FinalWin Prob.pScore
469%101
108
2631%94
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.09094.2
ORL logo ORL
105.68985.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL108
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLLamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLMISS Udrih Free Throw 1 of 2108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Moore 8' Running Hook Shot108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06MIACole 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17ORLO'Quinn 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Moore 7 AST)105
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMoore STEAL (3 STL)105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42ORLUdrih 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03ORLJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06MIAJones BLOCK (2 BLK)105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29ORLJones 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Moore 6 AST)105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMoore BLOCK (1 BLK)105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52ORLJones 10' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Moore 5 AST)105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04ORLMAGIC Rebound105
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04ORLMISS Moore 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21MIAJames 20' Turnaround Fadeaway (24 PTS)105
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47ORLMoore 10' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:03MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 11 AST)103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:21ORLMISS Harkless 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:40MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 10 AST)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)97
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 4:49ORLMISS Nelson 7' Floating Jump Shot97
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 5:08MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)97
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 5:08MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)96
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 5:11ORLMoore Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)95
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 5:20ORLUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q4 - 5:22MIAMISS Andersen 2' Dunk95
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 5:47ORLJones 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Moore 4 AST)95
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMoore STEAL (2 STL)95
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 6:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)95
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 6:06ORLMISS Moore 22' Jump Shot95
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 6:25MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS)95
99.1%
81
0.9%
Q4 - 6:49ORLNelson Free Throw 3 of 3 (27 PTS)93
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 6:49ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 393
98.9%
80
1.1%
Q4 - 6:49ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 3 (26 PTS)93
98.6%
80
1.4%
Q4 - 7:02MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)93
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 292
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q4 - 7:32ORLNelson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)92
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 7:51MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)92
99.2%
77
0.8%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 291
99.1%
77
0.9%
Q4 - 8:11ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)91
98.9%
77
1.1%
Q4 - 8:17ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 8:19MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot91
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 8:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)91
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 8:41ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 191
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 8:56MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 9 AST)91
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 9:21ORLNelson 10' Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS)88
99.1%
72
0.9%
Q4 - 9:32MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (James 8 AST)88
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q4 - 9:40ORLO'Quinn Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)86
99.1%
70
0.9%
Q4 - 9:57MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)86
98.9%
70
1.1%
Q4 - 10:04ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)83
97.9%
70
2.1%
Q4 - 10:19MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)83
