FinalWin Prob.pScore
1841%105
106
1959%108
95
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
117.89091.5
DEN logo DEN
104.49189.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN106
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)106
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)106
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENMISS Gallinari 20' Jump Shot106
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)106
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2106
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)106
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)105
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)105
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)104
99.7%
95
0.3%
Q4 - 0:58.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)103
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.3%
95
0.7%
Q4 - 1:07DETHarris 12' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)103
98.6%
95
1.4%
Q4 - 1:29DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)101
96.4%
95
3.6%
Q4 - 1:29DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 2101
96.6%
94
3.4%
Q4 - 1:36DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)101
95.6%
94
4.4%
Q4 - 1:37DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
97.0%
94
3.0%
Q4 - 2:04DETSmith 19' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)101
94.1%
94
5.9%
Q4 - 2:27DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)99
92.3%
94
7.7%
Q4 - 2:27DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 299
93.0%
93
7.0%
Q4 - 2:39DETDrummond 11' Hook Shot (14 PTS)99
90.5%
93
9.5%
Q4 - 3:02DENGallinari 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)97
85.7%
93
14.3%
Q4 - 3:24DETDrummond Dunk (12 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)97
88.8%
91
11.2%
Q4 - 3:45DENFaried 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)95
81.0%
91
19.0%
Q4 - 4:04DETHarris 4' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)95
86.1%
89
13.9%
Q4 - 4:25DENGallinari 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hernangomez 2 AST)93
81.7%
89
18.3%
Q4 - 4:38DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
90.3%
86
9.7%
Q4 - 4:40DETMudiay BLOCK (2 BLK)93
91.3%
86
8.7%
Q4 - 5:10DENMurray 8' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)93
90.5%
86
9.5%
Q4 - 5:28DETMarc Morris 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)93
93.0%
84
7.0%
Q4 - 5:42DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
90.7%
84
9.3%
Q4 - 5:43DENMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot91
89.7%
84
10.3%
Q4 - 5:58DETMarc Morris 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)91
87.3%
84
12.7%
Q4 - 6:27DENNelson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)89
80.5%
84
19.5%
Q4 - 6:46DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
84.3%
82
15.7%
Q4 - 6:47DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
88.4%
82
11.6%
Q4 - 6:47DETMISS Johnson 1' Tip Layup Shot89
85.7%
82
14.3%
Q4 - 6:48DETMISS Baynes 5' Hook Shot89
85.7%
82
14.3%
Q4 - 7:02DETPistons Rebound89
85.9%
82
14.1%
Q4 - 7:03DENMISS Faried 4' Hook Shot89
84.8%
82
15.2%
Q4 - 7:04DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)89
81.9%
82
18.1%
Q4 - 7:04DENMISS Murray 5' Floating Jump Shot89
84.8%
82
15.2%
Q4 - 7:15DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)89
82.0%
82
18.0%
Q4 - 7:16DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
83.3%
82
16.7%
Q4 - 7:41DENFaried 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)89
86.2%
82
13.8%
Q4 - 7:53DETJohnson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)89
88.9%
80
11.1%
Q4 - 8:07DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
83.8%
80
16.2%
Q4 - 8:08DENMISS Hernangomez 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
82.7%
80
17.3%
Q4 - 8:26DETMarc Morris 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)87
80.2%
80
19.8%
Q4 - 8:48DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
75.7%
80
24.3%
Q4 - 8:48DENHernangomez 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)85
75.7%
80
24.3%
Q4 - 8:48DENMISS Jokic 3' Cutting Layup Shot85
82.9%
78
17.1%
Q4 - 9:01DETMurray STEAL (1 STL)85
78.1%
78
21.9%
Q4 - 9:21DENNelson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)85
82.3%
78
17.7%
Q4 - 9:47DETLeuer 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)85
85.5%
76
14.5%
Q4 - 10:01DETPistons Rebound83
80.6%
76
19.4%
Q4 - 10:02DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
79.4%
76
20.6%
Q4 - 10:08DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
76.5%
76
23.5%
Q4 - 10:09DETMISS Harris 8' Turnaround Jump Shot83
77.8%
76
22.2%
Q4 - 10:29DENNelson 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)83
80.7%
76
19.3%
Q4 - 10:37DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
86.7%
73
13.3%
Q4 - 10:38DETMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
