FinalWin Prob.pScore
2321%95
86
379%106
96
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
100.08686.1
SAS logo SAS
114.38483.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS86
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)86
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)85
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 384
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)84
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0DETPistons Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#13)84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0DETPistons Rebound84
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASMISS Leonard 17' Pullup Jump Shot84
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETGasol BLOCK (2 BLK)84
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 1:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)84
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 1:10SASMISS Leonard 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup84
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 1:31SASGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)84
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 1:33SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 1:51DETSmith Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)84
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 2:07SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 2:20SASGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)84
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q4 - 2:22DETMISS Smith 8' Driving Bank Shot84
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q4 - 2:30DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
5.4%
89
94.6%
Q4 - 2:30SASMISS Leonard 13' Fadeaway Jumper84
4.4%
89
95.6%
Q4 - 2:59DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)84
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 3:06DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)82
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 3:08SASMISS Aldridge 13' Jump Shot82
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 3:34DETSmith 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)82
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 3:46DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)80
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 3:47SASMISS Mills 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot80
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 4:13SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)80
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 4:14DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 280
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 4:14DETMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 280
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 4:19DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)80
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 4:20SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot80
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 4:37DETLeuer 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 7 AST)80
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 4:52DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 4:53SASMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot78
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 5:07DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)78
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 5:07DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (20 PTS)78
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 5:08DETMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup76
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 5:24SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)76
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 5:35SASGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 5:36DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Running Finger Roll Layup76
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 5:40SASGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)76
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 5:54DETLeuer 9' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)76
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 6:21SASGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 6:21SASGasol 1' Putback Layup (21 PTS)74
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 6:22SASMISS Parker Reverse Layup74
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 6:38DETLeonard STEAL (4 STL)74
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 6:50DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)74
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 6:51SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 274
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 6:51SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 6:58SASSPURS Rebound74
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 7:01SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot74
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 7:05SASSPURS Rebound74
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 7:05SASMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot74
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 7:21DETDrummond 9' Jump Shot (18 PTS)74
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 7:24DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)72
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 7:25DETMISS Leuer 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 7:47SASGasol 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)72
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 8:06SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 8:08SASMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 8:17SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 8:18DETMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 8:34SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)72
