FinalWin Prob.pScore
1073%102
89
3027%94
79
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
101.18890.9
CHA logo CHA
91.98683.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
100%
79
0%
Q4 - 0:12.0CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)89
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)89
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)87
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)86
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0CHAMISS Henderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)85
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 284
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0CHAWilliams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T13)84
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 1:09MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)83
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 1:09MIALewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 1:10MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot82
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 1:33CHAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 1:33CHAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 282
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 1:33CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
99.1%
74
0.9%
Q4 - 1:34CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 1:42MIAMiller Layup (25 PTS) (Bosh 6 AST)82
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 2:01CHAWilliams 3' Dunk (7 PTS)80
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)80
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 2:17CHAMISS McRoberts 1' Tip Shot80
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 2:18CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)80
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q4 - 2:21CHAMISS Henderson 14' Jump Shot80
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 2:40MIALewis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T20)80
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q4 - 2:57CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)80
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 2:57CHAKidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup (16 PTS)80
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 2:59CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup80
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 3:06MIAWalker STEAL (3 STL)80
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q4 - 3:20CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 3:20CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)80
99.4%
68
0.6%
Q4 - 3:57CHAPargo 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)77
98.8%
68
1.2%
Q4 - 4:00CHAPargo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)77
99.1%
66
0.9%
Q4 - 4:03CHAMISS Henderson Layup77
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 4:14CHABOBCATS Rebound77
99.1%
66
0.9%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot77
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q4 - 4:36CHAKidd-Gilchrist Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)77
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 4:45MIABosh 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)77
99.2%
66
0.8%
Q4 - 5:09MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
98.2%
66
1.8%
Q4 - 5:10CHAMISS Henderson 3' Layup75
98.0%
66
2.0%
Q4 - 5:14CHAPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
97.4%
66
2.6%
Q4 - 5:18CHAMISS Pargo 16' Jump Shot75
98.0%
66
2.0%
Q4 - 5:33MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)75
97.4%
66
2.6%
Q4 - 5:57CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
98.2%
66
1.8%
Q4 - 5:57CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
98.3%
65
1.7%
Q4 - 6:13CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)75
98.2%
64
1.8%
Q4 - 6:15CHAMISS McRoberts 7' Jump Shot75
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q4 - 6:17CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)75
98.2%
64
1.8%
Q4 - 6:18CHAMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMiller 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)75
98.2%
64
1.8%
Q4 - 6:48CHAPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)72
96.8%
64
3.2%
Q4 - 7:10MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)72
97.8%
61
2.2%
Q4 - 7:19MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
97.2%
61
2.8%
Q4 - 7:22CHAMISS Henderson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot70
96.9%
61
3.1%
Q4 - 7:41CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)70
96.2%
61
3.8%
Q4 - 7:42MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot70
96.6%
61
3.4%
Q4 - 8:00CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)70
97.2%
61
2.8%
Q4 - 8:00CHAMcRoberts 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)70
97.2%
61
2.8%
Q4 - 8:01CHAMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot70
