| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 LAL | 125.6 | 82 | 78.2 |
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Scoring Opportunities
LAL
75
+18
-7
93
SAC
72
+21
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
LAL
1.06 53.1%
SAC
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | LAL | SAC |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | LAL | 103 100% | 98 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 103 99.9% | 98 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:07.0 | SAC | MISS Cousins 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 103 99.8% | 98 0.2% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 103 99.1% | 98 0.9% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 102 99.0% | 98 1.0% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | LAL | Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 101 98.2% | 98 1.8% |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | SAC | MISS Cousins 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 101 97.1% | 98 2.9% |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | SAC | Salmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 101 93.2% | 98 6.8% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | SAC | MISS Cousins 22' Jump Shot | 101 97.2% | 98 2.8% |
| Q4 - 0:24.0 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 101 91.7% | 98 8.3% |
| Q4 - 0:24.0 | LAL | MISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 2 | 100 90.6% | 98 9.4% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | SAC | Evans Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12) | 100 88.9% | 98 11.1% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | SAC | Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 100 76.5% | 98 23.5% |
| Q4 - 0:54.0 | LAL | MISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot | 100 80.4% | 98 19.6% |
| Q4 - 1:18 | SAC | Evans Driving Layup (21 PTS) | 100 84.9% | 98 15.1% |
| Q4 - 1:23 | SAC | Cousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 100 89.9% | 96 10.1% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | LAL | MISS Gasol 4' Jump Shot | 100 91.5% | 96 8.5% |
| Q4 - 1:48 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 100 92.2% | 96 7.8% |
| Q4 - 1:49 | SAC | MISS Patterson 3PT Jump Shot | 100 90.9% | 96 9.1% |
| Q4 - 2:09 | LAL | Howard Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7) | 100 87.3% | 96 12.7% |
| Q4 - 2:09 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9) | 100 92.7% | 96 7.3% |
| Q4 - 2:10 | LAL | MISS Meeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 100 89.3% | 96 10.7% |
| Q4 - 2:35 | SAC | Cousins 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST) | 100 92.9% | 96 7.1% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | LAL | Gasol 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bryant 14 AST) | 100 93.6% | 94 6.4% |
| Q4 - 3:15 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9) | 98 91.3% | 94 8.7% |
| Q4 - 3:16 | LAL | MISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 98 87.8% | 94 12.2% |
| Q4 - 3:40 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 98 87.7% | 94 12.3% |
| Q4 - 3:42 | SAC | MISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 2 | 98 87.1% | 94 12.9% |
| Q4 - 3:42 | SAC | Cousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 98 84.3% | 94 15.7% |
| Q4 - 3:45 | SAC | Patterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 98 87.3% | 93 12.7% |
| Q4 - 3:46 | SAC | MISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 98 90.2% | 93 9.8% |
| Q4 - 4:01 | SAC | Cousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 98 87.6% | 93 12.4% |
| Q4 - 4:01 | LAL | MISS Bryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 98 88.9% | 93 11.1% |
| Q4 - 4:25 | SAC | KINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11) | 98 91.7% | 93 8.3% |
| Q4 - 4:25 | SAC | KINGS Rebound | 98 87.8% | 93 12.2% |
| Q4 - 4:25 | SAC | MISS Thornton 3PT Jump Shot | 98 90.6% | 93 9.4% |
| Q4 - 4:52 | LAL | Gasol 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Bryant 13 AST) | 98 87.9% | 93 12.1% |
| Q4 - 4:57 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9) | 96 83.7% | 93 16.3% |
| Q4 - 5:00 | SAC | MISS Patterson 3PT Jump Shot | 96 81.9% | 93 18.1% |
| Q4 - 5:05 | SAC | Evans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 96 74.5% | 93 25.5% |
