FinalWin Prob.pScore
2216%90
90
284%104
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.79494.5
SAS logo SAS
100.09493.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS90
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWhiteside Putback Layup (23 PTS)90
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)88
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)88
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)88
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)88
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)85
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 285
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIARichardson Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)85
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)83
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)83
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)83
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)83
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASMISS Leonard 18' Jump Shot83
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot83
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 1:06SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)83
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Waiters 17' Jump Shot83
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 1:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)83
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 1:15SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot83
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 1:35SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)83
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot83
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 1:45SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)83
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 1:45SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)83
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 1:56MIAWhiteside 10' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)83
3.7%
87
96.3%
Q4 - 2:09SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)81
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 2:09SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 281
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q4 - 2:22MIAWaiters 1' Running Layup (24 PTS)81
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 2:27SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)79
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 2:50MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Winslow 5 AST)79
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 3:02MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)76
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 3:03SASMISS Gasol 1' Tip Layup Shot76
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 3:05SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 3:06SASMISS Leonard 17' Pullup Jump Shot76
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 3:26MIAWaiters 19' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)76
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 3:48SASLeonard Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)74
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 3:49SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)74
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 4:10MIAJohnson 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)74
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 4:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)72
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q4 - 4:21SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot72
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 4:34MIAWaiters 18' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)72
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 4:54SASGasol 8' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)70
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 5:06MIAGasol STEAL (1 STL)70
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 5:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)70
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q4 - 5:27SASMISS Leonard 7' Jump Shot70
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 5:42MIAJohnson Running Dunk (9 PTS)70
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q4 - 5:46MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)68
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 5:49SASMISS Leonard 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot68
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)68
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)67
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)66
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS Waiters 7' Jump Shot66
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 6:24SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 6:24SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 6:26SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 6:28SASMISS Aldridge 1' Alley Oop Layup66
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q4 - 6:36SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS Johnson 1' Tip Layup Shot66
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 6:38MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Hook Shot66
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 6:59SASLeonard 14' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)66
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 7:16SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)66
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 7:18MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 7:26SASAldridge Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)66
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 7:48SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)66
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS McRoberts 14' Jump Shot66
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 8:08SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)66
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q4 - 8:20MIASimmons STEAL (1 STL)66
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q4 - 8:34MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q4 - 8:35SASMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot66
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q4 - 8:59SASLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS McRoberts 1' Driving Layup66
