Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	22	Timberwolves	55%	99	105
	27	Pistons	45%	97	82

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
MIN	118.0	89	86.8
DET	93.2	88	90.3

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+11

-13

DET

+13

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.21 60.3%

DET

0.94 47.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DET
Q4 - 0:00.0	MIN		105 100%	82 0%
Q4 - 0:09.0	DET	Middleton 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Jerebko 2 AST)	105 99.9%	82 0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0	MIN	Jerebko STEAL (1 STL)	105 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0	DET	Singler 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)	105 99.9%	80 0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0	MIN	Shved 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	105 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0	MIN	Gelabale REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	102 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0	MIN	MISS Gelabale 25' 3PT Jump Shot	102 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 1:04	MIN	Shved REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	102 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 1:07	DET	MISS Kravtsov Layup	102 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 1:09	DET	Kravtsov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	102 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 1:10	DET	MISS Middleton 9' Jump Shot	102 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 1:20	DET	Singler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	102 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 1:21	DET	MISS Jerebko 26' 3PT Jump Shot	102 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 1:33	MIN	Stiemsma 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Shved 7 AST)	102 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 1:45	DET	Middleton 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)	100 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 1:50	DET	Kravtsov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	100 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 1:51	MIN	MISS Stiemsma 11' Jump Shot	100 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 2:22	MIN	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	100 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 2:23	DET	MISS Kravtsov Layup	100 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 2:37	MIN	Kravtsov STEAL (1 STL)	100 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 2:56	DET	Kravtsov Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	100 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 2:56	DET	Kravtsov Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	100 99.9%	74 0.1%
Q4 - 3:06	MIN	Barea Driving Layup (21 PTS)	100 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 3:21	MIN	Cunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	98 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 3:22	DET	MISS Middleton 18' Jump Shot	98 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 3:32	DET	PISTONS Rebound	98 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 3:33	MIN	MISS Cunningham 16' Jump Shot	98 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 3:49	DET	Jerebko 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Kravtsov 2 AST)	98 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 4:08	MIN	Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Shved 6 AST)	98 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 4:32	DET	Kravtsov Dunk (3 PTS)	95 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 4:42	DET	English REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	95 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 4:43	MIN	MISS Budinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot	95 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 5:06	MIN	Shved REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	95 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 5:08	DET	MISS English 25' 3PT Jump Shot	95 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 5:21	MIN	Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Shved 5 AST)	95 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 5:41	DET	Jerebko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)	92 99.9%	69 0.1%