| Q4 - 5:06 | SAC | MISS Evans 3' Layup | 96 79.0% | 93 21.0% |
| Q4 - 5:17 | SAC | Patterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 96 74.5% | 93 25.5% |
| Q4 - 5:17 | LAL | MISS Meeks 3PT Jump Shot | 96 76.6% | 93 23.4% |
| Q4 - 5:41 | SAC | Evans 3' Driving Layup (19 PTS) | 96 81.0% | 93 19.0% |
| Q4 - 6:00 | LAL | Howard 2' Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (Gasol 10 AST) | 96 85.3% | 91 14.7% |
| Q4 - 6:15 | SAC | Cousins 2' Layup (16 PTS) | 94 79.0% | 91 21.0% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | SAC | Cousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 94 83.2% | 89 16.8% |
| Q4 - 6:17 | SAC | MISS Thornton 7' Jump Shot | 94 86.2% | 89 13.8% |
| Q4 - 6:18 | SAC | Thornton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 94 83.2% | 89 16.8% |
| Q4 - 6:20 | SAC | MISS Cousins 2' Layup | 94 86.2% | 89 13.8% |
| Q4 - 6:38 | LAL | Blake 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gasol 9 AST) | 94 83.3% | 89 16.7% |
| Q4 - 6:58 | SAC | Evans 20' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 91 73.7% | 89 26.3% |
| Q4 - 7:19 | SAC | Cousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 91 77.5% | 87 22.5% |
| Q4 - 7:20 | LAL | MISS Meeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 91 79.1% | 87 20.9% |
| Q4 - 7:40 | SAC | Thornton 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST) | 91 82.4% | 87 17.6% |
| Q4 - 7:41 | SAC | Patterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 91 85.8% | 85 14.2% |
| Q4 - 7:43 | SAC | MISS Salmons 3PT Jump Shot | 91 88.2% | 85 11.8% |
| Q4 - 8:01 | SAC | KINGS Rebound | 91 84.4% | 85 15.6% |
| Q4 - 8:01 | SAC | MISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 91 86.6% | 85 13.4% |
| Q4 - 8:21 | LAL | Meeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bryant 12 AST) | 91 84.5% | 85 15.5% |
| Q4 - 8:40 | SAC | Thornton 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 88 76.6% | 85 23.4% |
| Q4 - 9:02 | LAL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 88 79.6% | 83 20.4% |
| Q4 - 9:02 | LAL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 87 78.0% | 83 22.0% |
| Q4 - 9:16 | SAC | Thornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 86 75.3% | 83 24.7% |
| Q4 - 9:16 | SAC | Thornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 86 75.9% | 82 24.1% |
| Q4 - 9:19 | SAC | Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 86 79.6% | 81 20.4% |
| Q4 - 9:20 | LAL | MISS Bryant 17' Jump Shot | 86 80.7% | 81 19.3% |
| Q4 - 9:30 | LAL | Lakers Rebound | 86 83.2% | 81 16.8% |
| Q4 - 9:30 | LAL | Salmons BLOCK (1 BLK) | 86 80.8% | 81 19.2% |
| Q4 - 9:43 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8) | 86 83.2% | 81 16.8% |
| Q4 - 9:44 | SAC | Hayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 86 79.7% | 81 20.3% |
| Q4 - 9:44 | SAC | MISS Hayes 3' Tip Shot | 86 82.2% | 81 17.8% |
| Q4 - 9:45 | SAC | MISS Evans 1' Layup | 86 82.2% | 81 17.8% |
| Q4 - 10:10 | LAL | Clark 3' Dunk (7 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 86 78.5% | 81 21.5% |
| Q4 - 10:16 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 84 74.5% | 81 25.5% |
| Q4 - 10:17 | LAL | MISS Clark 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 71.4% | 81 28.6% |
| Q4 - 10:33 | SAC | Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST) | 84 74.5% | 81 25.5% |
| Q4 - 10:36 | SAC | Hayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 84 82.1% | 78 17.9% |
| Q4 - 10:36 | SAC | MISS Evans 16' Jump Shot | 84 84.3% | 78 15.7% |
| Q4 - 10:47 | LAL | Howard 2' Layup (20 PTS) | 84 82.1% | 78 17.9% |
| Q4 - 10:48 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 82 78.6% | 78 21.4% |
| Q4 - 10:49 | LAL | MISS Howard 3' Layup | 82 75.8% | 78 24.2% |
| Q4 - 11:03 | LAL | Meeks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 82 77.4% | 78 22.6% |
| Q4 - 11:04 | LAL | MISS Clark 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 82 74.7% | 78 25.3% |
| Q4 - 11:17 | SAC | Thornton Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 82 77.5% | 78 22.5% |
| Q4 - 11:18 | SAC | Thornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 82 84.1% | 75 15.9% |
| Q4 - 11:19 | SAC | MISS Salmons 3PT Jump Shot | 82 86.0% | 75 14.0% |
| Q4 - 11:40 | SAC | Thornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 82 84.1% | 75 15.9% |
