FinalWin Prob.pScore
529%98
99
171%105
100
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
103.196101.0
SAS logo SAS
106.49491.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN99
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound99
5.1%
100
94.9%
Q4 - 0:01.0DENMISS Miller 3' Driving Layup99
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)99
34.2%
100
65.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot99
25.5%
100
74.5%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)99
15.4%
100
84.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)98
13.9%
100
86.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
10.4%
100
89.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot97
8.4%
100
91.6%
Q4 - 1:09DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)97
7.0%
100
93.0%
Q4 - 1:09DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
6.5%
100
93.5%
Q4 - 1:26SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)95
5.4%
100
94.6%
Q4 - 1:48DENMcGee 1' Dunk (21 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)95
15.6%
97
84.4%
Q4 - 2:03SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (23 PTS)93
11.6%
97
88.4%
Q4 - 2:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)93
15.8%
95
84.2%
Q4 - 2:05SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup93
22.5%
95
77.5%
Q4 - 2:25DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
15.8%
95
84.2%
Q4 - 2:25DENIguodala 1' Putback Dunk (10 PTS)93
15.8%
95
84.2%
Q4 - 2:26DENGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)91
7.9%
95
92.1%
Q4 - 2:31DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
12.0%
95
88.0%
Q4 - 2:32SASMISS Ginobili 9' Jump Shot91
10.0%
95
90.0%
Q4 - 2:56SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
7.7%
95
92.3%
Q4 - 2:57DENMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
9.0%
95
91.0%
Q4 - 3:12DENNuggets Rebound91
12.7%
95
87.3%
Q4 - 3:13SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot91
10.9%
95
89.1%
Q4 - 3:26DENGallinari Foul Turnover (P4.T15)91
7.5%
95
92.5%
Q4 - 3:43SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)91
14.4%
95
85.6%
Q4 - 3:43SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 291
15.4%
94
84.6%
Q4 - 3:56SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
13.7%
94
86.3%
Q4 - 3:57DENMISS Chandler 16' Step Back Jump Shot91
15.3%
94
84.7%
Q4 - 4:15DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
19.3%
94
80.7%
Q4 - 4:16SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot91
17.4%
94
82.6%
Q4 - 4:35DENMcGee 2' Driving Dunk (19 PTS) (Iguodala 7 AST)91
13.4%
94
86.6%
Q4 - 4:52SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)89
9.8%
94
90.2%
Q4 - 5:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)89
15.2%
92
84.8%
Q4 - 5:11DENMISS Miller 3' Layup89
16.7%
92
83.3%
Q4 - 5:14DENIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
20.5%
92
79.5%
Q4 - 5:16SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot89
18.7%
92
81.3%
Q4 - 5:37DENMcGee Foul Turnover (P1.T14)89
15.1%
92
84.9%
Q4 - 5:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)89
20.5%
92
79.5%
Q4 - 5:45SASDuncan 2' Putback Layup (18 PTS)89
20.5%
92
79.5%
Q4 - 5:47SASMISS Parker 7' Floating Jump Shot89
31.2%
90
68.8%
Q4 - 6:01DENFaried Foul Turnover (P2.T13)89
26.2%
90
73.8%
Q4 - 6:17SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)89
33.1%
90
66.9%
Q4 - 6:27DENGreen STEAL (1 STL)89
26.2%
90
73.8%
Q4 - 6:46SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
33.1%
90
66.9%
Q4 - 6:46SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)89
34.2%
89
65.8%
Q4 - 6:53SASSPURS Rebound89
39.5%
88
60.5%
Q4 - 6:53SASMISS Parker 4' Running Layup89
45.1%
88
54.9%
Q4 - 7:08DENSplitter STEAL (1 STL)89
38.3%
88
61.7%
Q4 - 7:22DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
45.7%
88
54.3%
Q4 - 7:23SASMISS Splitter 16' Jump Shot89
43.4%
88
56.6%
Q4 - 7:51DENMiller 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)89
38.4%
88
61.6%
Q4 - 7:59SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)87
32.6%
88
67.4%
Q4 - 7:59SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)87
34.2%
87
65.8%
Q4 - 7:59SASMISS Leonard Free Throw Technical87
38.4%
86
61.6%
Q4 - 7:59SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
38.4%
86
61.6%
Q4 - 8:01SASMISS Ginobili 2' Dunk87
42.2%
86
57.8%
Q4 - 8:11DENIguodala 2' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)87
38.0%
86
62.0%
Q4 - 8:20SASParker Traveling Turnover (P4.T17)85
32.1%
86
67.9%
Q4 - 8:21DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)85
26.9%
86
73.1%
Q4 - 8:24DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
32.1%
86
67.9%
Q4 - 8:26DENMISS Brewer 3' Layup85
28.4%
86
71.6%
Q4 - 8:35DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
32.2%
86
67.8%
Q4 - 8:36SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot85
30.5%
86
69.5%
