
26.0%
Q3 - 3:39MIALewis 1' Layup (7 PTS)64
71.5%
56
28.5%
Q3 - 3:41SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)62
67.9%
56
32.1%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMiller 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)62
62.5%
56
37.5%
Q3 - 4:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)59
54.9%
56
45.1%
Q3 - 4:28SASMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
53.4%
56
46.6%
Q3 - 4:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)59
49.9%
56
50.1%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
51.4%
56
48.6%
Q3 - 4:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
54.9%
56
45.1%
Q3 - 4:51SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot59
53.4%
56
46.6%
Q3 - 5:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
49.2%
56
50.8%
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot59
50.6%
56
49.4%
Q3 - 5:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
53.9%
56
46.1%
Q3 - 5:26SASMISS Parker 2' Layup59
52.5%
56
47.5%
Q3 - 5:37MIABosh 11' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)59
49.2%
56
50.8%
Q3 - 5:56SASParker 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)57
45.7%
56
54.3%
Q3 - 6:15MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)57
48.6%
54
51.4%
Q3 - 6:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
41.2%
54
58.8%
Q3 - 6:23SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot54
39.9%
54
60.1%
Q3 - 6:29SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
36.9%
54
63.1%
Q3 - 6:30MIADuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)54
38.2%
54
61.8%
Q3 - 6:40SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
41.2%
54
58.8%
Q3 - 6:40SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 254
42.1%
53
57.9%
Q3 - 7:01MIALewis 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)54
40.3%
53
59.7%
Q3 - 7:13SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)52
36.9%
53
63.1%
Q3 - 7:13SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)52
33.1%
53
66.9%
Q3 - 7:15SASMISS Green 17' Jump Shot52
35.7%
53
64.3%
Q3 - 7:40MIACole 1' Running Reverse Layup (8 PTS)52
33.2%
53
66.8%
Q3 - 7:51SASLeonard 2' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)50
30.1%
53
69.9%
Q3 - 8:04MIACole Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)50
33.0%
51
67.0%
Q3 - 8:07MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
27.1%
51
72.9%
Q3 - 8:08SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup47
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q3 - 8:17MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)47
23.9%
51
76.1%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
27.0%
51
73.0%
Q3 - 8:42SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot47
26.0%
51
74.0%
Q3 - 9:04MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)47
24.1%
51
75.9%
Q3 - 9:21SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Green 1 AST)45
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q3 - 9:45MIABosh 8' Driving Jump Shot (16 PTS)45
24.0%
49
76.0%
Q3 - 10:01SASParker 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)43
21.8%
49
78.2%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)43
24.1%
47
75.9%
Q3 - 10:46SASLeonard 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST)40
19.4%
47
80.6%
Q3 - 10:52SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot40
22.4%
45
77.6%
Q3 - 11:07MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
24.6%
45
75.4%
Q3 - 11:08SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot40
23.8%
45
76.2%
Q3 - 11:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
22.0%
45
78.0%
Q3 - 11:25MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
22.8%
45
77.2%
Q3 - 11:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
24.6%
45
75.4%
Q3 - 11:41SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot40
23.8%
45
76.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
22.0%
45
78.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)40
24.6%
45
75.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
23.0%
45
77.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
23.5%
45
76.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
24.6%
45
75.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASMISS Green 15' Jump Shot40
24.1%
45
75.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)40
22.9%
45
77.1%
Q2 - 1:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
18.4%
45
81.6%
Q2 - 1:14SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 1:37SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
17.2%
45
82.8%
Q2 - 1:38SASMISS Leonard 1' Dunk37
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 1:44MIALeonard STEAL (2 STL)37
17.2%
45
82.8%
Q2 - 2:01SASLeonard 3' Layup (9 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)37
19.1%
45
80.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIALeonard STEAL (1 STL)37
21.0%
43
79.0%
Q2 - 2:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
23.2%
43
76.8%
Q2 - 2:31SASDuncan 2' Layup (10 PTS)37
23.2%
43
76.8%
Q2 - 2:33SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup37
27.1%
41
72.9%
Q2 - 2:40SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
25.5%
41
74.5%
Q2 - 2:41MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
26.2%
41
73.8%
Q2 - 3:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
28.2%
41
71.8%
Q2 - 3:05SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot37
27.3%
41
72.7%
Q2 - 3:31MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)37
25.4%
41
74.6%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 236
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 3:43SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)36
25.8%
41
74.2%
Q2 - 3:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
23.2%
41
76.8%
Q2 - 3:52MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup36
24.0%
41
76.0%
Q2 - 4:11SASSplitter 4' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
25.8%
41
74.2%
Q2 - 4:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
27.9%
39
72.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIABosh 2' Tip Shot (14 PTS)36
27.9%
39
72.1%
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup34
24.2%
39
75.8%
Q2 - 4:50SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
25.8%
39
74.2%
Q2 - 5:05SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
23.8%
39
76.2%
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot34
24.5%