87.5%
73
12.5%
Q4 - 10:50DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)83
89.3%
73
10.7%
Q4 - 10:50DENMISS Jokic 17' Jump Shot83
88.6%
73
11.4%
Q4 - 11:05DETHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)83
85.3%
73
14.7%
Q4 - 11:32DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
79.2%
73
20.8%
Q4 - 11:32DENJokic 1' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)80
79.2%
73
20.8%
Q4 - 11:34DENMISS Chandler 6' Jump Bank Shot80
84.7%
71
15.3%
Q4 - 11:42DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
82.5%
71
17.5%
Q4 - 11:44DETMISS Harris 15' Jump Shot80
83.5%
71
16.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET80
85.6%
71
14.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound80
85.6%
71
14.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Udrih 60' 3PT Jump Shot80
83.5%
71
16.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENJokic Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)80
83.8%
71
16.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETLeuer 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)80
80.9%
71
19.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
77.5%
71
22.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0DENMISS Chandler 21' Pullup Jump Shot78
76.4%
71
23.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
73.8%
71
26.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETMISS Leuer 18' Jump Shot78
75.0%
71
25.0%
Q3 - 0:57.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
77.6%
71
22.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0DENMISS Jokic 13' Jump Shot78
76.5%
71
23.5%
Q3 - 1:17DETUdrih 17' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)78
72.1%
71
27.9%
Q3 - 1:27DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
68.1%
71
31.9%
Q3 - 1:28DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
66.8%
71
33.2%
Q3 - 1:37DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
63.7%
71
36.3%
Q3 - 1:39DETMISS Udrih 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
65.1%
71
34.9%
Q3 - 2:02DETPistons Rebound76
66.4%
71
33.6%
Q3 - 2:03DENMISS Gallinari 17' Fadeaway Jumper76
65.0%
71
35.0%
Q3 - 2:20DENNUGGETS Rebound76
61.9%
71
38.1%
Q3 - 2:21DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 276
65.9%
71
34.1%
Q3 - 2:21DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)76
62.7%
71
37.3%
Q3 - 2:33DETHarris 5' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)76
66.2%
70
33.8%
Q3 - 2:50DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
62.3%
70
37.7%
Q3 - 2:50DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)74
63.1%
69
36.9%
Q3 - 2:51DETJokic STEAL (1 STL)74
66.3%
68
33.7%
Q3 - 3:02DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
69.6%
68
30.4%
Q3 - 3:03DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
68.3%
68
31.7%
Q3 - 3:18DETLeuer 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)74
65.4%
68
34.6%
Q3 - 3:28DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
61.5%
68
38.5%
Q3 - 3:29DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
60.2%
68
39.8%
Q3 - 3:39DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
56.9%
68
43.1%
Q3 - 3:39DETMISS Leuer 6' Pullup Jump Shot72
58.4%
68
41.6%
Q3 - 3:42DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
61.6%
68
38.4%
Q3 - 3:45DETMISS Leuer 19' Turnaround Jump Shot72
58.4%
68
41.6%
Q3 - 4:05DENMudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)72
60.8%
68
39.2%
Q3 - 4:28DETSmith 3' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Marc Morris 3 AST)72
68.1%
65
31.9%
Q3 - 4:33DENHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)70
64.8%
65
35.2%
Q3 - 4:44DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
60.2%
65
39.8%
Q3 - 4:45DETMISS Marc Morris 22' Jump Shot70
61.6%
65
38.4%
Q3 - 5:07DENChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)70
63.8%
65
36.2%
Q3 - 5:16DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
59.5%
65
40.5%
Q3 - 5:17DETMISS Smith 5' Pullup Jump Shot70
60.8%
65
39.2%
Q3 - 5:38DENMudiay Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)70
63.8%
65
36.2%
Q3 - 5:40DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
59.5%
65
40.5%
Q3 - 5:40DETMISS Smith 2' Driving Reverse Layup70
60.8%
65
39.2%
Q3 - 5:47DENMudiay Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)70
63.9%
65
36.1%
Q3 - 5:54DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
59.5%
65
40.5%
Q3 - 5:55DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
60.8%
65
39.2%
Q3 - 6:21DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
62.7%
65
37.3%
Q3 - 6:21DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
63.3%
64
36.7%
Q3 - 6:28DETMudiay STEAL (2 STL)70
66.1%
63
33.9%
Q3 - 6:43DENGallinari Driving Reverse Dunk Shot (11 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)70
69.8%
63
30.2%
Q3 - 6:51DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