Q4 - 8:47DENMiller 7' Driving Bank Shot (12 PTS)85
26.8%
86
73.2%
Q4 - 8:59SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)83
22.1%
86
77.9%
Q4 - 8:59SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)83
22.8%
85
77.2%
Q4 - 9:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
27.1%
84
72.9%
Q4 - 9:03DENMISS Faried 4' Alley Oop Dunk83
28.5%
84
71.5%
Q4 - 9:18SASDiaw Foul Turnover (P2.T16)83
31.9%
84
68.1%
Q4 - 9:37DENMiller 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)83
27.1%
84
72.9%
Q4 - 9:42DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
22.5%
84
77.5%
Q4 - 9:43SASMISS Splitter 5' Jump Shot81
21.3%
84
78.7%
Q4 - 9:57SASSPURS Rebound81
18.7%
84
81.3%
Q4 - 9:57DENMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 181
19.2%
84
80.8%
Q4 - 10:09SASSplitter Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)79
15.7%
84
84.3%
Q4 - 10:27SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
13.0%
84
87.0%
Q4 - 10:29DENMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot79
13.8%
84
86.2%
Q4 - 10:41SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)79
15.7%
84
84.3%
Q4 - 10:57DENMcGee 2' Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)79
12.9%
84
87.1%
Q4 - 11:07DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)77
11.3%
84
88.7%
Q4 - 11:08SASMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 277
11.0%
84
89.0%
Q4 - 11:08SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
9.6%
84
90.4%
Q4 - 11:18DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)77
11.3%
83
88.7%
Q4 - 11:18DENMcGee Tip Shot (15 PTS)77
11.3%
83
88.7%
Q4 - 11:19DENMISS Miller 1' Reverse Layup75
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q4 - 11:28DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
9.3%
83
90.7%
Q4 - 11:34DENMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN75
9.2%
83
90.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound75
9.2%
83
90.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Brewer 40' 3PT Jump Shot75
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASJoseph 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)75
9.8%
83
90.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)75
14.1%
80
85.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0SASGinobili 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)75
16.6%
80
83.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)75
19.8%
78
80.2%
Q3 - 1:00DENMISS Gallinari 1' Layup75
20.8%
78
79.2%
Q3 - 1:08DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)75
23.2%
78
76.8%
Q3 - 1:09SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot75
22.2%
78
77.8%
Q3 - 1:27SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
19.9%
78
80.1%
Q3 - 1:28DENMISS Miller 9' Jump Bank Shot75
20.9%
78
79.1%
Q3 - 1:40SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)75
23.2%
78
76.8%
Q3 - 2:01DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)75
19.9%
78
80.1%
Q3 - 2:01DENMcGee Tip Shot (13 PTS)75
19.9%
78
80.1%
Q3 - 2:02DENMISS Miller 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot73
15.4%
78
84.6%
Q3 - 2:20SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)73
17.2%
78
82.8%
Q3 - 2:39DENMiller 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)73
23.0%
75
77.0%
Q3 - 2:57SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)71
20.0%
75
80.0%
Q3 - 3:14DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
17.2%
75
82.8%
Q3 - 3:14DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q3 - 3:32SASParker 5' Driving Bank Shot (14 PTS)69
14.9%
75
85.1%
Q3 - 3:42SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
17.2%
73
82.8%
Q3 - 3:43DENMISS Miller 11' Jump Shot69
18.0%
73
82.0%
Q3 - 3:54SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
20.0%
73
80.0%
Q3 - 3:54SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 269
20.5%
72
79.5%
Q3 - 4:08DENMcGee 1' Putback Dunk (11 PTS)69
19.8%
72
80.2%
Q3 - 4:09DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
17.6%
72
82.4%
Q3 - 4:10DENMISS Miller 1' Driving Reverse Layup67
15.7%
72
84.3%
Q3 - 4:22SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)67
17.6%
72
82.4%
Q3 - 4:35DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
22.7%
69
77.3%
Q3 - 4:35DENMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 266
21.9%
69
78.1%
Q3 - 4:48SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
23.2%
69
76.8%
Q3 - 4:48SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
23.6%
68
76.4%
Q3 - 4:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)66
25.9%
67
74.1%
Q3 - 4:58DENMISS Chandler 17' Jump Shot66
27.1%
67
72.9%
Q3 - 5:06DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
29.5%
67
70.5%
Q3 - 5:07SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot66
28.3%
67
71.7%
Q3 - 5:16DENIguodala Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T8)66
25.7%
67
74.3%
