FinalWin Prob.pScore
1142%101
98
2058%104
95
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
107.79192.1
MIA logo MIA
103.39290.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI98
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHIRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)98
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHIRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)97
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)96
99.2%
92
0.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot96
98.9%
92
1.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
96.8%
92
3.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)95
96.2%
92
3.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)94
92.8%
92
7.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)94
98.6%
89
1.4%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)93
98.4%
89
1.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHIWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
95.2%
89
4.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
93.3%
89
6.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
83.5%
89
16.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
90.1%
89
9.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0CHIButler 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)92
80.9%
89
19.1%
Q4 - 1:10MIAWinslow 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)90
67.6%
89
32.4%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:8 Def:12)90
76.0%
87
24.0%
Q4 - 1:21CHIMISS Rondo 8' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot90
79.3%
87
20.7%
Q4 - 1:36MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Winslow 6 AST)90
83.7%
87
16.3%
Q4 - 1:52CHILopez 2' Layup (16 PTS)90
92.2%
84
7.8%
Q4 - 1:53CHILopez REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)88
88.3%
84
11.7%
Q4 - 1:54CHIMISS McDermott 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
84.0%
84
16.0%
Q4 - 1:59CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)88
88.5%
84
11.5%
Q4 - 2:00CHIMISS Lopez 1' Tip Layup Shot88
84.2%
84
15.8%
Q4 - 2:01CHILopez REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)88
88.3%
84
11.7%
Q4 - 2:02CHIMISS Lopez 2' Layup88
83.0%
84
17.0%
Q4 - 2:20MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
88.4%
84
11.6%
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 288
89.2%
83
10.8%
Q4 - 2:31MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
86.0%
83
14.0%
Q4 - 2:32CHIMISS Wade 13' Pullup Jump Shot88
88.4%
83
11.6%
Q4 - 2:47MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T13)88
92.5%
83
7.5%
Q4 - 3:03MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
84.0%
83
16.0%
Q4 - 3:04CHIMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot88
86.3%
83
13.7%
Q4 - 3:18CHIBulls Rebound88
90.5%
83
9.5%
Q4 - 3:19CHIMISS Rondo 4' Driving Layup88
86.4%
83
13.6%
Q4 - 3:36MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)88
86.1%
83
13.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 288
87.2%
82
12.8%
Q4 - 3:44MIAHEAT Rebound88
86.1%
82
13.9%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Jump Shot88
89.1%
82
10.9%
Q4 - 4:02CHIButler 18' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)88
86.4%
82
13.6%
Q4 - 4:23CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)86
82.0%
82
18.0%
Q4 - 4:24MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot86
80.1%
82
19.9%
Q4 - 4:38MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
75.3%
82
24.7%
Q4 - 4:39CHIMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot86
77.6%
82
22.4%
Q4 - 4:57CHIBulls Rebound86
82.2%
82
17.8%
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
80.3%
82
19.7%
Q4 - 4:59MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
75.4%
82
24.6%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot86
80.3%
82
19.7%
Q4 - 5:15CHIButler 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)86
71.7%
82
28.3%
Q4 - 5:20CHIBulls Rebound84
64.9%
82
35.1%
Q4 - 5:21CHIWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)84
59.1%
82
40.9%
Q4 - 5:34CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)84
65.0%
82
35.0%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot84
62.5%
82
37.5%
Q4 - 5:53CHIRondo 2' Driving Reverse Layup (14 PTS)84
56.6%
82
43.4%
Q4 - 6:13MIARichardson 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Winslow 5 AST)82
48.2%
82
51.8%
Q4 - 6:19MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
54.6%
80
45.4%
Q4 - 6:20CHIWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)82
57.2%
80
42.8%
Q4 - 6:43MIAWinslow 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)82
63.1%
80
36.9%
Q4 - 7:03CHIMirotic Cutting Dunk Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)82
67.0%
78
33.0%