| Q4 - 11:41 | LAL | MISS Jamison 3PT Jump Shot | 82 85.0% | 75 15.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | LAL | 82 86.8% | 75 13.2% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | LAL | Lakers Rebound | 82 86.8% | 75 13.2% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | LAL | MISS Morris 67' 3PT Jump Shot | 82 85.0% | 75 15.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | SAC | Thomas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10) | 82 86.8% | 75 13.2% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | LAL | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS) | 82 83.4% | 75 16.6% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | LAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 81 80.3% | 75 19.7% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | LAL | Jamison 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS) | 81 80.3% | 75 19.7% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | LAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 79 76.7% | 75 23.3% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | LAL | MISS Jamison 2' Layup | 79 74.2% | 75 25.8% |
| Q3 - 0:23.0 | LAL | MISS Clark 17' Jump Shot | 79 74.2% | 75 25.8% |
| Q3 - 0:31.0 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 79 76.7% | 75 23.3% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | SAC | MISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 75.6% | 75 24.4% |
| Q3 - 0:41.0 | SAC | Thornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 79 73.0% | 75 27.0% |
| Q3 - 0:42.0 | LAL | MISS Jamison 3PT Jump Shot | 79 74.2% | 75 25.8% |
| Q3 - 1:05 | SAC | Cousins Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9) | 79 76.0% | 75 24.0% |
| Q3 - 1:10 | SAC | Cousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 79 72.3% | 75 27.7% |
| Q3 - 1:11 | LAL | MISS Clark 3PT Jump Shot | 79 73.5% | 75 26.5% |
| Q3 - 1:34 | LAL | Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 79 76.1% | 75 23.9% |
| Q3 - 1:35 | SAC | MISS Thornton 13' Jump Shot | 79 75.0% | 75 25.0% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 79 72.4% | 75 27.6% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | LAL | Howard 1' Tip Shot (18 PTS) | 79 72.4% | 75 27.6% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 77 68.2% | 75 31.8% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | LAL | MISS Howard 1' Tip Shot | 77 65.2% | 75 34.8% |
| Q3 - 1:57 | LAL | MISS Bryant 11' Jump Shot | 77 65.2% | 75 34.8% |
| Q3 - 2:14 | SAC | Cousins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 77 67.6% | 75 32.4% |
| Q3 - 2:31 | LAL | Howard 3' Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Bryant 11 AST) | 77 63.3% | 75 36.7% |
| Q3 - 2:40 | LAL | Clark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 75 59.0% | 75 41.0% |
| Q3 - 2:42 | LAL | MISS Bryant 10' Fadeaway Jumper | 75 55.8% | 75 44.2% |
| Q3 - 2:49 | SAC | Cousins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 75 59.0% | 75 41.0% |
| Q3 - 3:02 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 75 54.7% | 75 45.3% |
| Q3 - 3:02 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 74 54.0% | 75 46.0% |
| Q3 - 3:04 | SAC | Evans Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6) | 73 50.4% | 75 49.6% |
| Q3 - 3:26 | LAL | Blake Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 73 45.8% | 75 54.2% |
| Q3 - 3:34 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 73 50.4% | 75 49.6% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | SAC | MISS Cousins 3' Jump Shot | 73 49.0% | 75 51.0% |
| Q3 - 3:59 | LAL | Jamison 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bryant 10 AST) | 73 45.7% | 75 54.3% |
| Q3 - 4:13 | SAC | Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 71 42.3% | 75 57.7% |
| Q3 - 4:13 | SAC | MISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 | 71 42.7% | 74 57.3% |
| Q3 - 4:23 | LAL | Blake 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST) | 71 41.6% | 74 58.4% |
| Q3 - 4:36 | LAL | Lakers Rebound | 68 34.1% | 74 65.9% |
| Q3 - 4:36 | LAL | MISS Blake 22' Jump Shot | 68 31.1% | 74 68.9% |
| Q3 - 5:03 | SAC | Thomas 4' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 68 34.7% | 74 65.3% |
| Q3 - 5:16 | LAL | Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bryant 9 AST) | 68 38.0% | 72 62.0% |
| Q3 - 5:39 | SAC | Thompson 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 65 31.0% | 72 69.0% |