97.7%
59
2.3%
Q4 - 8:19MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)70
97.3%
59
2.7%
Q4 - 8:40CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)68
96.6%
59
3.4%
Q4 - 8:40CHAMISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 268
96.7%
58
3.3%
Q4 - 9:04MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)68
96.0%
58
4.0%
Q4 - 9:31CHATaylor 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)68
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q4 - 9:36CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
98.0%
55
2.0%
Q4 - 9:37CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup68
98.3%
55
1.7%
Q4 - 9:39CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)68
98.0%
55
2.0%
Q4 - 9:40CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup68
98.3%
55
1.7%
Q4 - 9:44CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
98.0%
55
2.0%
Q4 - 9:46MIAKidd-Gilchrist BLOCK (1 BLK)68
98.2%
55
1.8%
Q4 - 10:01MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
98.1%
55
1.9%
Q4 - 10:03MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
97.8%
55
2.2%
Q4 - 10:23CHAThomas 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)68
98.2%
55
1.8%
Q4 - 10:34CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)68
98.5%
53
1.5%
Q4 - 10:35CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
98.7%
53
1.3%
Q4 - 11:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
98.2%
53
1.8%
Q4 - 11:05MIAAndersen 2' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)68
98.2%
53
1.8%
Q4 - 11:07MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot66
97.5%
53
2.5%
Q4 - 11:19MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
97.8%
53
2.2%
Q4 - 11:20CHAMISS Taylor 11' Jump Shot66
97.7%
53
2.3%
Q4 - 11:41CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
97.4%
53
2.6%
Q4 - 11:42CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 2' Dunk66
97.7%
53
2.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
97.4%
53
2.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound66
97.9%
53
2.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Battier 43' 3PT Jump Shot66
97.2%
53
2.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
97.6%
53
2.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHAMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
97.4%
53
2.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)66
97.1%
53
2.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAHeat Rebound66
97.6%
53
2.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0CHAMISS McRoberts 18' Jump Shot66
97.4%
53
2.6%
Q3 - 1:01CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
96.8%
53
3.2%
Q3 - 1:03CHAMISS Williams 2' Layup66
97.2%
53
2.8%
Q3 - 1:18MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
96.8%
53
3.2%
Q3 - 1:18MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
96.6%
53
3.4%
Q3 - 1:18MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
96.1%
53
3.9%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot64
95.6%
53
4.4%
Q3 - 1:30MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
96.1%
53
3.9%
Q3 - 1:31CHAMISS Walker 17' Jump Shot64
95.9%
53
4.1%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMcRoberts STEAL (1 STL)64
95.3%
53
4.7%
Q3 - 1:54MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
96.1%
53
3.9%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMcRoberts BLOCK (2 BLK)64
95.6%
53
4.4%
Q3 - 2:02CHAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)64
95.7%
53
4.3%
Q3 - 2:16MIALewis 1' Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)64
94.8%
53
5.2%
Q3 - 2:35CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
93.9%
53
6.1%
Q3 - 2:35CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
94.1%
52
5.9%
Q3 - 2:51CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)62
94.9%
51
5.1%
Q3 - 2:52MIAMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
95.1%
51
4.9%
Q3 - 2:56MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
95.7%
51
4.3%
Q3 - 2:58CHAMISS Henderson 4' Jump Shot62
95.5%
51
4.5%
Q3 - 3:09MIAWalker STEAL (2 STL)62
94.6%
51
5.4%
Q3 - 3:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
95.5%
51
4.5%
Q3 - 3:23CHAMISS Biyombo 9' Hook Shot62
95.2%
51
4.8%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical62
94.6%
51
5.4%
Q3 - 3:49MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)62
94.6%
51
5.4%
Q3 - 4:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
95.3%
51
4.7%
Q3 - 4:04CHAMISS Henderson Dunk62
95.0%
51
5.0%
Q3 - 4:19CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)62
94.3%
51
5.7%
Q3 - 4:20MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
94.6%
51
5.4%
Q3 - 4:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
95.3%
51
4.7%
Q3 - 4:32CHAMISS Henderson 21' Jump Shot62
95.0%
51
5.0%
Q3 - 4:56MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)62
94.3%
51
5.7%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 261
94.2%
51
5.8%
