FinalWin Prob.pScore
268%101
108
1732%95
89
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
127.18587.5
NOH
102.38784.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA108
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0NOHDavis 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIACole 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0NOHMISS Harris 22' Jump Shot106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0NOHHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11NOHMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 2106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 2106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46NOHGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46NOHGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)106
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52NOHHORNETS Rebound106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52NOHMISS Davis 12' Jump Shot106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32NOHGordon 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06NOHDavis 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Roberts 6 AST)103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24NOHHORNETS Rebound103
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26NOHMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42MIAAllen 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)103
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59NOHRoberts 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)101
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:17MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)101
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:35NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)98
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:35NOHDavis 2' Tip Shot (7 PTS)98
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:37NOHMISS Anderson 4' Jump Bank Shot98
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)98
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:11NOHThomas 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)98
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:25MIADavis STEAL (4 STL)98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:48NOHGordon 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)98
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:57NOHGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:58MIADavis BLOCK (2 BLK)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 6:17NOHAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)98
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 6:17NOHAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)98
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:31MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)98
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 6:52NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)95
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 6:52NOHMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 295
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 6:52NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)95
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 6:53NOHMISS Roberts 2' Layup95
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 7:14MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)95
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 7:35MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 7:35NOHMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 7:43NOHMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot92
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 8:06NOHThomas 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)92
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 8:33MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:33MIACole 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)92
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Allen 1' Layup90
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 8:41NOHRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)90
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 8:55NOHAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 9:15NOHRoberts 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)90
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 9:32MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)90
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 289
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 9:49NOHThomas 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)89
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 10:05MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)89
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 10:24NOHAnderson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)86
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 10:43MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)86
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 11:00NOHAnderson 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Roberts 5 AST)83
99.6%
62
0.4%
Q4 - 11:25MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)83
99.6%
60
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA81
99.5%
60