Q4 - 5:58	MIN	Cunningham 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Budinger 2 AST)	92 99.9%	66 0.1%
Q4 - 6:11	DET	Kravtsov Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	90 99.9%	66 0.1%
Q4 - 6:11	DET	MISS Kravtsov Free Throw 1 of 2	90 99.9%	65 0.1%
Q4 - 6:28	MIN	Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Shved 4 AST)	90 99.9%	65 0.1%
Q4 - 6:48	DET	English 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Kravtsov 1 AST)	87 99.9%	65 0.1%
Q4 - 6:54	DET	Kravtsov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	87 99.9%	63 0.1%
Q4 - 6:55	MIN	MISS Barea 18' Jump Shot	87 99.9%	63 0.1%
Q4 - 7:21	DET	Middleton 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)	87 99.9%	63 0.1%
Q4 - 7:32	MIN	Barea Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)	87 99.9%	61 0.1%
Q4 - 7:51	DET	Stuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)	87 99.9%	61 0.1%
Q4 - 8:14	MIN	Budinger Driving Layup (7 PTS)	87 99.9%	61 0.1%
Q4 - 8:28	MIN	Timberwolves Rebound	85 99.9%	61 0.1%
Q4 - 8:29	MIN	Kravtsov BLOCK (1 BLK)	85 99.8%	61 0.2%
Q4 - 8:31	DET	Stuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)	85 99.9%	61 0.1%
Q4 - 8:36	DET	Kravtsov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	85 99.8%	61 0.2%
Q4 - 8:37	MIN	MISS Budinger 26' 3PT Jump Shot	85 99.8%	61 0.2%
Q4 - 8:57	DET	Stuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)	85 99.9%	61 0.1%
Q4 - 9:21	MIN	Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Shved 3 AST)	85 99.7%	61 0.3%
Q4 - 9:33	MIN	Budinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	82 99.6%	61 0.4%
Q4 - 9:35	DET	MISS Stuckey 1' Layup	82 99.5%	61 0.5%
Q4 - 9:41	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	82 99.4%	61 0.6%
Q4 - 9:42	MIN	MISS Shved 24' 3PT Jump Shot	82 99.5%	61 0.5%
Q4 - 9:55	DET	English 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Villanueva 4 AST)	82 99.6%	61 0.4%
Q4 - 10:18	DET	Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	82 99.6%	58 0.4%
Q4 - 10:19	MIN	MISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot	82 99.6%	58 0.4%
Q4 - 10:41	DET	Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	82 99.7%	58 0.3%
Q4 - 10:41	DET	Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	82 99.7%	57 0.3%
Q4 - 10:50	DET	English REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	82 99.8%	56 0.2%
Q4 - 10:52	MIN	MISS Shved 3PT Jump Shot	82 99.8%	56 0.2%
Q4 - 11:09	DET	English 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Villanueva 3 AST)	82 99.7%	56 0.3%
Q4 - 11:31	MIN	Timberwolves Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)	82 99.8%	54 0.2%
Q4 - 11:39	MIN	Barea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	82 99.8%	54 0.2%
Q4 - 11:40	MIN	MISS Budinger Layup	82 99.8%	54 0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DET		82 99.8%	54 0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DET	PISTONS Rebound	82 99.8%	54 0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DET	MISS Monroe 40' 3PT Jump Shot	82 99.8%	54 0.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0	MIN	Kirilenko 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Rubio 9 AST)	82 99.7%	54 0.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0	DET	Middleton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)	80 99.7%	54 0.3%
Q3 - 0:06.0	DET	PISTONS Rebound	80 99.6%	54 0.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0	DET	MISS Monroe 1' Tip Shot	80 99.6%	54 0.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0	DET	Monroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)	80 99.6%	54 0.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0	DET	MISS Monroe 1' Layup	80 99.6%	54 0.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0	MIN	Budinger Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	80 99.6%	54 0.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0	MIN	Budinger Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	79 99.6%	54 0.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0	MIN	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	78 99.5%	54 0.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0	DET	MISS Stuckey 21' Jump Shot	78 99.5%	54 0.5%
Q3 - 1:00	MIN	Budinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rubio 8 AST)	78 99.4%	54 0.6%
Q3 - 1:07	MIN	Rubio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	75 98.9%	54 1.1%
Q3 - 1:08	DET	MISS Villanueva Layup	75 98.8%	54 1.2%
Q3 - 1:20	DET	Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	75 98.6%	54 1.4%