Q3 - 5:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
94.5%
51
5.5%
Q3 - 5:01CHAMISS McRoberts Layup61
93.8%
51
6.2%
Q3 - 5:28MIALewis 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)61
93.0%
51
7.0%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
92.0%
51
8.0%
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
91.0%
51
9.0%
Q3 - 5:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
92.0%
51
8.0%
Q3 - 5:51MIAMcRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)59
91.0%
51
9.0%
Q3 - 5:57CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)59
92.0%
51
8.0%
Q3 - 6:04CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)59
90.3%
51
9.7%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
90.7%
51
9.3%
Q3 - 6:29CHAWalker 1' Layup (8 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)59
91.8%
51
8.2%
Q3 - 6:35CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
92.7%
49
7.3%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS Lewis 14' Turnaround Jump Shot59
93.1%
49
6.9%
Q3 - 6:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
93.9%
49
6.1%
Q3 - 6:49CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 21' Jump Shot59
93.6%
49
6.4%
Q3 - 7:11CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)59
92.4%
49
7.6%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot59
92.7%
49
7.3%
Q3 - 7:27CHABiyombo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)59
93.5%
49
6.5%
Q3 - 7:27CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)59
92.4%
49
7.6%
Q3 - 7:29CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
93.2%
49
6.8%
Q3 - 7:36CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
92.4%
49
7.6%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
92.7%
49
7.3%
Q3 - 7:53CHAWalker 15' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
93.5%
49
6.5%
Q3 - 8:09MIAChalmers 15' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)59
94.1%
47
5.9%
Q3 - 8:19MIAHeat Rebound57
93.3%
47
6.7%
Q3 - 8:20CHAMISS Henderson 20' Jump Shot57
93.0%
47
7.0%
Q3 - 8:37MIAMiller 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)57
92.2%
47
7.8%
Q3 - 8:48CHAMcRoberts Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)54
89.9%
47
10.1%
Q3 - 8:49CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)54
88.2%
47
11.8%
Q3 - 8:50CHAMISS Henderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
89.4%
47
10.6%
Q3 - 9:29MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)54
88.1%
47
11.9%
Q3 - 9:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
86.6%
47
13.4%
Q3 - 9:44CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 2' Layup52
86.0%
47
14.0%
Q3 - 10:10MIABosh 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)52
85.0%
47
15.0%
Q3 - 10:19CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)50
83.2%
47
16.8%
Q3 - 10:26MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)50
80.9%
47
19.1%
Q3 - 10:50CHABiyombo 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Henderson 3 AST)50
83.1%
47
16.9%
Q3 - 11:05MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)50
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q3 - 11:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
86.9%
45
13.1%
Q3 - 11:23CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 19' Jump Shot50
86.4%
45
13.6%
Q3 - 11:46MIALewis 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)50
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
83.4%
45
16.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound48
83.4%
45
16.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup48
82.1%
45
17.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)48
83.0%
45
17.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMiller Driving Layup (14 PTS)48
81.6%
45
18.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0CHAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)46
79.0%
45
21.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
77.3%
45
22.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
77.8%
45
22.2%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
78.9%
45
21.1%
Q2 - 1:04CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 3' Layup46
78.5%
45
21.5%
Q2 - 1:26MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)46
77.5%
45
22.5%
Q2 - 1:48CHAMcRoberts 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST)43
71.8%
45
28.2%
Q2 - 1:53CHABOBCATS Rebound43
75.1%
43
24.9%
Q2 - 1:53CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup43
76.2%
43
23.8%
Q2 - 2:11MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)43
74.9%
43
25.1%
Q2 - 2:21CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
77.2%
43
22.8%
Q2 - 2:21CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
77.6%
42
22.4%
Q2 - 2:23CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
79.3%
41
20.7%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
79.9%
41
20.1%
Q2 - 2:32MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
81.3%
41
18.7%
Q2 - 2:35CHAMISS McRoberts 3' Layup43