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHRoberts 14' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)81
99.5%
60
0.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS)81
99.5%
58
0.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0NOHAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Roberts 4 AST)78
99.3%
58
0.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (33 PTS)78
99.5%
55
0.5%
Q3 - 1:00NOHAminu 2' Dunk (7 PTS)76
99.4%
55
0.6%
Q3 - 1:04MIAAminu STEAL (1 STL)76
99.4%
53
0.6%
Q3 - 1:21NOHAnderson 9' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Roberts 3 AST)76
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)76
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHeat Rebound76
99.7%
51
0.3%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot76
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 2:03NOHAminu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)76
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 2:22NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)76
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 276
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 2:22MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)76
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 2:38NOHDavis 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)75
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 2:54MIAAllen 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)75
99.6%
49
0.4%
Q3 - 3:28NOHDavis Foul Turnover (P2.T17)73
99.4%
49
0.6%
Q3 - 3:34NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
99.3%
49
0.7%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
99.3%
49
0.7%
Q3 - 4:02NOHMiller 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)73
99.3%
49
0.7%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)73
99.4%
47
0.6%
Q3 - 4:49NOHGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)70
99.2%
47
0.8%
Q3 - 4:49NOHGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)70
99.2%
46
0.8%
Q3 - 4:54NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)70
99.3%
45
0.7%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot70
99.4%
45
0.6%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
99.4%
45
0.6%
Q3 - 5:09NOHMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
99.3%
45
0.7%
Q3 - 5:28NOHAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
99.2%
45
0.8%
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
99.3%
45
0.7%
Q3 - 5:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
99.4%
45
0.6%
Q3 - 5:41NOHMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot70
99.3%
45
0.7%
Q3 - 6:01MIABosh 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (James 6 AST)70
99.1%
45
0.9%
Q3 - 6:06NOHLopez Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)68
99.0%
45
1.0%
Q3 - 6:18MIAWade 2' Layup (14 PTS) (James 5 AST)68
98.8%
45
1.2%
Q3 - 6:24NOHGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)66
98.6%
45
1.4%
Q3 - 6:31NOHJump Ball Davis vs. Haslem: Tip to Lopez66
98.3%
45
1.7%
Q3 - 6:31MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)66
98.4%
45
1.6%
Q3 - 6:48NOHGordon Foul Turnover (P4.T14)66
98.6%
45
1.4%
Q3 - 6:52NOHLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
98.3%
45
1.7%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
98.4%
45
1.6%
Q3 - 7:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
98.4%
45
1.6%
Q3 - 7:07NOHMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot66
98.3%
45
1.7%
Q3 - 7:23MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)66
98.1%
45
1.9%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
98.4%
45
1.6%
Q3 - 7:33NOHMISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot66
98.3%
45
1.7%
Q3 - 7:45MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)66
98.1%
45
1.9%
Q3 - 8:04NOHGordon Foul Turnover (P3.T13)66
98.3%
45
1.7%
Q3 - 8:16MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)66
98.0%
45
2.0%
Q3 - 8:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
97.7%
45
2.3%
Q3 - 8:30NOHMISS Aminu 3' Layup64
97.6%
45
2.4%
Q3 - 8:36NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
97.3%
45
2.7%
Q3 - 8:37NOHMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
97.6%
45
2.4%
Q3 - 8:55NOHHORNETS Rebound64
97.3%
45
2.7%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
97.4%
45
2.6%
Q3 - 9:25NOHLopez 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)64
97.5%
45
2.5%
Q3 - 9:26NOHLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
97.8%
43
2.2%
Q3 - 9:27NOHMISS Gordon 9' Jump Shot64
98.0%
43
2.0%
Q3 - 9:35NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)64
97.8%
43
2.2%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot64
97.9%
43
2.1%
Q3 - 9:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
98.1%
43
1.9%
Q3 - 9:45NOHMISS Lopez 9' Hook Shot64
98.0%
43
2.0%
Q3 - 10:04MIAJames 2' Layup (30 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)64
97.7%
43
2.3%
Q3 - 10:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
97.4%
43
2.6%
Q3 - 10:09NOHMISS Lopez 2' Layup62
97.3%
43
2.7%
Q3 - 10:16MIADavis STEAL (3 STL)62
97.0%
43
3.0%
Q3 - 10:21NOHAminu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)62
97.4%
43
2.6%
Q3 - 10:34NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)62
97.0%
43
3.0%
Q3 - 10:36MIALopez BLOCK (1 BLK)62