Q3 - 5:29SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)66
29.5%
67
70.5%
Q3 - 5:45DENGallinari 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
32.6%
65
67.4%
Q3 - 6:00SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)64
29.5%
65
70.5%
Q3 - 6:00SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)64
30.3%
64
69.7%
Q3 - 6:31SASSPURS Rebound62
25.6%
63
74.4%
Q3 - 6:31SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
29.2%
63
70.8%
Q3 - 6:31SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 262
30.1%
62
69.9%
Q3 - 6:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)62
28.7%
62
71.3%
Q3 - 6:41DENMISS Lawson 3PT Jump Shot62
29.9%
62
70.1%
Q3 - 6:53DENNuggets Rebound62
32.6%
62
67.4%
Q3 - 6:54DENMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot62
29.9%
62
70.1%
Q3 - 7:05SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
31.9%
62
68.1%
Q3 - 7:05SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 262
32.8%
61
67.2%
Q3 - 7:18SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
31.7%
61
68.3%
Q3 - 7:20DENGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)62
32.8%
61
67.2%
Q3 - 7:26SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)62
35.4%
61
64.6%
Q3 - 7:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
31.7%
61
68.3%
Q3 - 7:44SASMISS Splitter 4' Jump Shot62
34.3%
61
65.7%
Q3 - 8:01DENGallinari 19' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)62
31.3%
61
68.7%
Q3 - 8:14SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
28.5%
61
71.5%
Q3 - 8:14SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
29.3%
60
70.7%
Q3 - 8:37DENLawson 1' Layup (2 PTS)60
31.3%
59
68.7%
Q3 - 8:39SASGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)58
28.5%
59
71.5%
Q3 - 8:42SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
25.2%
59
74.8%
Q3 - 8:43DENMISS Lawson 8' Jump Shot58
26.2%
59
73.8%
Q3 - 8:54SASParker 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
28.5%
59
71.5%
Q3 - 9:13DENGallinari 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)58
30.9%
57
69.1%
Q3 - 9:38SASSplitter 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)56
28.1%
57
71.9%
Q3 - 9:47SASSPURS Rebound56
31.0%
55
69.0%
Q3 - 9:49SASMISS Leonard 10' Jump Shot56
33.3%
55
66.7%
Q3 - 10:04SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
30.2%
55
69.8%
Q3 - 10:05DENDuncan BLOCK (5 BLK)56
31.2%
55
68.8%
Q3 - 10:23SASParker 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
33.6%
55
66.4%
Q3 - 10:37DENFaried 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Iguodala 6 AST)56
36.6%
53
63.4%
Q3 - 10:58SASLeonard 1' Dunk (6 PTS)54
33.6%
53
66.4%
Q3 - 11:04SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
35.9%
51
64.1%
Q3 - 11:05DENMISS Iguodala 16' Jump Shot54
36.9%
51
63.1%
Q3 - 11:14DENNuggets Rebound54
39.3%
51
60.7%
Q3 - 11:14DENDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)54
37.0%
51
63.0%
Q3 - 11:23DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
39.3%
51
60.7%
Q3 - 11:26SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup54
38.3%
51
61.7%
Q3 - 11:27SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
36.0%
51
64.0%
Q3 - 11:28SASMISS Green 11' Jump Shot54
38.3%
51
61.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN54
36.0%
51
64.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)54
38.2%
51
61.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 254
38.6%
50
61.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
39.1%
50
60.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENMISS Brewer 23' Jump Shot54
39.8%
50
60.2%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
41.4%
50
58.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0SASMISS Duncan 13' Fadeaway Jumper54
40.7%
50
59.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0DENChandler 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Iguodala 5 AST)54
39.1%
50
60.9%
Q2 - 1:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
34.9%
50
65.1%
Q2 - 1:04SASDuncan 2' Putback Layup (12 PTS)52
34.9%
50
65.1%
Q2 - 1:05SASMISS Leonard 1' Layup52
40.3%
48
59.7%
Q2 - 1:11SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
38.9%
48
61.1%
Q2 - 1:12DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot52
39.5%
48
60.5%
Q2 - 1:21DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
40.9%
48
59.1%
Q2 - 1:22DENDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)52
39.5%
48
60.5%
Q2 - 1:35SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)52
40.9%
48
59.1%
Q2 - 1:51DENChandler 17' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
48.4%
45
51.6%
Q2 - 2:11SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)50
43.7%
45
56.3%
Q2 - 2:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
49.8%
42
50.2%
Q2 - 2:25DENMISS Lawson 13' Jump Shot50
50.8%
42
49.2%
Q2 - 2:40DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
53.0%
42