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q4 - 9:13MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q4 - 9:13SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot66
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q4 - 9:34SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q4 - 9:45SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)66
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q4 - 9:58SASLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Waiters 19' Jump Shot66
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q4 - 10:15MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q4 - 10:18SASMISS Aldridge 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot66
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q4 - 10:36MIAWaiters 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (15 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)66
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q4 - 10:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q4 - 10:43SASMISS Lee 1' Layup64
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q4 - 11:02MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q4 - 11:02MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)63
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q4 - 11:18SASLee 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)62
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q4 - 11:21SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q4 - 11:23SASMISS Anderson 9' Jump Shot62
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q4 - 11:44MIAWaiters 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)62
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA60
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Bertans 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 0:09.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)58
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Winslow 15' Jump Bank Shot58
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASMISS Dedmon 8' Jump Shot58
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASMISS Mills 19' Jump Shot58
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q3 - 1:08SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot58
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 1:22SASJump Ball Dedmon vs. Winslow: Tip to McRoberts58
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 1:24SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q3 - 1:24SASMISS Lee 1' Layup58
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 1:26SASLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q3 - 1:26SASMISS Ginobili 5' Hook Shot58
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 1:38SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q3 - 1:39MIADedmon BLOCK (2 BLK)58
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 1:53SASMills Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T12)58
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 2:07MIAWinslow Cutting Dunk Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)58
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 2:27SASDedmon Foul Turnover (P1.T11)56
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 2:31SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Hook Shot56
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 3:02SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)56
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q3 - 3:10SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 3:11MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot56
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 3:30SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)56
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 3:30SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)56
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q3 - 3:39MIAJohnson 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Winslow 4 AST)56
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 3:42MIAHeat Rebound54
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 3:42MIALee BLOCK (1 BLK)54
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 3:42MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 3:43MIAAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)54
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 3:57SASLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)54
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 3:57SASMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 254
3.1%
65
96.9%
Q3 - 3:58SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q3 - 3:59SASMISS Gasol Layup54
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q3 - 4:12SASSPURS Rebound54
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 4:12SASMISS Gasol 1' Layup54
3.5%
65
96.5%
Q3 - 4:19MIAWilliams 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)54
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 4:28MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q3 - 4:30SASMISS Leonard 8' Floating Jump Shot52
2.5%
65
97.5%
Q3 - 4:48MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)52
2.2%
65
97.8%
Q3 - 4:48MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 251
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 4:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)51
2.2%
65
97.8%
Q3 - 4:59SASMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 5:20MIAAldridge STEAL (1 STL)51
2.0%
65
98.0%
Q3 - 5:38SASGasol 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)51
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q3 - 5:44SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 5:45MIAMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot51
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 6:04SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)51
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 6:15SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 6:15SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot51
3.2%
63
96.8%
Q3 - 6:40SASSPURS Rebound51
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Waiters Layup51
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q3 - 6:58SASGasol 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)51
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 7:13MIARichardson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)51
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q3 - 7:21MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