| Q3 - 5:40 | SAC | Thompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 65 34.1% | 70 65.9% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | SAC | MISS Thompson 3' Jump Shot | 65 37.2% | 70 62.8% |
| Q3 - 5:45 | SAC | Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 65 34.1% | 70 65.9% |
| Q3 - 5:46 | SAC | MISS Thomas 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 65 37.2% | 70 62.8% |
| Q3 - 6:09 | LAL | Howard Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5) | 65 35.2% | 70 64.8% |
| Q3 - 6:28 | SAC | Cousins 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Thomas 5 AST) | 65 39.4% | 70 60.6% |
| Q3 - 6:38 | SAC | Cousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 65 42.7% | 68 57.3% |
| Q3 - 6:39 | LAL | MISS Meeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 65 44.1% | 68 55.9% |
| Q3 - 6:57 | SAC | Cousins 3' Layup (12 PTS) | 65 47.2% | 68 52.8% |
| Q3 - 6:58 | SAC | Cousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 65 50.7% | 66 49.3% |
| Q3 - 6:59 | SAC | MISS Cousins 4' Jump Shot | 65 53.9% | 66 46.1% |
| Q3 - 7:23 | LAL | Bryant 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gasol 8 AST) | 65 50.8% | 66 49.2% |
| Q3 - 7:38 | SAC | Salmons Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5) | 63 47.3% | 66 52.7% |
| Q3 - 7:43 | SAC | Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 63 43.2% | 66 56.8% |
| Q3 - 7:43 | LAL | MISS Blake 3PT Jump Shot | 63 44.4% | 66 55.6% |
| Q3 - 8:02 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 63 47.6% | 66 52.4% |
| Q3 - 8:03 | SAC | MISS Salmons 16' Jump Shot | 63 46.3% | 66 53.7% |
| Q3 - 8:25 | LAL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 63 43.4% | 66 56.6% |
| Q3 - 8:25 | LAL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 62 42.0% | 66 58.0% |
| Q3 - 8:42 | SAC | Evans 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Cousins 2 AST) | 62 43.8% | 66 56.2% |
| Q3 - 9:03 | LAL | Bryant 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Gasol 7 AST) | 62 47.5% | 64 52.5% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | SAC | Evans Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 60 44.0% | 64 56.0% |
| Q3 - 9:21 | SAC | Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 60 51.1% | 61 48.9% |
| Q3 - 9:22 | LAL | MISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 52.3% | 61 47.7% |
| Q3 - 9:38 | SAC | Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 60 55.0% | 61 45.0% |
| Q3 - 9:38 | SAC | Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 60 55.7% | 60 44.3% |
| Q3 - 10:02 | LAL | Howard 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST) | 60 58.6% | 59 41.4% |
| Q3 - 10:15 | SAC | Thompson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 58 55.4% | 59 44.6% |
| Q3 - 10:31 | LAL | Blake 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST) | 58 51.6% | 59 48.4% |
| Q3 - 10:45 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 55 44.7% | 59 55.3% |
| Q3 - 10:45 | SAC | MISS Salmons 15' Jump Shot | 55 43.5% | 59 56.5% |
| Q3 - 11:05 | LAL | Meeks 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Bryant 8 AST) | 55 42.0% | 59 58.0% |
| Q3 - 11:17 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 53 38.8% | 59 61.2% |
| Q3 - 11:18 | SAC | MISS Thompson 16' Jump Shot | 53 37.8% | 59 62.2% |
| Q3 - 11:29 | SAC | Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 53 35.4% | 59 64.6% |
| Q3 - 11:29 | LAL | MISS Howard 12' Jump Shot | 53 36.5% | 59 63.5% |
| Q3 - 11:44 | SAC | Thompson 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Evans 6 AST) | 53 38.8% | 59 61.2% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | LAL | 53 41.9% | 57 58.1% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | SAC | Thomas 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST) | 53 45.5% | 57 54.5% |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 53 53.1% | 54 46.9% |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 52 52.6% | 54 47.4% |
| Q2 - 0:25.0 | LAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 51 48.9% | 54 51.1% |
| Q2 - 0:25.0 | SAC | MISS Salmons 3PT Jump Hook Shot | 51 48.1% | 54 51.9% |
| Q2 - 0:32.0 | SAC | Cousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 51 46.5% | 54 53.5% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | LAL | Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 51 48.9% | 54 51.1% |