Q3 - 1:21	DET	MISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot	75 98.8%	54 1.2%
Q3 - 1:39	MIN	Williams 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rubio 7 AST)	75 98.6%	54 1.4%
Q3 - 1:56	DET	Monroe Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	72 98.0%	54 2.0%
Q3 - 1:59	DET	Monroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	72 97.6%	54 2.4%
Q3 - 2:00	DET	MISS Villanueva 18' Jump Shot	72 97.9%	54 2.1%
Q3 - 2:11	MIN	Pekovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	72 97.1%	54 2.9%
Q3 - 2:11	MIN	Pekovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	71 96.9%	54 3.1%
Q3 - 2:27	DET	Calderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	70 96.5%	54 3.5%
Q3 - 2:27	DET	Calderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	70 96.6%	53 3.4%
Q3 - 2:44	DET	Monroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	70 97.1%	52 2.9%
Q3 - 2:45	DET	MISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot	70 97.4%	52 2.6%
Q3 - 3:03	MIN	Rubio 1' Layup (14 PTS)	70 96.7%	52 3.3%
Q3 - 3:09	DET	Knight Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)	68 96.1%	52 3.9%
Q3 - 3:17	MIN	Timberwolves Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)	68 95.3%	52 4.7%
Q3 - 3:40	MIN	Pekovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)	68 96.1%	52 3.9%
Q3 - 3:41	DET	MISS Monroe 4' Hook Shot	68 95.9%	52 4.1%
Q3 - 4:04	MIN	Pekovic 1' Layup (16 PTS)	68 94.9%	52 5.1%
Q3 - 4:05	MIN	Pekovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	66 94.1%	52 5.9%
Q3 - 4:06	MIN	MISS Kirilenko 1' Layup	66 93.3%	52 6.7%
Q3 - 4:11	DET	Calderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	66 94.1%	52 5.9%
Q3 - 4:22	MIN	Ridnour Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)	66 92.9%	52 7.1%
Q3 - 4:40	DET	Knight 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Maxiell 2 AST)	63 90.6%	52 9.4%
Q3 - 4:46	DET	Maxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	63 91.7%	50 8.3%
Q3 - 4:47	MIN	MISS Ridnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot	63 92.2%	50 7.8%
Q3 - 4:53	MIN	Rubio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	63 93.1%	50 6.9%
Q3 - 4:54	DET	MISS Knight 20' Jump Shot	63 92.7%	50 7.3%
Q3 - 5:15	MIN	Kirilenko Dunk (7 PTS) (Rubio 6 AST)	63 91.1%	50 8.9%
Q3 - 5:31	DET	Maxiell 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)	61 89.9%	50 10.1%
Q3 - 5:56	MIN	Rubio 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pekovic 2 AST)	61 91.1%	48 8.9%
Q3 - 6:20	DET	Knight 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)	58 87.6%	48 12.4%
Q3 - 6:26	MIN	Knight STEAL (1 STL)	58 89.0%	46 11.0%
Q3 - 6:35	MIN	Ridnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	58 90.7%	46 9.3%
Q3 - 6:37	MIN	Maxiell BLOCK (2 BLK)	58 89.6%	46 10.4%
Q3 - 6:44	DET	Singler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)	58 90.7%	46 9.3%
Q3 - 7:13	MIN	Kirilenko 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Rubio 5 AST)	58 88.3%	46 11.7%
Q3 - 7:17	MIN	Pekovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	56 86.7%	46 13.3%
Q3 - 7:18	DET	MISS Singler 18' Jump Shot	56 86.1%	46 13.9%
Q3 - 7:34	MIN	Rubio 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)	56 84.7%	46 15.3%
Q3 - 7:49	MIN	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	53 80.5%	46 19.5%
Q3 - 7:51	DET	MISS Calderon 22' Jump Shot	53 79.7%	46 20.3%
Q3 - 8:00	DET	Monroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	53 77.7%	46 22.3%
Q3 - 8:01	MIN	MISS Rubio 1' Layup	53 78.1%	46 21.9%
Q3 - 8:07	DET	Knight Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)	53 80.0%	46 20.0%
Q3 - 8:30	DET	Monroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	53 77.2%	46 22.8%
Q3 - 8:31	MIN	MISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot	53 78.1%	46 21.9%
Q3 - 8:47	MIN	Kirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	53 80.0%	46 20.0%
Q3 - 8:48	DET	MISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 2	53 79.7%	46 20.3%
Q3 - 8:48	DET	Monroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	53 78.2%	46 21.8%
Q3 - 9:06	MIN	Ridnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rubio 4 AST)	53 79.3%	45 20.7%
Q3 - 9:28	DET	Singler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)	50 74.3%	45 25.7%
Q3 - 9:52	MIN	Kirilenko 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pekovic 1 AST)	50 79.3%	42 20.7%
Q3 - 10:16	DET	Calderon 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)	47 74.1%	42 25.9%
