FinalWin Prob.pScore
2328%91
87
972%98
106
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
98.98894.1
MIA logo MIA
120.58882.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0PHIMISS Holiday 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)87
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0PHIMISS Wright 2' Driving Layup87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (27 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45PHIMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55PHIAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Andersen Alley Oop Dunk87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14PHIHoliday 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42MIAJames Running Dunk (25 PTS)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46PHIJames STEAL (1 STL)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)85
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 3:25PHIHoliday 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)85
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:38MIACole 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)83
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 3:42MIACole REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS Andersen 2' Tip Shot83
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 3:45MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 3:46MIAMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot83
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 4:11PHI76ers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 4:34PHIWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 283
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 4:35MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 4:38MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)83
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 4:46MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 4:47PHIMISS Hawes 16' Jump Shot83
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 5:01MIALewis 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 5:16MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)83
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 5:17PHIMISS Wilkins 21' Jump Shot83
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q4 - 5:26PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 5:44PHIHawes Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 5:44PHIMISS Hawes Free Throw 1 of 282
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 5:45PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)82
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 5:46PHIMISS Holiday 9' Floating Jump Shot82
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 6:00MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)82
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 6:10MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
5.3%
89
94.7%
Q4 - 6:11PHIMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
5.8%
89
94.2%
Q4 - 6:30MIAAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)82
7.1%
89
92.9%
Q4 - 6:38MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
5.2%
89
94.8%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 282
6.8%
89
93.2%
Q4 - 6:39MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)82
5.7%
89
94.3%
Q4 - 6:47MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)82
6.9%
88
93.1%
Q4 - 6:48PHIMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
7.6%
88
92.4%
Q4 - 7:07MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)82
10.3%
88
89.7%
Q4 - 7:26MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
16.3%
85
83.7%
Q4 - 7:31PHIAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)82
17.6%
85
82.4%
Q4 - 7:33PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)82
20.8%
85
79.2%
Q4 - 7:34PHIMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot82
17.6%
85
82.4%
Q4 - 7:51PHITurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
20.8%
85
79.2%
Q4 - 7:52MIAMISS Battier 8' Running Hook Shot82
19.3%
85
80.7%
Q4 - 8:09PHIYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)82
17.4%
85
82.6%
Q4 - 8:09PHIYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)81
16.8%
85
83.2%
Q4 - 8:25PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
13.9%
85
86.1%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot80
13.0%
85
87.0%
Q4 - 8:46MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
11.1%
85
88.9%
Q4 - 8:47PHIMISS Turner 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
11.9%
85
88.1%
Q4 - 9:11MIALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)80
14.6%
85
85.4%
Q4 - 9:35PHIAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)80
21.8%
82
78.2%
Q4 - 9:43MIACole Foul Turnover (P1.T10)80
26.0%
82
74.0%
Q4 - 9:52PHIYoung 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)80
21.8%
82
78.2%
Q4 - 10:16MIAAndersen 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)78
18.2%
82
81.8%
Q4 - 10:25MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
21.8%
80
78.2%
Q4 - 10:26PHIMISS Wilkins 16' Jump Shot78
23.0%
80
77.0%
Q4 - 10:40PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
25.9%
80
74.1%
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot78
24.6%
80
75.4%
Q4 - 11:05PHIWright 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)78
22.2%
80
77.8%
Q4 - 11:06PHIWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
18.7%
80
81.3%
Q4 - 11:07PHIMISS Wright 1' Layup76
16.5%
80
83.5%
Q4 - 11:08PHIWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
18.7%
80
81.3%
Q4 - 11:09PHIMISS Holiday 1' Layup76
16.5%
80
83.5%
Q4 - 11:26MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)76