97.3%
70
2.7%
Q4 - 10:25ORLMoore Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)81
96.7%
70
3.3%
Q4 - 10:41ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
95.9%
70
4.1%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
96.2%
70
3.8%
Q4 - 11:05ORLO'Quinn 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 12 AST)81
96.2%
70
3.8%
Q4 - 11:21MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)81
96.9%
68
3.1%
Q4 - 11:36ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)78
95.4%
68
4.6%
Q4 - 11:36ORLMAGIC Rebound78
94.3%
68
5.7%
Q4 - 11:37ORLMISS Udrih 8' Running Jump Shot78
95.1%
68
4.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL78
94.3%
68
5.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
93.9%
68
6.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)77
93.6%
68
6.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
92.5%
68
7.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 276
91.3%
68
8.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 276
92.3%
68
7.7%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLHarkless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)76
92.5%
68
7.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 7 AST)76
91.1%
68
8.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0ORLHarkless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)73
87.0%
68
13.0%
Q3 - 1:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)73
84.2%
68
15.8%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHeat Rebound70
78.3%
68
21.7%
Q3 - 1:32ORLMISS Harkless 2' Layup70
77.2%
68
22.8%
Q3 - 1:32ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
74.8%
68
25.2%
Q3 - 1:36MIAHarris BLOCK (2 BLK)70
75.9%
68
24.1%
Q3 - 1:45ORLUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)70
78.3%
68
21.7%
Q3 - 2:00MIAJames 2' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)70
74.8%
68
25.2%
Q3 - 2:06MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
71.0%
68
29.0%
Q3 - 2:08ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup68
69.8%
68
30.2%
Q3 - 2:29ORLUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
66.9%
68
33.1%
Q3 - 2:29MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup68
68.2%
68
31.8%
Q3 - 2:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)68
71.0%
68
29.0%
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Reverse Layup68
68.2%
68
31.8%
Q3 - 2:59ORLNelson 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)68
71.0%
68
29.0%
Q3 - 3:07ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
78.1%
65
21.9%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup68
79.1%
65
20.9%
Q3 - 3:29ORLMoore 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Nelson 11 AST)68
81.1%
65
18.9%
Q3 - 3:36ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
83.6%
63
16.4%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Bosh 6' Running Hook Shot68
84.4%
63
15.6%
Q3 - 3:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
86.0%
63
14.0%
Q3 - 3:51ORLMISS Harris 16' Pullup Jump Shot68
85.3%
63
14.7%
Q3 - 3:57ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
83.6%
63
16.4%
Q3 - 3:58MIAMISS James 7' Fadeaway Jumper68
84.4%
63
15.6%
Q3 - 4:19ORLUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
85.8%
63
14.2%
Q3 - 4:19ORLUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
86.2%
62
13.8%
Q3 - 4:22ORLUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
87.5%
61
12.5%
Q3 - 4:25MIAHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)68
88.2%
61
11.8%
Q3 - 4:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)68
89.6%
61
10.4%
Q3 - 4:45ORLMISS Harkless 2' Reverse Layup68
89.0%
61
11.0%
Q3 - 4:48ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)68
87.5%
61
12.5%
Q3 - 4:51ORLMISS Moore 8' Running Jump Shot68
89.0%
61
11.0%
Q3 - 5:03ORLMAGIC Rebound68
87.1%
61
12.9%
Q3 - 5:03ORLMISS Harkless 3' Layup68
88.5%
61
11.5%
Q3 - 5:08MIANelson STEAL (2 STL)68
87.1%
61
12.9%
Q3 - 5:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
89.1%
61
10.9%
Q3 - 5:22ORLMISS Nelson 29' 3PT Jump Shot68
88.5%
61
11.5%
Q3 - 5:36ORLMAGIC Rebound68
87.1%
61
12.9%
Q3 - 5:36ORLMISS Harkless 2' Driving Layup68
88.5%
61
11.5%
Q3 - 5:52MIAJames 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)68
87.1%
61
12.9%
Q3 - 5:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
85.4%
61
14.6%
Q3 - 6:00MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
83.7%
61
16.3%
Q3 - 6:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
85.2%
61
14.8%
Q3 - 6:11ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 266
84.9%
61
15.1%
Q3 - 6:11ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)66
83.5%
61
16.5%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMoore STEAL (1 STL)66
85.0%
60
15.0%
Q3 - 6:24MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
87.2%
60
12.8%
Q3 - 6:25ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
86.5%
60
13.5%