Q3 - 10:43	MIN	Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rubio 3 AST)	47 76.5%	40 23.5%
Q3 - 10:52	MIN	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	44 71.2%	40 28.8%
Q3 - 10:53	DET	MISS Monroe 18' Jump Shot	44 70.3%	40 29.7%
Q3 - 11:00	DET	Monroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	44 68.0%	40 32.0%
Q3 - 11:03	MIN	MISS Pekovic 5' Hook Shot	44 68.9%	40 31.1%
Q3 - 11:23	DET	Monroe Layup (10 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)	44 71.0%	40 29.0%
Q3 - 11:29	DET	Maxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	44 73.6%	38 26.4%
Q3 - 11:31	MIN	MISS Rubio 19' Jump Shot	44 74.5%	38 25.5%
Q3 - 11:46	MIN	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44 76.4%	38 23.6%
Q3 - 11:47	DET	MISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot	44 75.6%	38 24.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DET		44 73.7%	38 26.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIN	Pekovic Layup (14 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)	44 73.7%	38 26.3%
Q2 - 0:09.0	DET	Calderon 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)	42 70.1%	38 29.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0	MIN	Cunningham Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)	42 73.5%	36 26.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0	MIN	Pekovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	40 70.2%	36 29.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0	DET	MISS Knight Driving Layup	40 69.5%	36 30.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0	DET	Monroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	40 68.1%	36 31.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0	MIN	MISS Cunningham 18' Jump Shot	40 68.8%	36 31.2%
Q2 - 1:01	DET	Monroe 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)	40 69.8%	36 30.2%
Q2 - 1:15	MIN	Timberwolves Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	40 73.3%	34 26.7%
Q2 - 1:15	MIN	Timberwolves Rebound	40 74.9%	34 25.1%
Q2 - 1:16	MIN	MISS Pekovic 1' Layup	40 73.8%	34 26.2%
Q2 - 1:44	MIN	Cunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	40 74.9%	34 25.1%
Q2 - 1:45	DET	MISS Monroe 18' Jump Shot	40 74.4%	34 25.6%
Q2 - 2:00	MIN	Rubio 1' Layup (6 PTS)	40 73.3%	34 26.7%
Q2 - 2:31	DET	Knight 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)	38 69.8%	34 30.2%
Q2 - 2:48	MIN	Ridnour 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rubio 2 AST)	38 74.8%	31 25.2%
Q2 - 3:06	MIN	Timberwolves Rebound	36 72.4%	31 27.6%
Q2 - 3:07	DET	MISS Monroe Layup	36 71.5%	31 28.5%
Q2 - 3:10	DET	Monroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	36 69.5%	31 30.5%
Q2 - 3:13	DET	MISS Monroe 8' Hook Shot	36 71.5%	31 28.5%
Q2 - 3:28	MIN	Barea Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)	36 69.5%	31 30.5%
Q2 - 3:35	MIN	Cunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	36 72.4%	31 27.6%
Q2 - 3:36	DET	MISS Singler 20' Jump Shot	36 71.5%	31 28.5%
Q2 - 3:55	DET	Singler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	36 69.5%	31 30.5%
Q2 - 3:56	MIN	MISS Shved Layup	36 70.4%	31 29.6%
Q2 - 4:21	DET	Calderon 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)	36 71.8%	31 28.2%
Q2 - 4:36	DET	Stuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	36 76.1%	28 23.9%
Q2 - 4:37	DET	MISS Villanueva 8' Jump Shot	36 77.7%	28 22.3%
Q2 - 4:46	DET	Singler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	36 76.1%	28 23.9%
Q2 - 4:48	MIN	Villanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)	36 76.8%	28 23.2%
Q2 - 4:58	MIN	Stiemsma REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	36 78.4%	28 21.6%
Q2 - 4:59	DET	MISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot	36 77.7%	28 22.3%
Q2 - 5:15	MIN	Barea 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)	36 76.0%	28 24.0%
Q2 - 5:22	MIN	Stiemsma REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	34 73.8%	28 26.2%
Q2 - 5:23	DET	MISS Maxiell 5' Jump Shot	34 73.2%	28 26.8%
Q2 - 5:46	MIN	Cunningham 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Shved 2 AST)	34 71.6%	28 28.4%
Q2 - 6:03	MIN	Budinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	32 69.1%	28 30.9%
Q2 - 6:04	DET	MISS Stuckey 1' Layup	32 68.2%	28 31.8%
Q2 - 6:16	MIN	Barea 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)	32 66.2%	28 33.8%
Q2 - 6:26	DET	Calderon 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)	30 64.2%	28 35.8%
