FinalWin Prob.pScore
1943%98
114
1557%101
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.09585.9
WAS logo WAS
118.194105.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA114
100%
111
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0WASPorter Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)114
99.7%
108
0.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 2114
99.7%
108
0.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)114
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)113
99.7%
108
0.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0WASMISS Beal 27' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.5%
108
0.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0WASGortat REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)113
98.6%
108
1.4%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot113
98.5%
108
1.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0WASWall 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Beal 4 AST)113
98.1%
108
1.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0WASBeal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)113
99.3%
105
0.7%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.5%
105
0.5%
Q4 - 1:01MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)113
99.4%
105
0.6%
Q4 - 1:01WASMISS Wall Free Throw 2 of 2113
99.4%
105
0.6%
Q4 - 1:01WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)113
99.1%
105
0.9%
Q4 - 1:05WASGortat REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)113
99.3%
104
0.7%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2113
99.3%
104
0.7%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2113
99.5%
104
0.5%
Q4 - 1:11WASBeal 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Wall 8 AST)113
99.6%
104
0.4%
Q4 - 1:14WASWIZARDS Rebound113
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 1:14WASMISS Wall 4' Jump Shot113
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21WASGortat REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)113
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 2113
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 2113
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22MIAHeat Rebound113
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22WASMISS Satoransky 1' Layup113
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)113
99.6%
101
0.4%
Q4 - 1:44WASWall 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Gortat 4 AST)110
99.0%
101
1.0%
Q4 - 1:50WASGortat REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)110
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 1:50MIAMISS Dragic 18' Jump Shot110
99.6%
98
0.4%
Q4 - 2:10WASWIZARDS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)110
99.7%
98
0.3%
Q4 - 2:35WASGortat REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)110
99.4%
98
0.6%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Waiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 2:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:9 Def:9)110
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 2:55WASMISS Wall Free Throw 2 of 2110
99.4%
98
0.6%
Q4 - 2:55WASMISS Wall Free Throw 1 of 2110
99.3%
98
0.7%
Q4 - 2:58MIAThornton STEAL (2 STL)110
99.1%
98
0.9%
Q4 - 3:19WASWall 7' Driving Bank Shot (24 PTS)110
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 3:32WASWIZARDS Rebound110
99.1%
96
0.9%
Q4 - 3:33WASMISS Beal 3' Layup110
99.3%
96
0.7%
Q4 - 3:45MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P4.T16)110
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 4:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)110
99.5%
96
0.5%
Q4 - 4:06WASMISS Beal 28' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 4:13MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)110
99.3%
96
0.7%
Q4 - 4:13MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)109
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 4:34WASBeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Gortat 3 AST)108
99.0%
96
1.0%
Q4 - 4:36WASGortat REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)108
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 4:37WASMISS Wall 3' Layup108
99.6%
93
0.4%
Q4 - 4:43WASPorter Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)108
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS McGruder 4' Jump Shot108
99.6%
93
0.4%
Q4 - 5:01WASBeal 1' Putback Layup (28 PTS)108
99.3%
93
0.7%
Q4 - 5:03WASBeal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)108
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 5:05WASMISS Beal 1' Layup108
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)108
