FinalWin Prob.pScore
727%100
101
373%109
99
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
107.49498.7
SAS logo SAS
105.39489.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU101
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
99.6%
99
0.4%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASMISS Aldridge 1' Tip Layup Shot101
99.2%
99
0.8%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)101
95.9%
99
4.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASMISS Leonard 1' Layup101
99.2%
99
0.8%
Q4 - 0:05.0HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P8.T20)101
93.5%
99
6.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)101
84.4%
99
15.6%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot101
79.2%
99
20.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASSPURS Rebound101
61.7%
99
38.3%
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
67.5%
99
32.5%
Q4 - 1:10SASLeonard 15' Step Back Jump Shot (34 PTS)101
71.9%
99
28.1%
Q4 - 1:26SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
76.9%
97
23.1%
Q4 - 1:27HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 2101
78.1%
97
21.9%
Q4 - 1:27HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 2101
84.0%
97
16.0%
Q4 - 1:50HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
82.2%
97
17.8%
Q4 - 1:50SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
79.8%
97
20.2%
Q4 - 2:08HOUAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)101
70.7%
97
29.3%
Q4 - 2:14HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)98
53.0%
97
47.0%
Q4 - 2:15HOUMISS Harden 9' Jump Shot98
41.7%
97
58.3%
Q4 - 2:39SASLeonard Cutting Dunk Shot (32 PTS) (Mills 10 AST)98
53.2%
97
46.8%
Q4 - 2:45HOUGreen STEAL (4 STL)98
59.3%
95
40.7%
Q4 - 2:55HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
71.1%
95
28.9%
Q4 - 2:56SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot98
67.4%
95
32.6%
Q4 - 3:18SASMills REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)98
57.6%
95
42.4%
Q4 - 3:19HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
62.1%
95
37.9%
Q4 - 3:44HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)98
64.8%
95
35.2%
Q4 - 3:44SASMISS Anderson 14' Jump Shot98
62.0%
95
38.0%
Q4 - 3:54HOUAnderson STEAL (1 STL)98
55.6%
95
44.4%
Q4 - 4:09SASMills Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)98
65.5%
95
34.5%
Q4 - 4:21HOUHarden 2' Layup (24 PTS)98
73.1%
93
26.9%
Q4 - 4:32HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)96
65.8%
93
34.2%
Q4 - 4:32SASMISS Leonard 14' Jump Shot96
63.0%
93
37.0%
Q4 - 4:52SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
56.2%
93
43.8%
Q4 - 4:52SASMISS Leonard 1' Putback Layup96
63.1%
93
36.9%
Q4 - 4:52SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)96
56.2%
93
43.8%
Q4 - 4:52SASMISS Leonard Tip Dunk Shot96
63.1%
93
36.9%
Q4 - 4:55SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
56.2%
93
43.8%
Q4 - 4:56SASMISS Lee 1' Layup96
63.1%
93
36.9%
Q4 - 5:12HOUNene Foul Turnover (P1.T17)96
51.7%
93
48.3%
Q4 - 5:21HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)96
60.5%
93
39.5%
Q4 - 5:22SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
57.9%
93
42.1%
Q4 - 5:29SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
51.9%
93
48.1%
Q4 - 5:30HOUMISS Gordon Layup96
54.6%
93
45.4%
Q4 - 5:33HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)96
60.6%
93
39.4%
Q4 - 5:37HOUMISS Anderson 24' Jump Shot96
54.6%
93
45.4%
Q4 - 6:03SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)96
56.9%
93
43.1%
Q4 - 6:07SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
48.1%
93
51.9%
Q4 - 6:08HOUMISS Anderson 1' Tip Layup Shot96
50.8%
93
49.2%
Q4 - 6:09HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)96
56.9%
93
43.1%
Q4 - 6:10HOUMISS Gordon 17' Floating Jump Shot96
50.8%
93
49.2%
Q4 - 6:19HOURockets Rebound96
57.0%
93
43.0%
Q4 - 6:19HOUSimmons BLOCK (1 BLK)96
50.9%
93
49.1%
Q4 - 6:33SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Mills 9 AST)96
57.1%
93
42.9%
Q4 - 6:35SASMills REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)96
70.0%
90
30.0%
Q4 - 6:36SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Bank Shot96
74.9%
90
25.1%
Q4 - 6:56HOUSimmons STEAL (1 STL)96
70.1%
90
29.9%
Q4 - 7:02HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)96
72.7%
90
27.3%
Q4 - 7:03SASMISS Leonard 7' Driving Bank Shot96
70.8%
90
29.2%
Q4 - 7:18HOUHarden 8' Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS)96