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 8:54SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 8:55DETMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 272
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 8:55DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)72
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 9:02DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q4 - 9:03SASMISS Leonard Dunk71
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 9:13DETJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 9:13DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)70
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 9:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)69
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 9:35SASMISS Simmons Free Throw 2 of 269
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 9:35SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 9:45SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 9:46DETMISS Marc Morris 16' Pullup Jump Shot69
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 10:07SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dedmon 1 AST)69
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q4 - 10:27DETUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q4 - 10:27DETUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 10:40SASMills Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)67
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q4 - 10:40SASMills Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)67
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q4 - 10:40SASMills Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)67
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q4 - 10:48SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q4 - 10:49DETMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q4 - 11:07SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)67
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q4 - 11:12DETDedmon STEAL (1 STL)67
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q4 - 11:20SASDedmon Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)67
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q4 - 11:41SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q4 - 11:43DETMISS Leuer 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET67
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound67
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Udrih 50' 3PT Jump Shot67
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Aldridge 1' Cutting Dunk Shot67
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)67
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETMISS Harris 19' Step Back Jump Shot67
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0SASMills 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)67
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q3 - 1:01DETUdrih 18' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
8.2%
73
91.8%
Q3 - 1:15SASGinobili 24' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)65
6.9%
73
93.1%
Q3 - 1:40SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)65
9.8%
70
90.2%
Q3 - 1:41DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 20' Pullup Bank Shot65
10.3%
70
89.7%
Q3 - 1:59SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)65
11.7%
70
88.3%
Q3 - 2:20SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
16.0%
67
84.0%
Q3 - 2:22DETMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
16.8%
67
83.2%
Q3 - 2:40DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
18.9%
67
81.1%
Q3 - 2:41SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot65
18.0%
67
82.0%
Q3 - 2:54SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
16.0%
67
84.0%
Q3 - 2:55DETMISS Leuer 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
16.8%
67
83.2%
Q3 - 3:03DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
19.0%
67
81.0%
Q3 - 3:05SASMISS Mills 21' Pullup Jump Shot65
18.1%
67
81.9%
Q3 - 3:13SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 3:15DETMISS Baynes 19' Jump Shot65
17.0%
67
83.0%
Q3 - 3:25DETPistons Rebound65
18.9%
67
81.1%
Q3 - 3:25DETMISS Smith 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup65
17.0%
67
83.0%
Q3 - 3:35SASGinobili Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)65
18.9%
67
81.1%
Q3 - 3:46DETMills STEAL (1 STL)65
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 3:59SASAldridge 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)65
18.9%
67
81.1%
Q3 - 4:12DETSmith 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 6 AST)65
21.1%
65
78.9%
Q3 - 4:25DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)63
18.8%
65
81.2%
Q3 - 4:26SASMISS Leonard 18' Jump Shot63
17.9%
65
82.1%
Q3 - 4:42DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
15.9%
65
84.1%
Q3 - 4:42DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
15.6%
65
84.4%
Q3 - 5:08SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)61
14.2%
65
85.8%
Q3 - 5:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
18.4%
62
81.6%
Q3 - 5:18DETMISS Smith 19' Pullup Jump Shot61
19.3%
62
80.7%
Q3 - 5:36SASAldridge Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)61
21.3%
62
78.7%
Q3 - 5:52SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)61
18.4%
62
81.6%
Q3 - 5:53DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup61
19.2%
62
80.8%
Q3 - 6:11SASParker Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST)61
20.8%
62
79.2%
Q3 - 6:28DETHarris 9' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 5 AST)61
23.3%
60
76.7%
Q3 - 6:45DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)59
20.8%
60
79.2%
Q3 - 6:46SASMISS Parker 5' Turnaround Hook Shot59
20.0%
60
80.0%
Q3 - 7:01SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q3 - 7:02DETMISS Marc Morris 19' Jump Shot59
18.7%
60
81.3%