Q2 - 6:48	MIN	Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	30 68.6%	25 31.4%
Q2 - 6:58	MIN	Cunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	27 64.2%	25 35.8%
Q2 - 6:59	DET	MISS Middleton 17' Jump Shot	27 63.3%	25 36.7%
Q2 - 7:14	DET	Maxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	27 61.1%	25 38.9%
Q2 - 7:15	MIN	MISS Stiemsma 17' Jump Shot	27 62.0%	25 38.0%
Q2 - 7:42	DET	Villanueva Dunk (2 PTS)	27 64.0%	25 36.0%
Q2 - 7:51	MIN	Middleton STEAL (1 STL)	27 66.1%	23 33.9%
Q2 - 8:06	DET	Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	27 68.2%	23 31.8%
Q2 - 8:18	DET	Villanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 72.4%	20 27.6%
Q2 - 8:19	MIN	MISS Cunningham 21' Jump Shot	27 73.1%	20 26.9%
Q2 - 8:29	MIN	Budinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	27 74.6%	20 25.4%
Q2 - 8:30	MIN	MISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot	27 73.1%	20 26.9%
Q2 - 8:53	MIN	Stiemsma REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 74.6%	20 25.4%
Q2 - 8:54	DET	MISS Middleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot	27 73.9%	20 26.1%
Q2 - 9:01	DET	Villanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 72.0%	20 28.0%
Q2 - 9:02	MIN	MISS Stiemsma 14' Jump Shot	27 72.7%	20 27.3%
Q2 - 9:12	MIN	Barea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 74.1%	20 25.9%
Q2 - 9:13	DET	MISS Jerebko 21' Jump Shot	27 73.5%	20 26.5%
Q2 - 9:30	MIN	Shved 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	27 72.0%	20 28.0%
Q2 - 9:49	DET	Middleton 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	25 70.1%	20 29.9%
Q2 - 10:08	MIN	Cunningham 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Shved 1 AST)	25 71.6%	18 28.4%
Q2 - 10:16	MIN	Pekovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	23 69.9%	18 30.1%
Q2 - 10:18	DET	MISS Stuckey Layup	23 69.2%	18 30.8%
Q2 - 10:29	DET	Jerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 67.5%	18 32.5%
Q2 - 10:32	MIN	MISS Pekovic Free Throw 1 of 1	23 67.8%	18 32.2%
Q2 - 10:37	DET	Monroe Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	21 65.6%	18 34.4%
Q2 - 10:41	MIN	Monroe STEAL (4 STL)	21 63.0%	18 37.0%
Q2 - 10:56	MIN	Pekovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	21 65.7%	18 34.3%
Q2 - 10:57	DET	MISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot	21 64.9%	18 35.1%
Q2 - 11:22	MIN	Pekovic Tip Shot (10 PTS)	21 62.9%	18 37.1%
Q2 - 11:23	MIN	Pekovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	19 60.7%	18 39.3%
Q2 - 11:24	MIN	MISS Budinger 10' Jump Shot	19 59.0%	18 41.0%
Q2 - 11:42	DET	Stuckey 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	19 60.7%	18 39.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIN		19 62.9%	16 37.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIN	Timberwolves Rebound	19 65.2%	16 34.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0	MIN	MISS Cunningham 40' 3PT Jump Shot	19 63.5%	16 36.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0	MIN	Cunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	19 64.6%	16 35.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0	DET	MISS Knight 19' Jump Shot	19 64.1%	16 35.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0	MIN	Pekovic 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Budinger 1 AST)	19 62.9%	16 37.1%
Q1 - 1:00	DET	Middleton Dunk (2 PTS)	17 60.2%	16 39.8%
Q1 - 1:04	DET	Jerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 62.9%	14 37.1%
Q1 - 1:05	MIN	MISS Rubio 1' Layup	17 63.4%	14 36.6%
Q1 - 1:11	MIN	Rubio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	17 64.5%	14 35.5%
Q1 - 1:12	DET	MISS Middleton 3PT Jump Shot	17 64.0%	14 36.0%
Q1 - 1:28	DET	Monroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	17 62.9%	14 37.1%
Q1 - 1:31	MIN	MISS Budinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot	17 63.4%	14 36.6%
Q1 - 1:45	MIN	Cunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	17 64.5%	14 35.5%
Q1 - 1:46	MIN	MISS Budinger 19' Jump Shot	17 63.4%	14 36.6%
Q1 - 2:10	DET	Knight Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	17 64.8%	14 35.2%
Q1 - 2:29	MIN	Ridnour 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rubio 1 AST)	17 62.8%	14 37.2%
Q1 - 2:37	DET	Monroe 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)	14 58.3%	14 41.7%
Q1 - 2:56	MIN	Ridnour 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)	14 60.7%	12 39.3%
Q1 - 3:15	DET	Singler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)	12 58.5%	12 41.5%