3.5%
61
96.5%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Winslow 10' Jump Shot49
3.1%
61
96.9%
Q3 - 7:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)49
3.5%
61
96.5%
Q3 - 7:32SASMISS Aldridge 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot49
3.3%
61
96.7%
Q3 - 7:53MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (17 PTS)49
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 8:15SASParker 2' Running Layup (11 PTS)47
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q3 - 8:20SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Richardson 1' Layup47
3.2%
59
96.8%
Q3 - 8:28SASSimmons Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)47
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 8:29SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q3 - 8:30SASMISS Simmons 1' Layup47
3.5%
59
96.5%
Q3 - 8:38SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup47
3.2%
59
96.8%
Q3 - 8:48MIAHeat Rebound47
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 8:48MIASimmons BLOCK (1 BLK)47
3.2%
59
96.8%
Q3 - 8:52SASGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)47
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q3 - 9:12MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)47
3.2%
59
96.8%
Q3 - 9:12MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 246
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q3 - 9:23MIAHeat Rebound46
3.2%
59
96.8%
Q3 - 9:23SASMISS Parker 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup46
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q3 - 9:47MIAWaiters Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T9)46
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q3 - 9:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)46
3.2%
59
96.8%
Q3 - 9:52SASMISS Leonard 15' Jump Shot46
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q3 - 9:55SASSPURS Rebound46
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q3 - 9:55SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup46
3.1%
59
96.9%
Q3 - 9:59SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
2.7%
59
97.3%
Q3 - 10:00MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)46
2.9%
59
97.1%
Q3 - 10:10SASGasol 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)46
3.3%
59
96.7%
Q3 - 10:25MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)46
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q3 - 10:47SASGasol 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)44
3.3%
57
96.7%
Q3 - 11:12MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)44
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q3 - 11:15SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)42
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q3 - 11:28MIARichardson 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)42
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q3 - 11:30MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q3 - 11:32MIAMISS Waiters 1' Layup40
2.2%
55
97.8%
Q3 - 11:37MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q3 - 11:37SASMISS Gasol 11' Jump Shot40
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q3 - 11:42SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
2.2%
55
97.8%
Q3 - 11:44SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup40
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS40
2.2%
55
97.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
2.2%
55
97.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.2%
55
97.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q2 - 0:10.0SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot40
2.5%
55
97.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAWaiters 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)40
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
2.0%
55
98.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
1.9%
55
98.1%
Q2 - 0:52.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
1.8%
55
98.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Waiters Layup38
1.9%
55
98.1%
Q2 - 1:13SASAldridge 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)38
2.1%
55
97.9%
Q2 - 1:33MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)38
2.5%
53
97.5%
Q2 - 1:57SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)35
1.9%
53
98.1%
Q2 - 2:08MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)35
2.6%
50
97.4%
Q2 - 2:26SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)33
2.3%
50
97.7%
Q2 - 2:41SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
2.6%
48
97.4%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 233
2.6%
48
97.4%
Q2 - 2:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)33
2.8%
48
97.2%
Q2 - 2:43MIAHeat Rebound32
2.6%
48
97.4%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
2.4%
48
97.6%
Q2 - 2:53SASAldridge Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)32
2.6%
48
97.4%
Q2 - 3:12SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
2.4%
48
97.6%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 232
2.4%
48
97.6%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 232
2.6%
48
97.4%
Q2 - 3:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)32
2.7%
48
97.3%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Waiters 2' Layup32
2.5%
48
97.5%
Q2 - 3:36SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)32
2.7%
48
97.3%
Q2 - 3:48MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
3.0%
46
97.0%
Q2 - 3:48MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)31
2.9%
46
97.1%
Q2 - 3:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
2.7%
46
97.3%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS Waiters 1' Layup30
2.5%
46
97.5%
Q2 - 3:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
2.7%
46
97.3%
Q2 - 3:58SASMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot30
2.6%
46
97.4%
Q2 - 4:13MIAWhiteside Dunk (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)30
2.5%
46
97.5%
Q2 - 4:29SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)28
2.2%
46
97.8%
Q2 - 4:29SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)28
2.3%
45
97.7%
Q2 - 4:47MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)28
2.5%
44
97.5%
Q2 - 4:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
2.2%
44
97.8%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Johnson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot26
2.1%
44
97.9%
Q2 - 5:15SASAldridge 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)26
2.3%
44
97.7%
Q2 - 5:28MIAWaiters Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)26