72.9%
61
27.1%
Q3 - 6:53DENMISS Mudiay 1' Reverse Layup70
75.2%
61
24.8%
Q3 - 7:12DETMarc Morris 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS)70
71.6%
61
28.4%
Q3 - 7:30DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)68
68.9%
61
31.1%
Q3 - 7:30DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)68
69.2%
60
30.8%
Q3 - 7:52DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)68
71.6%
59
28.4%
Q3 - 7:52DETDrummond Putback Dunk (10 PTS)68
71.6%
59
28.4%
Q3 - 7:54DETMISS Harris 3' Running Layup66
66.2%
59
33.8%
Q3 - 7:58DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
68.9%
59
31.1%
Q3 - 8:00DENMISS Mudiay 2' Driving Layup66
67.7%
59
32.3%
Q3 - 8:14DETMarc Morris 17' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)66
64.3%
59
35.7%
Q3 - 8:29DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
61.4%
59
38.6%
Q3 - 8:29DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
62.2%
58
37.8%
Q3 - 8:44DETMarc Morris 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)64
64.3%
57
35.7%
Q3 - 8:52DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)62
61.5%
57
38.5%
Q3 - 8:53DENMISS Nurkic 20' Jump Shot62
60.2%
57
39.8%
Q3 - 9:05DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
56.3%
57
43.7%
Q3 - 9:06DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 4' Running Jump Shot62
57.5%
57
42.5%
Q3 - 9:25DENFaried 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)62
60.1%
57
39.9%
Q3 - 9:26DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)62
63.3%
55
36.7%
Q3 - 9:27DENMISS Mudiay 2' Layup62
65.8%
55
34.2%
Q3 - 9:35DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)62
63.4%
55
36.6%
Q3 - 9:36DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 262
66.4%
55
33.6%
Q3 - 9:36DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 262
64.5%
55
35.5%
Q3 - 9:48DETSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T6)62
63.4%
55
36.6%
Q3 - 9:55DETPistons Rebound62
66.9%
55
33.1%
Q3 - 9:56DENMISS Harris 12' Jump Shot62
65.9%
55
34.1%
Q3 - 10:08DETMarc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)62
62.4%
55
37.6%
Q3 - 10:12DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)59
55.9%
55
44.1%
Q3 - 10:14DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot59
53.3%
55
46.7%
Q3 - 10:18DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
55.9%
55
44.1%
Q3 - 10:20DETMudiay BLOCK (1 BLK)59
53.3%
55
46.7%
Q3 - 10:42DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)59
55.9%
55
44.1%
Q3 - 10:56DETDrummond 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)59
62.5%
52
37.5%
Q3 - 10:57DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
59.4%
52
40.6%
Q3 - 10:59DETMISS Smith 2' Layup57
56.8%
52
43.2%
Q3 - 11:25DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)57
58.7%
52
41.3%
Q3 - 11:38DENNUGGETS Rebound57
65.0%
49
35.0%
Q3 - 11:39DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
66.0%
49
34.0%
Q3 - 11:44DENNurkic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)57
68.2%
49
31.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET57
65.0%
49
35.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound57
68.2%
49
31.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 48' 3PT Running Jump Shot57
66.0%
49
34.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
68.2%
49
31.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENMISS Faried 2' Tip Layup Shot57
65.9%
49
34.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
64.6%
49
35.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
64.6%
49
35.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENMISS Chandler 2' Tip Layup Shot57
65.9%
49
34.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Chandler 6' Turnaround Jump Shot57
65.9%
49
34.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0DETHarris 4' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)57
64.6%
49
35.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)55
60.6%
49
39.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
58.4%
49
41.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 255
58.7%
49
41.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 255
59.8%
49
40.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0DETPistons Rebound55
60.6%
49
39.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0DETFaried BLOCK (2 BLK)55
59.0%
49
41.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
60.6%
49
39.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0DETMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot55
59.0%
49
41.0%
Q2 - 1:03DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
59.6%
49
40.4%
Q2 - 1:04DENMISS Mudiay 5' Fadeaway Jumper55
59.2%
49
40.8%
Q2 - 1:15DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)55
58.1%
49
41.9%
Q2 - 1:15DENMISS Chandler 20' Jump Shot55
59.2%
49
40.8%
Q2 - 1:29DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