Q3 - 7:10DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
20.6%
60
79.4%
Q3 - 7:11SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup59
19.8%
60
80.2%
Q3 - 7:33DETDrummond 3' Alley Oop Layup (16 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)59
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q3 - 7:55SASAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)57
16.0%
60
84.0%
Q3 - 8:09SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
20.1%
57
79.9%
Q3 - 8:10DETMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
21.0%
57
79.0%
Q3 - 8:31SASLeonard 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)57
23.1%
57
76.9%
Q3 - 8:51DETDrummond 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
28.3%
54
71.7%
Q3 - 9:16SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)54
22.2%
54
77.8%
Q3 - 9:16SASMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 254
22.7%
53
77.3%
Q3 - 9:32SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)54
22.1%
53
77.9%
Q3 - 9:34SASMISS Anderson Tip Layup Shot54
24.0%
53
76.0%
Q3 - 9:34SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
22.1%
53
77.9%
Q3 - 9:35SASMISS Leonard 20' Jump Shot54
24.0%
53
76.0%
Q3 - 9:50SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
22.1%
53
77.9%
Q3 - 9:52DETMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
23.0%
53
77.0%
Q3 - 10:02DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
24.2%
53
75.8%
Q3 - 10:03SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
23.3%
53
76.7%
Q3 - 10:22DETLeonard STEAL (3 STL)54
21.5%
53
78.5%
Q3 - 10:46SASGasol 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)54
24.2%
53
75.8%
Q3 - 11:03DETMarc Morris 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
25.7%
51
74.3%
Q3 - 11:25DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)52
23.3%
51
76.7%
Q3 - 11:27DETMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q3 - 11:47SASParker 5' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)52
23.4%
51
76.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS52
25.8%
49
74.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
25.8%
49
74.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
26.6%
49
73.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0SASAldridge 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
27.5%
49
72.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0DETDrummond Cutting Dunk Shot (11 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 4 AST)52
31.1%
47
68.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0DETDrummond Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (9 PTS)50
27.5%
47
72.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0DETDrummond Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
26.0%
47
74.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
22.6%
47
77.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASMISS Leonard 5' Jump Shot48
22.1%
47
77.9%
Q2 - 1:01SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
21.2%
47
78.8%
Q2 - 1:03DETMISS Drummond 5' Jump Shot48
21.5%
47
78.5%
Q2 - 1:04DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
22.3%
47
77.7%
Q2 - 1:05DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
21.5%
47
78.5%
Q2 - 1:26DETPistons Rebound48
22.3%
47
77.7%
Q2 - 1:26SASMISS Aldridge 1' Alley Oop Layup48
21.9%
47
78.1%
Q2 - 1:35SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
21.2%
47
78.8%
Q2 - 1:36DETMISS Leuer 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
21.5%
47
78.5%
Q2 - 1:44DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
22.3%
47
77.7%
Q2 - 1:45SASMISS Leonard 14' Step Back Jump Shot48
21.9%
47
78.1%
Q2 - 2:09SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
20.5%
47
79.5%
Q2 - 2:10DETMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
21.1%
47
78.9%
Q2 - 2:24SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
22.5%
47
77.5%
Q2 - 2:24SASGasol 1' Tip Layup Shot (15 PTS)48
22.5%
47
77.5%
Q2 - 2:26SASMISS Leonard 17' Jump Shot48
26.4%
45
73.6%
Q2 - 2:41DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P4.T7)48
24.9%
45
75.1%
Q2 - 3:00SASAldridge 3' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)48
27.1%
45
72.9%
Q2 - 3:08SASLeonard Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)48
28.4%
43
71.6%
Q2 - 3:20DETCaldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)48
30.9%
42
69.1%
Q2 - 3:44SASLeonard 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)45
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 4:05DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
27.7%
40
72.3%
Q2 - 4:05DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)45
27.7%
40
72.3%
Q2 - 4:06DETMISS Harris 3' Driving Layup43
24.0%
40
76.0%
Q2 - 4:20SASAnderson 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)43
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 4:37DETSmith 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)43
27.7%
38
72.3%
Q2 - 4:50DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
25.5%
38
74.5%
Q2 - 4:51SASMISS Gasol 11' Jump Shot41
24.8%
38
75.2%
Q2 - 5:05SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
22.9%
38
77.1%
Q2 - 5:06DETMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot41
23.5%
38
76.5%
Q2 - 5:33DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 5:37SASMISS Gasol 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
24.4%
38
75.6%
Q2 - 6:00DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)41
22.9%
38
77.1%
Q2 - 6:11DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
19.3%
38
80.7%
Q2 - 6:12SASMISS Aldridge 15' Jump Shot38
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 6:20SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q2 - 6:21SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot38
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 6:35DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q2 - 6:35DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q2 - 6:38DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