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 1 of 2107
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 5:23MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)107
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 5:25WASMISS Wall 17' Jump Shot107
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 5:39WASPorter Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)107
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Dragic 7' Jump Shot107
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 6:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:9 Def:8)107
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 6:02WASMISS Porter Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 6:17MIAJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)107
98.8%
91
1.2%
Q4 - 6:37MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)104
98.0%
91
2.0%
Q4 - 6:39WASMISS Beal 24' 3PT Jump Shot104
97.8%
91
2.2%
Q4 - 6:59MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)104
97.3%
91
2.7%
Q4 - 7:17WASGortat Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T11)102
95.2%
91
4.8%
Q4 - 7:24WASBeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
93.7%
91
6.3%
Q4 - 7:26WASMISS Beal 28' 3PT Jump Shot102
94.8%
91
5.2%
Q4 - 7:32WASSatoransky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
93.7%
91
6.3%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup102
94.2%
91
5.8%
Q4 - 7:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:9 Def:7)102
95.3%
91
4.7%
Q4 - 7:36MIAMISS McGruder 13' Jump Shot102
94.2%
91
5.8%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
95.3%
91
4.7%
Q4 - 7:59WASMISS Porter Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
94.9%
91
5.1%
Q4 - 8:12WASThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
92.3%
91
7.7%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
92.9%
91
7.1%
Q4 - 8:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)102
94.0%
91
6.0%
Q4 - 8:25WASMISS Beal 6' Jump Shot102
93.5%
91
6.5%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMcGruder 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)102
92.4%
91
7.6%
Q4 - 8:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)100
90.4%
91
9.6%
Q4 - 8:59WASMISS Thornton 3PT Jump Shot100
89.7%
91
10.3%
Q4 - 9:02MIAThornton STEAL (1 STL)100
86.2%
91
13.8%
Q4 - 9:05WASBeal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)100
89.0%
91
11.0%
Q4 - 9:10WASGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)100
86.2%
91
13.8%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Richardson 12' Jump Shot100
87.1%
91
12.9%
Q4 - 9:33MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)100
89.1%
91
10.9%
Q4 - 9:34WASMISS Satoransky Free Throw 2 of 2100
88.7%
91
11.3%
Q4 - 9:34WASSatoransky Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)100
87.2%
91
12.8%
Q4 - 9:44WASPorter Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)100
88.9%
90
11.1%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 2100
89.3%
90
10.7%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 2100
90.4%
90
9.6%
Q4 - 9:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)100
91.2%
90
8.8%
Q4 - 9:47MIAMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot100
89.7%
90
10.3%
Q4 - 9:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)100
91.2%
90
8.8%
Q4 - 9:56WASMISS Oubre Jr. 1' Layup100
90.6%
90
9.4%
Q4 - 10:09MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)100
87.4%
90
12.6%
Q4 - 10:29WASBeal 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)97
81.8%
90
18.2%
Q4 - 10:39MIAJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)97
87.5%
87
12.5%
Q4 - 10:52WASSatoransky Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)94
81.8%
87
18.2%
Q4 - 11:07MIARichardson Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)94
86.2%
84
13.8%
Q4 - 11:07MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 393
85.5%
84
14.5%
Q4 - 11:07MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 393
87.3%
84
12.7%
Q4 - 11:17WASWall 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)93
86.3%
84
13.7%
Q4 - 11:25MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
88.7%
82
11.3%
Q4 - 11:25MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)92
88.0%
82
12.0%
Q4 - 11:36MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
86.4%
82
13.6%
Q4 - 11:37WASMISS Oubre Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
85.6%
82
14.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA91
83.5%
82
16.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound91
86.4%
82
13.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Babbitt 16' Jump Shot91
82.8%
82