80.7%
41
19.3%
Q2 - 2:37CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
79.3%
41
20.7%
Q2 - 2:39CHAMISS Henderson 1' Layup43
80.7%
41
19.3%
Q2 - 2:56CHABOBCATS Rebound43
79.3%
41
20.7%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
79.9%
41
20.1%
Q2 - 3:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
81.7%
41
18.3%
Q2 - 3:04CHAMISS Biyombo 2' Layup43
81.1%
41
18.9%
Q2 - 3:07CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)43
79.5%
41
20.5%
Q2 - 3:09CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup43
81.1%
41
18.9%
Q2 - 3:13CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
79.5%
41
20.5%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Lewis 4' Hook Shot43
80.2%
41
19.8%
Q2 - 3:34CHAPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
81.7%
41
18.3%
Q2 - 3:34CHAPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
81.9%
40
18.1%
Q2 - 3:44CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
83.2%
39
16.8%
Q2 - 3:47MIAMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot43
83.7%
39
16.3%
Q2 - 3:53MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
85.0%
39
15.0%
Q2 - 3:54CHAMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
84.5%
39
15.5%
Q2 - 4:07MIACole Driving Layup (8 PTS)43
83.2%
39
16.8%
Q2 - 4:27CHAWilliams 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)41
81.7%
39
18.3%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMiller 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)41
83.2%
37
16.8%
Q2 - 4:54CHAKidd-Gilchrist 2' Layup (12 PTS)38
79.9%
37
20.1%
Q2 - 5:19MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)38
81.8%
35
18.2%
Q2 - 5:47CHAThomas 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)38
83.4%
35
16.6%
Q2 - 5:58MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)38
84.9%
33
15.1%
Q2 - 6:19CHAThomas 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 1 AST)36
83.4%
33
16.6%
Q2 - 6:38MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
84.6%
31
15.4%
Q2 - 6:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)35
84.4%
31
15.6%
Q2 - 6:58CHAPargo 1' Layup (2 PTS)34
83.4%
31
16.6%
Q2 - 7:04MIAPargo STEAL (1 STL)34
84.6%
29
15.4%
Q2 - 7:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
86.1%
29
13.9%
Q2 - 7:24CHAMISS Biyombo 17' Jump Shot34
85.7%
29
14.3%
Q2 - 7:45MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T7)34
84.6%
29
15.4%
Q2 - 7:59CHABiyombo 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)34
86.1%
29
13.9%
Q2 - 8:01CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
87.0%
27
13.0%
Q2 - 8:03CHAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot34
87.8%
27
12.2%
Q2 - 8:20MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)34
87.0%
27
13.0%
Q2 - 8:30MIAHeat Rebound34
88.2%
27
11.8%
Q2 - 8:30CHAMISS Biyombo 1' Hook Shot34
87.9%
27
12.1%
Q2 - 8:32CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
87.0%
27
13.0%
Q2 - 8:33CHAMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot34
87.9%
27
12.1%
Q2 - 8:37CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
87.0%
27
13.0%
Q2 - 8:39CHAMISS Thomas 21' Jump Shot34
87.9%
27
12.1%
Q2 - 8:50CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
87.0%
27
13.0%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Andersen 21' Jump Shot34
87.4%
27
12.6%
Q2 - 9:07CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
88.1%
27
11.9%
Q2 - 9:07CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
88.3%
26
11.7%
Q2 - 9:19CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
89.1%
25
10.9%
Q2 - 9:21MIABiyombo BLOCK (1 BLK)34
89.4%
25
10.6%
Q2 - 9:32MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
90.1%
25
9.9%
Q2 - 9:34CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
89.8%
25
10.2%
Q2 - 9:53MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)34
89.1%
25
10.9%
Q2 - 10:02CHAGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)31
86.9%
25
13.1%
Q2 - 10:18MIACole 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)31
85.5%
25
14.5%
Q2 - 10:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
83.2%
25
16.8%
Q2 - 10:26CHAMISS Henderson 10' Jump Shot28
82.7%
25
17.3%
Q2 - 10:42MIABattier 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)28
81.5%
25
18.5%
Q2 - 10:46MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
80.2%
25
19.8%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
78.9%
25
21.1%
Q2 - 11:12CHAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)26
79.9%
25
20.1%
Q2 - 11:31CHABOBCATS Rebound26
82.8%
22
17.2%
Q2 - 11:33CHAMISS Gordon 10' Jump Shot26
83.8%
22
16.2%
Q2 - 11:44CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
82.8%
22
17.2%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
83.2%
22
16.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA26
84.2%
22
15.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHABOBCATS Rebound26
82.8%
22
17.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Walker 56' 3PT Jump Shot26
83.5%