Q3 - 6:38MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)66
85.0%
60
15.0%
Q3 - 6:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)66
87.2%
60
12.8%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper66
85.7%
60
14.3%
Q3 - 7:09ORLO'Quinn 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Nelson 10 AST)66
86.6%
60
13.4%
Q3 - 7:25MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 6 AST)66
88.2%
58
11.8%
Q3 - 7:44ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)64
86.6%
58
13.4%
Q3 - 7:50ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
89.7%
55
10.3%
Q3 - 7:52MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot64
90.2%
55
9.8%
Q3 - 8:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
91.2%
55
8.8%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
89.9%
55
10.1%
Q3 - 8:18ORLO'Quinn 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)64
90.9%
55
9.1%
Q3 - 8:37MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)64
92.0%
53
8.0%
Q3 - 8:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
90.9%
53
9.1%
Q3 - 8:54ORLMISS Moore 3PT Jump Shot62
90.5%
53
9.5%
Q3 - 9:06ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
89.2%
53
10.8%
Q3 - 9:08MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot62
89.6%
53
10.4%
Q3 - 9:17ORLO'Quinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)62
90.6%
53
9.4%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMiller 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)62
89.2%
53
10.8%
Q3 - 9:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
87.8%
53
12.2%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS James 21' Fadeaway Jumper60
86.6%
53
13.4%
Q3 - 9:41MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)60
87.8%
53
12.2%
Q3 - 9:52ORLHarris 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)59
86.2%
53
13.8%
Q3 - 10:14MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)59
87.8%
51
12.2%
Q3 - 10:33ORLO'Quinn 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Moore 3 AST)57
86.3%
51
13.7%
Q3 - 10:50MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 5 AST)57
87.8%
49
12.2%
Q3 - 10:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
86.2%
49
13.8%
Q3 - 11:01ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 255
86.0%
49
14.0%
Q3 - 11:01ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
84.8%
49
15.2%
Q3 - 11:05ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
86.1%
48
13.9%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup55
86.7%
48
13.3%
Q3 - 11:32ORLMoore 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)55
87.8%
48
12.2%
Q3 - 11:36ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
89.1%
46
10.9%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot55
89.5%
46
10.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
90.5%
46
9.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
90.5%
46
9.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup55
90.1%
46
9.9%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)55
88.9%
46
11.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
85.6%
46
14.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0ORLMISS Harris 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot52
85.3%
46
14.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)52
84.4%
46
15.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 252
84.6%
46
15.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)52
85.8%
46
14.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAHeat Rebound51
84.0%
46
16.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Bosh 11' Hook Shot51
83.0%
46
17.0%
Q2 - 1:12ORLMoore 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)51
83.7%
46
16.3%
Q2 - 1:17MIAUdrih STEAL (2 STL)51
85.9%
44
14.1%
Q2 - 1:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
86.9%
44
13.1%
Q2 - 1:31ORLMISS Harris 8' Hook Shot51
86.6%
44
13.4%
Q2 - 1:38ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
85.9%
44
14.1%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup51
86.2%
44
13.8%
Q2 - 1:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
86.9%
44
13.1%
Q2 - 1:54ORLMISS Moore 21' Fadeaway Jumper51
86.6%
44
13.4%
Q2 - 2:00ORLMAGIC Rebound51
85.9%
44
14.1%
Q2 - 2:00ORLMISS Harkless 3PT Jump Shot51
86.6%
44
13.4%
Q2 - 2:17ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
85.4%
44
14.6%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
85.8%
44
14.2%
Q2 - 2:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
86.9%
44
13.1%
Q2 - 2:26ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
85.4%
44
14.6%
Q2 - 2:26ORLMISS Harkless 1' Tip Shot51
86.4%
44
13.6%
Q2 - 2:28ORLMISS Nelson 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot51
86.4%
44
13.6%
Q2 - 2:38ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
85.4%
44
14.6%
Q2 - 2:40ORLMISS Moore 21' Jump Shot51
86.4%
44
13.6%
Q2 - 2:58MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
85.4%
44
14.6%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 250