17.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0WASOubre Jr. 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Satoransky 4 AST)91
84.7%
82
15.3%
Q3 - 0:09.0WASSatoransky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
87.3%
80
12.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot91
87.9%
80
12.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAHeat Rebound91
89.4%
80
10.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0WASMISS Smith 3' Layup91
88.8%
80
11.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0WASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
87.4%
80
12.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
88.0%
80
12.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0WASWall Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)91
89.5%
80
10.5%
Q3 - 1:08MIAOubre Jr. STEAL (1 STL)91
85.8%
80
14.2%
Q3 - 1:16MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
88.1%
80
11.9%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Dragic 7' Jump Shot91
86.6%
80
13.4%
Q3 - 1:35WASBeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)91
88.1%
80
11.9%
Q3 - 1:35WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)91
88.5%
79
11.5%
Q3 - 1:54MIAWhiteside 2' Putback Layup (16 PTS)91
90.0%
78
10.0%
Q3 - 1:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)89
88.2%
78
11.8%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Dragic 20' Jump Shot89
86.6%
78
13.4%
Q3 - 2:25WASWall 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Gortat 2 AST)89
86.7%
78
13.3%
Q3 - 2:29WASGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)89
88.6%
76
11.4%
Q3 - 2:30WASMISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
89.9%
76
10.1%
Q3 - 2:41MIADragic 2' Layup (22 PTS)89
88.6%
76
11.4%
Q3 - 2:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)87
86.8%
76
13.2%
Q3 - 2:51WASMISS Wall 2' Layup87
86.0%
76
14.0%
Q3 - 3:08WASGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)87
83.3%
76
16.7%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Waiters 7' Jump Shot87
84.0%
76
16.0%
Q3 - 3:33MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
85.8%
76
14.2%
Q3 - 3:34WASMISS Wall 14' Jump Shot87
85.1%
76
14.9%
Q3 - 3:45MIADragic 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)87
83.3%
76
16.7%
Q3 - 3:55MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
80.9%
76
19.1%
Q3 - 3:57WASMISS Beal 1' Layup85
79.9%
76
20.1%
Q3 - 4:08MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T13)85
76.4%
76
23.6%
Q3 - 4:25WASBeal 10' Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS)85
79.9%
76
20.1%
Q3 - 4:41MIAWilliams 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS) (Waiters 8 AST)85
82.1%
74
17.9%
Q3 - 5:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)83
79.9%
74
20.1%
Q3 - 5:01WASMISS Wall 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
77.7%
74
22.3%
Q3 - 5:14MIARichardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)83
75.5%
74
24.5%
Q3 - 5:27WASWall 19' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)80
69.2%
74
30.8%
Q3 - 5:48MIAWilliams 28' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)80
72.3%
72
27.7%
Q3 - 6:13MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
64.5%
72
35.5%
Q3 - 6:13WASMISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 277
64.0%
72
36.0%
Q3 - 6:13WASMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 277
61.8%
72
38.2%
Q3 - 6:24MIAWaiters 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)77
60.5%
72
39.5%
Q3 - 6:52WASSmith 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wall 7 AST)75
57.0%
72
43.0%
Q3 - 7:01WASGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)75
59.5%
70
40.5%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
60.8%
70
39.2%
Q3 - 7:17WASBeal 13' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)75
63.7%
70
36.3%
Q3 - 7:23WASGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)75
66.7%
68
33.3%
Q3 - 7:24WASMISS Gortat 4' Jump Shot75
69.4%
68
30.6%
Q3 - 7:53MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)75
66.8%
68
33.2%
Q3 - 8:03WASBeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)72
59.8%
68
40.2%
Q3 - 8:03WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)72
60.4%
67
39.6%
Q3 - 8:12WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
62.7%
66
37.3%
Q3 - 8:13MIAMISS Richardson 30' 3PT Jump Shot72
64.0%
66
36.0%
Q3 - 8:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)72
66.8%
66
33.2%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
64.0%
66
36.0%
Q3 - 8:43WASGortat Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T8)72
66.8%
66
33.2%