66.4%
90
33.6%
Q4 - 7:30SASLaprovittola Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)94
60.7%
90
39.3%
Q4 - 7:49HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Harden 15 AST)94
53.3%
90
46.7%
Q4 - 8:11HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
45.0%
90
55.0%
Q4 - 8:11SASMISS Aldridge 9' Jump Shot92
43.1%
90
56.9%
Q4 - 8:28HOUAnderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Harden 14 AST)92
38.9%
90
61.1%
Q4 - 8:43SASAldridge Putback Layup (14 PTS)89
27.4%
90
72.6%
Q4 - 8:46SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
33.0%
88
67.0%
Q4 - 8:47SASMISS Anderson 8' Jump Bank Shot89
37.0%
88
63.0%
Q4 - 9:03HOUCapela 1' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Harden 13 AST)89
31.9%
88
68.1%
Q4 - 9:09HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)87
27.2%
88
72.8%
Q4 - 9:10SASMISS Aldridge 8' Jump Shot87
25.7%
88
74.3%
Q4 - 9:29SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
22.4%
88
77.6%
Q4 - 9:29HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 287
23.0%
88
77.0%
Q4 - 9:29HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)87
24.5%
88
75.5%
Q4 - 9:39SASGreen Running Dunk (8 PTS)86
22.7%
88
77.3%
Q4 - 9:43HOUGreen STEAL (3 STL)86
27.0%
86
73.0%
Q4 - 9:54SASAldridge 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS)86
32.3%
86
67.7%
Q4 - 10:09SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
36.6%
84
63.4%
Q4 - 10:11HOUGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)86
38.4%
84
61.6%
Q4 - 10:31HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
42.6%
84
57.4%
Q4 - 10:32SASMISS Aldridge 16' Jump Shot86
40.8%
84
59.2%
Q4 - 10:50SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
36.7%
84
63.3%
Q4 - 10:51HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 286
37.5%
84
62.5%
Q4 - 10:51HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)86
39.2%
84
60.8%
Q4 - 11:06SASSimmons Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Green 2 AST)85
36.8%
84
63.2%
Q4 - 11:23SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
41.8%
82
58.2%
Q4 - 11:24HOUMISS Ennis 10' Jump Shot85
43.5%
82
56.5%
Q4 - 11:40SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
47.4%
82
52.6%
Q4 - 11:40SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
48.7%
81
51.3%
Q4 - 11:43HOULaprovittola STEAL (1 STL)85
52.6%
80
47.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU85
58.3%
80
41.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound85
58.3%
80
41.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Gordon 50' 3PT Jump Shot85
54.4%
80
45.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASLeonard 15' Pullup Jump Shot (27 PTS)85
55.9%
80
44.1%
Q3 - 0:14.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
61.1%
78
38.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot85
62.5%
78
37.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASAldridge Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)85
65.9%
78
34.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)85
61.2%
78
38.8%
Q3 - 1:13HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
63.4%
78
36.6%
Q3 - 1:14SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup85
62.0%
78
38.0%
Q3 - 1:22SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
58.7%
78
41.3%
Q3 - 1:23HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
60.2%
78
39.8%
Q3 - 1:43SASLaprovittola 5' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)85
63.6%
78
36.4%
Q3 - 1:51HOUGinobili STEAL (2 STL)85
67.9%
76
32.1%
Q3 - 2:00SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
72.1%
76
27.9%
Q3 - 2:00SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
72.8%
75
27.2%
Q3 - 2:00HOUGinobili STEAL (1 STL)85
75.8%
74
24.2%
Q3 - 2:05HOURockets Rebound85
76.6%
74
23.4%
Q3 - 2:05HOULeonard BLOCK (2 BLK)85
74.0%
74
26.0%
Q3 - 2:14HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
76.6%
74
23.4%
Q3 - 2:14SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
75.5%
74
24.5%
Q3 - 2:37HOUNene 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)85
73.0%
74
27.0%
Q3 - 2:56HOURockets Rebound83
69.6%
74
30.4%
Q3 - 2:56SASMISS Laprovittola 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
68.3%
74
31.7%
Q3 - 3:01SASSPURS Rebound83
63.6%
74
36.4%
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Ginobili 7' Step Back Jump Shot83
66.6%
74
33.4%
Q3 - 3:10SASSPURS Rebound83
63.6%
74
36.4%
Q3 - 3:10SASMISS Laprovittola 3' Layup83
66.6%
74
33.4%