18.6%
80
81.4%
Q4 - 11:43PHIBattier STEAL (1 STL)76
26.1%
77
73.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA76
30.4%
77
69.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHIAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
26.1%
77
73.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHIAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
25.0%
77
75.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHIAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
22.1%
77
77.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0PHIMISS Holiday 16' Pullup Jump Shot74
20.0%
77
80.0%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)74
22.2%
77
77.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
19.0%
77
81.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0PHIMISS Holiday 14' Jump Bank Shot74
19.9%
77
80.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIACole 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)74
22.2%
77
77.8%
Q3 - 1:13PHITurner 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)74
25.9%
75
74.1%
Q3 - 1:33MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
22.2%
75
77.8%
Q3 - 1:33MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)72
22.6%
74
77.4%
Q3 - 1:53PHITurner 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
25.9%
73
74.1%
Q3 - 2:21MIALewis 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
22.1%
73
77.9%
Q3 - 2:38PHIYoung 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turner 5 AST)70
25.4%
71
74.6%
Q3 - 2:58MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
22.2%
71
77.8%
Q3 - 2:58MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
22.8%
70
77.2%
Q3 - 3:13PHIWilkins 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)68
25.1%
69
74.9%
Q3 - 3:14PHIWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
22.0%
69
78.0%
Q3 - 3:15PHIMISS Young 2' Driving Layup66
19.9%
69
80.1%
Q3 - 3:33MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
22.0%
69
78.0%
Q3 - 3:33MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
22.9%
68
77.1%
Q3 - 3:33MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
25.1%
67
74.9%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Andersen Tip Shot66
27.6%
67
72.4%
Q3 - 3:35MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
25.1%
67
74.9%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Allen 1' Driving Layup66
27.6%
67
72.4%
Q3 - 3:48PHIHoliday 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)66
25.1%
67
74.9%
Q3 - 4:03MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)63
19.4%
67
80.6%
Q3 - 4:03MIAHEAT Rebound63
16.4%
67
83.6%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Battier 21' Jump Shot63
18.4%
67
81.6%
Q3 - 4:06MIAHEAT Rebound63
16.4%
67
83.6%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
18.4%
67
81.6%
Q3 - 4:27PHIWright Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)63
16.4%
67
83.6%
Q3 - 4:27PHIMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 362
16.1%
67
83.9%
Q3 - 4:27PHIWright Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)62
18.1%
67
81.9%
Q3 - 4:47MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)61
14.5%
67
85.5%
Q3 - 4:47MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)61
15.0%
66
85.0%
Q3 - 5:06MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
16.5%
65
83.5%
Q3 - 5:07PHIMISS Young 6' Hook Shot61
17.3%
65
82.7%
Q3 - 5:23MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)61
19.3%
65
80.7%
Q3 - 5:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
24.6%
62
75.4%
Q3 - 5:40MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup61
27.1%
62
72.9%
Q3 - 5:58PHIHoliday 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
24.6%
62
75.4%
Q3 - 6:19MIAHaslem 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)59
22.0%
62
78.0%
Q3 - 6:34PHI76ers Turnover: Backcourt (T#7)59
24.4%
60
75.6%
Q3 - 6:44MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)59
28.0%
60
72.0%
Q3 - 6:51PHIMiller STEAL (1 STL)59
24.4%
60
75.6%
Q3 - 7:00PHIWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
28.0%
60
72.0%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot59
26.4%
60
73.6%
Q3 - 7:27PHIHoliday 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turner 4 AST)59
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q3 - 7:31PHITurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
19.2%
60
80.8%
Q3 - 7:32PHIMISS Hawes 18' Jump Shot56
17.5%
60
82.5%
Q3 - 7:36PHI76ers Rebound56
19.3%
60
80.7%
Q3 - 7:37PHIHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)56
17.5%
60
82.5%
Q3 - 7:58MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)56
19.3%
60
80.7%
Q3 - 8:16PHIYoung 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Turner 3 AST)56
24.1%
57
75.9%
Q3 - 8:30PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
21.7%
57
78.3%
Q3 - 8:31MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot54
20.9%
57
79.1%
Q3 - 8:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
19.0%
57
81.0%
Q3 - 8:40PHIMISS Wilkins 3PT Jump Shot54
19.8%
57
80.2%
Q3 - 8:54PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
21.7%
57
78.3%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
20.9%
57
79.1%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
19.0%
57
81.0%
Q3 - 9:07PHIMISS Young 7' Turnaround Hook Shot54
19.7%
57
80.3%
Q3 - 9:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)54
21.5%
57
78.5%
Q3 - 9:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
26.7%
54
73.3%
Q3 - 9:40PHIMISS Turner 18' Jump Shot54
27.6%
54
72.4%
Q3 - 9:46MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)54
29.9%
54
70.1%