Q3 - 8:58MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)72
62.7%
66
37.3%
Q3 - 9:22WASWall 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)70
58.6%
66
41.4%
Q3 - 9:25WASGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
65.2%
63
34.8%
Q3 - 9:26WASMISS Porter Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
67.6%
63
32.4%
Q3 - 9:40MIAWhiteside 6' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)70
65.3%
63
34.7%
Q3 - 9:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)68
62.1%
63
37.9%
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS Waiters 19' Jump Shot68
59.6%
63
40.4%
Q3 - 9:59MIAHeat Rebound68
62.1%
63
37.9%
Q3 - 10:00WASMISS Beal 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
61.0%
63
39.0%
Q3 - 10:28MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Waiters 7 AST)68
57.7%
63
42.3%
Q3 - 10:47WASGortat 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)65
51.0%
63
49.0%
Q3 - 11:02MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 6 AST)65
53.9%
61
46.1%
Q3 - 11:22WASSmith 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beal 3 AST)62
47.2%
61
52.8%
Q3 - 11:39MIAWaiters 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)62
50.5%
59
49.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA60
47.3%
59
52.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
47.3%
59
52.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0WASMISS Wall 17' Jump Shot60
45.7%
59
54.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIADragic 14' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)60
44.2%
59
55.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
40.0%
59
60.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)58
40.5%
58
59.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAWhiteside 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)58
44.2%
57
55.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0WASWall 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Porter Jr. 1 AST)56
40.0%
57
60.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAPorter Jr. STEAL (4 STL)56
44.1%
55
55.9%
Q2 - 1:05WASThornton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)56
46.0%
55
54.0%
Q2 - 1:21MIABabbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)56
44.4%
55
55.6%
Q2 - 1:28MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
36.8%
55
63.2%
Q2 - 1:29WASMISS Wall 14' Jump Shot53
36.3%
55
63.7%
Q2 - 1:49WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
35.3%
55
64.7%
Q2 - 1:51MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 153
35.5%
55
64.5%
Q2 - 1:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)51
31.0%
55
69.0%
Q2 - 1:51MIAMISS Waiters 3' Jump Shot51
30.1%
55
69.9%
Q2 - 2:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
31.9%
55
68.1%
Q2 - 2:04WASMISS Satoransky 14' Jump Shot51
31.1%
55
68.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
29.4%
55
70.6%
Q2 - 2:13MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)50
28.8%
55
71.2%
Q2 - 2:16WASGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
26.7%
55
73.3%
Q2 - 2:16WASGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
27.4%
54
72.6%
Q2 - 2:16WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
29.4%
53
70.6%
Q2 - 2:17WASMISS Wall 1' Layup49
31.1%
53
68.9%
Q2 - 2:24WASPorter Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
29.4%
53
70.6%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot49
30.1%
53
69.9%
Q2 - 2:40MIAHeat Rebound49
31.8%
53
68.2%
Q2 - 2:40WASMISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
31.0%
53
69.0%
Q2 - 2:49MIABabbitt Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)49
29.4%
53
70.6%
Q2 - 3:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)49
32.4%
53
67.6%
Q2 - 3:17WASMISS Beal 2' Layup49
31.5%
53
68.5%
Q2 - 3:23MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (8 PTS)49
29.5%
53
70.5%
Q2 - 3:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)47
27.4%
53
72.6%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup47
25.6%
53
74.4%
Q2 - 3:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
27.4%
53
72.6%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup47
25.6%
53
74.4%
Q2 - 3:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
27.4%
53
72.6%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Waiters 19' Jump Shot47
25.6%
53
74.4%
Q2 - 4:03WASPorter Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Satoransky 3 AST)47
27.6%
53
72.4%
Q2 - 4:18MIAWaiters 2' Layup (6 PTS)47
32.4%
50
67.6%
Q2 - 4:24WASWall Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)45
29.9%
50
70.1%
Q2 - 4:33WASWall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