22
16.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
82.8%
22
17.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
83.1%
22
16.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
83.8%
22
16.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0CHAMISS Walker 22' Jump Shot26
83.5%
22
16.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIABattier 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)26
82.8%
22
17.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0CHAKidd-Gilchrist 2' Layup (10 PTS)24
81.1%
22
18.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
82.8%
20
17.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Cole 13' Jump Shot24
83.1%
20
16.9%
Q1 - 1:04MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
83.8%
20
16.2%
Q1 - 1:05CHAMISS McRoberts 19' Jump Shot24
83.5%
20
16.5%
Q1 - 1:20MIAAndersen 4' Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)24
82.9%
20
17.1%
Q1 - 1:41CHAGordon Palming Turnover (P1.T3)22
81.1%
20
18.9%
Q1 - 1:47MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
80.1%
20
19.9%
Q1 - 2:08MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
76.9%
20
23.1%
Q1 - 2:10CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup19
76.5%
20
23.5%
Q1 - 2:16CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
75.3%
20
24.7%
Q1 - 2:18MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
75.8%
20
24.2%
Q1 - 2:31MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
76.9%
20
23.1%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot19
75.8%
20
24.2%
Q1 - 2:40MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
76.9%
20
23.1%
Q1 - 2:41CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 20' Jump Shot19
76.4%
20
23.6%
Q1 - 2:58MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)19
75.3%
20
24.7%
Q1 - 3:21CHAHenderson 3' Layup (8 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)19
77.3%
20
22.7%
Q1 - 3:25CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
78.8%
18
21.2%
Q1 - 3:26CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 5' Jump Shot19
79.9%
18
20.1%
Q1 - 3:30CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
78.8%
18
21.2%
Q1 - 3:31CHAMISS McRoberts 2' Layup19
79.9%
18
20.1%
Q1 - 3:37MIAHenderson STEAL (2 STL)19
78.8%
18
21.2%
Q1 - 3:45CHAMcRoberts 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)19
80.3%
18
19.7%
Q1 - 3:46CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
81.6%
16
18.4%
Q1 - 3:48CHAMISS Henderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
82.6%
16
17.4%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMiller 28' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)19
81.8%
16
18.2%
Q1 - 4:25CHAKidd-Gilchrist 2' Layup (8 PTS)16
79.1%
16
20.9%
Q1 - 4:50MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)16
80.4%
14
19.6%
Q1 - 5:07CHAHenderson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)13
77.4%
14
22.6%
Q1 - 5:37MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
78.7%
12
21.3%
Q1 - 5:37MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
78.5%
12
21.5%
Q1 - 5:47CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
77.4%
12
22.6%
Q1 - 5:47CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
77.7%
11
22.3%
Q1 - 6:08MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)11
78.8%
10
21.2%
Q1 - 6:13CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
76.1%
10
23.9%
Q1 - 6:15MIAHenderson STEAL (1 STL)8
74.4%
10
25.6%
Q1 - 6:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
76.0%
10
24.0%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
74.9%
10
25.1%
Q1 - 6:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
76.0%
10
24.0%
Q1 - 6:39CHAMISS Biyombo 8' Hook Shot8
75.5%
10
24.5%
Q1 - 6:55CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
74.4%
10
25.6%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
74.9%
10
25.1%
Q1 - 7:08MIAHeat Rebound8
76.5%
10
23.5%
Q1 - 7:11CHAMISS McRoberts 19' Jump Shot8
76.0%
10
24.0%
Q1 - 7:28CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
74.8%
10
25.2%
Q1 - 7:29MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot8
75.3%
10
24.7%
Q1 - 7:48CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
76.5%
10
23.5%
Q1 - 7:48CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
76.7%
9
23.3%
Q1 - 7:52CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
77.6%
8
22.4%
Q1 - 7:54MIAMISS Lewis 3' Layup8
78.1%
8
21.9%
Q1 - 8:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
79.6%
8
20.4%
Q1 - 8:04CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 19' Jump Shot8
79.2%
8
20.8%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMiller 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)8
78.2%
8
21.8%
Q1 - 8:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
75.6%
8
24.4%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot5
74.5%
8
25.5%
Q1 - 8:40CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
75.6%
8
24.4%
Q1 - 8:40CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