Q3 - 3:21HOUHarden 1' Layup (20 PTS)83
63.6%
74
36.4%
Q3 - 3:29HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
59.7%
74
40.3%
Q3 - 3:30SASMISS Leonard 11' Floating Jump Shot81
58.3%
74
41.7%
Q3 - 3:40SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
55.0%
74
45.0%
Q3 - 3:41HOUMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
56.5%
74
43.5%
Q3 - 4:04SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)81
58.1%
74
41.9%
Q3 - 4:04SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)81
58.6%
73
41.4%
Q3 - 4:21HOUNene 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 12 AST)81
61.6%
72
38.4%
Q3 - 4:34HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
58.2%
72
41.8%
Q3 - 4:35SASMISS Leonard 9' Jump Shot79
56.7%
72
43.3%
Q3 - 4:46HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)79
53.3%
72
46.7%
Q3 - 5:00HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
49.7%
72
50.3%
Q3 - 5:02SASMISS Mills 1' Reverse Layup77
47.0%
72
53.0%
Q3 - 5:20SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
43.8%
72
56.2%
Q3 - 5:22HOUMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot77
45.2%
72
54.8%
Q3 - 5:28HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
48.4%
72
51.6%
Q3 - 5:29SASMISS Leonard 22' Jump Shot77
47.0%
72
53.0%
Q3 - 5:50HOUGordon Dunk (15 PTS) (Harden 11 AST)77
43.8%
72
56.2%
Q3 - 6:00SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)75
40.3%
72
59.7%
Q3 - 6:00SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)75
40.8%
71
59.2%
Q3 - 6:07SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
42.5%
70
57.5%
Q3 - 6:08HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot75
43.8%
70
56.2%
Q3 - 6:18SASLee 1' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)75
46.8%
70
53.2%
Q3 - 6:33HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)75
50.5%
68
49.5%
Q3 - 6:47HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
42.9%
68
57.1%
Q3 - 6:48SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
41.6%
68
58.4%
Q3 - 7:08SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
37.8%
68
62.2%
Q3 - 7:09HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot72
39.0%
68
61.0%
Q3 - 7:33SASLeonard Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Mills 8 AST)72
42.0%
68
58.0%
Q3 - 7:46SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
45.3%
66
54.7%
Q3 - 7:47HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot72
46.6%
66
53.4%
Q3 - 7:55HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
49.7%
66
50.3%
Q3 - 7:56SASMISS Leonard 24' Jump Shot72
48.4%
66
51.6%
Q3 - 8:10HOUAriza 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)72
44.5%
66
55.5%
Q3 - 8:18SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)70
41.5%
66
58.5%
Q3 - 8:32HOUAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)70
37.3%
66
62.7%
Q3 - 8:32HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)69
36.8%
66
63.2%
Q3 - 8:39SASGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)68
34.4%
66
65.6%
Q3 - 8:51SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
30.5%
66
69.5%
Q3 - 8:52HOUMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot68
31.7%
66
68.3%
Q3 - 9:11SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
33.1%
66
66.9%
Q3 - 9:11SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
33.6%
65
66.4%
Q3 - 9:22SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
36.3%
64
63.7%
Q3 - 9:23HOUMISS Harden 15' Jump Shot68
37.4%
64
62.6%
Q3 - 9:40SASAldridge Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)68
40.0%
64
60.0%
Q3 - 9:57HOUHarden 13' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)68
36.4%
64
63.6%
Q3 - 10:13SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
32.4%
64
67.6%
Q3 - 10:13SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 266
32.8%
63
67.2%
Q3 - 10:24HOUAldridge STEAL (2 STL)66
32.2%
63
67.8%
Q3 - 10:47SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)66
35.6%
63
64.4%
Q3 - 10:55SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
42.0%
60
58.0%
Q3 - 10:56SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
44.6%
60
55.4%
Q3 - 11:15HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)66
40.8%
60
59.2%
Q3 - 11:20HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
34.5%
60
65.5%
Q3 - 11:23HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot63
32.3%
60
67.7%
Q3 - 11:30HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
34.6%
60
65.4%
Q3 - 11:32SASMISS Gasol 10' Hook Shot63