Q4 - 7:29MIAWhiteside Tip Dunk Shot (20 PTS)80
61.4%
78
38.6%
Q4 - 7:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:8 Def:11)80
67.1%
76
32.9%
Q4 - 7:31MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup80
71.6%
76
28.4%
Q4 - 7:40CHIMcDermott Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)80
67.1%
76
32.9%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWaiters 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)77
54.6%
76
45.4%
Q4 - 7:59MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
60.7%
74
39.3%
Q4 - 8:00CHIMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup77
62.9%
74
37.1%
Q4 - 8:08CHIWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
65.5%
74
34.5%
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Winslow 14' Jump Shot77
63.7%
74
36.3%
Q4 - 8:24MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
59.7%
74
40.3%
Q4 - 8:25CHIMISS Mirotic 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
61.5%
74
38.5%
Q4 - 8:38CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
65.6%
74
34.4%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 277
64.9%
74
35.1%
Q4 - 8:39MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)77
60.6%
74
39.4%
Q4 - 9:07CHIRondo 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)77
64.1%
73
35.9%
Q4 - 9:18CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
58.7%
73
41.3%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
56.8%
73
43.2%
Q4 - 9:26MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
52.4%
73
47.6%
Q4 - 9:27CHIMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot75
54.3%
73
45.7%
Q4 - 9:37CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
58.7%
73
41.3%
Q4 - 9:38MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
56.8%
73
43.2%
Q4 - 10:03CHIWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)75
51.5%
73
48.5%
Q4 - 10:21CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)73
46.3%
73
53.7%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
44.4%
73
55.6%
Q4 - 10:34MIAHEAT Rebound73
40.2%
73
59.8%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Johnson 3' Layup73
44.4%
73
55.6%
Q4 - 10:55CHIMirotic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)73
40.2%
73
59.8%
Q4 - 11:12MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)70
30.6%
73
69.4%
Q4 - 11:36CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)70
40.3%
70
59.7%
Q4 - 11:36CHIBulls Rebound70
45.9%
70
54.1%
Q4 - 11:37CHIMISS Rondo 22' Jump Shot70
42.0%
70
58.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
45.9%
70
54.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
40.6%
70
59.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0CHIMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
42.1%
70
57.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
45.6%
70
54.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Reed 2' Layup70
44.0%
70
56.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
40.6%
70
59.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
44.0%
70
56.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0CHILopez 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)70
40.5%
70
59.5%
Q3 - 1:06CHILopez REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)68
36.0%
70
64.0%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Johnson 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot68
34.6%
70
65.4%
Q3 - 1:25CHIMcDermott 2' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)68
31.5%
70
68.5%
Q3 - 1:30MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)66
27.5%
70
72.5%
Q3 - 1:37MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
23.7%
70
76.3%
Q3 - 1:38CHIMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper66
24.8%
70
75.2%
Q3 - 1:51CHIWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
27.5%
70
72.5%
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
26.3%
70
73.7%
Q3 - 2:14CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)66
24.0%
70
76.0%
Q3 - 2:27CHIBulls Rebound66
27.8%
70
72.2%
Q3 - 2:28CHIRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)66
25.1%
70
74.9%
Q3 - 2:36CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
27.8%
70
72.2%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Turnaround Hook Shot66
26.6%
70
73.4%
Q3 - 2:47MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
24.0%
70
76.0%
Q3 - 2:48CHIMISS Lopez 8' Hook Shot66
25.1%
70
74.9%
Q3 - 3:13MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)66
28.4%
70
71.6%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:11)66
35.9%
67
64.1%
Q3 - 3:24CHIMISS Canaan 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
37.2%
67
62.8%
Q3 - 3:31CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
40.4%
67
59.6%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Waiters 18' Jump Shot66