27.6%
50
72.4%
Q2 - 4:35WASMISS Wall 10' Jump Shot45
29.2%
50
70.8%
Q2 - 4:48WASWall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
27.6%
50
72.4%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Waiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
28.3%
50
71.7%
Q2 - 4:54MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
29.9%
50
70.1%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMISS Dragic 3' Jump Shot45
28.3%
50
71.7%
Q2 - 5:08WASWall Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)45
30.3%
50
69.7%
Q2 - 5:12WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
27.8%
50
72.2%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Whiteside 11' Jump Shot45
28.5%
50
71.5%
Q2 - 5:31WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
30.2%
50
69.8%
Q2 - 5:31WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
30.6%
49
69.4%
Q2 - 5:32WASWall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
32.5%
48
67.5%
Q2 - 5:33WASMISS Satoransky 2' Running Layup45
34.3%
48
65.7%
Q2 - 5:35MIABeal STEAL (1 STL)45
32.5%
48
67.5%
Q2 - 5:36MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
35.1%
48
64.9%
Q2 - 5:38MIAPorter Jr. BLOCK (1 BLK)45
33.3%
48
66.7%
Q2 - 5:52WASBeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)45
35.1%
48
64.9%
Q2 - 5:52WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)45
35.6%
47
64.4%
Q2 - 6:14MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)45
37.5%
46
62.5%
Q2 - 6:32WASBeal 17' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)42
33.1%
46
66.9%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)42
35.0%
44
65.0%
Q2 - 6:54MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
30.7%
44
69.3%
Q2 - 6:55WASMISS Thornton 2' Layup39
29.9%
44
70.1%
Q2 - 7:15MIAJohnson 2' Putback Layup (11 PTS)39
28.6%
44
71.4%
Q2 - 7:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
26.7%
44
73.3%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
25.2%
44
74.8%
Q2 - 7:40WASBeal 11' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)37
26.7%
44
73.3%
Q2 - 7:55MIAJohnson Driving Layup (9 PTS)37
28.6%
42
71.4%
Q2 - 8:03MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
26.8%
42
73.2%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
25.3%
42
74.7%
Q2 - 8:19WASOubre Jr. Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)35
26.8%
42
73.2%
Q2 - 8:20WASOubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
24.6%
42
75.4%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot35
25.3%
42
74.7%
Q2 - 8:44MIAHeat Rebound35
26.8%
42
73.2%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
25.3%
42
74.7%
Q2 - 8:57MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
26.8%
42
73.2%
Q2 - 8:58WASMISS Nicholson 5' Jump Shot35
26.1%
42
73.9%
Q2 - 9:13MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)35
24.9%
42
75.1%
Q2 - 9:40WASNicholson 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)35
27.0%
42
73.0%
Q2 - 9:54WASOubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
28.8%
40
71.2%
Q2 - 9:55MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot35
29.5%
40
70.5%
Q2 - 10:09WASBeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)35
31.4%
40
68.6%
Q2 - 10:16WASOubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
35.4%
37
64.6%
Q2 - 10:16WASMISS Beal 6' Jump Shot35
37.2%
37
62.8%
Q2 - 10:46MIAReed Foul Turnover (P1.T8)35
35.4%
37
64.6%
Q2 - 11:05WASNicholson 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)35
37.7%
37
62.3%
Q2 - 11:15MIANicholson STEAL (1 STL)35
40.0%
35
60.0%
Q2 - 11:34WASOubre Jr. Foul Turnover (P1.T3)35
42.4%
35
57.6%
Q2 - 11:41MIAJohnson 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)35
40.0%
35
60.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS33
37.8%
35
62.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASWIZARDS Rebound33
35.4%
35
64.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASMISS Porter Jr. 38' 3PT Jump Shot33
37.0%
35
63.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAPorter Jr. STEAL (3 STL)33
35.4%
35
64.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0WASThornton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)33
37.2%
35
62.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)33
42.4%
32
57.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
39.5%
32
60.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0WASMISS Porter Jr. 16' Jump Shot31
39.0%
32
61.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIADragic 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)31
37.9%
32
62.1%
Q1 - 1:07WASSatoransky 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
35.2%
32