58.1%
49
41.9%
Q2 - 1:29DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
57.5%
49
42.5%
Q2 - 1:39DENHarris 23' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
53.4%
49
46.6%
Q2 - 1:54DENNUGGETS Rebound53
58.1%
47
41.9%
Q2 - 1:55DENMISS Nurkic 1' Layup53
59.2%
47
40.8%
Q2 - 1:57DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)53
58.1%
47
41.9%
Q2 - 1:58DENMISS Harris 2' Layup53
59.2%
47
40.8%
Q2 - 2:14DETCaldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)53
56.8%
47
43.2%
Q2 - 2:20DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
50.4%
47
49.6%
Q2 - 2:21DETMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
48.4%
47
51.6%
Q2 - 2:28DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
50.4%
47
49.6%
Q2 - 2:32DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
48.4%
47
51.6%
Q2 - 2:58DENHarris 3' Running Layup (6 PTS)50
50.4%
47
49.6%
Q2 - 3:04DETMudiay STEAL (1 STL)50
52.6%
45
47.4%
Q2 - 3:19DENMudiay 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)50
56.0%
45
44.0%
Q2 - 3:35DETHarris Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)50
58.5%
43
41.5%
Q2 - 3:41DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
56.1%
43
43.9%
Q2 - 3:42DENMISS Hernangomez 6' Jump Shot48
55.0%
43
45.0%
Q2 - 3:59DETLeuer 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)48
52.7%
43
47.3%
Q2 - 4:16DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)46
49.3%
43
50.7%
Q2 - 4:31DENNUGGETS Rebound46
55.0%
40
45.0%
Q2 - 4:32DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
57.0%
40
43.0%
Q2 - 4:42DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
55.0%
40
45.0%
Q2 - 4:43DETMISS Drummond 7' Hook Shot46
55.9%
40
44.1%
Q2 - 4:58DENNelson Foul Turnover (P2.T9)46
57.9%
40
42.1%
Q2 - 5:10DETDrummond 4' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)46
54.5%
40
45.5%
Q2 - 5:20DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
51.9%
40
48.1%
Q2 - 5:21DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
51.0%
40
49.0%
Q2 - 5:35DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
49.0%
40
51.0%
Q2 - 5:35DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Pullup Jump Shot44
49.9%
40
50.1%
Q2 - 5:57DENHarris 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)44
51.9%
40
48.1%
Q2 - 6:03DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
53.9%
38
46.1%
Q2 - 6:05DETMISS Smith 21' Pullup Jump Shot44
54.9%
38
45.1%
Q2 - 6:27DENHernangomez 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)44
57.3%
38
42.7%
Q2 - 6:37DENNUGGETS Rebound44
61.9%
35
38.1%
Q2 - 6:38DENMISS Harris 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup44
64.1%
35
35.9%
Q2 - 6:52DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
61.9%
35
38.1%
Q2 - 6:53DETMISS Leuer 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
62.9%
35
37.1%
Q2 - 7:11DENChandler 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
63.9%
35
36.1%
Q2 - 7:20DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
66.1%
33
33.9%
Q2 - 7:21DETMISS Leuer 9' Jump Shot44
66.9%
33
33.1%
Q2 - 7:41DENHarris 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)44
68.6%
33
31.4%
Q2 - 8:04DETJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)44
69.9%
31
30.1%
Q2 - 8:15DENNelson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)44
72.2%
31
27.8%
Q2 - 8:36DETJohnson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)44
74.1%
29
25.9%
Q2 - 8:56DENChandler 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)42
72.3%
29
27.7%
Q2 - 9:02DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
73.3%
27
26.7%
Q2 - 9:03DETMISS Marc Morris 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot42
73.9%
27
26.1%
Q2 - 9:21DENNelson 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Hernangomez 1 AST)42
75.4%
27
24.6%
Q2 - 9:38DETBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
77.1%
25
22.9%
Q2 - 9:38DETBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
76.8%
25
23.2%
Q2 - 9:42DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
75.5%
25
24.5%
Q2 - 9:43DENMISS Jokic 11' Turnaround Bank Shot40
74.8%
25
25.2%
Q2 - 10:03DETLeuer 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)40
72.7%
25
27.3%
Q2 - 10:29DENJokic 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)38
71.1%
25
28.9%
Q2 - 10:54DETBaynes Foul Turnover (P1.T3)38
72.8%
23
27.2%
Q2 - 11:08DENHernangomez 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)38
73.8%
23
26.2%
Q2 - 11:23DETUdrih 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
75.7%
21
24.3%
Q2 - 11:32DETPistons Rebound36
73.9%
21
26.1%
Q2 - 11:32DETMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot36
72.6%
21
27.4%
Q2 - 11:46DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
74.0%
21
26.0%
Q2 - 11:47DENMISS Jokic 1' Layup36
73.4%
21
26.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN36
72.0%
21
28.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound36