39.0%
67
61.0%
Q3 - 3:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)66
35.9%
67
64.1%
Q3 - 3:42CHIMISS Lopez 11' Turnaround Hook Shot66
37.2%
67
62.8%
Q3 - 4:01MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)66
40.4%
67
59.6%
Q3 - 4:01MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)66
41.7%
66
58.3%
Q3 - 4:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
43.9%
65
56.1%
Q3 - 4:10CHIMISS McDermott 21' Jump Shot66
45.4%
65
54.6%
Q3 - 4:39MIAWhiteside 8' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)66
48.9%
65
51.1%
Q3 - 4:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)66
52.6%
63
47.4%
Q3 - 4:53CHIMISS McDermott 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot66
54.1%
63
45.9%
Q3 - 5:00MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)66
57.5%
63
42.5%
Q3 - 5:07CHIWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)66
52.1%
63
47.9%
Q3 - 5:18CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
56.7%
63
43.3%
Q3 - 5:19CHIMISS McDermott 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
53.5%
63
46.5%
Q3 - 5:24MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)66
56.7%
63
43.3%
Q3 - 5:46CHIButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
52.1%
63
47.9%
Q3 - 5:52CHIBulls Rebound63
44.3%
63
55.7%
Q3 - 5:53CHIMISS Lopez 10' Turnaround Hook Shot63
41.2%
63
58.8%
Q3 - 6:06CHIButler Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
43.9%
63
56.1%
Q3 - 6:06CHIMISS Butler Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 262
43.2%
63
56.8%
Q3 - 6:07MIAWinslow Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)62
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 6:12MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
36.0%
63
64.0%
Q3 - 6:13CHIMISS Rondo 16' Jump Shot62
37.2%
63
62.8%
Q3 - 6:18CHILopez REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)62
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 6:19CHIMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
37.2%
63
62.8%
Q3 - 6:27MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)62
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 6:42MIAHEAT Rebound62
36.0%
63
64.0%
Q3 - 6:43CHIMISS Wade 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot62
37.2%
63
62.8%
Q3 - 6:59MIAWaiters Foul Turnover (P1.T7)62
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 7:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)62
35.7%
63
64.3%
Q3 - 7:02CHIMISS Gibson 14' Jump Shot62
37.0%
63
63.0%
Q3 - 7:19MIAWhiteside 3' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)62
39.9%
63
60.1%
Q3 - 7:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)62
43.1%
61
56.9%
Q3 - 7:32CHIMISS Lopez 12' Jump Shot62
44.4%
61
55.6%
Q3 - 7:41CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)62
47.5%
61
52.5%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Babbitt 13' Jump Shot62
46.2%
61
53.8%
Q3 - 8:00CHIWade 8' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)62
43.1%
61
56.9%
Q3 - 8:08CHIWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
40.0%
61
60.0%
Q3 - 8:09CHIMISS Rondo 3' Driving Layup60
37.1%
61
62.9%
Q3 - 8:15CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
40.0%
61
60.0%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Dragic 9' Pullup Jump Shot60
38.7%
61
61.3%
Q3 - 8:30CHIGibson 4' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)60
35.8%
61
64.2%
Q3 - 8:56CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
33.0%
61
67.0%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 258
32.5%
61
67.5%
Q3 - 8:57MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)58
30.6%
61
69.4%
Q3 - 9:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)58
32.6%
60
67.4%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup58
35.0%
60
65.0%
Q3 - 9:15CHIRondo 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)58
32.6%
60
67.4%
Q3 - 9:33MIAWaiters 2' Running Layup (12 PTS) (Winslow 4 AST)56
29.7%
60
70.3%
Q3 - 9:39CHIWinslow STEAL (4 STL)56
32.6%
58
67.4%
Q3 - 9:52MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)56
36.1%
58
63.9%
Q3 - 10:11CHIRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
42.5%
55
57.5%
Q3 - 10:11CHIMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 255
41.3%
55
58.7%
Q3 - 10:15CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
42.8%
55
57.2%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Turnaround Jump Shot55
41.7%
55
58.3%
Q3 - 10:35CHIRondo 16' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)55
39.2%
55
60.8%
Q3 - 10:53MIADragic 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
36.1%
55
63.9%
Q3 - 11:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)53
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
41.5%
53
58.5%
Q3 - 11:08MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