Q1 - 3:28	DET	Monroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	12 56.2%	12 43.8%
Q1 - 3:30	MIN	MISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot	12 56.9%	12 43.1%
Q1 - 3:50	MIN	Cunningham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 58.5%	12 41.5%
Q1 - 3:51	DET	MISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot	12 57.8%	12 42.2%
Q1 - 4:13	MIN	Ridnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	12 56.2%	12 43.8%
Q1 - 4:28	MIN	Rubio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 58.5%	12 41.5%
Q1 - 4:29	DET	MISS Calderon 19' Jump Shot	12 57.8%	12 42.2%
Q1 - 4:44	MIN	Pekovic 1' Layup (6 PTS)	12 56.2%	12 43.8%
Q1 - 4:45	MIN	Pekovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	10 54.2%	12 45.8%
Q1 - 4:48	MIN	MISS Cunningham 6' Floating Jump Shot	10 52.5%	12 47.5%
Q1 - 5:00	MIN	Pekovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	10 54.2%	12 45.8%
Q1 - 5:01	DET	MISS Singler 25' 3PT Jump Shot	10 53.4%	12 46.6%
Q1 - 5:24	MIN	Pekovic Foul Turnover (P2.T5)	10 51.8%	12 48.2%
Q1 - 5:42	MIN	Timberwolves Rebound	10 54.1%	12 45.9%
Q1 - 5:43	DET	MISS Singler 3PT Jump Shot	10 53.4%	12 46.6%
Q1 - 6:00	DET	Calderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 51.8%	12 48.2%
Q1 - 6:01	MIN	MISS Cunningham 1' Layup	10 52.6%	12 47.4%
Q1 - 6:07	DET	Singler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	10 54.1%	12 45.9%
Q1 - 6:15	MIN	Ridnour 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)	10 51.9%	12 48.1%
Q1 - 6:17	DET	Knight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	8 50.0%	12 50.0%
Q1 - 6:35	MIN	Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	8 47.8%	12 52.2%
Q1 - 6:37	MIN	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 50.0%	12 50.0%
Q1 - 6:38	DET	MISS Knight 2' Layup	8 49.4%	12 50.6%
Q1 - 6:44	DET	Singler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 47.8%	12 52.2%
Q1 - 6:46	MIN	MISS Kirilenko Reverse Layup	8 48.5%	12 51.5%
Q1 - 7:04	DET	Calderon 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	8 50.5%	12 49.5%
Q1 - 7:21	DET	Monroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	8 52.1%	10 47.9%
Q1 - 7:23	MIN	Maxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)	8 52.8%	10 47.2%
Q1 - 7:41	MIN	Pekovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 54.4%	10 45.6%
Q1 - 7:43	DET	MISS Maxiell 1' Alley Oop Dunk	8 53.7%	10 46.3%
Q1 - 7:50	MIN	Monroe STEAL (3 STL)	8 52.1%	10 47.9%
Q1 - 7:58	MIN	Pekovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 54.4%	10 45.6%
Q1 - 7:59	DET	MISS Singler 27' 3PT Jump Shot	8 53.7%	10 46.3%
Q1 - 8:14	MIN	Rubio 5' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)	8 52.6%	10 47.4%
Q1 - 8:38	DET	Monroe 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)	6 50.8%	10 49.2%
Q1 - 8:43	DET	Knight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 52.6%	8 47.4%
Q1 - 8:45	MIN	MISS Kirilenko 7' Jump Shot	6 53.2%	8 46.8%
Q1 - 9:07	DET	Maxiell 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)	6 55.0%	8 45.0%
Q1 - 9:09	DET	Maxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	6 56.7%	6 43.3%
Q1 - 9:10	DET	MISS Calderon 19' Jump Shot	6 58.0%	6 42.0%
Q1 - 9:27	MIN	Pekovic 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)	6 56.7%	6 43.3%
Q1 - 9:43	DET	Maxiell Foul Turnover (P1.T1)	4 55.0%	6 45.0%
Q1 - 9:53	MIN	Pekovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	4 53.0%	6 47.0%
Q1 - 9:53	MIN	Pekovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	3 52.6%	6 47.4%
Q1 - 10:10	DET	Singler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	2 51.8%	6 48.2%
Q1 - 10:10	DET	Singler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	2 52.1%	5 47.9%
Q1 - 10:12	MIN	Monroe STEAL (2 STL)	2 53.2%	4 46.8%
Q1 - 10:36	DET	Monroe 1' Layup (2 PTS)	2 55.2%	4 44.8%
Q1 - 10:40	DET	Monroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 56.7%	2 43.3%
Q1 - 10:41	DET	MISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot	2 58.0%	2 42.0%
Q1 - 11:02	MIN	Monroe STEAL (1 STL)	2 56.9%	2 43.1%
Q1 - 11:20	DET	Maxiell 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)	2 58.3%	2 41.7%
Q1 - 11:22	DET	Maxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 60.1%	0 39.9%
Q1 - 11:23	DET	MISS Knight 17' Jump Shot	2 61.1%	0 38.9%
Q1 - 11:40	MIN	Rubio 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 60.1%	0 39.9%
Q1 - 12:00	DET	Jump Ball Monroe vs. Pekovic: Tip to Rubio	0 58.3%	0 41.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.21 60.3%