Q3 - 10:04PHITurner 12' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)54
31.9%
52
68.1%
Q3 - 10:28PHI76ers Rebound52
29.1%
52
70.9%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
28.2%
52
71.8%
Q3 - 10:45PHIWilkins Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)52
26.1%
52
73.9%
Q3 - 10:51PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
21.2%
52
78.8%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
20.4%
52
79.6%
Q3 - 11:17PHIHoliday 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)49
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q3 - 11:34MIAJames 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)46
15.0%
52
85.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
16.7%
50
83.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 0:09.0PHIMISS Hawes 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
17.8%
50
82.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
18.8%
50
81.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Miller 2' Layup46
18.3%
50
81.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0PHIYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
17.3%
50
82.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0PHIYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
17.0%
50
83.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)44
15.1%
50
84.9%
Q2 - 1:24PHITurner 10' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)44
17.6%
48
82.4%
Q2 - 1:40MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)42
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 1:56PHITurner Foul Turnover (P1.T5)42
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 2:07MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)42
21.2%
45
78.8%
Q2 - 2:32PHITurner 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
25.6%
42
74.4%
Q2 - 2:51MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Battier 5 AST)40
23.3%
42
76.7%
Q2 - 3:09MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 3:10PHIMISS Young 3PT Jump Shot40
25.9%
40
74.1%
Q2 - 3:20PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
27.9%
40
72.1%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot40
27.0%
40
73.0%
Q2 - 3:49PHIWright Putback Dunk (6 PTS)40
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 3:50PHIWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
23.3%
40
76.7%
Q2 - 3:51PHIMISS Young 8' Hook Shot38
21.6%
40
78.4%
Q2 - 4:06PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
23.0%
40
77.0%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
22.3%
40
77.7%
Q2 - 4:32PHIHoliday Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)38
20.8%
40
79.2%
Q2 - 4:38PHIWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
23.0%
40
77.0%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot38
22.3%
40
77.7%
Q2 - 4:49PHIHawes 10' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)38
20.8%
40
79.2%
Q2 - 5:15MIAAnthony 1' Layup (2 PTS)36
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 5:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
20.9%
38
79.1%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
22.2%
38
77.8%
Q2 - 5:41PHIYoung 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Holiday 6 AST)36
20.9%
38
79.1%
Q2 - 5:49PHIWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS James 12' Fadeaway Jumper34
18.5%
38
81.5%
Q2 - 6:05PHIHawes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Holiday 5 AST)34
17.2%
38
82.8%
Q2 - 6:18PHI76ers Rebound31
14.6%
38
85.4%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS Andersen 16' Jump Shot31
14.1%
38
85.9%
Q2 - 6:37PHIHoliday Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)31
13.0%
38
87.0%
Q2 - 6:39PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 6:40MIAMISS Cole 17' Jump Shot28
10.5%
38
89.5%
Q2 - 6:53MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
9.7%
38
90.3%
Q2 - 6:54PHIMISS Young 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 7:14MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)28
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 7:34PHIYoung 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 7:52MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)26
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 7:52MIAHEAT Rebound26
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMISS Andersen 9' Turnaround Jump Shot26
11.8%
35
88.2%
Q2 - 8:15MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
11.3%
35
88.7%
Q2 - 8:16PHIMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot26
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 8:33PHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
12.0%
35
88.0%
Q2 - 8:49PHILewis STEAL (1 STL)26
11.3%
35
88.7%
Q2 - 8:52PHIMoultrie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot26
12.0%
35
88.0%
Q2 - 9:12PHIMoultrie 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Holiday 4 AST)26
11.3%
35
88.7%
Q2 - 9:28MIALewis 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)24
10.4%
35
89.6%
Q2 - 9:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
11.3%
33
88.7%
Q2 - 9:35PHIAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)24
11.7%
33
88.3%
Q2 - 9:39PHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup24
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q2 - 9:49MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
11.3%
33
88.7%
Q2 - 9:50PHIMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
11.7%
33
88.3%
Q2 - 9:59PHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 10:00MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot24
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q2 - 10:22PHIAllen 8' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)24