41.5%
53
58.5%
Q3 - 11:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)53
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q3 - 11:26CHIMISS Gibson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot53
40.2%
53
59.8%
Q3 - 11:47MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)53
42.6%
53
57.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound53
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot53
41.3%
53
58.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)53
39.8%
53
60.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
39.3%
53
60.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIADragic 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)51
35.7%
53
64.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHIDragic STEAL (2 STL)51
39.7%
51
60.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
42.0%
51
58.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
43.1%
50
56.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)51
46.2%
49
53.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot51
47.8%
49
52.2%
Q2 - 1:03CHILopez 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)51
46.3%
49
53.7%
Q2 - 1:20MIAWaiters Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)49
41.6%
49
58.4%
Q2 - 1:26CHIDragic STEAL (1 STL)49
46.4%
47
53.6%
Q2 - 1:35MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)49
48.0%
47
52.0%
Q2 - 1:49CHIRondo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)49
46.4%
47
53.6%
Q2 - 2:11MIAWinslow 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)46
39.2%
47
60.8%
Q2 - 2:32CHIGibson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)46
45.5%
44
54.5%
Q2 - 2:54MIAJohnson 1' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)44
42.1%
44
57.9%
Q2 - 2:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
45.5%
42
54.5%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Waiters 2' Layup44
47.4%
42
52.6%
Q2 - 3:17CHIGibson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
44.7%
42
55.3%
Q2 - 3:33CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
42.3%
42
57.7%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 242
41.8%
42
58.2%
Q2 - 3:34MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
39.9%
42
60.1%
Q2 - 3:45MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
41.8%
41
58.2%
Q2 - 3:46CHIMISS Rondo 14' Jump Shot42
42.9%
41
57.1%
Q2 - 3:58CHIBulls Rebound42
45.2%
41
54.8%
Q2 - 3:59CHIMISS Mirotic 13' Jump Shot42
42.9%
41
57.1%
Q2 - 4:11MIAWhiteside 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)42
44.6%
41
55.4%
Q2 - 4:27CHILopez Dunk (10 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)42
47.4%
39
52.6%
Q2 - 4:33CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
44.6%
39
55.4%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Whiteside 19' Jump Shot40
43.8%
39
56.2%
Q2 - 4:50CHIButler 14' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
41.8%
39
58.2%
Q2 - 5:09CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
39.2%
39
60.8%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Johnson 16' Pullup Jump Shot38
38.3%
39
61.7%
Q2 - 5:34CHIMirotic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McDermott 1 AST)38
36.3%
39
63.7%
Q2 - 5:54MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)35
31.5%
39
68.5%
Q2 - 6:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)35
36.2%
36
63.8%
Q2 - 6:07CHIMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot35
37.2%
36
62.8%
Q2 - 6:23MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)35
39.4%
36
60.6%
Q2 - 6:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)35
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup35
43.7%
34
56.3%
Q2 - 6:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 6:37CHIMISS Lopez 2' Reverse Layup35
42.4%
34
57.6%
Q2 - 6:53CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
44.7%
34
55.3%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Richardson 13' Step Back Jump Shot35
43.7%
34
56.3%
Q2 - 7:12CHIMirotic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
41.6%
34
58.4%
Q2 - 7:12CHIMirotic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
41.2%
34
58.8%
Q2 - 7:19CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
39.3%
34
60.7%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Reed 9' Floating Jump Shot33
38.5%
34
61.5%
Q2 - 7:36CHIRondo 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
36.6%
34
63.4%
Q2 - 7:42CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
34.4%
34
65.6%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Reed 1' Tip Layup Shot31
33.6%
34
66.4%
Q2 - 7:44MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
31.9%
34
68.1%
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Richardson 3' Driving Layup31