72.0%
21
28.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
72.4%
21
27.6%
Q1 - 0:07.0DETBaynes 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)36
71.5%
21
28.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
69.0%
21
31.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot34
68.6%
21
31.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0DETUdrih 1' Running Layup (5 PTS)34
67.5%
21
32.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)32
64.8%
21
35.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
63.2%
21
36.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
63.7%
21
36.3%
Q1 - 1:07DENMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)32
64.7%
21
35.3%
Q1 - 1:24DETUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)32
69.3%
18
30.7%
Q1 - 1:39DETPistons Rebound29
64.7%
18
35.3%
Q1 - 1:40DETMISS Udrih 2' Driving Layup29
63.6%
18
36.4%
Q1 - 1:58DENMurray 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)29
64.7%
18
35.3%
Q1 - 2:13DETLeuer 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)29
67.0%
16
33.0%
Q1 - 2:23DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
64.7%
16
35.3%
Q1 - 2:24DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
64.1%
16
35.9%
Q1 - 2:49DETLeuer 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)27
62.8%
16
37.2%
Q1 - 2:55DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
60.4%
16
39.6%
Q1 - 2:55DETMISS Drummond 5' Fadeaway Jumper25
59.0%
16
41.0%
Q1 - 3:02DENNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)25
59.7%
16
40.3%
Q1 - 3:09DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
57.3%
16
42.7%
Q1 - 3:10DENMISS Chandler 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot25
59.0%
16
41.0%
Q1 - 3:20DETSmith 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)25
57.3%
16
42.7%
Q1 - 3:35DENChandler 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)23
55.4%
16
44.6%
Q1 - 3:51DETCaldwell-Pope 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
57.4%
14
42.6%
Q1 - 4:14DENGallinari 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)21
55.0%
14
45.0%
Q1 - 4:38DETMarc Morris 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
56.8%
12
43.2%
Q1 - 4:42DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)19
55.0%
12
45.0%
Q1 - 4:56DETDrummond 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)19
52.4%
12
47.6%
Q1 - 5:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
49.6%
12
50.4%
Q1 - 5:14DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot17
48.9%
12
51.1%
Q1 - 5:20DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 5:20DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
48.0%
12
52.0%
Q1 - 5:39DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)17
49.6%
12
50.4%
Q1 - 5:51DETSmith 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)17
53.7%
9
46.3%
Q1 - 6:02DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
50.8%
9
49.2%
Q1 - 6:02DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
50.2%
9
49.8%
Q1 - 6:21DETCaldwell-Pope 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
48.7%
9
51.3%
Q1 - 6:36DENMudiay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)13
46.9%
9
53.1%
Q1 - 6:46DETChandler STEAL (1 STL)13
50.7%
6
49.3%
Q1 - 7:04DENMudiay 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)13
52.0%
6
48.0%
Q1 - 7:23DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
53.6%
4
46.4%
Q1 - 7:23DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 212
53.3%
4
46.7%
Q1 - 7:29DENNurkic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)12
54.0%
4
46.0%
Q1 - 7:31DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
51.7%
4
48.3%
Q1 - 7:31DENMISS Gallinari 18' Jump Shot12
53.3%
4
46.7%
Q1 - 7:47DETHarris 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
51.8%
4
48.2%
Q1 - 7:49DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
50.2%
4
49.8%
Q1 - 7:50DETMISS Harris 6' Floating Jump Shot10
48.6%
4
51.4%
Q1 - 8:00DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)10
50.2%
4
49.8%
Q1 - 8:07DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 8:07DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 21' Jump Shot10
48.7%
4
51.3%
Q1 - 8:23DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)10
50.1%
4
49.9%
Q1 - 8:47DETCaldwell-Pope Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)10
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 8:50DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 8:58DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 8:58DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 9:06DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 9:06DENFaried 2' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)6
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 9:09DENMISS Faried 3' Layup6