33.6%
60
66.4%
Q3 - 11:44SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
31.4%
60
68.6%
Q3 - 11:46SASMISS Aldridge 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
33.6%
60
66.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS63
31.4%
60
68.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUDekker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)63
31.4%
60
68.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASLeonard 33' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)60
25.2%
60
74.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)60
31.4%
57
68.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)59
31.1%
57
68.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)58
30.7%
57
69.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0SASGinobili Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)57
25.3%
57
74.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0HOUHarden 3' Driving Bank Shot (11 PTS)57
23.6%
57
76.4%
Q2 - 1:02SASSimmons 1' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Mills 7 AST)55
20.5%
57
79.5%
Q2 - 1:06SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
23.8%
55
76.2%
Q2 - 1:07HOUMISS Harden 8' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot55
24.2%
55
75.8%
Q2 - 1:20SASGinobili 3' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Mills 6 AST)55
25.0%
55
75.0%
Q2 - 1:31HOUAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
28.8%
53
71.2%
Q2 - 1:31HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
28.5%
53
71.5%
Q2 - 1:51SASLeonard 5' Driving Bank Shot (16 PTS)53
25.0%
53
75.0%
Q2 - 2:07SASSPURS Rebound53
27.9%
51
72.1%
Q2 - 2:07HOULeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)53
28.6%
51
71.4%
Q2 - 2:11HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
30.3%
51
69.7%
Q2 - 2:12SASMISS Simmons 4' Driving Layup53
29.6%
51
70.4%
Q2 - 2:36HOUAnderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)53
28.0%
51
72.0%
Q2 - 2:52HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
23.0%
51
77.0%
Q2 - 2:53SASMISS Aldridge 12' Turnaround Jump Shot50
22.4%
51
77.6%
Q2 - 3:07HOUGreen STEAL (2 STL)50
20.6%
51
79.4%
Q2 - 3:20SASAldridge 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
23.0%
51
77.0%
Q2 - 3:40HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)50
24.8%
49
75.2%
Q2 - 3:51HOURockets Rebound50
27.5%
49
72.5%
Q2 - 3:51HOUAldridge BLOCK (1 BLK)50
25.6%
49
74.4%
Q2 - 4:04SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
26.6%
49
73.4%
Q2 - 4:04SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
26.9%
48
73.1%
Q2 - 4:22SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
29.0%
47
71.0%
Q2 - 4:23HOUMISS Harden 11' Jump Shot50
29.7%
47
70.3%
Q2 - 4:37SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)50
31.4%
47
68.6%
Q2 - 4:50HOUGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)50
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q2 - 4:59SASLeonard 6' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)47
31.4%
44
68.6%
Q2 - 5:13SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
33.3%
42
66.7%
Q2 - 5:15HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
36.0%
42
64.0%
Q2 - 5:15HOUMISS Capela 3' Tip Layup Shot47
34.1%
42
65.9%
Q2 - 5:17HOUMISS Harden 18' Jump Shot47
34.1%
42
65.9%
Q2 - 5:32SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)47
36.0%
42
64.0%
Q2 - 5:55HOUAriza 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)47
33.4%
42
66.6%
Q2 - 6:06SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)45
30.9%
42
69.1%
Q2 - 6:06SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
31.2%
41
68.8%
Q2 - 6:06SASSPURS Rebound45
32.7%
40
67.3%
Q2 - 6:06SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
34.8%
40
65.2%
Q2 - 6:18SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
32.7%
40
67.3%
Q2 - 6:18HOUMISS Gordon 10' Floating Jump Shot45
33.6%
40
66.4%
Q2 - 6:36SASAldridge 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)45
35.7%
40
64.3%
Q2 - 7:00HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)45
37.7%
38
62.3%
Q2 - 7:11SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)43
34.9%
38
65.1%
Q2 - 7:13SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
39.6%
35
60.4%
Q2 - 7:14HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
40.4%
35
59.6%
Q2 - 7:32SASLee 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)43
42.4%
35
57.6%
Q2 - 7:46SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