DET

0.94 47.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

61%

DET

55%

Midrange

MIN

40%

DET

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

21.0

54%

81%

DET

10.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

MIN

88%

DET

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Barea	21	95%	10.5 / 11
N. Pekovic	18	75%	9.0 / 12
L. Ridnour	15	107%	7.5 / 7
R. Rubio	14	78%	7.0 / 9
A. Kirilenko	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Cunningham	8	40%	4.0 / 10
C. Budinger	7	35%	3.5 / 10
D. Williams	6	100%	3.0 / 3
A. Shved	5	50%	2.5 / 5
G. Stiemsma	2	20%	1.0 / 5
M. Gelabale	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Calderon	14	70%	7.0 / 10
G. Monroe	11	39%	5.5 / 14
K. Middleton	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. Singler	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Knight	7	35%	3.5 / 10
R. Stuckey	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. English	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Maxiell	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Jerebko	5	63%	2.5 / 4
V. Kravtsov	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Villanueva	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+11

-13

DET

+13

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.21 60.3%

DET

0.94 47.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	102.9 103.8	MIN 118.0 DET 93.2 +24.8
Pace	92.9 90.9	MIN 86.8 DET 90.3 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time	15.7 15.8	MIN 16.6 DET 15.9 +0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	47.3% 48.7%	MIN 62.0% +17.1% DET 44.9%
TO %	15.2% 15.9%	MIN 16.2% DET 15.0% +1.2%
ORB %	27.3% 28.3%	MIN 23.5% DET 25.0% +1.5%
FTrt	30.5 28.2	MIN 10.1 DET 16.5 +6.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	62.4% 58.5%	MIN 61.9% +5.6% DET 56.3%
STL %	9.1% 7.6%	MIN 11.2% +2.1% DET 9.1%
BLK %	7.6% 8.0%	MIN 5.1% DET 7.5% +2.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	50.2% 50.7%	MIN 60.3% +13.2% DET 47.1%
Rim FG%	56.8% 55.8%	MIN 60.6% +5.8% DET 54.8%
Mid FG%	38.5% 36.1%	MIN 40.0% +11.4% DET 28.6%
3P %	30.5% 35.6%	MIN 53.8% +18.8% DET 35.0%
FT %	74.2% 69.9%	MIN 87.5% +2.9% DET 84.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	39.1% 45.1%	MIN 41.8% +2.5% DET 39.2%
Mid Att. %	38.9% 33.2%	MIN 25.3% +10.1% DET 35.4%
3P Att. %	22.0% 21.7%	MIN 32.9% +7.6% DET 25.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.

