FinalWin Prob.pScore
354%106
106
546%104
100
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
112.89487.7
HOU logo HOU
107.593100.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS106
100%
100
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)106
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUMISS Anderson 21' Turnaround Jump Shot106
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)106
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)105
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0HOUHarden 4' Driving Layup (25 PTS)104
99.3%
100
0.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)104
99.6%
98
0.4%
Q4 - 0:19.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)103
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASSpurs Rebound102
99.1%
98
0.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
98.8%
98
1.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0SASAldridge Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)102
93.3%
98
6.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
95.6%
98
4.4%
Q4 - 0:58.0HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
94.3%
98
5.7%
Q4 - 1:10HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
89.4%
98
10.6%
Q4 - 1:11HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
92.9%
98
7.1%
Q4 - 1:16HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)102
88.8%
98
11.2%
Q4 - 1:18HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
92.5%
98
7.5%
Q4 - 1:34HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)102
87.5%
98
12.5%
Q4 - 1:36SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot102
89.1%
98
10.9%
Q4 - 1:49HOUHarden 8' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)102
91.4%
98
8.6%
Q4 - 2:04SASAldridge 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS)102
93.7%
96
6.3%
Q4 - 2:22HOUGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Harden 13 AST)100
91.8%
96
8.2%
Q4 - 2:32SASLeonard 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)100
95.8%
93
4.2%
Q4 - 2:57HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)98
93.0%
93
7.0%
Q4 - 3:09HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)98
96.5%
90
3.5%
Q4 - 3:11SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
97.1%
90
2.9%
Q4 - 3:28HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Harden 12 AST)98
98.1%
90
1.9%
Q4 - 3:50HOUROCKETS Rebound98
98.3%
87
1.7%
Q4 - 3:50HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup98
98.7%
87
1.3%
Q4 - 3:58SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)98
98.3%
87
1.7%
Q4 - 3:58SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)97
98.3%
87
1.7%
Q4 - 4:01HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T14)96
97.7%
87
2.3%
Q4 - 4:13SASLeonard Cutting Dunk Shot (16 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)96
96.7%
87
3.3%
Q4 - 4:18SASSpurs Rebound94
95.3%
87
4.7%
Q4 - 4:18SASMISS Gasol 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
93.9%
87
6.1%
Q4 - 4:43HOUGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)94
95.4%
87
4.6%
Q4 - 4:53SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)94
97.8%
84
2.2%
Q4 - 5:16HOUHarden Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P6.T13)94
97.6%
84
2.4%
Q4 - 5:26SASLeonard 5' Driving Layup (14 PTS)94
96.6%
84
3.4%
Q4 - 5:43HOUGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Harden 11 AST)92
95.4%
84
4.6%
Q4 - 5:49HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)92
97.6%
81
2.4%
Q4 - 5:51SASMISS Parker 3' Layup92
97.8%
81
2.2%
Q4 - 6:12HOUGordon Driving Dunk (18 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)92
97.6%
81
2.4%
Q4 - 6:17HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)92
98.1%
79
1.9%
Q4 - 6:19HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
98.5%
79
1.5%
Q4 - 6:38HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)92
98.1%
79
1.9%
Q4 - 6:40SASMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 192
98.2%
79
1.8%
Q4 - 6:58HOUGordon 19' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)90
97.6%
79
2.4%
Q4 - 7:12HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q4 - 7:14SASMISS Leonard 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
97.7%
77
2.3%
Q4 - 7:23SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
98.1%
77
1.9%
Q4 - 7:25HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot90
98.0%
77
2.0%
Q4 - 7:35HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)90
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q4 - 7:36HOUMISS Anderson 28' 3PT Jump Shot90
98.0%
77
2.0%
Q4 - 7:44HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q4 - 7:45SASMISS Aldridge 21' Jump Shot90
97.7%
77
2.3%
Q4 - 8:01HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)90
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q4 - 8:01HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 290
97.5%
76
2.5%
Q4 - 8:09HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)90
97.5%
76
2.5%
Q4 - 8:11SASMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
97.7%
76
2.3%
Q4 - 8:39HOUHarden 14' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (17 PTS)90
98.1%
76
1.9%
Q4 - 8:55SASParker 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)90
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 9:03SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
97.6%
74
2.4%
Q4 - 9:04HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 9:16HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)88
97.0%
74
3.0%
Q4 - 9:18SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot88
97.2%
74
2.8%
Q4 - 9:33SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
97.7%
74
2.3%
Q4 - 9:35HOUMISS Anderson 5' Tip Layup Shot88
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 9:36HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)88
97.0%
74
3.0%
Q4 - 9:38HOUMISS Ennis 8' Jump Shot88
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 9:53SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)88
97.0%
74
3.0%
Q4 - 9:53SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
96.9%
74
3.1%
Q4 - 10:03SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
95.5%
74
4.5%
Q4 - 10:04HOUMISS Anderson 28' 3PT Jump Shot86
95.2%
74
4.8%
Q4 - 10:15SASSimmons 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)86
94.4%
74
5.6%
Q4 - 10:34HOUAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
93.2%
74
6.8%
Q4 - 10:34HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
93.4%
73
6.6%
Q4 - 10:50HOUMcDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
94.4%
72
5.6%
Q4 - 10:53SASMISS Gasol 21' Jump Shot84
94.8%
72
5.2%
Q4 - 11:11HOUNene 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)84
94.9%
72
5.1%
Q4 - 11:23SASMills 4' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)84
95.8%
70
4.2%
Q4 - 11:34SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
94.9%
70
5.1%
Q4 - 11:35HOUMISS Brewer 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
94.5%
70
5.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS82
93.7%
70
6.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
94.9%
70
5.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot82
93.7%
70
6.3%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASGasol 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)82
92.8%
70
7.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0HOUDekker 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)80
91.3%
70
8.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST)80
92.9%
68
7.1%
Q3 - 1:07SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
88.6%
68
11.4%
Q3 - 1:08HOUMISS Dekker 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
87.9%
68
12.1%
Q3 - 1:24SASSimmons 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
86.4%
68
13.6%
Q3 - 1:44HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)75
84.1%
68
15.9%
Q3 - 1:44HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)75
84.4%
67
15.6%
Q3 - 1:52SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)75
86.5%
66
13.5%
Q3 - 1:58SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
81.3%
66
18.7%
Q3 - 2:00HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
80.3%
66
19.7%
Q3 - 2:18HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
76.7%
66
23.3%
Q3 - 2:20SASMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 272
77.2%
66
22.8%
Q3 - 2:20SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
79.3%
66
20.7%
Q3 - 2:31SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
77.0%
66
23.0%
Q3 - 2:33HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
75.9%
66
24.1%
Q3 - 2:40HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
73.3%
66
26.7%
Q3 - 2:42SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
74.5%
66
25.5%
Q3 - 2:51SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
77.0%
66
23.0%
Q3 - 2:52HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
75.9%
66
24.1%
Q3 - 3:07SASAldridge Foul Turnover (P3.T10)71
72.8%
66
27.2%
Q3 - 3:16HOUDekker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)71
76.4%
66
23.6%
Q3 - 3:20HOUROCKETS Rebound71
82.0%
63
18.0%
Q3 - 3:20HOUMISS Nene Dunk71
83.9%
63
16.1%
Q3 - 3:31SASGinobili 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)71
82.1%
63
17.9%
Q3 - 3:50HOUHarden Traveling Turnover (P5.T12)69
79.5%
63
20.5%
Q3 - 3:55HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
76.2%
63
23.8%
Q3 - 3:56SASMISS Mills 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
77.2%
63
22.8%
Q3 - 4:00SASSpurs Rebound69
79.5%
63
20.5%
Q3 - 4:00SASGordon BLOCK (1 BLK)69
77.2%
63
22.8%
Q3 - 4:21HOUGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)69
78.9%
63
21.1%
Q3 - 4:27HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
83.7%
60
16.3%
Q3 - 4:29SASMISS Leonard 17' Jump Shot69
84.5%
60
15.5%
Q3 - 4:52HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
86.3%
60
13.7%
Q3 - 4:52HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 269
86.5%
59
13.5%
Q3 - 4:55HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
86.0%
59
14.0%
Q3 - 4:56SASMISS Aldridge 8' Turnaround Hook Shot69
86.7%
59
13.3%
Q3 - 5:15HOUGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)69
87.4%
59
12.6%
Q3 - 5:33SASGreen 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)69
90.5%
56
9.5%
Q3 - 5:46HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)67
89.2%
56
10.8%
Q3 - 6:03SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
91.1%
53
8.9%
Q3 - 6:03SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
91.0%
53
9.0%
Q3 - 6:16HOUGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)65
89.9%
53
10.1%
Q3 - 6:34SASAldridge 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)65
92.4%
50
7.6%
Q3 - 6:45SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)63
91.3%
50
8.7%
Q3 - 6:46HOUMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
90.9%
50
9.1%
Q3 - 7:05SASGasol 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)63
89.0%
50
11.0%
Q3 - 7:08SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
87.7%
50
12.3%
Q3 - 7:10SASMISS Aldridge 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
86.3%
50
13.7%
Q3 - 7:31HOUGordon 2' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Capela 2 AST)61
87.7%
50
12.3%
Q3 - 7:48HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)61
89.1%
48
10.9%
Q3 - 7:50SASMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
89.6%
48
10.4%
Q3 - 7:56HOUCapela Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)61
90.7%
48
9.3%
Q3 - 8:09SASParker 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)61
88.7%
48
11.3%
Q3 - 8:18SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)59
87.4%
48
12.6%
Q3 - 8:19HOUMISS Ariza 10' Running Jump Shot59
86.8%
48
13.2%
Q3 - 8:34SASLeonard 1' Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)59
85.3%
48
14.7%
Q3 - 8:48HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)57
83.7%
48
16.3%
Q3 - 8:55SASGordon STEAL (1 STL)57
85.3%
46
14.7%
Q3 - 9:19SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)57
86.5%
46
13.5%
Q3 - 9:20HOUMISS Harden 4' Jump Shot57
85.9%
46
14.1%
Q3 - 9:36SASAriza STEAL (3 STL)57
84.6%
46
15.4%
Q3 - 9:50SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
86.5%
46
13.5%
Q3 - 9:51HOUMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 257
86.3%
46
13.7%
Q3 - 9:51HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)57
85.0%
46
15.0%
Q3 - 9:51HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
86.4%
45
13.6%
Q3 - 9:51HOUMISS Anderson 3' Layup57
87.6%
45
12.4%
Q3 - 9:51HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
86.4%
45
13.6%
Q3 - 9:54HOUMISS Capela 4' Jump Shot57
87.7%
45
12.3%
Q3 - 10:13SASGasol 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)57
85.9%
45
14.1%
Q3 - 10:37HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)55
84.2%
45
15.8%
Q3 - 10:53SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
87.5%
42
12.5%
Q3 - 10:53SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
87.2%
42
12.8%
Q3 - 11:02HOUHarden Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)53
85.6%
42
14.4%
Q3 - 11:08SASAldridge 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)53
83.7%
42
16.3%
Q3 - 11:24HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
81.9%
42
18.1%
Q3 - 11:24HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
83.0%
41
17.0%
Q3 - 11:34SASParker 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
83.8%
40
16.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS49
81.9%
40
18.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound49
81.9%
40
18.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot49
80.4%
40
19.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)49
80.8%
40
19.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASMills Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)49
79.4%
40
20.6%
Q2 - 0:10.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
80.8%
40
19.2%
Q2 - 0:11.0HOUMISS Nene 3' Layup49
80.4%
40
19.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASGasol 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)49
79.4%
40
20.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0HOUAriza Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)47
76.5%
40
23.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
74.8%
40
25.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0HOUMISS Harden 28' 3PT Jump Shot47
76.0%
40
24.0%
Q2 - 1:15SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)47
74.5%
40
25.5%
Q2 - 1:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
68.0%
40
32.0%
Q2 - 1:30HOUMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
67.6%
40
32.4%
Q2 - 1:38HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
66.6%
40
33.4%
Q2 - 1:39HOUMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
67.6%
40
32.4%
Q2 - 1:59SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
66.6%
40
33.4%
Q2 - 1:59SASMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 243
66.0%
40
34.0%
Q2 - 1:59SASSpurs Rebound43
65.2%
40
34.8%
Q2 - 2:02HOUMISS Ariza 28' 3PT Jump Shot43
64.6%
40
35.4%
Q2 - 2:30SASGasol 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)43
62.8%
40
37.2%
Q2 - 2:47HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)41
59.6%
40
40.4%
Q2 - 2:57HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
62.8%
38
37.2%
Q2 - 2:59SASBrewer BLOCK (1 BLK)41
63.6%
38
36.4%
Q2 - 3:15HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)41
65.5%
38
34.5%
Q2 - 3:28SASAldridge 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)41
67.7%
36
32.3%
Q2 - 3:44SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
65.5%
36
34.5%
Q2 - 3:45HOUMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
64.5%
36
35.5%
Q2 - 3:55SASAriza STEAL (2 STL)39
62.3%
36
37.7%
Q2 - 4:14HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)39
64.9%
36
35.1%
Q2 - 4:14HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)39
65.3%
35
34.7%
Q2 - 4:14HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)39
65.6%
34
34.4%
Q2 - 4:31HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
70.0%
33
30.0%
Q2 - 4:32SASMISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot39
70.7%
33
29.3%
Q2 - 4:46HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)39
72.3%
33
27.7%
Q2 - 5:03SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)39
69.8%
33
30.2%
Q2 - 5:03SASMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 238
69.3%
33
30.7%
Q2 - 5:14HOUCapela 3' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)38
69.9%
33
30.1%
Q2 - 5:31SASAriza STEAL (1 STL)38
72.1%
31
27.9%
Q2 - 5:50SASSpurs Rebound38
74.4%
31
25.6%
Q2 - 5:51HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
73.7%
31
26.3%
Q2 - 6:01SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
71.6%
31
28.4%
Q2 - 6:01SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
71.3%
31
28.7%
Q2 - 6:30HOUEnnis 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)36
69.9%
31
30.1%
Q2 - 6:35HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)36
71.6%
29
28.4%
Q2 - 6:35HOUMISS McDaniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
73.5%
29
26.5%
Q2 - 6:44HOUMcDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
71.6%
29
28.4%
Q2 - 6:45SASMISS Aldridge 16' Jump Shot36
72.5%
29
27.5%
Q2 - 6:45SASSpurs Rebound36
74.3%
29
25.7%
Q2 - 6:45SASCapela BLOCK (1 BLK)36
72.5%
29
27.5%
Q2 - 7:05HOUEnnis 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
73.6%
29
26.4%
Q2 - 7:14HOUROCKETS Rebound36
75.4%
27
24.6%
Q2 - 7:14HOUMISS Anderson 4' Driving Layup36
76.8%
27
23.2%
Q2 - 7:26SASParker 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
75.4%
27
24.6%
Q2 - 7:53HOUGordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)34
73.6%
27
26.4%
Q2 - 8:07HOUEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
76.8%
24
23.2%
Q2 - 8:08SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot34
77.4%
24
22.6%
Q2 - 8:26SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)34
78.8%
24
21.2%
Q2 - 8:27HOUMISS Ennis 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
78.2%
24
21.8%
Q2 - 8:50SASDedmon 3' Putback Layup (2 PTS)34
76.9%
24
23.1%
Q2 - 8:51SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
75.1%
24
24.9%
Q2 - 8:52SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
73.7%
24
26.3%
Q2 - 9:03HOUEnnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)32
74.7%
24
25.3%
Q2 - 9:08SASEnnis STEAL (1 STL)32
72.6%
24
27.4%
Q2 - 9:27SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
74.8%
24
25.2%
Q2 - 9:28HOUMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot32
74.1%
24
25.9%
Q2 - 9:39SASParker 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)32
72.6%
24
27.4%
Q2 - 10:02HOUEnnis 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)30
70.5%
24
29.5%
Q2 - 10:02HOUEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
72.2%
22
27.8%
Q2 - 10:04HOUMISS Ennis 17' Jump Shot30
73.7%
22
26.3%
Q2 - 10:12HOUROCKETS Rebound30
72.2%
22
27.8%
Q2 - 10:14HOUMISS Gordon 5' Jump Shot30
73.8%
22
26.2%
Q2 - 10:22SASLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
72.2%
22
27.8%
Q2 - 10:22SASLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
71.8%
22
28.2%
Q2 - 10:40SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
70.5%
22
29.5%
Q2 - 10:41HOUMISS McDaniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
69.8%
22
30.2%
Q2 - 11:02SASGinobili 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)28
67.8%
22
32.2%
Q2 - 11:05SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
65.7%
22
34.3%
Q2 - 11:08HOUMISS McDaniels 6' Jump Shot26
65.1%
22
34.9%
Q2 - 11:30HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q2 - 11:31SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
64.2%
22
35.8%
Q2 - 11:36HOUGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)26
65.8%
22
34.2%
Q2 - 11:41HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q2 - 11:43SASNene BLOCK (1 BLK)26
64.2%
22
35.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS26
65.8%
22
34.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUHarden 39' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
65.8%
22
34.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASSimmons 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)26
69.8%
19
30.2%
Q1 - 0:10.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
67.2%
19
32.8%
Q1 - 0:10.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
67.5%
18
32.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)24
69.8%
17
30.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot24
70.3%
17
29.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0SASSpurs Rebound24
71.3%
17
28.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASMISS Dedmon 6' Jump Shot24
70.3%
17
29.7%
Q1 - 1:08HOUNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
71.3%
17
28.7%
Q1 - 1:08HOUNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
71.9%
16
28.1%
Q1 - 1:17SASGinobili 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)24
73.6%
15
26.4%
Q1 - 1:29HOUGordon Foul Turnover (P1.T4)22
71.2%
15
28.8%
Q1 - 1:47SASLeonard 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)22
69.8%
15
30.2%
Q1 - 2:04SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
67.5%
15
32.5%
Q1 - 2:05HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
66.9%
15
33.1%
Q1 - 2:15HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
65.7%
15
34.3%
Q1 - 2:16SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot20
66.2%
15
33.8%
Q1 - 2:23SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
67.5%
15
32.5%
Q1 - 2:24HOUMISS Harden 6' Jump Shot20
66.9%
15
33.1%
Q1 - 2:46SASLee 3' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)20
65.7%
15
34.3%
Q1 - 3:12HOUHarden 1' Layup (4 PTS)18
63.3%
15
36.7%
Q1 - 3:14HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
65.1%
13
34.9%
Q1 - 3:15HOUMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot18
66.7%
13
33.3%
Q1 - 3:27SASLeonard 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)18
65.1%
13
34.9%
Q1 - 3:48HOUAriza 4' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)16
63.3%
13
36.7%
Q1 - 4:05SASLeonard 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)16
64.9%
11
35.1%
Q1 - 4:20HOUAnderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)14
63.2%
11
36.8%
Q1 - 4:35HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
60.7%
11
39.3%
Q1 - 4:36SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
61.5%
11
38.5%
Q1 - 4:44SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
63.2%
11
36.8%
Q1 - 4:45HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
62.5%
11
37.5%
Q1 - 5:01SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 2 AST)14
60.6%
11
39.4%
Q1 - 5:09SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
56.7%
11
43.3%
Q1 - 5:10HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
56.0%
11
44.0%
Q1 - 5:28SASLeonard 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
54.5%
11
45.5%
Q1 - 5:50HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)9
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 5:56SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)9
50.3%
11
49.7%
Q1 - 6:06SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
46.6%
11
53.4%
Q1 - 6:07HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
46.0%
11
54.0%
Q1 - 6:22HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
44.5%
11
55.5%
Q1 - 6:25SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot6
45.2%
11
54.8%
Q1 - 6:32SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
46.6%
11
53.4%
Q1 - 6:36HOUMISS Anderson 6' Jump Shot6
46.0%
11
54.0%
Q1 - 6:58SASGasol Foul Turnover (P1.T3)6
44.5%
11
55.5%
Q1 - 7:09HOUHarden 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)6
47.2%
11
52.8%
Q1 - 7:13SASBrewer STEAL (1 STL)6
48.8%
9
51.2%
Q1 - 7:34HOUAnderson 29' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)6
51.0%
9
49.0%
Q1 - 7:40SASLeonard 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)6
54.4%
6
45.6%
Q1 - 8:01HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Capela 1 AST)4
53.2%
6
46.8%
Q1 - 8:08SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
56.8%
3
43.2%
Q1 - 8:08SASSpurs Rebound4
58.8%
3
41.2%
Q1 - 8:09SASMISS Green 22' Jump Shot4
57.4%
3
42.6%
Q1 - 8:36SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
58.8%
3
41.2%
Q1 - 8:36HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 24
58.5%
3
41.5%
Q1 - 8:36HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
57.3%
3
42.7%
Q1 - 8:44HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)4
58.6%
2
41.4%
Q1 - 8:45SASMISS Leonard 13' Jump Shot4
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 8:57HOUCapela 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 9:01HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)4
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 9:05HOUMISS Capela 1' Tip Layup Shot4
63.5%
0
36.5%
Q1 - 9:08HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 9:09HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
63.5%
0
36.5%
Q1 - 9:25HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 9:25SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 14
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 9:29SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 9:33HOUMISS Capela 2' Layup2
60.0%
0
40.0%
Q1 - 9:38HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
58.4%
0
41.6%
Q1 - 9:39HOUMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot2