2.5%
42
97.5%
Q2 - 5:43SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)24
2.3%
42
97.7%
Q2 - 5:53SASSPURS Rebound24
2.8%
39
97.2%
Q2 - 5:53SASMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
3.1%
39
96.9%
Q2 - 6:08MIAJohnson 1' Running Layup (3 PTS)24
2.9%
39
97.1%
Q2 - 6:15MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
2.7%
39
97.3%
Q2 - 6:17SASMISS Gasol Driving Hook Shot22
2.6%
39
97.4%
Q2 - 6:23SASSPURS Rebound22
2.4%
39
97.6%
Q2 - 6:23SASMISS Parker 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot22
2.6%
39
97.4%
Q2 - 6:49MIARichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)22
2.3%
39
97.7%
Q2 - 7:12SASGasol 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)22
2.8%
39
97.2%
Q2 - 7:35SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
3.1%
37
96.9%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 222
3.1%
37
96.9%
Q2 - 7:39MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
3.4%
37
96.6%
Q2 - 7:43SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
3.1%
37
96.9%
Q2 - 8:01MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P3.T7)21
2.9%
37
97.1%
Q2 - 8:13SASSimmons 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)21
3.2%
37
96.8%
Q2 - 8:13SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
3.5%
35
96.5%
Q2 - 8:13SASMISS Dedmon 1' Tip Layup Shot21
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q2 - 8:13SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
3.5%
35
96.5%
Q2 - 8:15SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup21
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q2 - 8:22SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
3.5%
35
96.5%
Q2 - 8:23MIADedmon BLOCK (1 BLK)21
3.6%
35
96.4%
Q2 - 8:28MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
3.9%
35
96.1%
Q2 - 8:29MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot21
3.6%
35
96.4%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
3.9%
35
96.1%
Q2 - 8:48SASMISS Gasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q2 - 9:10SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
3.5%
35
96.5%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 221
3.6%
35
96.4%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 221
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
3.9%
35
96.1%
Q2 - 9:28SASMISS Green 4' Jump Shot21
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q2 - 9:43SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
3.5%
35
96.5%
Q2 - 9:43MIAMISS McRoberts 19' Jump Shot21
3.7%
35
96.3%
Q2 - 10:07SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)21
4.1%
35
95.9%
Q2 - 10:35MIAJohnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)21
4.9%
32
95.1%
Q2 - 10:45SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)19
4.5%
32
95.5%
Q2 - 10:45SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)19
4.6%
31
95.4%
Q2 - 10:49MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)19
4.9%
30
95.1%
Q2 - 11:03SASLee 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)19
5.4%
30
94.6%
Q2 - 11:17MIAJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)19
5.9%
28
94.1%
Q2 - 11:35SASMills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)19
6.4%
28
93.6%
Q2 - 11:41SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
7.7%
25
92.3%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS McRoberts 6' Jump Shot19
7.9%
25
92.1%
Q2 - 11:50SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS19
7.7%
25
92.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
7.7%
25
92.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
7.9%
25
92.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
8.3%
25
91.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASMISS Dedmon 5' Jump Bank Shot19
8.1%
25
91.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)19
7.8%
25
92.2%
Q1 - 1:00MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6.4%
25
93.6%
Q1 - 1:02SASMISS Ginobili 11' Floating Jump Shot16
6.2%
25
93.8%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMcGruder 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (2 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)16
6.0%
25
94.0%
Q1 - 1:33SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
5.3%
25
94.7%
Q1 - 1:45MIAWinslow Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)14
5.0%
25
95.0%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
4.5%
25
95.5%
Q1 - 2:04SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 212
4.5%
25
95.5%
Q1 - 2:04SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)12
4.2%
25
95.8%
Q1 - 2:10MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
4.6%
24
95.4%
Q1 - 2:21SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)12
5.0%
24
95.0%
Q1 - 2:33SASSPURS Rebound12
6.0%
21
94.0%
Q1 - 2:34SASMISS Ginobili 8' Floating Jump Shot12
6.3%
21
93.7%
Q1 - 2:47MIAWaiters 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)12
6.0%
21
94.0%
Q1 - 3:07SASLeonard 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)10
5.5%
21
94.5%
Q1 - 3:10SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)10
6.0%
19
94.0%
Q1 - 3:12SASMISS Leonard 9' Driving Bank Shot10
6.4%
19
93.6%
Q1 - 3:18SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
6.0%
19
94.0%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Johnson 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot10
6.1%
19
93.9%
Q1 - 3:35SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)10
6.5%
19
93.5%
Q1 - 3:48MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)10
7.0%
17
93.0%
Q1 - 3:57MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
7.7%
17
92.3%
Q1 - 3:58SASMISS Leonard 13' Fadeaway Jumper10
7.5%
17
92.5%
Q1 - 4:24SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
6.9%
17
93.1%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Richardson 23' Jump Shot10
7.1%
17
92.9%
Q1 - 4:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
7.7%
17
92.3%
Q1 - 4:49SASMISS Gasol 6' Driving Hook Shot10
7.4%
17
92.6%
Q1 - 5:08MIAWinslow 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)10
7.0%
17
93.0%
Q1 - 5:13SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
6.5%
17
93.5%
Q1 - 5:19SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)8
6.0%
17
94.0%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup8
6.1%
17
93.9%
Q1 - 5:33SASLeonard 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)8
6.5%
17
93.5%
Q1 - 5:46SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
7.0%
15
93.0%
Q1 - 5:47MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