16.1%
38
83.9%
Q2 - 6:40SASMISS Parker 3' Finger Roll Layup36
15.6%
38
84.4%
Q2 - 7:07DETJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)36
14.5%
38
85.5%
Q2 - 7:24DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 7:25SASMISS Leonard 19' Jump Shot33
11.8%
38
88.2%
Q2 - 7:33SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 7:34DETMISS Udrih 12' Jump Shot33
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 7:41DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 7:42SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot33
11.8%
38
88.2%
Q2 - 7:56DETUdrih 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 8:15DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
10.2%
38
89.8%
Q2 - 8:16SASMISS Aldridge 11' Fadeaway Jumper31
9.9%
38
90.1%
Q2 - 8:33SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 8:34DETMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot31
9.5%
38
90.5%
Q2 - 8:48SASAldridge 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
10.2%
38
89.8%
Q2 - 9:08DETLeuer Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)31
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 9:23SASGinobili 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
12.2%
36
87.8%
Q2 - 9:33SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
13.2%
34
86.8%
Q2 - 9:34DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q2 - 9:48SASLee 3' Putback Layup (4 PTS)31
14.5%
34
85.5%
Q2 - 9:50SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
15.7%
32
84.3%
Q2 - 9:52SASMISS Parker 1' Layup31
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 10:10DETMarc Morris 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
15.8%
32
84.2%
Q2 - 10:27SASLee 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)29
14.7%
32
85.3%
Q2 - 10:48SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
15.8%
30
84.2%
Q2 - 10:49DETMISS Leuer 3PT Jump Shot29
16.2%
30
83.8%
Q2 - 11:14DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 11:14SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 129
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 11:30DETUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
18.3%
28
81.7%
Q2 - 11:39DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
15.6%
28
84.4%
Q2 - 11:40SASMISS Simmons 9' Fadeaway Jumper26
15.2%
28
84.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS26
14.4%
28
85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound26
14.4%
28
85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Simmons 50' 3PT Jump Shot26
15.2%
28
84.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETUdrih 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
14.4%
28
85.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0DETLeuer Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0DETLeuer Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
12.7%
28
87.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q1 - 0:26.0DETMISS Marc Morris 7' Jump Shot22
10.5%
28
89.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASGasol 3' Layup (13 PTS)22
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
12.2%
26
87.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0DETBaynes 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)22
12.2%
26
87.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0DETMISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot20
10.5%
26
89.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0DETUdrih Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)20
11.0%
26
89.0%
Q1 - 1:15SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q1 - 1:18SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
9.5%
26
90.5%
Q1 - 1:18DETMISS Marc Morris 20' Jump Shot19
9.7%
26
90.3%
Q1 - 1:27DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q1 - 1:28SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
9.9%
26
90.1%
Q1 - 1:45DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)19
9.5%
26
90.5%
Q1 - 2:13SASMills 4' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)19
10.2%
26
89.8%
Q1 - 2:29DETLeuer 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)19
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q1 - 2:49SASGasol 6' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)17
10.2%
24
89.8%
Q1 - 3:04DETCaldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
11.1%
22
88.9%
Q1 - 3:18DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
10.4%
22
89.6%
Q1 - 3:19SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup15
10.1%
22
89.9%
Q1 - 3:26DETGinobili STEAL (1 STL)15
9.5%
22
90.5%
Q1 - 3:45SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
10.4%
22
89.6%
Q1 - 3:45SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
10.4%
21
89.6%
Q1 - 4:00DETSmith 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)15
11.1%
20
88.9%
Q1 - 4:06DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 4:08SASMISS Gasol 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
10.0%
20
90.0%
Q1 - 4:31DETLeonard STEAL (2 STL)13
9.4%
20
90.6%
Q1 - 4:47SASLeonard Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)13
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 4:51SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
9.4%
20
90.6%
Q1 - 4:52DETMISS Marc Morris 15' Jump Shot13
9.6%
20
90.4%
Q1 - 5:11SASGasol 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)13
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 5:26DETHarris 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)13
11.0%
18
89.0%
Q1 - 5:43DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
10.3%
18
89.7%
Q1 - 5:45SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 5:45SASMISS Anderson 2' Tip Layup Shot11
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 5:47SASMISS Aldridge 16' Jump Shot11
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 5:55SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 5:56DETMISS Marc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
9.7%
18