44.7%
33
55.3%
Q2 - 7:48HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
45.6%
33
54.4%
Q2 - 7:51HOUEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
47.6%
33
52.4%
Q2 - 7:53HOUMISS Capela 8' Jump Shot43
45.6%
33
54.4%
Q2 - 8:08SASLee 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
46.8%
33
53.2%
Q2 - 8:19SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
49.1%
31
50.9%
Q2 - 8:20HOUMISS Ennis 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
50.0%
31
50.0%
Q2 - 8:35HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
51.9%
31
48.1%
Q2 - 8:35SASMISS Lee Free Throw 2 of 243
51.6%
31
48.4%
Q2 - 8:35SASLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)43
49.9%
31
50.1%
Q2 - 8:39HOUEnnis 9' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
51.7%
30
48.3%
Q2 - 8:59SASLee 3' Cutting Layup Shot (3 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)41
49.4%
30
50.6%
Q2 - 9:14SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
50.7%
28
49.3%
Q2 - 9:14SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
52.6%
28
47.4%
Q2 - 9:34HOUHarrell Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)41
50.7%
28
49.3%
Q2 - 9:35HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
46.0%
28
54.0%
Q2 - 9:36HOUMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot38
44.1%
28
55.9%
Q2 - 9:51SASLee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)38
46.0%
28
54.0%
Q2 - 9:55HOULee STEAL (1 STL)38
43.2%
28
56.8%
Q2 - 10:04SASLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)38
45.7%
28
54.3%
Q2 - 10:04SASMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 238
46.2%
27
53.8%
Q2 - 10:27HOUEnnis 5' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Harrell 1 AST)38
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q2 - 10:43SASLaprovittola 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)36
43.2%
27
56.8%
Q2 - 10:54HOUGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)36
47.8%
24
52.2%
Q2 - 11:07HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
41.9%
24
58.1%
Q2 - 11:08SASMISS Ginobili 10' Fadeaway Jumper33
41.2%
24
58.8%
Q2 - 11:30HOUDekker Foul Turnover (P1.T6)33
39.6%
24
60.4%
Q2 - 11:41HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
42.1%
24
57.9%
Q2 - 11:42SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
41.3%
24
58.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU33
39.7%
24
60.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound33
42.1%
24
57.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Harden 13' Floating Jump Shot33
40.4%
24
59.6%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)33
40.9%
24
59.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
46.2%
21
53.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
45.9%
21
54.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASDedmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
43.3%
21
56.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASSPURS Rebound31
43.9%
20
56.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASMISS Dedmon Free Throw 1 of 231
43.9%
20
56.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASSPURS Rebound31
43.9%
20
56.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASMISS Lee 8' Turnaround Jump Shot31
45.1%
20
54.9%
Q1 - 1:01HOUAriza Dunk (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)31
43.6%
20
56.4%
Q1 - 1:11SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
40.7%
20
59.3%
Q1 - 1:11SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
41.2%
19
58.8%
Q1 - 1:31HOUDekker 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)29
43.6%
18
56.4%
Q1 - 1:41HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
40.7%
18
59.3%
Q1 - 1:42SASMISS Leonard 10' Jump Shot27
40.2%
18
59.8%
Q1 - 2:03HOUDekker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)27
38.7%
18
61.3%
Q1 - 2:16HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
34.2%
18
65.8%
Q1 - 2:18SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 2:37HOUDekker 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)24
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q1 - 2:43HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 2:45SASMISS Laprovittola 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot22
29.6%
18
70.4%
Q1 - 3:06HOUGordon 19' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dekker 1 AST)22
27.7%
18
72.3%
Q1 - 3:25SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
26.2%
18