39
75.5%
Q2 - 5:20SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
25.9%
39
74.1%
Q2 - 5:20SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
26.5%
38
73.5%
Q2 - 5:24MIASplitter STEAL (1 STL)34
28.2%
37
71.8%
Q2 - 5:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
30.5%
37
69.5%
Q2 - 5:37SASMISS Green 11' Running Bank Shot34
29.8%
37
70.2%
Q2 - 6:03MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
28.0%
37
72.0%
Q2 - 6:24SASJackson 1' Layup (5 PTS) (De Colo 1 AST)31
24.2%
37
75.8%
Q2 - 6:43MIABosh 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)31
25.9%
35
74.1%
Q2 - 7:00SASSplitter 1' Layup (3 PTS)29
24.2%
35
75.8%
Q2 - 7:02SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
26.2%
33
73.8%
Q2 - 7:04SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot29
27.8%
33
72.2%
Q2 - 7:13SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
26.2%
33
73.8%
Q2 - 7:14MIAMISS Miller 17' Pullup Jump Shot29
26.9%
33
73.1%
Q2 - 7:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
28.5%
33
71.5%
Q2 - 7:31SASMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 129
28.2%
33
71.8%
Q2 - 7:46SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Bank Shot29
31.2%
31
68.8%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
32.9%
31
67.1%
Q2 - 8:04SASMISS Jackson 4' Running Jump Shot29
32.2%
31
67.8%
Q2 - 8:12SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
30.6%
31
69.4%
Q2 - 8:14SASMISS Parker 5' Running Jump Shot29
32.2%
31
67.8%
Q2 - 8:20SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
30.6%
31
69.4%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot29
31.3%
31
68.7%
Q2 - 8:32SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P1.T5)29
32.9%
31
67.1%
Q2 - 8:42MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1)29
30.6%
31
69.4%
Q2 - 8:53SASNeal 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)29
32.9%
31
67.1%
Q2 - 9:11MIAAllen 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)29
34.9%
29
65.1%
Q2 - 9:32SASJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)27
32.8%
29
67.2%
Q2 - 9:47SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
37.2%
26
62.8%
Q2 - 9:48SASMISS Neal 15' Pullup Jump Shot27
39.0%
26
61.0%
Q2 - 10:07MIAAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)27
37.0%
26
63.0%
Q2 - 10:24SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
35.1%
26
64.9%
Q2 - 10:24SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
35.5%
25
64.5%
Q2 - 10:28SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
37.0%
24
63.0%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot25
37.8%
24
62.2%
Q2 - 10:38MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
39.7%
24
60.3%
Q2 - 10:39SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot25
38.9%
24
61.1%
Q2 - 10:53SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
37.0%
24
63.0%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMISS Allen 3' Jump Shot25
37.8%
24
62.2%
Q2 - 11:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
39.7%
24
60.3%
Q2 - 11:01SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
38.7%
24
61.3%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)25
37.0%
24
63.0%
Q2 - 11:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
32.7%
24
67.3%
Q2 - 11:45SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot22
32.1%
24
67.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS22
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot22
31.2%
24
68.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASJackson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
32.3%
24
67.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
30.8%
24
69.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 221
30.3%
24
69.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
30.3%
24
69.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)21
28.8%
24
71.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Allen 23' Jump Shot21
29.2%
24
70.8%
Q1 - 1:00SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)21
30.3%
24
69.7%
Q1 - 1:19SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
35.0%
21
65.0%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Battier 13' Jump Shot21
35.5%
21
64.5%
Q1 - 1:40SASLeonard 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)21
36.6%
21
63.4%
Q1 - 1:55MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)21
39.4%
19
60.6%
Q1 - 2:22SASDe Colo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)18
34.7%
19
65.3%
Q1 - 2:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
39.1%
16
60.9%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 2:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
41.2%
16
58.8%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Lewis 13' Jump Shot18
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 3:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
41.1%
16
58.9%
Q1 - 3:09SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 118
40.7%
16
59.3%
Q1 - 3:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 3:26SASMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
44.8%
14
55.2%
Q1 - 3:46MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)18
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 4:03SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)16
40.6%
14
59.4%
Q1 - 4:13SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
42.6%
12
57.4%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
43.3%
12
56.7%
Q1 - 4:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
44.9%
12
55.1%
Q1 - 4:26SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
44.2%
12
55.8%
Q1 - 4:43SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
42.7%
12
57.3%
Q1 - 4:44SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot16
44.3%
12
55.7%
Q1 - 5:02MIACole 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
42.0%
12
58.0%
Q1 - 5:23SASLeonard 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)14
40.2%
12
59.8%
Q1 - 5:28SASSPURS Rebound14
42.1%
10
57.9%
Q1 - 5:28SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot14
43.6%
10
56.4%
Q1 - 5:36SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
42.1%
10
57.9%
Q1 - 5:37MIADuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)14
42.8%
10
57.2%
Q1 - 5:53SASDuncan 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)14
44.3%
10
55.7%
Q1 - 6:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
45.4%
8
54.6%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot14