97.1%
43
2.9%
Q3 - 10:48MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
97.4%
43
2.6%
Q3 - 10:48NOHMISS Roberts 20' Jump Shot62
97.3%
43
2.7%
Q3 - 11:04NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)62
96.8%
43
3.2%
Q3 - 11:05MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
96.9%
43
3.1%
Q3 - 11:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
97.2%
43
2.8%
Q3 - 11:12NOHMISS Roberts 7' Jump Shot62
97.1%
43
2.9%
Q3 - 11:30MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)62
96.8%
43
3.2%
Q3 - 11:45NOHGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)60
96.4%
43
3.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA60
95.8%
43
4.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHRoberts 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)60
96.4%
43
3.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)60
96.5%
41
3.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 259
96.4%
41
3.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0NOHAminu Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)59
96.4%
41
3.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0NOHMISS Aminu Free Throw 1 of 259
96.5%
40
3.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0NOHAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
96.5%
40
3.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0NOHMISS Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
96.8%
40
3.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0NOHLopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
96.6%
40
3.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot59
96.6%
40
3.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0NOHGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
96.9%
40
3.1%
Q2 - 0:54.0NOHGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)59
96.9%
39
3.1%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMiller 4' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)59
97.1%
38
2.9%
Q2 - 1:32NOHGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)57
96.6%
38
3.4%
Q2 - 1:46NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)57
97.5%
35
2.5%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot57
97.6%
35
2.4%
Q2 - 2:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
97.5%
35
2.5%
Q2 - 2:04NOHMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
97.4%
35
2.6%
Q2 - 2:32MIAWade 2' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)57
97.2%
35
2.8%
Q2 - 2:42NOHAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
96.9%
35
3.1%
Q2 - 2:42NOHAnderson 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)55
96.9%
35
3.1%
Q2 - 2:44NOHMISS Aminu 20' Jump Shot55
97.4%
33
2.6%
Q2 - 2:54MIAGordon STEAL (2 STL)55
97.2%
33
2.8%
Q2 - 3:15NOHRoberts 15' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)55
97.4%
33
2.6%
Q2 - 3:35MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)55
97.7%
31
2.3%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
98.0%
31
2.0%
Q2 - 3:46NOHMISS Roberts 22' Jump Shot55
97.9%
31
2.1%
Q2 - 4:04MIAWade 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)55
97.4%
31
2.6%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
97.2%
31
2.8%
Q2 - 4:11NOHMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
97.1%
31
2.9%
Q2 - 4:39MIABosh 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)53
96.8%
31
3.2%
Q2 - 4:56NOHGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)51
96.5%
31
3.5%
Q2 - 4:56NOHGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
96.6%
30
3.4%
Q2 - 5:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)51
96.7%
29
3.3%
Q2 - 5:19MIAHeat Rebound51
97.0%
29
3.0%
Q2 - 5:19MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
96.8%
29
3.2%
Q2 - 5:24MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
97.0%
29
3.0%
Q2 - 5:25NOHMISS Roberts 8' Jump Shot51
96.9%
29
3.1%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)51
96.7%
29
3.3%
Q2 - 6:14NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)49
96.1%
29
3.9%
Q2 - 6:14NOHAminu 1' Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS)49
96.1%
29
3.9%
Q2 - 6:15NOHMISS Gordon 2' Layup49
96.7%
27
3.3%
Q2 - 6:31MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)49
96.4%
27
3.6%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
96.1%
27
3.9%
Q2 - 6:45NOHMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot47
96.0%
27
4.0%
Q2 - 7:09NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)47
95.3%
27
4.7%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot47
95.5%
27
4.5%
Q2 - 7:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
95.9%
27
4.1%
Q2 - 7:36NOHMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
95.7%
27
4.3%
Q2 - 7:43NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)47
95.3%
27
4.7%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS James 19' Step Back Jump Shot47
95.5%
27
4.5%
Q2 - 7:54MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
95.9%
27
4.1%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
95.5%
27
4.5%
Q2 - 8:04NOHMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)47
95.5%
27
4.5%
Q2 - 8:26MIAJames 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (28 PTS)47
95.1%
27
4.9%
Q2 - 8:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
94.0%
27
6.0%
Q2 - 8:33NOHMISS Aminu 1' Layup44
93.8%
27