| Q2 - 0:33.0 | LAL | MISS Gasol 3' Layup | 51 47.2% | 54 52.8% |
| Q2 - 0:35.0 | LAL | MISS Gasol 4' Jump Shot | 51 47.2% | 54 52.8% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | SAC | Evans 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST) | 51 48.9% | 54 51.1% |
| Q2 - 1:03 | SAC | Salmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 51 53.3% | 52 46.7% |
| Q2 - 1:04 | SAC | MISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 54.8% | 52 45.2% |
| Q2 - 1:31 | LAL | Howard Foul Turnover (P2.T4) | 51 53.3% | 52 46.7% |
| Q2 - 1:34 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 51 55.4% | 52 44.6% |
| Q2 - 1:36 | SAC | MISS Hayes 8' Jump Hook Shot | 51 54.8% | 52 45.2% |
| Q2 - 1:49 | SAC | Hayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 51 53.3% | 52 46.7% |
| Q2 - 1:50 | LAL | MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 | 51 53.6% | 52 46.4% |
| Q2 - 1:50 | LAL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 51 55.2% | 52 44.8% |
| Q2 - 2:06 | SAC | Hayes 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 5 AST) | 51 56.1% | 52 43.9% |
| Q2 - 2:24 | LAL | Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bryant 7 AST) | 51 59.0% | 50 41.0% |
| Q2 - 2:43 | SAC | Cousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 48 52.9% | 50 47.1% |
| Q2 - 2:43 | SAC | Cousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 48 53.7% | 49 46.3% |
| Q2 - 2:43 | SAC | KINGS Rebound | 48 56.0% | 48 44.0% |
| Q2 - 2:44 | SAC | MISS Hayes 4' Jump Hook Shot | 48 58.1% | 48 41.9% |
| Q2 - 2:45 | SAC | Hayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 48 56.0% | 48 44.0% |
| Q2 - 2:47 | SAC | MISS Hayes 13' Jump Shot | 48 58.1% | 48 41.9% |
| Q2 - 3:03 | SAC | KINGS Rebound | 48 56.1% | 48 43.9% |
| Q2 - 3:03 | SAC | MISS Evans 3' Driving Layup | 48 58.5% | 48 41.5% |
| Q2 - 3:17 | LAL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 48 56.1% | 48 43.9% |
| Q2 - 3:17 | LAL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 47 54.9% | 48 45.1% |
| Q2 - 3:17 | LAL | MISS Meeks Free Throw Technical | 47 56.6% | 48 43.4% |
| Q2 - 3:29 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 47 56.5% | 48 43.5% |
| Q2 - 3:30 | SAC | MISS Thornton 3PT Jump Shot | 47 55.5% | 48 44.5% |
| Q2 - 3:44 | SAC | Douglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 47 53.1% | 48 46.9% |
| Q2 - 3:45 | LAL | MISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot | 47 54.1% | 48 45.9% |
| Q2 - 4:01 | LAL | Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 47 56.5% | 48 43.5% |
| Q2 - 4:02 | SAC | MISS Cousins 3' Layup | 47 55.5% | 48 44.5% |
| Q2 - 4:19 | LAL | Howard 4' Layup (10 PTS) | 47 53.4% | 48 46.6% |
| Q2 - 4:28 | LAL | Meeks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 45 50.7% | 48 49.3% |
| Q2 - 4:30 | LAL | MISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 48.5% | 48 51.5% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | LAL | Meeks Free Throw Technical (9 PTS) | 45 50.7% | 48 49.3% |
| Q2 - 5:09 | SAC | Thornton 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 44 48.1% | 48 51.9% |
| Q2 - 5:12 | SAC | Thornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 44 51.0% | 46 49.0% |
| Q2 - 5:13 | SAC | MISS Patterson 19' Jump Shot | 44 52.9% | 46 47.1% |
| Q2 - 5:38 | LAL | Meeks 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST) | 44 50.9% | 46 49.1% |
| Q2 - 5:59 | SAC | Evans Layup (6 PTS) | 42 48.1% | 46 51.9% |
| Q2 - 6:00 | SAC | Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 50.9% | 44 49.1% |
| Q2 - 6:02 | LAL | MISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 51.8% | 44 48.2% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 42 54.1% | 44 45.9% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | SAC | MISS Cousins 18' Jump Shot | 42 53.1% | 44 46.9% |
| Q2 - 6:34 | LAL | Bryant 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 42 50.8% | 44 49.2% |
| Q2 - 6:51 | SAC | Thornton 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 40 48.6% | 44 51.4% |
| Q2 - 7:16 | SAC | Patterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 40 53.9% | 41 46.1% |
| Q2 - 7:16 | LAL | MISS Gasol 12' Jump Shot | 40 54.8% | 41 45.2% |
| Q2 - 7:39 | LAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 40 56.9% | 41 43.1% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | SAC | MISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot | 40 56.0% | 41 44.0% |