85.1%
44
14.9%
Q2 - 3:07ORLHarris 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)50
85.5%
44
14.5%
Q2 - 3:28MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 3 AST)50
86.7%
42
13.3%
Q2 - 3:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
84.0%
42
16.0%
Q2 - 3:37ORLMISS Udrih 11' Pullup Jump Shot47
83.4%
42
16.6%
Q2 - 3:53MIAChalmers Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)47
82.0%
42
18.0%
Q2 - 3:53MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)46
81.6%
42
18.4%
Q2 - 3:53MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)45
81.3%
42
18.7%
Q2 - 4:06ORLHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)44
78.4%
42
21.6%
Q2 - 4:20MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
76.2%
42
23.8%
Q2 - 4:20MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
75.8%
42
24.2%
Q2 - 4:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
74.2%
42
25.8%
Q2 - 4:23MIAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)42
72.5%
42
27.5%
Q2 - 4:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
74.2%
42
25.8%
Q2 - 4:34ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
71.7%
42
28.3%
Q2 - 4:34ORLMISS O'Quinn 1' Tip Shot42
73.5%
42
26.5%
Q2 - 4:36ORLMISS Nelson 8' Running Jump Shot42
73.5%
42
26.5%
Q2 - 4:54MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)42
71.7%
42
28.3%
Q2 - 5:02MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
67.4%
42
32.6%
Q2 - 5:03ORLMISS Jones 10' Pullup Jump Shot39
66.6%
42
33.4%
Q2 - 5:08ORLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
64.9%
42
35.1%
Q2 - 5:09ORLMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot39
66.6%
42
33.4%
Q2 - 5:25MIABosh 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)39
64.8%
42
35.2%
Q2 - 5:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
62.2%
42
37.8%
Q2 - 5:34ORLMISS Udrih 13' Jump Shot37
61.4%
42
38.6%
Q2 - 5:54ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
59.4%
42
40.6%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
60.3%
42
39.7%
Q2 - 6:04MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
62.8%
42
37.2%
Q2 - 6:07ORLMISS Lamb 2' Driving Layup37
61.9%
42
38.1%
Q2 - 6:09ORLLamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
59.6%
42
40.4%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
60.6%
42
39.4%
Q2 - 6:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
62.8%
42
37.2%
Q2 - 6:20ORLMISS Harkless 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
61.9%
42
38.1%
Q2 - 6:24ORLLamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
59.7%
42
40.3%
Q2 - 6:25ORLMISS Udrih 1' Driving Layup37
61.8%
42
38.2%
Q2 - 6:34ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
59.7%
42
40.3%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Fadeaway Jumper37
60.6%
42
39.4%
Q2 - 6:52ORLLamb 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)37
62.8%
42
37.2%
Q2 - 7:01ORLMAGIC Rebound37
65.6%
40
34.4%
Q2 - 7:01ORLMISS Harkless 11' Fadeaway Jumper37
67.4%
40
32.6%
Q2 - 7:26MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)37
65.5%
40
34.5%
Q2 - 7:50ORLHarkless 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)34
60.8%
40
39.2%
Q2 - 7:59ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
63.0%
38
37.0%
Q2 - 8:00MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
63.9%
38
36.1%
Q2 - 8:19ORLUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
66.0%
38
34.0%
Q2 - 8:19ORLUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
66.4%
37
33.6%
Q2 - 8:37MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)34
68.2%
36
31.8%
Q2 - 8:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
63.6%
36
36.4%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 231
61.4%
36
38.6%
Q2 - 8:49MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
63.1%
36
36.9%
Q2 - 8:58MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
61.2%
36
38.8%
Q2 - 8:59ORLMISS Nelson 29' 3PT Jump Shot30
60.4%
36
39.6%
Q2 - 9:05ORLUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 9:07ORLMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
61.2%
36
38.8%
Q2 - 9:18ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Allen 7' Running Jump Shot30
60.1%
36
39.9%
Q2 - 9:24MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
61.9%
36
38.1%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot30
60.1%
36
39.9%
Q2 - 9:42ORLNelson 2' Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)30
61.9%
36
38.1%
Q2 - 9:53MIAAndersen 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)30
64.0%
34
36.0%
Q2 - 10:00MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
61.9%
34
38.1%
Q2 - 10:03ORLMISS Harris 4' Jump Shot28
61.3%
34
38.7%
Q2 - 10:24ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
59.3%
34
40.7%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
60.2%
34
39.8%
Q2 - 10:46ORLHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)28
62.1%
34
37.9%
Q2 - 10:53MIAHarkless STEAL (1 STL)28