47.0%
Q2 - 2:41SASMISS Parker 8' Running Bank Shot50
52.0%
42
48.0%
Q2 - 2:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
49.9%
42
50.1%
Q2 - 2:51DENMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
50.8%
42
49.2%
Q2 - 3:06SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)50
52.0%
42
48.0%
Q2 - 3:20DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)50
57.5%
39
42.5%
Q2 - 3:20DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
56.9%
39
43.1%
Q2 - 3:23SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)48
55.0%
39
45.0%
Q2 - 3:31DENChandler 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)48
51.5%
39
48.5%
Q2 - 3:42SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
49.0%
39
51.0%
Q2 - 3:42SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
49.7%
38
50.3%
Q2 - 3:57DENGallinari Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)46
51.6%
37
48.4%
Q2 - 4:08SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)46
53.5%
37
46.5%
Q2 - 4:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
59.0%
34
41.0%
Q2 - 4:16DENMISS Chandler 8' Jump Shot46
59.9%
34
40.1%
Q2 - 4:39SASLeonard 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
62.1%
34
37.9%
Q2 - 5:01DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)46
63.5%
32
36.5%
Q2 - 5:05DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
58.1%
32
41.9%
Q2 - 5:05DENMISS Miller 15' Pullup Jump Shot43
56.2%
32
43.8%
Q2 - 5:17DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
58.1%
32
41.9%
Q2 - 5:18SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup43
57.3%
32
42.7%
Q2 - 5:26SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
55.4%
32
44.6%
Q2 - 5:26DENMISS Chandler 18' Jump Shot43
56.2%
32
43.8%
Q2 - 5:41DENNuggets Rebound43
58.2%
32
41.8%
Q2 - 5:42SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot43
57.3%
32
42.7%
Q2 - 6:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
53.9%
32
46.1%
Q2 - 6:05DENMISS McGee 6' Jump Shot43
55.0%
32
45.0%
Q2 - 6:12SASSplitter 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)43
57.3%
32
42.7%
Q2 - 6:24DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
59.4%
30
40.6%
Q2 - 6:24DENBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
58.8%
30
41.2%
Q2 - 6:25DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
57.3%
30
42.7%
Q2 - 6:26SASMISS Green 14' Jump Shot41
56.3%
30
43.7%
Q2 - 6:29SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
54.0%
30
46.0%
Q2 - 6:30SASMISS Parker 1' Layup41
56.3%
30
43.7%
Q2 - 6:45DENChandler Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)41
54.1%
30
45.9%
Q2 - 6:56SASParker 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
51.9%
30
48.1%
Q2 - 7:09DENMiller 16' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
52.8%
28
47.2%
Q2 - 7:24SASJackson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)37
50.6%
28
49.4%
Q2 - 7:38DENFaried 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)37
47.6%
28
52.4%
Q2 - 7:43DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
45.3%
28
54.7%
Q2 - 7:44SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
44.4%
28
55.6%
Q2 - 8:06DENBrewer 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)35
41.6%
28
58.4%
Q2 - 8:18SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)33
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q2 - 8:40DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
36.7%
28
63.3%
Q2 - 8:40DENMcGee Tip Shot (9 PTS)33
36.7%
28
63.3%
Q2 - 8:42DENMISS Miller 2' Layup31
32.8%
28
67.2%
Q2 - 8:52DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
34.5%
28
65.5%
Q2 - 8:53SASMISS Ginobili 13' Jump Shot31
33.7%
28
66.3%
Q2 - 9:08DENMiller 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
31.4%
28
68.6%
Q2 - 9:20DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
29.5%
28
70.5%
Q2 - 9:21SASMISS Blair 11' Turnaround Jump Shot29
28.8%
28
71.2%
Q2 - 9:41DENBrewer 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)29
27.3%
28
72.7%
Q2 - 9:57SASGinobili 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)27
25.5%
28
74.5%
Q2 - 10:00SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 10:01SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot27
28.8%
26
71.2%
Q2 - 10:21DENMcGee Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)27
27.2%
26
72.8%
Q2 - 10:32SASJoseph 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)24
23.8%
26
76.2%
Q2 - 10:46DENIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
25.3%
24
74.7%
Q2 - 10:46DENIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q2 - 10:58SASBlair 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)22
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q2 - 11:15DENMiller 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Chandler 3 AST)22
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q2 - 11:41SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