73.8%
Q1 - 3:25SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
26.5%
17
73.5%
Q1 - 3:28SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 3:29HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
28.4%
16
71.6%
Q1 - 3:38HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
29.8%
16
70.2%
Q1 - 3:39SASMISS Aldridge 7' Turnaround Jump Shot20
29.2%
16
70.8%
Q1 - 3:57HOUHarden 3' Driving Bank Shot (7 PTS)20
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 4:10HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
25.8%
16
74.2%
Q1 - 4:11SASMISS Leonard 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot18
25.2%
16
74.8%
Q1 - 4:38HOUGordon Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)18
23.9%
16
76.1%
Q1 - 4:38HOUGordon Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)17
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 4:38HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)16
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 4:45HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
21.1%
16
78.9%
Q1 - 4:46SASMISS Mills 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
20.6%
16
79.4%
Q1 - 4:52HOUAldridge STEAL (1 STL)15
19.4%
16
80.6%
Q1 - 5:01SASLeonard 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)15
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 5:09SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 5:10HOUMISS Anderson 18' Step Back Jump Shot15
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 5:26HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
23.6%
14
76.4%
Q1 - 5:28SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
23.1%
14
76.9%
Q1 - 5:48HOUGordon 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)15
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 5:51HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 5:53SASMISS Leonard 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot13
20.3%
14
79.7%
Q1 - 6:10HOUGreen STEAL (1 STL)13
19.1%
14
80.9%
Q1 - 6:17HOURockets Rebound13
20.5%
14
79.5%
Q1 - 6:18HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 6:35SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)13
20.5%
14
79.5%
Q1 - 6:54HOUGasol STEAL (1 STL)13
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 7:13HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 7:14SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot13
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 7:24HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
22.7%
11
77.3%
Q1 - 7:31HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
20.3%
11
79.7%
Q1 - 7:32SASMISS Leonard 17' Jump Shot10
19.9%
11
80.1%
Q1 - 7:47HOUBrewer Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)10
18.9%
11
81.1%
Q1 - 8:07SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)10
20.1%
11
79.9%
Q1 - 8:16SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
22.5%
8
77.5%
Q1 - 8:17SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
23.5%
8
76.5%
Q1 - 8:24SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
22.5%
8
77.5%
Q1 - 8:25HOUMISS Brewer 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot10
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 8:32SASMills 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)10
24.0%
8
76.0%
Q1 - 8:49SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
25.3%
6
74.7%
Q1 - 8:50HOUMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 210
25.5%
6
74.5%
Q1 - 8:50HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)10
26.5%
6
73.5%
Q1 - 9:05SASGasol 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)9
25.2%
6
74.8%
Q1 - 9:19HOUHarden 7' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)9
26.3%
4
73.7%
Q1 - 9:27HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
25.2%
4
74.8%
Q1 - 9:28SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot7
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 9:40HOUCapela 7' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)7
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 9:56SASMills 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)5
22.5%
4
77.5%
Q1 - 10:07HOULeonard STEAL (1 STL)5
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 10:22SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 10:22SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
25.2%
1
74.8%
Q1 - 10:41HOUAnderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)5