| Q2 - 7:54 | LAL | Bryant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 40 53.9% | 41 46.1% |
| Q2 - 8:05 | LAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 38 51.6% | 41 48.4% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | SAC | MISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 50.8% | 41 49.2% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | LAL | Bryant 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 38 48.9% | 41 51.1% |
| Q2 - 8:39 | LAL | Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 36 46.5% | 41 53.5% |
| Q2 - 8:40 | SAC | MISS Thornton 19' Jump Shot | 36 45.6% | 41 54.4% |
| Q2 - 8:50 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 36 43.8% | 41 56.2% |
| Q2 - 8:50 | LAL | Bryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 35 43.4% | 41 56.6% |
| Q2 - 8:50 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 34 41.4% | 41 58.6% |
| Q2 - 8:50 | LAL | Patterson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 34 39.5% | 41 60.5% |
| Q2 - 9:04 | LAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 34 41.9% | 41 58.1% |
| Q2 - 9:05 | LAL | MISS Duhon 3PT Jump Shot | 34 40.1% | 41 59.9% |
| Q2 - 9:20 | LAL | Clark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 34 41.9% | 41 58.1% |
| Q2 - 9:21 | SAC | MISS Salmons 5' Jump Shot | 34 41.1% | 41 58.9% |
| Q2 - 9:39 | LAL | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 34 39.3% | 41 60.7% |
| Q2 - 9:39 | LAL | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 33 38.7% | 41 61.3% |
| Q2 - 9:57 | SAC | Salmons 18' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 32 37.1% | 41 62.9% |
| Q2 - 10:13 | LAL | Clark 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bryant 6 AST) | 32 39.4% | 39 60.6% |
| Q2 - 10:27 | SAC | Salmons 14' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 29 35.2% | 39 64.8% |
| Q2 - 10:40 | LAL | Gasol 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 29 37.1% | 37 62.9% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | LAL | Clark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 35.2% | 37 64.8% |
| Q2 - 10:59 | SAC | MISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 34.4% | 37 65.6% |
| Q2 - 11:21 | LAL | Gasol 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST) | 27 32.9% | 37 67.1% |
| Q2 - 11:32 | LAL | Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 30.9% | 37 69.1% |
| Q2 - 11:33 | SAC | MISS Evans 4' Layup | 25 30.2% | 37 69.8% |
| Q2 - 11:39 | SAC | Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 25 28.7% | 37 71.3% |
| Q2 - 11:40 | LAL | MISS Bryant 12' Jump Shot | 25 29.4% | 37 70.6% |
| Q2 - 11:47 | SAC | Hayes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 25 30.9% | 37 69.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAC | 25 28.7% | 37 71.3% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAC | KINGS Rebound | 25 28.7% | 37 71.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAC | MISS Evans 64' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 30.2% | 37 69.8% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | LAL | Duhon Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 25 29.5% | 37 70.5% |
| Q1 - 0:10.0 | SAC | Evans 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 25 31.0% | 37 69.0% |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | SAC | Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 33.5% | 35 66.5% |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | LAL | MISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 34.0% | 35 66.0% |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | LAL | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 25 35.2% | 35 64.8% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | LAL | MISS Jamison 3' Jump Shot | 25 34.0% | 35 66.0% |
| Q1 - 0:53.0 | SAC | Thornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 25 35.2% | 35 64.8% |
| Q1 - 0:53.0 | SAC | MISS Thornton Free Throw 1 of 2 | 25 35.5% | 34 64.5% |
| Q1 - 1:10 | SAC | Hayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 36.4% | 34 63.6% |
| Q1 - 1:15 | LAL | MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 | 25 36.6% | 34 63.4% |
| Q1 - 1:15 | LAL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 25 37.6% | 34 62.4% |
| Q1 - 1:29 | SAC | Thompson 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST) | 25 37.9% | 34 62.1% |