46.0%
8
54.0%
Q1 - 6:18SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
47.6%
8
52.4%
Q1 - 6:18SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 214
48.1%
7
51.9%
Q1 - 6:25SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
47.4%
7
52.6%
Q1 - 6:26MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
48.1%
7
51.9%
Q1 - 6:32MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
49.6%
7
50.4%
Q1 - 6:34SASMISS Leonard 5' Layup14
49.0%
7
51.0%
Q1 - 6:35SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
47.5%
7
52.5%
Q1 - 6:37SASMISS Splitter Layup14
49.0%
7
51.0%
Q1 - 6:42SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
47.5%
7
52.5%
Q1 - 6:43MIAMISS Lewis 3' Running Jump Shot14
48.1%
7
51.9%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
49.7%
7
50.3%
Q1 - 6:56SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot14
49.0%
7
51.0%
Q1 - 7:13MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)14
46.7%
7
53.3%
Q1 - 7:30SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)12
45.1%
7
54.9%
Q1 - 7:30SASSPURS Rebound12
42.9%
7
57.1%
Q1 - 7:30SASMISS Parker 45' 3PT Running Jump Shot12
44.4%
7
55.6%
Q1 - 8:01MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)12
42.7%
7
57.3%
Q1 - 8:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
39.1%
7
60.9%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Cole 22' Jump Shot9
37.8%
7
62.2%
Q1 - 8:40SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)9
39.1%
7
60.9%
Q1 - 9:00MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)9
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 9:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 9:27SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)7
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 9:28SASMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup7
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 9:38SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 9:47MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 9:48SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup7
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 10:02SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot7
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 10:19SASDuncan 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)7
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 10:36MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)7
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 10:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 10:47SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
43.3%
0
56.7%
Q1 - 11:06MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)5
41.3%
0
58.7%
Q1 - 11:23SASGreen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)2
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:35MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)2
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bosh: Tip to Lewis0
35.0%
0
65.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.0%
SAS
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
16
56%
SAS
19
32
59%
Midrange
MIA
12
27
44%
SAS
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
28
43%
64%
SAS
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
MIA
10
15
67%
SAS
9
16
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2372%11.5 / 16
R. Allen1458%7.0 / 12
N. Cole1343%6.5 / 15
M. Miller1275%6.0 / 8
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
R. Lewis732%3.5 / 11
S. Battier660%3.0 / 5
C. Andersen467%2.0 / 3
J. Anthony1-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard1765%8.5 / 13
T. Duncan1753%8.5 / 16
T. Parker1238%6.0 / 16
D. Green1240%6.0 / 15
S. Jackson1169%5.5 / 8
T. Splitter750%3.5 / 7
G. Neal531%2.5 / 8
N. De Colo3150%1.5 / 1
B. Diaw250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+3
-10
79
SAS
74
+18
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.0%
SAS
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
107.8
MIA 102.3 +2.3
SAS 100.0
Pace
90.9
94.7
MIA 85.9
SAS 86.1 +0.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.4
MIA 16.8
SAS 16.7 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
53.1%
MIA 54.9% +6.2%
SAS 48.7%
TO %
14.5%
14.8%
MIA 12.4% +4.1%
SAS 16.5%
ORB %
22.2%
20.7%
MIA 7.7%
SAS 30.2% +22.5%
FTrt
29.7
25.8
MIA 21.1 +0.8
SAS 20.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
64.1%
MIA 69.7%
SAS 74.3% +4.6%
STL %
9.5%
8.9%
MIA 8.1%
SAS 8.1%
BLK %
9.1%
8.1%
MIA 14.5% +9.8%
SAS 4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
55.3%
MIA 55.0% +9.3%
SAS 45.7%
Rim FG%
65.9%
60.8%
MIA 56.3%
SAS 59.4% +3.1%
Mid FG%
41.9%
42.4%
MIA 44.4% +5.3%
SAS 39.1%
3P %
39.6%
37.6%
MIA 42.9% +13.7%
SAS 29.2%
FT %
75.4%
79.1%
MIA 66.7% +10.4%
SAS 56.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
37.7%
MIA 22.5%
SAS 40.5% +18.0%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
35.9%
MIA 38.0%
SAS 29.1% +8.9%
3P Att. %
28.5%
26.4%
MIA 39.4% +9.1%
SAS 30.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points8886
Rebounds3349
Assists2326
Steals77
Blocks82
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)12 (5)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (0)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)36 (0)
Field Goals33-7135-79
At-the-Rim FG9-1619-32
Midrange FG12-279-23
2-Point FG21-4328-55
3-Point FG12-287-24
Free Throws10-159-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
42.9
13
43%
1
4
1
0
2
3
0
1
5-7
71%
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
36.6
23
72%
9
3
0
2
2
2
1
8
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
3-5
60%
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
30.4
7
32%
3
3
1
4
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-6
17%
G · 6'8" 218 · 33
24.3
12
75%
3
5
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
20.9
8
57%
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
30.8
14
58%
3
5
0
0
4
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
27.1
6
60%
2
1
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
17.7
4
67%
5
1
0
1
1
2
0
5
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
5.4
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
3.7
1
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
F · 6'9" 250 · 40
#15 · G · 6'2" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
55%
33
23
7
8
10
0
3
30
10-15
67%
21-43
49%
12-28
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.