20.3%
24
79.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN20
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 7' Floating Jump Shot20
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q1 - 0:14.0DENIguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)20
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASDiaw 2' Layup (2 PTS)20
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
25.5%
20
74.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot20
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
26.9%
20
73.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENJoseph BLOCK (1 BLK)20
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASBlair 1' Layup (2 PTS)20
26.9%
20
73.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
29.3%
18
70.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 1:10DENLeonard STEAL (2 STL)20
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 1:22DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
30.5%
18
69.5%
Q1 - 1:23SASMISS Leonard 1' Reverse Layup20
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 1:30DENDiaw STEAL (1 STL)20
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 1:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q1 - 1:50SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS)20
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q1 - 1:51SASMISS Duncan 2' Reverse Layup20
34.2%
16
65.8%
Q1 - 2:08DENBrewer 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)20
32.7%
16
67.3%
Q1 - 2:14DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
30.7%
16
69.3%
Q1 - 2:15SASMISS Ginobili Layup18
30.1%
16
69.9%
Q1 - 2:28SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
28.9%
16
71.1%
Q1 - 2:29SASMISS Joseph 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
30.1%
16
69.9%
Q1 - 2:54DENMcGee 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)18
28.9%
16
71.1%
Q1 - 3:00DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
26.9%
16
73.1%
Q1 - 3:01DENMISS Brewer 19' Jump Shot16
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 3:11SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T5)16
26.7%
16
73.3%
Q1 - 3:28DENMcGee 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)16
24.9%
16
75.1%
Q1 - 3:35DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 3:36DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)14
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 3:52SASParker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)14
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 4:07DENChandler 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
21.4%
16
78.6%
Q1 - 4:23SASParker 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
20.1%
16
79.9%
Q1 - 4:38DENDuncan STEAL (1 STL)12
21.5%
14
78.5%
Q1 - 4:46DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
23.1%
14
76.9%
Q1 - 4:47SASMISS Parker 10' Pullup Jump Shot12
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 5:05DENFaried 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)12
21.5%
14
78.5%
Q1 - 5:11DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
20.2%
14
79.8%
Q1 - 5:12SASMISS Duncan 14' Turnaround Bank Shot10
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 5:33DENFaried 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)10
18.8%
14
81.2%
Q1 - 5:46SASDuncan 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)8
17.6%
14
82.4%
Q1 - 5:57DENGallinari Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)8
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 6:13DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
20.1%
12
79.9%
Q1 - 6:14SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot8
19.7%
12
80.3%
Q1 - 6:33DENFaried 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)8
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 6:37SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)6
17.6%
12
82.4%
Q1 - 6:53DENKoufos 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)6
16.4%
12
83.6%
Q1 - 7:08SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
15.6%
12
84.4%
Q1 - 7:19SASSPURS Rebound4
14.4%
12
85.6%
Q1 - 7:20DENMISS Iguodala 6' Turnaround Jump Shot4
14.8%
12
85.2%
Q1 - 7:37SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
15.6%
12
84.4%
Q1 - 7:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.4%
12
85.6%
Q1 - 7:41DENMISS Iguodala 20' Jump Shot4
14.7%
12
85.3%
Q1 - 7:52SASDuncan 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)4
15.6%
12
84.4%
Q1 - 8:09DENFaried 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)4
16.5%
10
83.5%
Q1 - 8:24SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)2
15.5%
10
84.5%
Q1 - 8:39DENKoufos 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)2
17.6%
7
82.4%
Q1 - 8:58SASLeonard 5' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)0
16.6%
7
83.4%
Q1 - 9:17SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.7%