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q2 - 10:39PHIWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
10.6%
33
89.4%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Cole 22' Jump Shot22
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q2 - 11:05MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
9.8%
33
90.2%
Q2 - 11:06PHIMISS Holiday 15' Jump Shot22
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q2 - 11:09PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q2 - 11:10PHIMISS Holiday 8' Jump Shot22
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q2 - 11:17PHIWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMISS Cole 3' Layup22
10.4%
33
89.6%
Q2 - 11:40PHIWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)22
9.8%
33
90.2%
Q2 - 11:46PHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
7.5%
33
92.5%
Q2 - 11:49MIAMISS Lewis 20' Jump Shot18
7.3%
33
92.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHI18
6.8%
33
93.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)18
7.6%
33
92.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
9.2%
30
90.8%
Q1 - 0:23.0PHIMISS Allen 1' Layup18
9.4%
30
90.6%
Q1 - 0:24.0PHIAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
9.8%
30
90.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0PHIMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
9.4%
30
90.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
9.8%
30
90.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
9.6%
30
90.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
9.2%
30
90.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0PHIMISS Turner Free Throw 2 of 218
9.3%
30
90.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0PHIMISS Turner Free Throw 1 of 218
9.8%
30
90.2%
Q1 - 1:00MIALewis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)18
9.8%
30
90.2%
Q1 - 1:09MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
11.1%
28
88.9%
Q1 - 1:10PHIMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot18
11.4%
28
88.6%
Q1 - 1:29PHIAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
11.8%
28
88.2%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Allen 7' Running Jump Shot18
11.6%
28
88.4%
Q1 - 1:47MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
11.1%
28
88.9%
Q1 - 1:48PHIMISS Allen 6' Hook Shot18
11.3%
28
88.7%
Q1 - 2:11MIAAndersen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)18
12.0%
28
88.0%
Q1 - 2:30PHIAllen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)18
13.1%
26
86.9%
Q1 - 2:35PHI76ers Rebound16
12.0%
26
88.0%
Q1 - 2:36PHIMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
11.4%
26
88.6%
Q1 - 2:54MIACole 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)16
12.0%
26
88.0%
Q1 - 3:18MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 3:19PHIMISS Young Free Throw 2 of 216
13.1%
24
86.9%
Q1 - 3:19PHIYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 3:35MIAChalmers 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)15
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 3:49PHIYoung 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST)15
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q1 - 3:59PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 4:09MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
12.0%
22
88.0%
Q1 - 4:10PHIMISS Holiday 3' Driving Layup13
12.3%
22
87.7%
Q1 - 4:27MIAJames Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)13
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 4:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
12.0%
22
88.0%
Q1 - 4:34PHIMISS Young 4' Turnaround Hook Shot13
12.3%
22
87.7%
Q1 - 4:39PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 4:40PHIMISS Wilkins 1' Layup13
12.3%
22
87.7%
Q1 - 4:42MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 4:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
12.0%
22
88.0%
Q1 - 4:45PHIMISS Wilkins 17' Jump Shot13
12.3%
22
87.7%
Q1 - 4:52MIAJames 8' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS)13
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q1 - 5:04PHIAnthony STEAL (1 STL)13
14.3%
20
85.7%
Q1 - 5:30MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)13
15.4%
20
84.6%
Q1 - 5:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17.7%
17
82.3%
Q1 - 5:42PHIMISS Wilkins 9' Driving Jump Shot13
18.1%
17
81.9%
Q1 - 5:58MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)13
19.0%
17
81.0%
Q1 - 6:20MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
20.1%
15
79.9%
Q1 - 6:21PHIMISS Holiday 11' Jump Shot13
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 6:44MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)13
21.5%
15
78.5%
Q1 - 6:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
22.8%
13
77.2%
Q1 - 6:57PHIMISS Hawes 19' Turnaround Jump Shot13
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 7:11MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)13
24.2%
13
75.8%
Q1 - 7:29PHIWilkins 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 7:34MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)11
25.6%
10
74.4%
Q1 - 7:36MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
23.9%
10
76.1%
Q1 - 7:37PHIMISS Wilkins 16' Jump Shot11
24.4%
10
75.6%
Q1 - 7:47PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
25.6%
10
74.4%
Q1 - 7:48MIAMISS Anthony 1' Layup11
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 8:09PHIYoung 1' Layup (2 PTS)11
23.7%
10
76.3%
Q1 - 8:18PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Haslem 1' Driving Layup9
22.0%
10
78.0%
Q1 - 8:32PHITurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