75.8%
7
24.2%
Q1 - 8:44MIAKidd-Gilchrist STEAL (1 STL)5
76.9%
6
23.1%
Q1 - 9:00CHAKidd-Gilchrist 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)5
78.3%
6
21.7%
Q1 - 9:20MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
79.8%
4
20.2%
Q1 - 9:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
81.0%
4
19.0%
Q1 - 9:27CHAMISS Walker 29' 3PT Jump Shot5
80.7%
4
19.3%
Q1 - 9:32CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
79.8%
4
20.2%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Miller 28' 3PT Jump Shot5
80.2%
4
19.8%
Q1 - 10:05CHAKidd-Gilchrist 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
81.1%
4
18.9%
Q1 - 10:15CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
81.9%
2
18.1%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot5
82.3%
2
17.7%
Q1 - 10:27CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
83.1%
2
16.9%
Q1 - 10:44MIALewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)5
81.9%
2
18.1%
Q1 - 10:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
80.0%
2
20.0%
Q1 - 10:59CHAMISS Henderson 21' Jump Shot2
79.6%
2
20.4%
Q1 - 11:18MIABosh 4' Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
79.0%
2
21.0%
Q1 - 11:37CHAMcRoberts 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)0
77.7%
2
22.3%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Biyombo vs. Bosh: Tip to McRoberts0
78.9%
0
21.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.9%
CHA
0.80 39.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
20
70%
CHA
15
37
41%
Midrange
MIA
4
16
25%
CHA
10
35
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
33
39%
59%
CHA
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
Free Throws
MIA
14
17
82%
CHA
20
22
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Miller2681%13.0 / 16
C. Bosh1853%9.0 / 17
R. Lewis1454%7.0 / 13
N. Cole867%4.0 / 6
C. Andersen867%4.0 / 6
M. Chalmers650%3.0 / 6
S. Battier440%2.0 / 5
J. Jones325%1.5 / 6
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Kidd-Gilchrist1850%9.0 / 18
K. Walker1233%6.0 / 18
G. Henderson1129%5.5 / 19
J. Pargo964%4.5 / 7
J. McRoberts833%4.0 / 12
R. Williams857%4.0 / 7
T. Thomas650%3.0 / 6
B. Biyombo429%2.0 / 7
J. Taylor375%1.5 / 2
B. Gordon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
68
+13
-20
81
CHA
73
+26
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.9%
CHA
0.80 39.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
101.4
MIA 101.1
CHA 91.9 +9.3
Pace
90.9
91.6
MIA 90.9 +7.6
CHA 83.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.6
MIA 15.8 +1.4
CHA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
46.0%
MIA 54.3% +20.8%
CHA 33.5%
TO %
14.5%
14.2%
MIA 21.5%
CHA 11.7% +9.8%
ORB %
22.2%
25.9%
MIA 32.4%
CHA 43.4% +11.0%
FTrt
29.7
31.0
MIA 24.6
CHA 25.0 +0.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
56.2%
MIA 83.9% +37.5%
CHA 46.4%
STL %
9.5%
7.8%
MIA 6.8%
CHA 12.8% +6.0%
BLK %
9.1%
9.7%
MIA 11.1%
CHA 11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
49.0%
MIA 54.9% +15.0%
CHA 39.9%
Rim FG%
65.9%
53.1%
MIA 70.0% +29.5%
CHA 40.5%
Mid FG%
41.9%
37.0%
MIA 25.0%
CHA 28.6% +3.6%
3P %
39.6%
33.5%
MIA 39.4% +20.6%
CHA 18.8%
FT %
75.4%
75.0%
MIA 82.4%
CHA 90.9% +8.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
38.3%
MIA 29.0%
CHA 42.0% +13.1%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
40.6%
MIA 23.2% +16.6%
CHA 39.8%
3P Att. %
28.5%
21.0%
MIA 47.8% +29.6%
CHA 18.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions8886
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points8979
Rebounds4146
Assists2613
Steals611
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)23 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)23 (2)
Field Goals31-6928-88
At-the-Rim FG14-2015-37
Midrange FG4-1610-35
2-Point FG18-3625-72
3-Point FG13-333-16
Free Throws14-1720-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
37.3
18
53%
8
6
1
1
3
2
1
7
5-6
83%
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
32.2
14
54%
5
2
1
1
3
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
G · 6'8" 218 · 33
30.4
26
81%
5
4
0
0
2
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
7-11
64%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
27.1
6
50%
1
7
3
0
3
3
1
0
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
18.1
2
50%
7
0
0
0
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
27.6
4
40%
4
0
0
2
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
21.1
3
25%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
0-0
-
1-6
17%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
20.9
8
67%
1
5
1
0
4
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
18.6
8
67%
8
1
0
1
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
3
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
F · 6'9" 250 · 40
# 3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
55%
41
26
6
8
20
0
11
30
14-17
82%
18-36
50%
13-33
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.