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 10:47SASAldridge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
23.7%
0
76.3%
Q1 - 10:58SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 10:59HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot2
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 11:12HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 11:12HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot2
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 11:29HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 11:30SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot2
23.0%
0
77.0%
Q1 - 11:45HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)2
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Gasol vs. Capela: Tip to Ariza0
20.9%
0
79.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.11 55.5%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
18
24
75%
SAS
16
25
64%
Midrange
HOU
9
24
38%
SAS
10
36
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
SAS
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
Free Throws
HOU
17
22
77%
SAS
26
30
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2455%12.0 / 22
R. Anderson2071%10.0 / 14
E. Gordon1550%7.5 / 15
C. Capela1260%6.0 / 10
S. Dekker10100%5.0 / 5
T. Ariza956%4.5 / 8
Nene467%2.0 / 3
T. Ennis450%2.0 / 4
M. Harrell3150%1.5 / 1
C. Brewer0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard3457%17.0 / 30
L. Aldridge1441%7.0 / 17
D. Lee1063%5.0 / 8
J. Simmons990%4.5 / 5
P. Mills844%4.0 / 9
D. Green844%4.0 / 9
M. Ginobili840%4.0 / 10
N. Laprovittola550%2.5 / 5
P. Gasol250%1.0 / 2
D. Dedmon150%0.5 / 1
K. Anderson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
75
+14
-19
89
SAS
84
+15
-10
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.11 55.5%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.9
111.3
HOU 107.4 +2.1
SAS 105.3
Pace
100.0
94.1
HOU 98.7 +8.9
SAS 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time
13.8
15.8
HOU 14.6 +1.4
SAS 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.5%
52.4%
HOU 53.8% +10.3%
SAS 43.5%
TO %
14.4%
13.6%
HOU 18.6%
SAS 9.3% +9.3%
ORB %
24.6%
24.0%
HOU 21.6% +0.3%
SAS 21.3%
FTrt
30.4
26.3
HOU 28.2
SAS 35.7 +7.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.6%
60.6%
HOU 67.6% +0.9%
SAS 66.7%
STL %
8.1%
8.5%
HOU 7.4%
SAS 14.9% +7.5%
BLK %
7.2%
9.9%
HOU 6.6%
SAS 10.4% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.2%
54.8%
HOU 55.5% +5.5%
SAS 50.0%
Rim FG%
61.6%
60.5%
HOU 75.0% +11.0%
SAS 64.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
42.0%
HOU 37.5% +9.7%
SAS 27.8%
3P %
35.7%
39.1%
HOU 33.3% +2.9%
SAS 30.4%
FT %
76.6%
79.7%
HOU 77.3%
SAS 86.7% +9.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
31.1%
HOU 30.8% +1.0%
SAS 29.8%
Mid Att. %
16.1%
40.8%
HOU 30.8% +12.1%
SAS 42.9%
3P Att. %
46.2%
28.1%
HOU 38.5% +11.1%
SAS 27.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.04 and 3.04.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points10199
Rebounds4539
Assists2522
Steals714
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (6)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)29 (2)
Field Goals37-7833-84
At-the-Rim FG18-2416-25
Midrange FG9-2410-36
2-Point FG27-4826-61
3-Point FG10-307-23
Free Throws17-2226-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 220 · 27
40.8
24
55%
12
15
1
0
8
1
2
10
5-7
71%
8-14
57%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 215 · 31
40.7
9
56%
5
3
4
0
3
4
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-5
20%
F · 6'10" 240 · 29
36.4
20
71%
9
0
1
0
0
2
1
8
6-7
86%
1-5
20%
4-6
67%
C · 6'10" 256 · 22
17.9
12
60%
5
0
0
1
2
4
2
3
2-4
50%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'9" 186 · 31
14.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
G · 6'3" 215 · 28
33.9
15
50%
1
2
0
1
2
3
0
1
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
2-7
29%
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34
21.4
4
67%
2
1
0
1
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 23
17.9
10
100%
7
1
1
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 194 · 22
7.2
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23
5.0
3
150%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'2" 175 · 32
F · 6'10" 240 · 24
#2 · G · 6'1" 185 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'10" 245 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
56%
45
25
7
4
19
0
8
37
17-22
77%
27-48
56%
10-30
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.