21.1%
10
78.9%
Q1 - 8:32PHITurner Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 8:44MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)7
19.9%
10
80.1%
Q1 - 9:01PHIHawes 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS)7
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 9:02PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
20.0%
8
80.0%
Q1 - 9:03PHIMISS Holiday 18' Jump Shot5
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 9:13PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.0%
8
80.0%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup5
19.6%
8
80.4%
Q1 - 9:31PHITurner 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)5
18.7%
8
81.3%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)3
17.7%
8
82.3%
Q1 - 9:59PHIHawes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)3
19.9%
5
80.1%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
18.0%
5
82.0%
Q1 - 10:25PHIWilkins Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)0
16.8%
5
83.2%
Q1 - 10:28MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
18.0%
5
82.0%
Q1 - 10:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
16.8%
5
83.2%
Q1 - 10:37PHIMISS Turner 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
17.1%
5
82.9%
Q1 - 10:54MIAJames 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
18.0%
5
82.0%
Q1 - 11:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
18.9%
3
81.2%
Q1 - 11:06PHIMISS Young 1' Layup0
19.1%
3
80.9%
Q1 - 11:19MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)0
19.8%
3
80.2%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot0
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 11:28MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 11:29MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot0
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 11:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 11:43PHIMISS Turner 17' Jump Shot0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Hawes: Tip to Young0
23.2%
0
76.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
0.94 46.8%
MIA
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
8
20
40%
MIA
15
27
56%
Midrange
PHI
19
42
45%
MIA
11
31
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
MIA
14
21.0
25
56%
84%
Free Throws
PHI
15
20
75%
MIA
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Holiday1853%9.0 / 17
E. Turner1458%7.0 / 12
S. Hawes1155%5.5 / 10
D. Wright1045%5.0 / 11
N. Young1063%5.0 / 8
T. Young938%4.5 / 12
D. Wilkins735%3.5 / 10
L. Allen643%3.0 / 7
A. Moultrie2100%1.0 / 1
J. Holiday0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2775%13.5 / 18
R. Lewis1470%7.0 / 10
N. Cole1350%6.5 / 13
M. Chalmers1155%5.5 / 10
R. Allen1161%5.5 / 9
U. Haslem1056%5.0 / 9
S. Battier880%4.0 / 5
C. Andersen739%3.5 / 9
M. Miller350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
79
+14
-9
93
MIA
79
+14
-9
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
0.94 46.8%
MIA
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.9
112.1
PHI 98.9 +21.6
MIA 120.5
Pace
91.1
90.9
PHI 94.1 +11.4
MIA 82.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.0
PHI 15.3 +2.1
MIA 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.1%
55.2%
PHI 43.9%
MIA 56.6% +12.7%
TO %
13.7%
14.5%
PHI 10.8% +0.2%
MIA 11.0%
ORB %
24.9%
22.2%
PHI 24.5%
MIA 27.5% +3.0%
FTrt
20.0
29.7
PHI 24.4 +7.5
MIA 16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.0%
60.0%
PHI 36.4%
MIA 62.5% +26.1%
STL %
8.1%
9.5%
PHI 6.8% +1.1%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
7.6%
9.1%
PHI 3.4%
MIA 4.8% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.4%
57.0%
PHI 46.8%
MIA 56.4% +9.6%
Rim FG%
56.1%
65.9%
PHI 40.0%
MIA 55.6% +15.6%
Mid FG%
39.5%
41.9%
PHI 45.2% +9.7%
MIA 35.5%
3P %
36.0%
39.6%
PHI 30.0%
MIA 56.0% +26.0%
FT %
72.9%
75.4%
PHI 75.0%
MIA 85.7% +10.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.6%
34.8%
PHI 24.4%
MIA 32.5% +8.1%
Mid Att. %
45.6%
36.7%
PHI 51.2%
MIA 37.3% +13.9%
3P Att. %
20.9%
28.5%
PHI 24.4%
MIA 30.1% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points87106
Rebounds4148
Assists1225
Steals65
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)37 (0)
Field Goals33-8240-83
At-the-Rim FG8-2015-27
Midrange FG19-4211-31
2-Point FG27-6226-58
3-Point FG6-2014-25
Free Throws15-2012-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 205 · 23
39.1
18
53%
5
6
2
1
5
1
1
4
1-1
100%
4-13
31%
3-4
75%
G · 6'6" 225 · 33
32.2
7
35%
3
0
2
0
1
3
1
2
1-1
100%
3-9
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 24
31.9
14
58%
5
5
0
0
1
1
1
4
2-4
50%
6-8
75%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 25
29.4
9
38%
1
0
1
0
0
4
1
0
1-2
50%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 245 · 25
28.2
11
55%
11
0
1
0
1
1
3
8
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
2-3
67%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27
29.3
10
45%
7
0
0
0
0
3
3
4
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
1-7
14%
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28
20.9
10
63%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
3-3
100%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24
15.9
6
43%
8
0
0
0
1
0
2
6
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 185 · 24
6.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 22
6.2
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 31
G · 6'3" 215 · 24
C · 6'11" 290 · 31
#33 · C · 7'0" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · G · 6'6" 225 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
47%
41
12
6
2
9
0
12
29
15-20
75%
27-62
44%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.