| Q1 - 1:36 | SAC | Cousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 25 40.7% | 32 59.3% |
| Q1 - 1:40 | LAL | MISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 41.2% | 32 58.8% |
| Q1 - 1:51 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 25 42.4% | 32 57.6% |
| Q1 - 1:52 | SAC | MISS Cousins 7' Jump Hook Shot | 25 41.9% | 32 58.1% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | SAC | Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 25 40.9% | 32 59.1% |
| Q1 - 2:10 | SAC | MISS Cousins 5' Jump Hook Shot | 25 42.4% | 32 57.6% |
| Q1 - 2:27 | LAL | Howard Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2) | 25 40.9% | 32 59.1% |
| Q1 - 2:45 | SAC | Thompson 3' Layup (9 PTS) (Cousins 1 AST) | 25 43.0% | 32 57.0% |
| Q1 - 3:00 | LAL | Clark 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST) | 25 45.4% | 30 54.6% |
| Q1 - 3:27 | SAC | Evans Traveling Turnover (P2.T2) | 23 43.4% | 30 56.6% |
| Q1 - 3:31 | SAC | Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 41.1% | 30 58.9% |
| Q1 - 3:32 | LAL | MISS Bryant 16' Pullup Jump Shot | 23 41.8% | 30 58.2% |
| Q1 - 3:50 | SAC | Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST) | 23 43.4% | 30 56.6% |
| Q1 - 4:02 | LAL | Howard 2' Layup (8 PTS) | 23 48.1% | 27 51.9% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | SAC | Evans 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 21 46.0% | 27 54.0% |
| Q1 - 4:37 | LAL | Meeks 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blake 1 AST) | 21 48.0% | 25 52.0% |
| Q1 - 4:55 | SAC | Cousins 7' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 18 43.8% | 25 56.2% |
| Q1 - 5:12 | SAC | Cousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 18 46.1% | 23 53.9% |
| Q1 - 5:13 | LAL | MISS Jamison 3' Layup | 18 46.8% | 23 53.2% |
| Q1 - 5:21 | SAC | Evans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 18 48.4% | 23 51.6% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | SAC | Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 46.1% | 23 53.9% |
| Q1 - 5:26 | LAL | MISS Jamison 12' Jump Shot | 18 46.8% | 23 53.2% |
| Q1 - 5:40 | SAC | Cousins 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Evans 4 AST) | 18 48.4% | 23 51.6% |
| Q1 - 5:45 | LAL | Salmons STEAL (1 STL) | 18 50.3% | 21 49.7% |
| Q1 - 5:59 | SAC | Thompson 11' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Evans 3 AST) | 18 52.6% | 21 47.4% |
| Q1 - 6:12 | LAL | Blake 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST) | 18 54.5% | 19 45.5% |
| Q1 - 6:29 | SAC | Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST) | 15 50.6% | 19 49.4% |
| Q1 - 6:49 | LAL | Howard 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST) | 15 54.5% | 16 45.5% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | SAC | Cousins 5' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) | 13 53.1% | 16 46.9% |
| Q1 - 7:23 | LAL | Howard 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST) | 13 54.6% | 14 45.4% |
| Q1 - 7:38 | SAC | Thompson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 11 53.0% | 14 47.0% |
| Q1 - 7:53 | LAL | Gasol 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST) | 11 56.5% | 11 43.5% |
| Q1 - 8:08 | SAC | Cousins 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 9 55.3% | 11 44.7% |
| Q1 - 8:28 | LAL | Meeks 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST) | 9 57.0% | 9 43.0% |
| Q1 - 8:42 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 53.4% | 9 46.6% |
| Q1 - 8:42 | SAC | MISS Cousins 21' Jump Shot | 6 52.7% | 9 47.3% |
| Q1 - 9:03 | SAC | Salmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 51.8% | 9 48.2% |
| Q1 - 9:03 | LAL | MISS Meeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 52.5% | 9 47.5% |
| Q1 - 9:18 | LAL | MISS Bryant Free Throw Technical | 6 53.8% | 9 46.2% |
| Q1 - 9:30 | LAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 53.8% | 9 46.2% |
| Q1 - 9:31 | SAC | MISS Cousins 20' Jump Shot | 6 53.2% | 9 46.8% |
| Q1 - 9:51 | LAL | Howard 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST) | 6 51.8% | 9 48.2% |
| Q1 - 10:02 | SAC | Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Evans 2 AST) | 4 50.7% | 9 49.3% |
| Q1 - 10:12 | SAC | Thomas Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 4 53.9% | 6 46.1% |