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 11:09ORLHarkless 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)28
68.5%
31
31.5%
Q2 - 11:18ORLMAGIC Rebound28
72.5%
28
27.5%
Q2 - 11:18ORLMISS Harkless 2' Layup28
73.8%
28
26.2%
Q2 - 11:20ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
72.5%
28
27.5%
Q2 - 11:25ORLMISS Udrih 20' Jump Shot28
73.8%
28
26.2%
Q2 - 11:29ORLO'Quinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
72.5%
28
27.5%
Q2 - 11:30ORLMISS Nelson 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot28
73.9%
28
26.1%
Q2 - 11:39ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
72.5%
28
27.5%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
73.1%
28
26.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
74.5%
28
25.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
74.1%
28
25.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)28
74.3%
27
25.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAAndersen 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)28
76.3%
26
23.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAHeat Rebound26
74.1%
26
25.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot26
73.1%
26
26.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)26
74.1%
26
25.9%
Q1 - 1:21MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)26
78.0%
23
22.0%
Q1 - 1:50ORLHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)23
74.2%
23
25.8%
Q1 - 2:04MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
78.0%
20
22.0%
Q1 - 2:10ORLMoore 6' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
79.5%
20
20.5%
Q1 - 2:27ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
81.0%
18
19.0%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS James 3' Layup23
81.4%
18
18.6%
Q1 - 2:40ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)23
82.3%
18
17.7%
Q1 - 3:00MIABosh 1' Dunk (5 PTS)23
81.0%
18
19.0%
Q1 - 3:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
79.7%
18
20.3%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 121
78.4%
18
21.6%
Q1 - 3:18MIAHeat Rebound19
76.6%
18
23.4%
Q1 - 3:18ORLMISS Harkless 7' Jump Shot19
76.1%
18
23.9%
Q1 - 3:20MIANelson STEAL (1 STL)19
74.9%
18
25.1%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
76.6%
18
23.4%
Q1 - 3:24ORLMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
76.1%
18
23.9%
Q1 - 3:38ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
74.9%
18
25.1%
Q1 - 3:40ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
76.1%
18
23.9%
Q1 - 3:46MIAUdrih STEAL (1 STL)19
74.9%
18
25.1%
Q1 - 4:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
76.8%
18
23.2%
Q1 - 4:09ORLMISS Harkless 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
76.2%
18
23.8%
Q1 - 4:28MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)19
75.1%
18
24.9%
Q1 - 4:49ORLMoore 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)16
71.7%
18
28.3%
Q1 - 4:59ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
75.0%
15
25.0%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Bosh 7' Hook Shot16
75.2%
15
24.8%
Q1 - 5:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
76.4%
15
23.6%
Q1 - 5:22ORLMISS Udrih 8' Running Jump Shot16
75.9%
15
24.1%
Q1 - 5:40MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)16
74.8%
15
25.2%
Q1 - 6:02ORLHarkless 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)13
71.7%
15
28.3%
Q1 - 6:22MIAJames 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)13
73.2%
13
26.8%
Q1 - 6:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
71.7%
13
28.3%
Q1 - 6:28MIAMISS Bosh 11' Hook Shot11
70.5%
13
29.5%
Q1 - 6:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
71.7%
13
28.3%
Q1 - 6:39ORLMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
71.2%
13
28.8%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMiller 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)11
69.9%
13
30.1%
Q1 - 7:18ORLHarris 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
68.9%
13
31.1%
Q1 - 7:33ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
70.3%
11
29.7%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
70.8%
11
29.2%
Q1 - 7:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
72.1%
11
27.9%
Q1 - 7:43ORLMISS Nelson 20' Pullup Jump Shot9
71.6%
11
28.4%
Q1 - 7:58MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
70.2%
11
29.8%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 28
70.0%
11
30.0%
Q1 - 8:20ORLO'Quinn 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)8
71.1%
11
28.9%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMiller Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
72.5%
9
27.5%
Q1 - 8:43ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
74.1%
9
25.9%
Q1 - 8:57MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
72.5%
9
27.5%
Q1 - 9:11ORLNelson 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
71.6%
9
28.4%
Q1 - 9:19ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
