Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, November 20, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Nets | 44% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Thunder | 70% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Raptors | 56% | 107 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Bulls | 55% | 109 | 118 |
 | 24 | Lakers | 45% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Knicks | 41% | 104 | 104 |
Saturday, November 19, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 40% | 102 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Hornets | 57% | 107 | 116 |
 | 23 | Pelicans | 43% | 104 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Heat | 43% | 98 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Mavericks | 42% | 96 | 87 |
 | 26 | Magic | 58% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Celtics | 51% | 104 | 94 |
 | 17 | Pistons | 49% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Timberwolves | 48% | 103 | 71 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Bucks | 22% | 105 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 28% | 101 | 95 |
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Friday, November 18, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 45% | 103 | 96 |
| 11 | Hornets | 55% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 39% | 107 | 116 |
| 24 | Pacers | 61% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 26% | 102 | 81 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 109 | 101 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 52% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 26% | 106 | 105 |
| 10 | Thunder | 74% | 115 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 71% | 116 | 104 |
| 12 | Celtics | 29% | 108 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 51% | 100 | 80 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 49% | 99 | 64 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 59% | 110 | 113 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 41% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Lakers | 24% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 70% | 108 | 121 |
| 17 | Kings | 30% | 100 | 115 |
Thursday, November 17, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 39% | 103 | 112 |
| 15 | Wizards | 61% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 38% | 99 | 73 |
| 21 | Heat | 62% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 109 | 109 |
| 5 | Rockets | 64% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 22% | 101 | 86 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 78% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 43% | 100 | 85 |
| 8 | Jazz | 57% | 102 | 77 |
Wednesday, November 16, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 62% | 106 | 102 |
| 30 | 76ers | 38% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 45% | 105 | 82 |
| 25 | Magic | 55% | 106 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 62% | 110 | 93 |
| 14 | Pacers | 38% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 37% | 101 | 83 |
| 13 | Celtics | 63% | 106 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 51% | 105 | 102 |
| 20 | Knicks | 49% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 33% | 102 | 100 |
| 7 | Hawks | 67% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 49% | 109 | 103 |
| 12 | Thunder | 51% | 110 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 69% | 114 | 127 |
| 5 | Raptors | 31% | 108 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 42% | 110 | 104 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 58% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 21% | 98 | 111 |
| 4 | Clippers | 79% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 72% | 104 | 110 |
| 18 | Kings | 28% | 96 | 105 |
Tuesday, November 15, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 29% | 104 | 117 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 71% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 61% | 101 | 93 |
| 22 | Heat | 39% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 43% | 105 | 115 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 57% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 49% | 110 | 113 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 111 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 34% | 108 | 118 |
| 27 | Lakers | 66% | 114 | 125 |
Monday, November 14, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 33% | 102 | 69 |
| 15 | Pacers | 67% | 108 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Mavericks | 46% | 103 | 77 |
| 20 | Knicks | 54% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 48% | 104 | 88 |
| 21 | Pistons | 52% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 56% | 109 | 105 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 44% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 21% | 103 | 88 |
| 5 | Rockets | 79% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 16% | 90 | 90 |
| 2 | Spurs | 84% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 34% | 96 | 102 |
| 8 | Jazz | 66% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 13% | 101 | 95 |
| 4 | Clippers | 87% | 117 | 127 |
Sunday, November 13, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 22% | 104 | 93 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 78% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 27% | 101 | 119 |
| 9 | Thunder | 73% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 34% | 106 | 99 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 66% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 6% | 103 | 120 |
| 1 | Warriors | 94% | 124 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 34% | 109 | 105 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 114 | 112 |
Saturday, November 12, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 39% | 107 | 126 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 61% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 52% | 109 | 105 |
| 24 | Pacers | 48% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 26% | 101 | 107 |
| 7 | Raptors | 74% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 19% | 98 | 96 |
| 8 | Hawks | 81% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 30% | 101 | 95 |
| 10 | Bulls | 70% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 54% | 106 | 106 |
| 5 | Rockets | 46% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 61% | 109 | 119 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 39% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 52% | 97 | 102 |
| 17 | Heat | 48% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 51% | 106 | 96 |
| 22 | Bucks | 49% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 41% | 105 | 106 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 59% | 108 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 40% | 110 | 122 |
| 27 | Suns | 60% | 113 | 104 |
Friday, November 11, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 60% | 108 | 105 |
| 30 | 76ers | 40% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 69% | 112 | 105 |
| 15 | Wizards | 31% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 49% | 104 | 113 |
| 12 | Hornets | 51% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 62% | 103 | 87 |
| 26 | Magic | 38% | 98 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 41% | 107 | 87 |
| 13 | Celtics | 59% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 59% | 107 | 110 |
| 9 | Thunder | 41% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 21% | 95 | 86 |
| 3 | Spurs | 79% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 37% | 104 | 120 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 109 | 122 |
Thursday, November 10, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 45% | 106 | 112 |
| 25 | Bucks | 55% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 42% | 101 | 98 |
| 20 | Heat | 58% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 70% | 117 | 125 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 30% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 38% | 104 | 101 |
| 21 | Kings | 62% | 108 | 91 |
Wednesday, November 9, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 29% | 106 | 96 |
| 19 | Knicks | 71% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 45% | 106 | 93 |
| 14 | Wizards | 55% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 52% | 102 | 98 |
| 11 | Hornets | 48% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 39% | 104 | 123 |
| 23 | Magic | 61% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 30% | 103 | 115 |
| 16 | Pacers | 70% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 40% | 102 | 107 |
| 6 | Hawks | 60% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 46% | 104 | 112 |
| 9 | Thunder | 54% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 57% | 108 | 100 |
| 27 | Suns | 43% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 27% | 100 | 101 |
| 3 | Spurs | 73% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 104 | 80 |
| 4 | Clippers | 76% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mavericks | 11% | 99 | 95 |
| 1 | Warriors | 89% | 117 | 116 |
Tuesday, November 8, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 26% | 105 | 110 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 74% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 54% | 109 | 110 |
| 29 | Nets | 46% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 44% | 106 | 107 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 56% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 31% | 109 | 121 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 116 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 53% | 108 | 109 |
| 28 | Lakers | 47% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 38% | 102 | 94 |
| 20 | Kings | 62% | 106 | 102 |
Monday, November 7, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 64% | 105 | 109 |
| 29 | 76ers | 36% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 51% | 108 | 114 |
| 14 | Wizards | 49% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 41% | 104 | 100 |
| 10 | Hornets | 59% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 38% | 102 | 80 |
| 13 | Bulls | 62% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 40% | 102 | 85 |
| 11 | Thunder | 60% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 25% | 99 | 82 |
| 4 | Clippers | 75% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 11% | 104 | 106 |
| 1 | Warriors | 89% | 120 | 116 |