| Q1 - 10:26 | LAL | Gasol 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST) | 4 55.6% | 5 44.4% |
| Q1 - 10:40 | SAC | Salmons 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Evans 1 AST) | 2 54.1% | 5 45.9% |
| Q1 - 10:51 | SAC | Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 57.3% | 2 42.7% |
| Q1 - 10:52 | LAL | MISS Bryant 16' Jump Shot | 2 57.9% | 2 42.1% |
| Q1 - 11:02 | LAL | Meeks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 58.9% | 2 41.1% |
| Q1 - 11:02 | SAC | MISS Thompson 18' Jump Shot | 2 58.5% | 2 41.5% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | LAL | Nash 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 2 57.5% | 2 42.5% |
| Q1 - 11:26 | SAC | Thompson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST) | 0 55.7% | 2 44.3% |
| Q1 - 11:36 | SAC | Cousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 57.5% | 0 42.5% |
| Q1 - 11:37 | LAL | MISS Howard 6' Jump Hook Shot | 0 57.9% | 0 42.1% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | SAC | Jump Ball Thompson vs. Howard: Tip to Nash | 0 59.0% | 0 41.0% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
LAL
1.06 53.1%
SAC
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
20
30
67%
SAC
19
32
59%
Midrange
LAL
8
22
36%
SAC
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
SAC
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
LAL
17
26
65%
SAC
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Lakers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Howard | 24 | 63% | 12.0 / 19 | |
| K. Bryant | 19 | 41% | 9.5 / 23 | |
| S. Blake | 15 | 83% | 7.5 / 9 | |
| J. Meeks | 14 | 70% | 7.0 / 10 | |
| P. Gasol | 12 | 55% | 6.0 / 11 | |
| A. Jamison | 10 | 42% | 5.0 / 12 | |
| E. Clark | 7 | 50% | 3.5 / 7 | |
| S. Nash | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| C. Duhon | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| D. Morris | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Kings| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Evans | 21 | 66% | 10.5 / 16 | |
| D. Cousins | 19 | 43% | 9.5 / 22 | |
| M. Thornton | 18 | 53% | 9.0 / 17 | |
| J. Thompson | 15 | 75% | 7.5 / 10 | |
| J. Salmons | 13 | 54% | 6.5 / 12 | |
| I. Thomas | 10 | 83% | 5.0 / 6 | |
| C. Hayes | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| P. Patterson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
LAL
75
+18
-7
93
SAC
72
+21
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
LAL
1.06 53.1%
SAC
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 108.3 106.7 | LAL 125.6 +7.5 SAC 118.1 |
| Pace | 94.1 93.3 | LAL 78.2 SAC 87.2 +9.0 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.2 14.9 | LAL 18.4 SAC 16.5 +1.9 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 51.2% 49.1% | LAL 52.4% +3.0% SAC 49.4% |
| TO % | 15.5% 14.9% | LAL 7.0% +4.4% SAC 11.4% |
| ORB % | 27.0% 26.7% | LAL 34.9% SAC 37.2% +2.3% |
| FTrt | 34.5 27.1 | LAL 31.7 +13.1 SAC 18.6 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 59.8% 55.3% | LAL 73.7% +25.0% SAC 48.7% |
| STL % | 7.5% 8.7% | LAL 11.0% +9.8% SAC 1.2% |
| BLK % | 7.9% 6.7% | LAL 11.3% +7.5% SAC 3.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.3% 52.0% | LAL 53.1% +1.0% SAC 52.1% |
| Rim FG% | 59.2% 56.8% | LAL 66.7% +7.3% SAC 59.4% |
| Mid FG% | 40.3% 36.8% | LAL 36.4% SAC 43.3% +6.9% |
| 3P % | 35.5% 36.3% | LAL 33.3% +4.1% SAC 29.2% |
| FT % | 69.2% 76.9% | LAL 65.4% SAC 81.3% +15.9% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 37.0% 40.0% | LAL 36.6% SAC 37.2% +0.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 32.7% 35.7% | LAL 26.8% +8.1% SAC 34.9% |
| 3P Att. % | 30.3% 24.3% | LAL 36.6% +8.7% SAC 27.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | LAL | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 82 | 83 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.2 | 22.8 |
| Points | 103 | 98 |
| Rebounds | 42 | 44 |
| Assists | 28 | 19 |
| Steals | 9 | 1 |
| Blocks | 7 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 7 (0) | 11 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 15 (3) | 16 (5) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 27 (0) | 28 (0) |
| Field Goals | 38-82 | 39-86 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 20-30 | 19-32 |
| Midrange FG | 8-22 | 13-30 |
| 2-Point FG | 28-52 | 32-62 |
| 3-Point FG | 10-30 | 7-24 |
| Free Throws | 17-26 | 13-16 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.