Game Totals	MIN	DET
Possessions	89	88
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	105	82
Rebounds	41	37
Assists	26	18
Steals	10	8
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (3)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	26 (1)
Field Goals	42-79	32-79
At-the-Rim FG	20-33	17-31
Midrange FG	8-20	8-28
2-Point FG	28-53	25-59
3-Point FG	14-26	7-20
Free Throws	7-8	11-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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22 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Pekovic C · 6'11" 307 · 27	29.8	18	75%	11	2	0	1	2	1	3	8	4-5	80%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Ricky Rubio G · 6'4" 190 · 22	27.5	14	78%	4	9	2	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-2	100%
Luke Ridnour G · 6'2" 175 · 32	25.5	15	107%	1	3	3	0	1	1	1	0	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Andrei Kirilenko F · 6'9" 235 · 32	23.7	9	50%	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 22	17.4	6	100%	5	0	0	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Dante Cunningham F · 6'8" 230 · 26	27.5	8	40%	7	0	2	0	0	1	1	6	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Chase Budinger F · 6'7" 209 · 25	22.7	7	35%	3	2	0	1	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 29	20.5	21	95%	2	1	0	0	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	5-7	71%
Alexey Shved G · 6'6" 187 · 24	20.5	5	50%	2	7	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 27	18.2	2	20%	3	0	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Mickael Gelabale F · 6'7" 215 · 30	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Chris Johnson F · 6'11" 210 · 28	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevin Love F-C · 6'8" 251 · 25
Malcolm Lee # 8 · G · 6'5" 200 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brandon Roy # 3 · G · 6'6" 211 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	60%	41	26	10	3	13	0	8	33	7-8	88%	28-53	53%	14-26	54%

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22 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Pekovic C · 6'11" 307 · 27	29.8	18	75%	11	2	0	1	2	1	3	8	4-5	80%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Ricky Rubio G · 6'4" 190 · 22	27.5	14	78%	4	9	2	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-2	100%
Luke Ridnour G · 6'2" 175 · 32	25.5	15	107%	1	3	3	0	1	1	1	0	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Andrei Kirilenko F · 6'9" 235 · 32	23.7	9	50%	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 22	17.4	6	100%	5	0	0	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Dante Cunningham F · 6'8" 230 · 26	27.5	8	40%	7	0	2	0	0	1	1	6	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Chase Budinger F · 6'7" 209 · 25	22.7	7	35%	3	2	0	1	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
J.J. Barea G · 6'0" 185 · 29	20.5	21	95%	2	1	0	0	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	5-7	71%
Alexey Shved G · 6'6" 187 · 24	20.5	5	50%	2	7	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 27	18.2	2	20%	3	0	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Mickael Gelabale F · 6'7" 215 · 30	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Chris Johnson F · 6'11" 210 · 28	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevin Love F-C · 6'8" 251 · 25
Malcolm Lee # 8 · G · 6'5" 200 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brandon Roy # 3 · G · 6'6" 211 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	60%	41	26	10	3	13	0	8	33	7-8	88%	28-53	53%	14-26	54%

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27 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 31	32.3	14	70%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-2	100%
Kyle Singler F · 6'8" 228 · 25	29.1	8	50%	4	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Greg Monroe C · 6'11" 265 · 23	28.9	11	39%	12	1	4	0	2	2	5	7	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	0-1	0%
Brandon Knight G · 6'2" 182 · 21	26.5	7	35%	1	3	1	0	4	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-3	33%
Jason Maxiell F · 6'7" 260 · 30	25.5	6	60%	5	2	0	2	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Khris Middleton F · 6'7" 222 · 22	23.1	10	50%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Rodney Stuckey G · 6'5" 205 · 27	21.0	7	44%	2	2	0	0	3	2	1	1	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 26	15.9	5	63%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 29	13.6	2	14%	4	4	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Kim English G · 6'6" 200 · 25	12.0	7	88%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Viacheslav Kravtsov C · 6'11" 254 · 26	12.0	5	50%	4	2	1	1	0	0	1	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Will Bynum G · 6'0" 185 · 30
Corey Maggette F · 6'6" 225 · 33
Andre Drummond # 1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	47%	37	18	8	4	15	0	11	26	11-13	85%	25-59	42%	7-20	35%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE