FinalWin Prob.pScore
1740%102
85
1160%105
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
92.49290.8
OKC logo OKC
105.49293.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC85
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0OKCSabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0OKCMISS Abrines 28' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06OKCTHUNDER Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06OKCTHUNDER Rebound83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06OKCMISS Sabonis 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMISS Waiters 20' Step Back Jump Shot83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45OKCKanter 1' Layup (24 PTS) (Christon 6 AST)83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)83
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 1 of 282
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 1:59OKCMISS Abrines 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21MIAMcGruder 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30OKCMISS Roberson 3' Driving Layup79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIAReed 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57OKCKanter 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Christon 5 AST)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15OKCMISS Oladipo 7' Turnaround Jump Shot75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIARichardson 1' Layup (7 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49OKCOladipo 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06MIAJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (14 PTS)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)71
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21OKCMISS Roberson Free Throw 2 of 271
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21OKCRoberson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23MIAAdams STEAL (3 STL)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25MIAHeat Rebound71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25MIAMISS Waiters 17' Step Back Jump Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43OKCAdams Foul Turnover (P2.T17)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06MIARichardson 16' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21MIAHeat Rebound69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22OKCMISS Sabonis 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45OKCChriston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55OKCMISS Sabonis 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19OKCSabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33OKCMISS Christon 9' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51OKCAbrines REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS Richardson 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot69
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:08OKCMISS Grant 15' Pullup Jump Shot69
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:20MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:20MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:30OKCAbrines Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46OKCSabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Winslow 19' Pullup Jump Shot67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:05OKCLauvergne 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T15)67
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:16MIAMISS Johnson 2' Tip Layup Shot67
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:16OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)67
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup67
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:34OKCKanter 13' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Christon 4 AST)67
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:54MIAWhiteside 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)67
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 9:11OKCChriston 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 9:23MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 9:23MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 9:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 9:29OKCMISS Abrines 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 9:47OKCChriston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 10:02OKCLauvergne 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kanter 1 AST)63
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 10:22MIAJohnson 1' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)63
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 10:35MIAHeat Rebound61
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 10:35OKCMISS Christon 1' Driving Reverse Layup61
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 10:45OKCTHUNDER Rebound61
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 10:45OKCMISS Lauvergne 4' Hook Shot61
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 10:54OKCGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Winslow 1' Driving Layup61
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 11:03MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 11:03OKCMISS Lauvergne 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 11:12OKCLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot61
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 11:29MIAReed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)61
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot61
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 11:48MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 11:49OKCMISS Abrines 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA61
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound61
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Winslow 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot61
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0OKCAbrines Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)61
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 0:16.0OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)61
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Johnson 1' Cutting Layup Shot61
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAHeat Rebound61
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0OKCMISS Abrines 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)61
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAReed 2' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)61
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Johnson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot59
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q3 - 1:06OKCKanter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)59
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q3 - 1:17OKCKanter Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (18 PTS)59
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 1:17OKCKanter Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (17 PTS)59
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 1:19OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)59
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 1:19OKCMISS Lauvergne 5' Hook Shot59
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 1:34MIAReed 1' Layup (7 PTS)59
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 1:35MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 1:36MIAGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)57
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 1:58OKCKanter 1' Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)57
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 2:13OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup57
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 2:34MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 2:34OKCMISS Lauvergne 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 2:45OKCTHUNDER Rebound57
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q3 - 2:45OKCMISS Abrines 2' Running Layup57
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 2:50MIAAbrines STEAL (1 STL)57
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q3 - 2:58OKCKanter Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T12)57
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 3:02OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Johnson 21' Pullup Jump Shot57
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 3:17OKCKanter Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)57
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 3:17OKCKanter Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 3:30MIAJohnson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)57
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 3:42OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)55
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 3:50MIARoberson STEAL (3 STL)55
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 3:57OKCKanter 2' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Roberson 2 AST)55
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 4:16MIADragic 13' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 4:27OKCRoberson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)53
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 4:38MIAJohnson 1' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)53
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 4:41MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 4:42OKCMISS Westbrook 3' Layup51
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 4:49OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup51
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 5:07OKCOladipo 1' Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Westbrook 11 AST)51
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 5:12OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 5:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q3 - 5:26OKCMISS Kanter 1' Layup51
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 5:31MIARoberson STEAL (2 STL)51
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 5:42OKCOladipo 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Westbrook 10 AST)51
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q3 - 5:52MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T8)51
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 5:55MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 5:55OKCMISS Westbrook 15' Jump Shot51
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 6:05OKCOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 6:09MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 6:39OKCSabonis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Westbrook 9 AST)51
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 6:50MIABabbitt Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)51
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 7:00MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 7:02MIAAdams BLOCK (2 BLK)51
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 7:11MIAHeat Rebound51
4.7%
68
95.3%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Winslow 23' Jump Shot51
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 7:36OKCAdams 3' Hook Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Westbrook 8 AST)51
4.7%
68
95.3%
Q3 - 7:43OKCTHUNDER Rebound51
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 7:43OKCMISS Roberson 3' Layup51
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q3 - 7:46OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 7:46OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q3 - 8:01MIAAdams STEAL (2 STL)51
5.7%
66
94.3%
Q3 - 8:19OKCSabonis 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Westbrook 7 AST)51
6.7%
66
93.3%
Q3 - 8:33OKCSabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMISS Winslow 5' Pullup Jump Shot51
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 8:56OKCWestbrook 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Oladipo 2 AST)51
10.1%
63
89.9%
Q3 - 9:14OKCSabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup51
13.9%
60
86.1%
Q3 - 9:40OKCWestbrook 13' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)51
15.2%
60
84.8%
Q3 - 9:47OKCSabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
17.1%
58
82.9%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
17.8%
58
82.2%
Q3 - 9:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
19.4%
58
80.6%
Q3 - 9:56OKCMISS Adams 7' Floating Jump Shot51
18.7%
58
81.3%
Q3 - 10:05OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
17.4%
58
82.6%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Turnaround Jump Shot51
18.1%
58
81.9%
Q3 - 10:19OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)51
19.7%
58
80.3%
Q3 - 10:30MIADragic 1' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)51
24.3%
55
75.7%
Q3 - 10:43MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
22.0%
55
78.0%
Q3 - 10:43OKCMISS Adams 6' Turnaround Hook Shot49
21.2%
55
78.8%
Q3 - 10:52OKCTHUNDER Rebound49
19.5%
55
80.5%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q3 - 11:11MIAHeat Rebound49
22.2%
55
77.8%
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Waiters 17' Step Back Jump Shot49
20.5%
55
79.5%
Q3 - 11:29OKCSabonis Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)49
22.2%
55
77.8%
Q3 - 11:43MIAWhiteside 2' Cutting Layup Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)49
19.8%
55
80.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
17.8%
55
82.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
18.0%
55
82.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0OKCMISS Westbrook 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot47
17.6%
55
82.4%
Q2 - 0:17.0OKCSabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
16.7%
55
83.3%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Dragic 15' Step Back Jump Shot47
17.1%
55
82.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0OKCTHUNDER Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)47
18.0%
55
82.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0OKCTHUNDER Rebound47
16.7%
55
83.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0OKCMISS Westbrook 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
17.6%
55
82.4%
Q2 - 1:10MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)47
17.4%
55
82.6%
Q2 - 1:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q2 - 1:19OKCMISS Westbrook 14' Pullup Jump Shot45
14.5%
55
85.5%
Q2 - 1:41MIABabbitt 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)45
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q2 - 1:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
11.8%
55
88.2%
Q2 - 1:50OKCMISS Sabonis 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q2 - 2:01OKCTHUNDER Rebound43
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q2 - 2:01OKCMISS Westbrook 1' Driving Layup43
12.2%
55
87.8%
Q2 - 2:11MIABabbitt Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q2 - 2:11MIABabbitt Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
11.1%
55
88.9%
Q2 - 2:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
10.1%
55
89.9%
Q2 - 2:30OKCMISS Westbrook 3PT Pullup Jump Shot41
9.8%
55
90.2%
Q2 - 2:33OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
9.1%
55
90.9%
Q2 - 2:35OKCMISS Oladipo 1' Driving Layup41
9.8%
55
90.2%
Q2 - 2:42OKCOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
9.1%
55
90.9%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot41
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q2 - 3:07MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
10.8%
55
89.2%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup41
9.9%
55
90.1%
Q2 - 3:30OKCWestbrook Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T7)41
10.8%
55
89.2%
Q2 - 3:42OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup41
9.9%
55
90.1%
Q2 - 4:02OKCSabonis 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Westbrook 6 AST)41
11.2%
55
88.8%
Q2 - 4:10OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
13.7%
52
86.3%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Turnaround Hook Shot41
14.1%
52
85.9%
Q2 - 4:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
15.1%
52
84.9%
Q2 - 4:29OKCMISS Westbrook 10' Turnaround Jump Shot41
14.6%
52
85.4%
Q2 - 4:45MIAAdams STEAL (1 STL)41
13.6%
52
86.4%
Q2 - 4:58OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)41
15.1%
52
84.9%
Q2 - 5:12MIADragic 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)41
13.9%
52
86.1%
Q2 - 5:18OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)39
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q2 - 5:21OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
11.4%
52
88.6%
Q2 - 5:21MIAMISS Dragic 21' Pullup Jump Shot39
11.8%
52
88.2%
Q2 - 5:35MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q2 - 5:36OKCMISS Westbrook 18' Pullup Jump Shot39
12.3%
52
87.7%
Q2 - 5:42OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
11.4%
52
88.6%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup39
11.8%
52
88.2%
Q2 - 5:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q2 - 5:49OKCMISS Sabonis 21' Jump Shot39
12.3%
52
87.7%
Q2 - 6:03OKCTHUNDER Rebound39
11.8%
52
88.2%
Q2 - 6:04OKCMISS Westbrook 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot39
12.8%
52
87.2%
Q2 - 6:14OKCSabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
11.8%
52
88.2%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup39
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q2 - 6:30OKCAdams 3' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST)39
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q2 - 6:43OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot39
14.7%
50
85.3%
Q2 - 6:56OKCWestbrook 1' Layup (6 PTS)39
15.9%
50
84.1%
Q2 - 7:13MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)39
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q2 - 7:27MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 7:27MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot39
18.3%
48
81.7%
Q2 - 7:45MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 7:45OKCMISS Sabonis Free Throw 2 of 239
19.2%
48
80.8%
Q2 - 7:45OKCSabonis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
18.4%
48
81.6%
Q2 - 8:04OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
19.4%
47
80.6%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Richardson 16' Pullup Jump Shot39
20.0%
47
80.0%
Q2 - 8:28OKCOladipo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)39
21.3%
47
78.7%
Q2 - 8:41MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
19.5%
47
80.5%
Q2 - 8:41MIAJohnson 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)39
19.5%
47
80.5%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Hook Shot37
16.9%
47
83.1%
Q2 - 8:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
18.0%
47
82.0%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Johnson 3' Jump Shot37
16.9%
47
83.1%
Q2 - 8:55MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
18.0%
47
82.0%
Q2 - 8:55OKCMISS Sabonis 13' Jump Shot37
17.5%
47
82.5%
Q2 - 9:04OKCChriston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
16.7%
47
83.3%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Johnson 14' Pullup Jump Shot37
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q2 - 9:14MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
18.3%
47
81.7%
Q2 - 9:15MIAMISS Whiteside Reverse Layup37
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q2 - 9:31OKCOladipo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Christon 3 AST)37
18.3%
47
81.7%
Q2 - 9:51OKCSabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
21.3%
44
78.7%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 237
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 9:52MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
22.4%
44
77.6%
Q2 - 10:11OKCGrant 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Oladipo 1 AST)36
21.8%
44
78.2%
Q2 - 10:30MIAJohnson 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)36
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 10:50OKCOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
23.5%
41
76.5%
Q2 - 10:50OKCOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
23.8%
40
76.2%
Q2 - 11:17MIARichardson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)34
25.2%
39
74.8%
Q2 - 11:22MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
21.7%
39
78.3%
Q2 - 11:24OKCMISS Grant 3' Layup31
21.2%
39
78.8%
Q2 - 11:37MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)31
20.1%
39
79.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
17.2%
39
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
17.2%
39
82.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Winslow 1' Driving Layup28
16.5%
39
83.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0OKCKanter 2' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)28
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0OKCMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 228
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q1 - 0:07.0OKCGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)28
20.4%
36
79.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
17.2%
36
82.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0OKCMISS Abrines 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
16.9%
36
83.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0OKCChriston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0OKCMISS Lauvergne 3PT Jump Shot25
16.9%
36
83.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0OKCTHUNDER Rebound25
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0OKCMISS Christon 10' Pullup Jump Shot25
16.9%
36
83.1%
Q1 - 1:03OKCAbrines REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
16.3%
36
83.7%
Q1 - 1:03OKCMISS Grant 3PT Jump Shot25
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q1 - 1:16MIAWinslow 2' Layup (4 PTS)25
16.3%
36
83.7%
Q1 - 1:33OKCKanter 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Christon 2 AST)23
14.8%
36
85.2%
Q1 - 1:52MIAWinslow 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q1 - 2:05OKCChriston Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)21
15.1%
34
84.9%
Q1 - 2:06MIALauvergne STEAL (1 STL)21
14.0%
34
86.0%
Q1 - 2:22OKCAbrines 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
15.1%
34
84.9%
Q1 - 2:33MIAReed Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
16.4%
32
83.6%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 1 of 220
16.0%
32
84.0%
Q1 - 2:49OKCKanter 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Christon 1 AST)20
16.3%
32
83.7%
Q1 - 3:13MIAReed Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q1 - 3:13MIAReed Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
17.5%
30
82.5%
Q1 - 3:27OKCAbrines 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Roberson 1 AST)18
16.8%
30
83.2%
Q1 - 3:30OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
19.3%
27
80.7%
Q1 - 3:31OKCMISS Kanter 2' Layup18
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q1 - 3:44MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
19.3%
27
80.7%
Q1 - 4:03OKCKanter 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)16
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q1 - 4:15MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
19.3%
25
80.7%
Q1 - 4:15MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
18.9%
25
81.1%
Q1 - 4:15MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 4:15MIALauvergne BLOCK (1 BLK)14
17.2%
25
82.8%
Q1 - 4:29OKCLauvergne 2' Layup (2 PTS)14
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 4:30OKCLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q1 - 4:30OKCMISS Lauvergne 2' Layup14
20.5%
23
79.5%
Q1 - 4:37OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q1 - 4:37OKCMISS Lauvergne 2' Driving Layup14
20.5%
23
79.5%
Q1 - 4:57MIAReed Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)14
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q1 - 5:11MIADragic Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)12
18.8%
23
81.2%
Q1 - 5:21OKCOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
17.5%
23
82.5%
Q1 - 5:21OKCOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
17.7%
22
82.3%
Q1 - 5:23OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
18.6%
21
81.4%
Q1 - 5:24MIAKanter BLOCK (1 BLK)11
19.0%
21
81.0%
Q1 - 5:34OKCKanter 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)11
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 5:38OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
21.3%
19
78.7%
Q1 - 5:39OKCMISS Sabonis 19' Jump Shot11
22.4%
19
77.6%
Q1 - 6:04MIABabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)11
21.7%
19
78.3%
Q1 - 6:16OKCSabonis 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)8
19.2%
19
80.8%
Q1 - 6:32OKCSabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.7%
16
78.3%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Babbitt 3' Driving Layup8
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 6:57OKCOladipo 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 7:10MIADragic 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 7:30OKCAdams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 7:35OKCTHUNDER Rebound6
22.1%
14
77.9%
Q1 - 7:36OKCMISS Sabonis 3PT Jump Shot6
23.2%
14
76.8%
Q1 - 7:45OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
22.1%
14
77.9%
Q1 - 7:45MIAAdams BLOCK (1 BLK)6
22.5%
14
77.5%
Q1 - 7:57OKCRoberson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)6
23.6%
14
76.4%
Q1 - 8:01OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Hook Shot6
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 8:21OKCWestbrook 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
26.5%
12
73.5%
Q1 - 8:32MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
27.9%
10
72.1%
Q1 - 8:48OKCAdams 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)4
26.5%
10
73.5%
Q1 - 8:54OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.9%
8
72.1%
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS Babbitt 3PT Jump Shot4
28.4%
8
71.6%
Q1 - 9:14OKCRoberson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Sabonis 1 AST)4
29.6%
8
70.4%
Q1 - 9:31MIABabbitt 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)4
30.8%
6
69.2%
Q1 - 9:51OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
29.6%
6
70.4%
Q1 - 9:51OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
29.8%
5
70.2%
Q1 - 9:56OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot2
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 10:11OKCOladipo 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 10:21MIARoberson STEAL (1 STL)2
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 10:24OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 10:37MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 10:52OKCSabonis 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 11:10MIABabbitt 7' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 11:35MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 11:35OKCMISS Oladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 12:00OKCJump Ball Adams vs. Whiteside: Tip to Oladipo0
34.2%
0
65.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 43.8%
OKC
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
46
46%
OKC
18
33
55%
Midrange
MIA
6
21
29%
OKC
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
OKC
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
MIA
19
22
86%
OKC
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson1860%9.0 / 15
G. Dragic1146%5.5 / 12
L. Babbitt1161%5.5 / 9
W. Reed1192%5.5 / 6
T. Johnson1050%5.0 / 10
J. Richardson744%3.5 / 8
J. Winslow621%3.0 / 14
H. Whiteside528%2.5 / 9
R. McGruder4100%2.0 / 2
D. Waiters211%1.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Kanter2492%12.0 / 13
V. Oladipo1785%8.5 / 10
D. Sabonis1554%7.5 / 14
R. Westbrook1441%7.0 / 17
S. Adams660%3.0 / 5
A. Roberson550%2.5 / 5
A. Abrines528%2.5 / 9
J. Lauvergne528%2.5 / 9
J. Grant440%2.0 / 5
S. Christon225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+16
-12
96
OKC
76
+19
-16
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 43.8%
OKC
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
108.8
MIA 92.4 +13.0
OKC 105.4
Pace
95.0
97.4
MIA 90.8
OKC 93.2 +2.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.2
MIA 15.9
OKC 15.4 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.0%
MIA 39.3%
OKC 48.8% +9.5%
TO %
13.2%
14.9%
MIA 11.4% +4.9%
OKC 16.3%
ORB %
24.2%
28.1%
MIA 24.5%
OKC 25.6% +1.1%
FTrt
25.1
29.5
MIA 26.2 +6.2
OKC 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
53.2%
MIA 38.7%
OKC 64.9% +26.2%
STL %
7.5%
8.1%
MIA 8.7%
OKC 8.7%
BLK %
9.3%
8.2%
MIA 12.3% +4.8%
OKC 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.8%
MIA 43.8%
OKC 51.1% +7.3%
Rim FG%
59.2%
57.8%
MIA 45.7%
OKC 54.5% +8.8%
Mid FG%
39.4%
40.2%
MIA 28.6%
OKC 41.7% +13.1%
3P %
36.5%
32.7%
MIA 23.5%
OKC 32.1% +8.6%
FT %
70.6%
74.6%
MIA 86.4% +4.0%
OKC 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
40.9%
MIA 54.8% +15.9%
OKC 38.8%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
29.6%
MIA 25.0% +3.2%
OKC 28.2%
3P Att. %
31.4%
29.5%
MIA 20.2%
OKC 32.9% +12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIAOKC
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points8597
Rebounds4147
Assists1224
Steals88
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)10 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)37 (1)
Field Goals31-8437-85
At-the-Rim FG21-4618-33
Midrange FG6-2110-24
2-Point FG27-6728-57
3-Point FG4-179-28
Free Throws19-2214-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
32.1
6
21%
3
0
2
0
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-11
18%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
30.6
5
28%
12
0
0
2
2
2
1
11
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
26.9
2
11%
1
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-8
13%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
24.7
11
46%
1
4
0
0
2
2
0
1
1-1
100%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
23.4
11
61%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
27.4
10
50%
4
1
3
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
25.3
7
44%
4
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
24.6
18
60%
6
1
1
2
3
4
2
4
7-7
100%
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
· 6'11" 245 · 26
17.4
11
92%
4
1
0
2
1
2
3
1
3-4
75%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
4.4
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
3.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
· 6'10" 240 · 30
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G · 6'5" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
44%
41
12
8
7
12
0
12
29
19-22
86%
27-67
40%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.