33.6%
34
66.4%
Q2 - 7:54CHIWaiters STEAL (1 STL)31
31.9%
34
68.1%
Q2 - 8:09MIAWinslow Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)31
34.3%
34
65.7%
Q2 - 8:23CHIMcDermott 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Portis 1 AST)31
31.8%
34
68.2%
Q2 - 8:34CHICanaan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
27.7%
34
72.3%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
27.1%
34
72.9%
Q2 - 8:48MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
25.6%
34
74.4%
Q2 - 8:49CHIMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot28
26.2%
34
73.8%
Q2 - 9:07MIARichardson 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)28
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 9:31CHIWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)28
29.8%
32
70.2%
Q2 - 9:38CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMISS Winslow 1' Running Layup25
25.3%
32
74.7%
Q2 - 9:45CHIWinslow STEAL (3 STL)25
23.8%
32
76.2%
Q2 - 10:07MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
26.2%
32
73.8%
Q2 - 10:19MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
29.9%
29
70.1%
Q2 - 10:20CHIMISS Wade 3' Running Layup25
30.6%
29
69.4%
Q2 - 10:29MIAWinslow Running Dunk (8 PTS)25
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q2 - 10:33CHIWinslow STEAL (2 STL)25
34.2%
27
65.8%
Q2 - 10:50MIAJohnson 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)25
36.8%
27
63.2%
Q2 - 11:05MIAHEAT Rebound25
38.6%
25
61.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q2 - 11:24CHIPortis 3' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)25
38.7%
25
61.3%
Q2 - 11:41MIAWinslow 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)23
36.5%
25
63.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI23
41.0%
22
59.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
42.7%
22
57.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Johnson 9' Driving Bank Shot23
42.2%
22
57.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0CHIMcDermott 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)23
41.1%
22
58.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0CHIWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
36.0%
22
64.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Johnson 14' Step Back Jump Shot20
35.5%
22
64.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
34.4%
22
65.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0CHIJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)20
34.9%
22
65.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
36.0%
22
64.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0CHIMISS McDermott 10' Jump Shot20
34.9%
22
65.1%
Q1 - 1:00MIAWinslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)20
36.0%
22
64.0%
Q1 - 1:22CHIMcDermott 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mirotic 1 AST)20
41.1%
19
58.9%
Q1 - 1:33CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
38.2%
19
61.8%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS Whiteside 13' Jump Shot18
37.7%
19
62.3%
Q1 - 1:47MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
36.6%
19
63.4%
Q1 - 1:48CHIMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot18
37.1%
19
62.9%
Q1 - 2:12MIAWhiteside 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
38.6%
19
61.4%
Q1 - 2:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)18
41.0%
17
59.0%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup18
42.4%
17
57.6%
Q1 - 2:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
41.0%
17
59.0%
Q1 - 2:17MIAMISS Winslow 2' Driving Layup18
42.4%
17
57.6%
Q1 - 2:25MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
41.0%
17
59.0%
Q1 - 2:26CHIMISS Lopez 19' Jump Shot18
41.6%
17
58.4%
Q1 - 2:30CHIBulls Rebound18
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 2:31CHIWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)18
41.6%
17
58.4%
Q1 - 2:50CHILopez REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)18
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Dragic 7' Jump Shot18
42.4%
17
57.6%
Q1 - 3:04CHIButler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)18
40.6%
17
59.4%
Q1 - 3:27MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)18
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 3:37CHILopez 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)18
47.3%
14
52.7%
Q1 - 3:50MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)16
45.3%
14
54.7%
Q1 - 3:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
42.8%
14
57.2%
Q1 - 3:59CHIMISS Lopez 5' Jump Bank Shot16
43.6%
14
56.4%
Q1 - 4:00CHILopez REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)16
45.3%
14
54.7%
Q1 - 4:01CHIMISS Butler 18' Pullup Jump Shot16
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 4:22MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)16