6.2%
Q2 - 8:45MIAJames 13' Jump Shot (25 PTS)44
93.4%
27
6.6%
Q2 - 8:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
92.8%
27
7.2%
Q2 - 8:56NOHMISS Anderson 14' Jump Shot42
92.5%
27
7.5%
Q2 - 9:16MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)42
91.7%
27
8.3%
Q2 - 9:31NOHAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Aminu 2 AST)39
90.1%
27
9.9%
Q2 - 9:53NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)39
91.7%
24
8.3%
Q2 - 9:54NOHMISS Mason Jr. 1' Layup39
92.3%
24
7.7%
Q2 - 10:19MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)39
91.5%
24
8.5%
Q2 - 10:26NOHMason Jr. Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)37
90.8%
24
9.2%
Q2 - 10:50MIACole 1' Layup (2 PTS)37
89.8%
24
10.2%
Q2 - 10:54NOHAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)35
89.0%
24
11.0%
Q2 - 11:14MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)35
87.6%
24
12.4%
Q2 - 11:40NOHAmundson 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)32
85.4%
24
14.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH32
86.6%
22
13.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound32
86.6%
22
13.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Roberts 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
87.4%
22
12.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0NOHAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
86.4%
22
13.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 232
86.5%
22
13.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)32
87.3%
22
12.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0NOHMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Roberts 2 AST)31
86.2%
22
13.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)31
88.5%
19
11.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0NOHAnderson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
86.2%
19
13.8%
Q1 - 1:24MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)28
87.3%
17
12.7%
Q1 - 1:37NOHAnderson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)25
84.8%
17
15.2%
Q1 - 1:55MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
86.3%
15
13.7%
Q1 - 2:20NOHMiller 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)22
83.8%
15
16.2%
Q1 - 2:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
85.0%
13
15.0%
Q1 - 2:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
84.8%
13
15.2%
Q1 - 2:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
83.7%
13
16.3%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
82.9%
13
17.1%
Q1 - 2:50MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
83.7%
13
16.3%
Q1 - 2:50NOHMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
83.4%
13
16.6%
Q1 - 3:10MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)20
82.6%
13
17.4%
Q1 - 3:36NOHGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
79.9%
13
20.1%
Q1 - 3:36NOHGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
80.1%
12
19.9%
Q1 - 3:51MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)17
81.2%
11
18.8%
Q1 - 4:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
79.9%
11
20.1%
Q1 - 4:02NOHMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot15
79.4%
11
20.6%
Q1 - 4:23MIAAllen 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)15
78.3%
11
21.7%
Q1 - 4:48NOHAnderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)13
76.9%
11
23.1%
Q1 - 4:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
75.2%
11
24.8%
Q1 - 4:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
74.8%
11
25.2%
Q1 - 5:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
73.3%
11
26.7%
Q1 - 5:10NOHMISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot11
72.8%
11
27.2%
Q1 - 5:31MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
71.5%
11
28.5%
Q1 - 5:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
69.9%
11
30.1%
Q1 - 5:45NOHMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
69.3%
11
30.7%
Q1 - 5:50NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)9
68.0%
11
32.0%
Q1 - 5:51NOHMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot9
69.3%
11
30.7%
Q1 - 6:03MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T5)9
68.2%
11
31.8%
Q1 - 6:04NOHDavis Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)9
70.1%
11
29.9%
Q1 - 6:04NOHHORNETS Rebound9
68.2%
11
31.8%
Q1 - 6:04NOHMISS Davis 3' Layup9
69.5%
11
30.5%
Q1 - 6:23MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)9
68.2%
11
31.8%
Q1 - 6:42NOHAminu 10' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
70.0%
11
30.0%
Q1 - 7:03MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)9
71.8%
9
28.2%
Q1 - 7:26NOHRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)7
70.5%
9
29.5%
Q1 - 7:45MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)7
73.3%
6
26.7%
Q1 - 7:50MIAJames Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)5
72.0%
6
28.0%
Q1 - 8:10NOHDavis 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)4
71.0%
6
29.0%
Q1 - 8:14NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
72.4%
4
27.6%
Q1 - 8:15NOHMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
73.5%
4
26.5%
Q1 - 8:30NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
72.4%
4
27.6%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot4
72.9%
4
27.1%
Q1 - 8:52NOHLopez 10' Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