64.8%
Q1 - 1:21MIAPorter Jr. STEAL (2 STL)29
37.9%
30
62.1%
Q1 - 1:34WASSatoransky 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)29
39.5%
30
60.5%
Q1 - 1:49MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
42.4%
28
57.6%
Q1 - 1:52MIAHeat Rebound26
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Johnson 3' Jump Shot26
36.2%
28
63.8%
Q1 - 1:57MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q1 - 1:57WASMISS Oubre Jr. 4' Jump Shot26
36.8%
28
63.2%
Q1 - 2:00WASOubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
35.7%
28
64.3%
Q1 - 2:01WASMISS Oubre Jr. 5' Jump Shot26
37.1%
28
62.9%
Q1 - 2:15MIADragic 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
35.8%
28
64.2%
Q1 - 2:37WASPorter Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Satoransky 1 AST)23
31.4%
28
68.6%
Q1 - 2:50MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)23
35.7%
25
64.3%
Q1 - 3:07WASWall 3' Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)23
37.9%
25
62.1%
Q1 - 3:12WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
39.8%
23
60.2%
Q1 - 3:12MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot23
40.5%
23
59.5%
Q1 - 3:33WASWall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
42.2%
23
57.8%
Q1 - 3:39WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
46.4%
20
53.6%
Q1 - 3:41WASMISS Oubre Jr. 3PT Jump Shot23
48.1%
20
51.9%
Q1 - 3:58MIAWhiteside 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
46.4%
20
53.6%
Q1 - 4:22WASMark Morris 8' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)21
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 4:36MIAWaiters 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
46.0%
18
54.0%
Q1 - 5:00WASWall 5' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)19
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q1 - 5:10MIADragic 4' Layup (6 PTS)19
45.7%
16
54.3%
Q1 - 5:15WASThornton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
43.8%
16
56.2%
Q1 - 5:18WASWIZARDS Rebound17
41.5%
16
58.5%
Q1 - 5:19WASPorter Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
41.5%
16
58.5%
Q1 - 5:19WASMISS Porter Jr. 1' Layup17
43.1%
16
56.9%
Q1 - 5:20WASMISS Porter Jr. 18' Jump Shot17
43.1%
16
56.9%
Q1 - 5:41MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
41.5%
16
58.5%
Q1 - 5:41MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
41.1%
16
58.9%
Q1 - 5:44MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 5:45WASMISS Gortat 4' Jump Shot15
39.0%
16
61.0%
Q1 - 6:00MIAWhiteside 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
37.5%
16
62.5%
Q1 - 6:10WASBeal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)13
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 6:26WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
33.9%
16
66.1%
Q1 - 6:26MIAGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)13
34.4%
16
65.6%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS Williams 1' Layup13
34.4%
16
65.6%
Q1 - 6:29MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 6:31MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Williams 3' Layup13
34.4%
16
65.6%
Q1 - 6:36MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 6:37MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Jump Shot13
34.4%
16
65.6%
Q1 - 6:51WASMark Morris 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Beal 2 AST)13
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 7:01MIADragic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)13
37.4%
14
62.6%
Q1 - 7:10MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
39.6%
14
60.4%
Q1 - 7:11WASMISS Beal 16' Jump Shot13
38.9%
14
61.1%
Q1 - 7:23MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)13
37.4%
14
62.6%
Q1 - 7:46WASGortat 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wall 6 AST)11
36.0%
14
64.0%
Q1 - 8:00MIAPorter Jr. STEAL (1 STL)11
37.4%
12
62.6%
Q1 - 8:13WASGortat 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wall 5 AST)11
39.6%
12
60.4%
Q1 - 8:24MIAWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T1)11
41.2%
10
58.8%
Q1 - 8:47WASBeal 2' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)11
43.3%
10
56.7%
Q1 - 8:57MIAWhiteside Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)11
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 9:12MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
43.2%
8
56.8%
Q1 - 9:13WASMISS Wall 15' Jump Shot9
42.5%
8
57.5%
Q1 - 9:22MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 9:22MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
40.6%
8
59.4%
Q1 - 9:42MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
39.6%
8
60.4%