73.0%
7
27.0%
Q1 - 9:21MIAO'Quinn BLOCK (1 BLK)6
73.4%
7
26.6%
Q1 - 9:44ORLHarris 16' Fadeaway Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)6
74.5%
7
25.5%
Q1 - 9:56MIAJames 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)6
75.7%
5
24.3%
Q1 - 10:08ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)4
74.7%
5
25.3%
Q1 - 10:19ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 24
77.2%
2
22.8%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
78.0%
2
22.0%
Q1 - 10:21MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)3
77.2%
2
22.8%
Q1 - 10:39ORLHarris 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
76.0%
2
24.0%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMiller 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
77.0%
0
23.0%
Q1 - 11:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
75.9%
0
24.1%
Q1 - 11:09ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 2 of 20
75.7%
0
24.3%
Q1 - 11:09ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 1 of 20
75.1%
0
24.9%
Q1 - 11:22ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
74.8%
0
25.2%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot0
75.1%
0
24.9%
Q1 - 11:33MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
75.9%
0
24.1%
Q1 - 11:34ORLMISS Nelson 29' 3PT Jump Shot0
75.5%
0
24.5%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball O'Quinn vs. Bosh: Tip to Moore0
74.7%
0
25.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.7%
ORL
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
25
52%
ORL
16
28
57%
Midrange
MIA
9
25
36%
ORL
12
34
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
28
54%
80%
ORL
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
19
29
66%
ORL
11
18
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2460%12.0 / 20
M. Chalmers1794%8.5 / 9
C. Bosh1235%6.0 / 17
R. Allen1286%6.0 / 7
R. Lewis1169%5.5 / 8
N. Cole990%4.5 / 5
M. Miller750%3.5 / 7
C. Andersen758%3.5 / 6
U. Haslem675%3.0 / 4
S. Battier330%1.5 / 5
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2761%13.5 / 22
T. Harris2063%10.0 / 16
E. Moore1350%6.5 / 13
K. O'Quinn1286%6.0 / 7
M. Harkless722%3.5 / 16
B. Udrih729%3.5 / 12
D. Jones660%3.0 / 5
D. Lamb233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+13
-12
91
ORL
77
+18
-12
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.7%
ORL
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
102.0
MIA 120.0 +14.4
ORL 105.6
Pace
90.9
91.9
MIA 94.2 +9.0
ORL 85.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.7
MIA 15.3 +1.6
ORL 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
48.5%
MIA 57.1% +8.8%
ORL 48.3%
TO %
14.5%
15.2%
MIA 11.7% +0.5%
ORL 12.2%
ORB %
22.2%
25.4%
MIA 25.0% +1.7%
ORL 23.3%
FTrt
29.7
19.7
MIA 37.2 +16.3
ORL 20.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
60.5%
MIA 83.8% +16.2%
ORL 67.6%
STL %
9.5%
7.0%
MIA 7.8%
ORL 10.1% +2.3%
BLK %
9.1%
7.0%
MIA 9.7%
ORL 12.0% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
50.2%
MIA 58.7% +10.2%
ORL 48.5%
Rim FG%
65.9%
58.5%
MIA 52.0%
ORL 57.1% +5.1%
Mid FG%
41.9%
39.6%
MIA 36.0% +0.7%
ORL 35.3%
3P %
39.6%
32.9%
MIA 53.6% +16.1%
ORL 37.5%
FT %
75.4%
75.5%
MIA 65.5% +4.4%
ORL 61.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
35.4%
MIA 32.1%
ORL 32.6% +0.5%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
42.3%
MIA 32.1% +7.5%
ORL 39.5%
3P Att. %
28.5%
22.3%
MIA 35.9% +8.0%
ORL 27.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points10894
Rebounds4443
Assists3125
Steals79
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)10 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)33 (0)
Field Goals37-7837-86
At-the-Rim FG13-2516-28
Midrange FG9-2512-34
2-Point FG22-5028-62
3-Point FG15-289-24
Free Throws19-2911-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
38.8
24
60%
9
11
1
0
3
2
1
8
6-10
60%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
32.9
17
94%
4
5
3
1
1
1
1
3
5-5
100%
0-3
0%
4-5
80%
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
27.2
12
35%
9
4
1
1
1
1
3
6
4-6
67%
4-14
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 218 · 33
20.5
7
50%
5
1
0
0
2
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
17.5
6
75%
10
2
0
1
0
0
5
5
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
23.9
3
30%
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
20.7
9
90%
0
4
0
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
20.1
12
86%
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
16.8
7
58%
1
0
0
3
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
15.1
11
69%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 250 · 40
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
1.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
1.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
# 3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
59%
44
31
7
6
12
0
11
33
19-29
66%
22-50
44%
15-28
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.