7.2%
15
92.8%
Q1 - 6:05SASAldridge 14' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
7.7%
15
92.3%
Q1 - 6:21SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
8.2%
13
91.8%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
8.4%
13
91.6%
Q1 - 6:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
8.9%
13
91.1%
Q1 - 6:39SASMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 28
8.8%
13
91.2%
Q1 - 6:39SASMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 28
8.3%
13
91.7%
Q1 - 6:42SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
8.2%
13
91.8%
Q1 - 6:44MIAGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)8
8.4%
13
91.6%
Q1 - 7:01SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)8
8.8%
13
91.2%
Q1 - 7:01SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 28
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 7:02SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
8.7%
12
91.3%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot8
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 7:20SASAldridge 12' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
9.5%
12
90.5%
Q1 - 7:39MIAWhiteside Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)8
10.0%
10
90.0%
Q1 - 7:57SASParker 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
9.5%
10
90.5%
Q1 - 8:11SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
9.9%
8
90.1%
Q1 - 8:12MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 16
10.0%
8
90.0%
Q1 - 8:28SASLeonard 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
9.3%
8
90.7%
Q1 - 8:34SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.9%
6
90.1%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot4
10.1%
6
89.9%
Q1 - 8:54SASParker 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)4
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 9:04MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)4
11.1%
4
88.9%
Q1 - 9:25SASAldridge 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)4
12.1%
4
87.9%
Q1 - 9:40SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 9:40MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 10:02SASParker 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)4
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 10:13MIARichardson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
14.4%
0
85.6%
Q1 - 10:23SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 10:32MIAWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 10:53MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 10:54SASMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot2
13.3%
0
86.7%
Q1 - 11:03SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.6%
0
87.4%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
12.8%
0
87.2%
Q1 - 11:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.4%
0
86.6%
Q1 - 11:15SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
13.1%
0
86.9%
Q1 - 11:41MIAWilliams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)2
12.6%
0
87.4%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Gasol vs. Whiteside: Tip to0
11.8%
0
88.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.4%
SAS
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
36
58%
SAS
7
24
29%
Midrange
MIA
12
33
36%
SAS
18
43
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
SAS
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
MIA
12
21
57%
SAS
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters2752%13.5 / 26
H. Whiteside2377%11.5 / 15
T. Johnson1146%5.5 / 12
J. Richardson844%4.0 / 9
J. Winslow729%3.5 / 12
J. Johnson770%3.5 / 5
D. Williams536%2.5 / 7
R. McGruder250%1.0 / 2
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2452%12.0 / 23
L. Aldridge1860%9.0 / 15
P. Gasol1238%6.0 / 16
T. Parker1146%5.5 / 12
P. Mills10100%5.0 / 5
M. Ginobili660%3.0 / 5
J. Simmons536%2.5 / 7
D. Lee550%2.5 / 5
D. Green375%1.5 / 2
D. Dedmon0-0.0 / 3
K. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
D. Bertans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+13
-13
94
SAS
77
+19
-17
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.4%
SAS
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
111.3
MIA 95.7 +4.3
SAS 100.0
Pace
95.0
94.1
MIA 94.5 +1.0
SAS 93.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.8
MIA 15.2 +0.2
SAS 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
52.4%
MIA 46.4% +1.3%
SAS 45.1%
TO %
13.2%
13.6%
MIA 12.2% +3.1%
SAS 15.3%
ORB %
24.2%
24.0%
MIA 20.8%
SAS 31.1% +10.3%
FTrt
25.1
26.3
MIA 25.0
SAS 32.9 +7.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
60.6%
MIA 59.5%
SAS 72.7% +13.2%
STL %
7.5%
8.5%
MIA 14.9% +10.6%
SAS 4.3%
BLK %
9.3%
9.9%
MIA 11.9% +1.8%
SAS 10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
54.8%
MIA 47.4%
SAS 48.0% +0.6%
Rim FG%
59.2%
60.5%
MIA 58.3% +29.1%
SAS 29.2%
Mid FG%
39.4%
42.0%
MIA 36.4%
SAS 41.9% +5.5%
3P %
36.5%
39.1%
MIA 26.7%
SAS 53.3% +26.6%
FT %
70.6%
79.7%
MIA 57.1%
SAS 74.1% +17.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
31.1%
MIA 42.9% +13.6%
SAS 29.3%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
40.8%
MIA 39.3% +13.2%
SAS 52.4%
3P Att. %
31.4%
28.1%
MIA 17.9%
SAS 18.3% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points9094
Rebounds4152
Assists2224
Steals144
Blocks87
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)38 (1)
Field Goals37-8433-82
At-the-Rim FG21-367-24
Midrange FG12-3318-43
2-Point FG33-6925-67
3-Point FG4-158-15
Free Throws12-2120-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
35.5
27
52%
2
3
3
3
4
5
0
2
0-0
-
9-20
45%
3-6
50%
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
35.5
7
29%
3
5
1
0
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
3-10
30%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
33.9
23
77%
16
1
2
2
4
3
5
11
5-9
56%
9-11
82%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 23
28.3
8
44%
1
4
1
0
3
4
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
15.7
5
36%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
33.0
11
46%
8
6
1
0
0
0
0
8
3-6
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
18.4
7
70%
5
0
1
2
1
5
2
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
18.2
2
50%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
· 6'10" 240 · 30
14.0
0
0%
3
3
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
· 6'11" 245 · 26
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
#2 · G · 6'5" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
47%
41
22
14
8
13
0
10
31
12-21
57%
33-69
48%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.