Q1 - 9:43WASMISS Mark Morris 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
38.9%
8
61.1%
Q1 - 9:50WASPorter Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
37.4%
8
62.6%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 10:10WASMark Morris 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beal 1 AST)7
39.4%
8
60.6%
Q1 - 10:25MIAWilliams 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)7
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 10:43WASBeal 17' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)5
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 10:55MIAWaiters 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)5
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 11:12WASBeal 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)3
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 11:26MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)3
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 11:46WASGortat Layup (2 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)0
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Gortat vs. Whiteside: Tip to Wall0
39.3%
0
60.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.14 57.0%
WAS
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
30
63%
WAS
13
32
41%
Midrange
MIA
11
28
39%
WAS
18
30
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
27
48%
72%
WAS
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
Free Throws
MIA
15
26
58%
WAS
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2261%11.0 / 18
H. Whiteside1860%9.0 / 15
J. Johnson1794%8.5 / 9
D. Waiters1647%8.0 / 17
J. Richardson1575%7.5 / 10
D. Williams1267%6.0 / 9
R. McGruder650%3.0 / 6
T. Johnson525%2.5 / 10
L. Babbitt375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Beal3459%17.0 / 29
J. Wall3463%17.0 / 27
M. Gortat1063%5.0 / 8
T. Satoransky857%4.0 / 7
O. Porter Jr.633%3.0 / 9
M. Morris675%3.0 / 4
J. Smith467%2.0 / 3
A. Nicholson467%2.0 / 3
M. Thornton350%1.5 / 3
K. Oubre217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+20
-16
99
WAS
83
+17
-11
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.14 57.0%
WAS
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
111.0
MIA 120.0 +1.9
WAS 118.1
Pace
95.0
97.5
MIA 85.9
WAS 105.1 +19.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.4
MIA 16.8
WAS 13.7 +3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
52.8%
MIA 58.2% +4.8%
WAS 53.4%
TO %
13.2%
13.7%
MIA 15.0%
WAS 10.8% +4.2%
ORB %
24.2%
24.1%
MIA 38.6% +8.4%
WAS 30.2%
FTrt
25.1
25.4
MIA 30.6 +5.9
WAS 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
57.7%
MIA 48.8%
WAS 52.4% +3.6%
STL %
7.5%
8.6%
MIA 6.3%
WAS 9.6% +3.3%
BLK %
9.3%
7.1%
MIA 11.3% +7.9%
WAS 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
55.0%
MIA 57.0% +2.0%
WAS 55.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
59.5%
MIA 63.3% +22.7%
WAS 40.6%
Mid FG%
39.4%
44.0%
MIA 39.3%
WAS 60.0% +20.7%
3P %
36.5%
37.2%
MIA 48.1% +7.4%
WAS 40.7%
FT %
70.6%
78.5%
MIA 57.7%
WAS 72.7% +15.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
34.8%
MIA 35.3%
WAS 36.0% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
36.8%
MIA 32.9% +0.8%
WAS 33.7%
3P Att. %
31.4%
28.4%
MIA 31.8% +1.4%
WAS 30.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points114111
Rebounds4740
Assists2122
Steals69
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (3)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)27 (0)
Field Goals43-8542-89
At-the-Rim FG19-3013-32
Midrange FG11-2818-30
2-Point FG30-5831-62
3-Point FG13-2711-27
Free Throws15-2616-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
39.9
18
60%
18
1
0
3
0
4
9
9
0-3
0%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
36.7
22
61%
4
6
1
0
4
3
1
3
6-8
75%
5-10
50%
2-4
50%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
34.1
15
75%
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
29.1
16
47%
4
8
1
1
2
4
1
3
1-2
50%
6-12
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
16.9
12
67%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
26.5
17
94%
3
1
1
2
2
0
2
1
1-3
33%
5-5
100%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
24.8
5
25%
3
4
0
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
19.2
6
50%
3
0
1
0
2
4
0
3
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
8.2
3
75%
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
· 6'11" 245 · 27
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
· 6'10" 240 · 30
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
#2 · G · 6'5" 200 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
57%
47
21
6
7
16
0
17
30
15-26
58%
30-58
52%
13-27
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.