74.0%
4
26.0%
Q1 - 9:07NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
75.5%
2
24.5%
Q1 - 9:08NOHMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot4
76.6%
2
23.4%
Q1 - 9:18MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)4
75.5%
2
24.5%
Q1 - 9:24NOHRoberts Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)4
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 9:42MIAJames 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
75.5%
2
24.5%
Q1 - 9:46NOHRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)2
74.3%
2
25.7%
Q1 - 9:52NOHHORNETS Rebound2
72.7%
2
27.3%
Q1 - 9:54NOHMISS Roberts 1' Layup2
73.8%
2
26.2%
Q1 - 9:59MIARoberts STEAL (1 STL)2
72.7%
2
27.3%
Q1 - 10:08NOHAminu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)2
74.4%
2
25.6%
Q1 - 10:12MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)2
72.8%
2
27.2%
Q1 - 10:18NOHLopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
74.4%
2
25.6%
Q1 - 10:18NOHLopez Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
74.6%
1
25.4%
Q1 - 10:28NOHRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
75.5%
0
24.5%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot2
75.9%
0
24.1%
Q1 - 10:54NOHLopez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
76.9%
0
23.1%
Q1 - 11:08NOHGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
75.6%
0
24.4%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot2
76.0%
0
24.0%
Q1 - 11:25NOHGordon Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
76.7%
0
23.3%
Q1 - 11:45MIAHaslem 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
75.6%
0
24.4%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Lopez vs. Bosh: Tip to Haslem0
74.3%
0
25.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.35 67.5%
NOH
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
22
82%
NOH
15
24
63%
Midrange
MIA
10
20
50%
NOH
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
27
52%
78%
NOH
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
10
16
63%
NOH
16
18
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3682%18.0 / 22
D. Wade1765%8.5 / 13
N. Cole12100%6.0 / 6
C. Bosh1063%5.0 / 8
S. Battier990%4.5 / 5
M. Miller650%3.0 / 6
R. Allen660%3.0 / 5
C. Andersen583%2.5 / 3
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
R. Lewis375%1.5 / 2
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Anderson2063%10.0 / 16
E. Gordon1753%8.5 / 16
B. Roberts1346%6.5 / 14
A. Davis1150%5.5 / 11
A. Aminu750%3.5 / 7
D. Miller788%3.5 / 4
R. Lopez660%3.0 / 5
L. Thomas675%3.0 / 4
L. Amundson2100%1.0 / 1
R. Mason Jr.0-0.0 / 4
T. Harris0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+5
-13
77
NOH
68
+16
-19
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.35 67.5%
NOH
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
106.0
MIA 127.1 +24.8
NOH 102.3
Pace
90.9
88.3
MIA 87.5 +2.9
NOH 84.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.5
MIA 16.5 +0.6
NOH 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
48.9%
MIA 71.0% +21.7%
NOH 49.3%
TO %
14.5%
15.4%
MIA 15.5% +3.3%
NOH 18.8%
ORB %
22.2%
29.2%
MIA 11.5%
NOH 31.4% +19.9%
FTrt
29.7
24.8
MIA 23.2
NOH 24.3 +1.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
58.2%
MIA 71.4% +15.5%
NOH 55.9%
STL %
9.5%
7.1%
MIA 12.9% +3.7%
NOH 9.2%
BLK %
9.1%
9.3%
MIA 5.4%
NOH 7.1% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
51.2%
MIA 67.5% +14.5%
NOH 53.0%
Rim FG%
65.9%
55.0%
MIA 81.8% +19.3%
NOH 62.5%
Mid FG%
41.9%
39.5%
MIA 50.0% +6.2%
NOH 43.8%
3P %
39.6%
36.3%
MIA 51.9% +24.1%
NOH 27.8%
FT %
75.4%
77.6%
MIA 62.5%
NOH 88.9% +26.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
39.0%
MIA 31.9%
NOH 32.4% +0.5%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
38.6%
MIA 29.0% +14.3%
NOH 43.2%
3P Att. %
28.5%
22.4%
MIA 39.1% +14.8%
NOH 24.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions8587
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points10889
Rebounds2734
Assists3019
Steals118
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (2)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (0)23 (2)
Field Goals42-6934-74
At-the-Rim FG18-2215-24
Midrange FG10-2014-32
2-Point FG28-4229-56
3-Point FG14-275-18
Free Throws10-1616-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
32.8
17
65%
0
9
4
1
6
1
0
0
3-4
75%
7-10
70%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
32.2
36
82%
4
6
2
0
3
0
0
4
3-5
60%
6-10
60%
7-10
70%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
22.4
4
40%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 218 · 33
22.2
6
50%
6
2
1
0
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
21.6
10
63%
4
2
0
1
3
4
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
28.1
9
90%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
26.9
12
100%
3
2
1
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
23.1
6
60%
2
4
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
17.0
5
83%
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
3.4
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 40
3.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
3.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#15 · G · 6'2" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
68%
27
30
11
3
13
0
3
24
10-16
63%
28-42
67%
14-27
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.