5
82.3%
Q1 - 9:18DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
18.1%
5
81.9%
Q1 - 9:23DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
18.9%
5
81.1%
Q1 - 9:25DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)0
18.1%
5
81.9%
Q1 - 9:29DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.9%
5
81.1%
Q1 - 9:30DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
18.1%
5
81.9%
Q1 - 9:40SASDuncan 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)0
18.9%
5
81.1%
Q1 - 9:53SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
20.0%
3
80.0%
Q1 - 9:54DENMISS Faried 12' Jump Shot0
20.4%
3
79.6%
Q1 - 10:04DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.4%
3
78.6%
Q1 - 10:05SASMISS Green 15' Jump Shot0
21.0%
3
79.0%
Q1 - 10:28SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
20.1%
3
79.9%
Q1 - 10:28DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot0
20.5%
3
79.5%
Q1 - 10:50SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
21.4%
3
78.6%
Q1 - 10:59DENLeonard STEAL (1 STL)0
23.7%
0
76.3%
Q1 - 11:11DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 11:12SASMISS Green 20' Jump Shot0
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 11:33SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 11:34DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
23.8%
0
76.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Koufos: Tip to Lawson0
24.6%
0
75.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
29
44
66%
SAS
17
31
55%
Midrange
DEN
13
34
38%
SAS
8
30
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
10
0%
SAS
10
15.0
15
67%
100%
Free Throws
DEN
15
17
88%
SAS
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. McGee2195%10.5 / 11
W. Chandler1554%7.5 / 14
A. Miller1439%7.0 / 18
D. Gallinari1250%6.0 / 12
K. Faried1275%6.0 / 8
A. Iguodala1050%5.0 / 10
C. Brewer938%4.5 / 12
K. Koufos467%2.0 / 3
T. Lawson214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2355%11.5 / 21
D. Green2071%10.0 / 14
T. Parker1847%9.0 / 19
K. Leonard1169%5.5 / 8
T. Splitter1050%5.0 / 10
M. Ginobili950%4.5 / 9
C. Joseph583%2.5 / 3
B. Diaw250%1.0 / 2
D. Blair250%1.0 / 2
S. Jackson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
81
+18
-15
99
SAS
76
+13
-18
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.6
107.8
DEN 103.1
SAS 106.4 +3.3
Pace
95.0
94.7
DEN 101.0 +9.5
SAS 91.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.4
DEN 14.3 +1.5
SAS 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
53.1%
DEN 47.7%
SAS 52.6% +4.9%
TO %
15.3%
14.8%
DEN 13.6% +3.4%
SAS 17.0%
ORB %
31.4%
20.7%
DEN 34.1% +5.2%
SAS 28.9%
FTrt
30.8
25.8
DEN 19.3
SAS 35.5 +16.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
64.1%
DEN 61.9% +4.8%
SAS 57.1%
STL %
9.7%
8.9%
DEN 8.3% +0.9%
SAS 7.4%
BLK %
10.4%
8.1%
DEN 4.9%
SAS 10.3% +5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
55.3%
DEN 50.0%
SAS 56.2% +6.2%
Rim FG%
60.5%
60.8%
DEN 65.9% +11.1%
SAS 54.8%
Mid FG%
35.7%
42.4%
DEN 38.2% +11.5%
SAS 26.7%
3P %
34.3%
37.6%
DEN 0.0%
SAS 66.7% +66.7%
FT %
70.1%
79.1%
DEN 88.2% +14.1%
SAS 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
50.1%
37.7%
DEN 50.0% +9.2%
SAS 40.8%
Mid Att. %
28.2%
35.9%
DEN 38.6% +0.8%
SAS 39.5%
3P Att. %
21.7%
26.4%
DEN 11.4%
SAS 19.7% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.3 and 3.3.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9694
Possession Minutes22.824.6
Points99100
Rebounds4138
Assists2620
Steals87
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)27 (3)
Field Goals42-8835-76
At-the-Rim FG29-4417-31
Midrange FG13-348-30
2-Point FG42-7825-61
3-Point FG0-1010-15
Free Throws15-1720-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
36.5
10
50%
2
7
1
0
2
0
1
1
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 225 · 25
31.2
12
50%
6
2
0
0
4
3
0
6
6-6
100%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 228 · 23
22.0
12
75%
4
1
0
0
2
3
3
1
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 24
20.1
4
67%
5
0
0
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 25
19.6
2
14%
0
3
2
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 26
34.1
15
54%
5
3
1
0
1
2
1
4
3-3
100%
6-12
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 37
28.4
14
39%
5
8
1
0
3
2
2
3
0-0
-
7-18
39%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 25
26.0
21
95%
11
0
2
3
1
3
5
6
1-1
100%
10-11
91%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 186 · 27
22.1
9
38%
3
2
1
0
1
4
1
2
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
0-3
0%
· 6'10" 225 · 24
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20
C · 7'1" 275 · 27
#30 · F · 6'9" 210 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'6" 200 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
50%
41
26
8
3
15
0
14
27
15-17
88%
42-78
54%
0-10
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.