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 9:27DETDrummond Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 9:38DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 9:46DETNurkic STEAL (1 STL)4
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 10:00DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 10:00DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
42.7%
1
57.3%
Q1 - 10:09DETHarris 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 10:22DETPistons Rebound2
42.2%
0
57.8%
Q1 - 10:23DETFaried BLOCK (1 BLK)2
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 10:27DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.2%
0
57.8%
Q1 - 10:28DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
41.6%
0
58.4%
Q1 - 10:46DETSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 10:51DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 10:53DENMISS Faried Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 10:59DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 11:00DETMISS Harris 9' Turnaround Jump Shot0
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 11:15DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 11:16DENMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot0
37.9%
0
62.1%
Q1 - 11:38DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.8%
0
63.2%
Q1 - 11:40DETMISS Marc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nurkic vs. Drummond: Tip to Harris0
38.4%
0
61.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.07 53.5%
DEN
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
21
34
62%
DEN
18
33
55%
Midrange
DET
21
38
55%
DEN
9
26
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
DEN
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
Free Throws
DET
10
14
71%
DEN
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Harris1959%9.5 / 16
M. Morris1757%8.5 / 15
K. Caldwell-Pope1450%7.0 / 14
A. Drummond1458%7.0 / 12
J. Leuer1458%7.0 / 12
I. Smith1042%5.0 / 12
B. Udrih964%4.5 / 7
S. Johnson542%2.5 / 6
A. Baynes467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Mudiay1959%9.5 / 16
D. Gallinari1864%9.0 / 14
G. Harris1354%6.5 / 12
J. Nelson1169%5.5 / 8
K. Faried840%4.0 / 10
J. Hernangomez770%3.5 / 5
J. Murray758%3.5 / 6
W. Chandler625%3.0 / 12
N. Jokić638%3.0 / 8
J. Nurkić0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
81
+17
-9
98
DEN
76
+20
-15
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.07 53.5%
DEN
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
113.2
DET 117.8 +13.4
DEN 104.4
Pace
95.0
98.4
DET 91.5 +1.9
DEN 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.4
DET 15.7 +0.3
DEN 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
53.0%
DET 53.3% +5.1%
DEN 48.2%
TO %
11.9%
14.7%
DET 8.6% +6.2%
DEN 14.8%
ORB %
24.1%
27.3%
DET 28.2%
DEN 35.0% +6.8%
FTrt
21.8
27.6
DET 15.6
DEN 22.6 +7.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
61.5%
DET 50.0% +8.3%
DEN 41.7%
STL %
7.3%
7.0%
DET 12.2% +5.6%
DEN 6.6%
BLK %
6.6%
6.3%
DET 1.7%
DEN 5.6% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
55.4%
DET 53.5% +4.0%
DEN 49.5%
Rim FG%
58.3%
59.4%
DET 61.8% +7.3%
DEN 54.5%
Mid FG%
42.6%
40.2%
DET 55.3% +20.7%
DEN 34.6%
3P %
33.0%
36.8%
DET 22.2%
DEN 36.0% +13.8%
FT %
71.9%
77.4%
DET 71.4%
DEN 73.7% +2.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.9%
40.9%
DET 37.8%
DEN 39.3% +1.5%
Mid Att. %
42.8%
26.2%
DET 42.2%
DEN 31.0% +11.3%
3P Att. %
26.3%
32.9%
DET 20.0%
DEN 29.8% +9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETDEN
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points10695
Rebounds3742
Assists2315
Steals116
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (6)14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (4)28 (1)
Field Goals46-9036-84
At-the-Rim FG21-3418-33
Midrange FG21-389-26
2-Point FG42-7227-59
3-Point FG4-189-25
Free Throws10-1414-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 226 · 24
36.3
19
59%
4
3
2
1
2
1
1
3
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 204 · 24
35.3
14
50%
1
2
2
0
1
2
0
1
5-6
83%
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
34.3
17
57%
1
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
7-9
78%
1-6
17%
G · 6'0" 175 · 28
29.4
10
42%
3
8
2
0
4
4
1
2
0-0
-
5-12
42%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 279 · 23
26.7
14
58%
12
0
2
0
0
4
5
7
0-2
0%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27
26.4
14
58%
10
0
1
0
0
2
3
7
0-0
-
7-11
64%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 30
20.4
4
67%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
17.5
9
64%
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 245 · 20
13.8
5
42%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26
G · 6'6" 220 · 24
C · 7'3" 290 · 28
#8 · F · 6'11" 245 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'3" 208 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
54%
37
23
11
1
9
0
11
26
10-14
71%
42-72
58%
4-18
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.