60.0%
0
40.0%
Q1 - 9:59HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.4%
0
41.6%
Q1 - 9:59SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot2
59.1%
0
40.9%
Q1 - 10:18SASSpurs Rebound2
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 10:19HOUMISS Capela 6' Jump Shot2
59.8%
0
40.2%
Q1 - 10:38SASAldridge 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)2
58.4%
0
41.6%
Q1 - 10:45HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
56.8%
0
43.2%
Q1 - 10:48HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
54.7%
0
45.3%
Q1 - 10:49SASMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot0
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 10:57SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.8%
0
43.2%
Q1 - 10:59HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
56.2%
0
43.8%
Q1 - 11:03HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
54.9%
0
45.1%
Q1 - 11:04HOUMISS Harden 8' Jump Shot0
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 11:13HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.9%
0
45.1%
Q1 - 11:14SASMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot0
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 11:43SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.6%
0
43.4%
Q1 - 11:45HOUMISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Capela vs. Gasol: Tip to Anderson0
54.9%
0
45.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.14 57.0%
HOU
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
17
82%
HOU
15
26
58%
Midrange
SAS
22
41
54%
HOU
4
16
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
HOU
15
22.5
47
32%
48%
Free Throws
SAS
19
24
79%
HOU
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2059%10.0 / 17
L. Aldridge1650%8.0 / 16
T. Parker1673%8.0 / 11
P. Gasol1554%7.5 / 14
M. Ginobili1286%6.0 / 7
P. Mills850%4.0 / 8
D. Lee675%3.0 / 4
J. Simmons675%3.0 / 4
D. Green563%2.5 / 4
D. Dedmon250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Gordon2784%13.5 / 16
J. Harden2557%12.5 / 22
T. Ariza1554%7.5 / 14
C. Capela1260%6.0 / 10
R. Anderson621%3.0 / 14
T. Ennis650%3.0 / 6
S. Dekker583%2.5 / 3
Nene433%2.0 / 6
C. Brewer0-0.0 / 3
K. McDaniels0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
84
+8
-10
92
HOU
79
+20
-14
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.14 57.0%
HOU
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
114.9
SAS 112.8 +5.2
HOU 107.5
Pace
94.1
100.0
SAS 87.7
HOU 100.2 +12.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
13.8
SAS 16.4
HOU 14.4 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
54.5%
SAS 57.2% +10.6%
HOU 46.6%
TO %
13.6%
14.4%
SAS 12.2% +0.3%
HOU 12.5%
ORB %
24.0%
24.6%
SAS 6.3%
HOU 32.7% +26.4%
FTrt
26.3
30.4
SAS 31.6 +8.0
HOU 23.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
62.6%
SAS 51.2%
HOU 64.7% +13.5%
STL %
8.5%
8.1%
SAS 6.4%
HOU 6.5% +0.1%
BLK %
9.9%
7.2%
SAS 26.2% +19.3%
HOU 6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
57.2%
SAS 57.0% +6.5%
HOU 50.5%
Rim FG%
60.5%
61.6%
SAS 82.4% +24.7%
HOU 57.7%
Mid FG%
42.0%
40.5%
SAS 53.7% +28.7%
HOU 25.0%
3P %
39.1%
35.7%
SAS 27.8%
HOU 31.9% +4.1%
FT %
79.7%
76.6%
SAS 79.2%
HOU 81.0% +1.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
37.6%
SAS 22.4%
HOU 29.2% +6.8%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
16.1%
SAS 53.9%
HOU 18.0% +36.0%
3P Att. %
28.1%
46.2%
SAS 23.7%
HOU 52.8% +29.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.04 and 3.04.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points106100
Rebounds3546
Assists2122
Steals66
Blocks114
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (6)16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)30 (0)
Field Goals41-7634-89
At-the-Rim FG14-1715-26
Midrange FG22-414-16
2-Point FG36-5819-42
3-Point FG5-1815-47
Free Throws19-2417-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 25
37.6
20
59%
2
0
4
0
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
9-11
82%
0-5
0%
F · 6'11" 260 · 31
35.2
16
50%
10
2
0
3
4
4
0
10
6-6
100%
5-12
42%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 250 · 36
32.5
15
54%
7
6
0
2
1
3
1
6
5-8
63%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
27.3
5
63%
0
2
0
2
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 34
26.7
16
73%
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
4-5
80%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
21.3
8
50%
4
4
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34
20.7
6
75%
6
0
0
1
0
3
0
6
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 195 · 27
15.8
6
75%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 39
15.5
12
86%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-2
100%
C · 7'0" 245 · 27
7.3
2
50%
1
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 23
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
#5 · G · 6'4" 180 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#27 · G · 6'4" 180 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
57%
35
21
6
11
10
0
2
33
19-24
79%
36-58
62%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.