90.3%
Q1 - 6:25SASGasol 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)11
10.3%
18
89.7%
Q1 - 6:33DETGasol STEAL (1 STL)11
11.9%
15
88.1%
Q1 - 6:55SASGasol 5' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)11
12.8%
15
87.2%
Q1 - 7:06SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
13.5%
13
86.5%
Q1 - 7:07DETMISS Drummond 8' Turnaround Jump Shot11
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 7:22SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 7:22SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
14.7%
12
85.3%
Q1 - 7:39DETSmith 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)11
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 7:44DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 7:46DETGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)9
13.8%
11
86.2%
Q1 - 8:02SASAnderson 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)9
14.3%
11
85.7%
Q1 - 8:12SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
15.2%
9
84.8%
Q1 - 8:14DETMISS Harris 12' Jump Shot9
15.5%
9
84.5%
Q1 - 8:33SASAldridge 5' Putback Layup (2 PTS)9
16.3%
9
83.7%
Q1 - 8:35SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
17.3%
7
82.7%
Q1 - 8:36SASMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot9
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 8:52DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
17.3%
7
82.7%
Q1 - 9:09SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
15.2%
7
84.8%
Q1 - 9:26DETHarris 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)6
17.0%
4
83.0%
Q1 - 9:35DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.2%
4
83.8%
Q1 - 9:36SASMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.8%
4
84.2%
Q1 - 9:54DETLeonard STEAL (1 STL)4
15.0%
4
85.0%
Q1 - 10:10SASGasol 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
16.1%
4
83.9%
Q1 - 10:24DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 10:24DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)4
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 10:26DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 10:37DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 10:37SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 10:56DETHarris 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
15.0%
2
85.0%
Q1 - 11:21SASParker 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 11:36SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.0%
0
85.0%
Q1 - 11:37DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
15.3%
0
84.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Gasol vs. Drummond: Tip to Harris0
15.9%
0
84.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
12
20
60%
SAS
14
27
52%
Midrange
DET
15
31
48%
SAS
13
34
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
25
20%
30%
SAS
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
DET
17
21
81%
SAS
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond20100%10.0 / 10
T. Harris1240%6.0 / 15
I. Smith1255%6.0 / 11
B. Udrih1275%6.0 / 8
K. Caldwell-Pope1050%5.0 / 10
J. Leuer850%4.0 / 8
S. Johnson638%3.0 / 8
M. Morris418%2.0 / 11
A. Baynes250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Gasol2166%10.5 / 16
K. Leonard1745%8.5 / 19
L. Aldridge1447%7.0 / 15
P. Mills1063%5.0 / 8
M. Ginobili10125%5.0 / 4
K. Anderson857%4.0 / 7
T. Parker729%3.5 / 12
J. Simmons542%2.5 / 6
D. Lee4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
75
+11
-11
86
SAS
76
+13
-8
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
111.3
DET 100.0
SAS 114.3 +14.3
Pace
95.0
94.1
DET 86.1 +2.2
SAS 83.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.8
DET 16.7 +0.4
SAS 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
52.4%
DET 45.4%
SAS 50.0% +4.6%
TO %
11.9%
13.6%
DET 13.2%
SAS 8.2% +5.0%
ORB %
24.1%
24.0%
DET 20.5%
SAS 23.3% +2.8%
FTrt
21.8
26.3
DET 27.6 +4.1
SAS 23.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
60.6%
DET 43.8%
SAS 66.7% +22.9%
STL %
7.3%
8.5%
DET 2.3%
SAS 9.5% +7.2%
BLK %
6.6%
9.9%
DET 6.6% +2.7%
SAS 3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
54.8%
DET 50.0%
SAS 52.2% +2.2%
Rim FG%
58.3%
60.5%
DET 60.0% +8.1%
SAS 51.9%
Mid FG%
42.6%
42.0%
DET 48.4% +10.2%
SAS 38.2%
3P %
33.0%
39.1%
DET 20.0%
SAS 45.0% +25.0%
FT %
71.9%
79.7%
DET 81.0% +2.1%
SAS 78.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.9%
31.1%
DET 26.3%
SAS 33.3% +7.0%
Mid Att. %
42.8%
40.8%
DET 40.8% +1.2%
SAS 42.0%
3P Att. %
26.3%
28.1%
DET 32.9% +8.2%
SAS 24.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETSAS
Possessions8684
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points8696
Rebounds4245
Assists1424
Steals28
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)35 (0)
Field Goals32-7636-81
At-the-Rim FG12-2014-27
Midrange FG15-3113-34
2-Point FG27-5127-61
3-Point FG5-259-20
Free Throws17-2115-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 204 · 24
39.5
10
50%
3
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 279 · 23
32.8
20
100%
17
0
1
1
6
2
6
11
3-3
100%
7-9
78%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 226 · 24
31.4
12
40%
5
2
0
0
1
4
0
5
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
30.5
4
18%
2
1
1
2
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-3
0%
G · 6'0" 175 · 28
29.9
12
55%
4
4
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-2
0%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27
27.6
8
50%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-5
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
18.1
12
75%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 260 · 30
15.2
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 20
15.0
6
38%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26
G · 6'6" 220 · 24
C · 7'3" 290 · 28
#1 · G · 6'3" 208 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'11" 245 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
50%
42
14
2
4
11
0
9
33
17-21
81%
27-51
53%
5-25
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.