45.1%
14
54.9%
Q1 - 4:45CHILopez 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)16
46.8%
12
53.2%
Q1 - 5:02MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)14
44.4%
12
55.6%
Q1 - 5:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
42.2%
12
57.8%
Q1 - 5:12CHIMISS McDermott 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
42.9%
12
57.1%
Q1 - 5:18CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
44.4%
12
55.6%
Q1 - 5:19MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup14
43.7%
12
56.3%
Q1 - 5:43CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
42.2%
12
57.8%
Q1 - 5:43CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
41.9%
12
58.1%
Q1 - 5:51CHIWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
40.4%
12
59.6%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
39.7%
12
60.3%
Q1 - 6:16CHIWade Dunk (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)12
38.0%
12
62.0%
Q1 - 6:20MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
36.3%
12
63.7%
Q1 - 6:37CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
34.4%
12
65.6%
Q1 - 6:37CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
34.1%
12
65.9%
Q1 - 6:39CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
32.7%
12
67.3%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
32.1%
12
67.9%
Q1 - 7:02CHIWade 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
31.0%
12
69.0%
Q1 - 7:08CHIWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.7%
12
70.3%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup6
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 7:33CHILopez 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
27.8%
12
72.2%
Q1 - 7:36CHILopez REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)4
26.6%
12
73.4%
Q1 - 7:37CHIMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 7:45CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
26.6%
12
73.4%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Whiteside 19' Jump Bank Shot4
26.1%
12
73.9%
Q1 - 7:57MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 7:58CHIMISS Lopez 17' Jump Shot4
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 8:18MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)4
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 8:32CHILopez 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)4
28.0%
10
72.0%
Q1 - 8:34CHILopez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 8:35CHIMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper2
25.5%
10
74.5%
Q1 - 8:47MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)2
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
28.0%
8
72.0%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Waiters 20' Step Back Jump Shot2
29.2%
8
70.8%
Q1 - 9:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
27.9%
8
72.1%
Q1 - 9:05CHIMISS Rondo 2' Driving Layup2
28.5%
8
71.5%
Q1 - 9:18CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.8%
8
70.2%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Dragic 11' Fadeaway Jumper2
29.2%
8
70.8%
Q1 - 9:42CHIGibson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
27.9%
8
72.1%
Q1 - 10:05MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)0
26.7%
8
73.3%
Q1 - 10:24CHIGibson Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)0
29.6%
5
70.4%
Q1 - 10:38MIADragic 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
31.3%
5
68.7%
Q1 - 10:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.7%
3
67.3%
Q1 - 10:57CHIMISS Lopez 8' Hook Shot0
33.3%
3
66.7%
Q1 - 11:15MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)0
34.4%
3
65.6%
Q1 - 11:23CHIWinslow STEAL (1 STL)0
37.9%
0
62.1%
Q1 - 11:33CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:34CHIMISS Wade 18' Step Back Jump Shot0
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 11:41CHILopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:42CHIMISS Gibson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot0
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Lopez: Tip to Gibson0
39.5%
0
60.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.97 48.5%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
15
26
58%
MIA
17
32
53%
Midrange
CHI
16
47
34%
MIA
6
27
22%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
MIA
13
19.5
29
45%
67%
Free Throws
CHI
18
20
90%
MIA
10
15
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2067%10.0 / 15
R. Lopez1640%8.0 / 20
R. Rondo1650%8.0 / 16
D. Wade1336%6.5 / 18
D. McDermott1359%6.5 / 11
N. Mirotic1063%5.0 / 8
T. Gibson857%4.0 / 7
B. Portis2100%1.0 / 1
I. Canaan0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2050%10.0 / 20
D. Waiters1647%8.0 / 17
J. Richardson1662%8.0 / 13
J. Winslow1568%7.5 / 11
T. Johnson1450%7.0 / 14
G. Dragic633%3.0 / 9
J. Johnson550%2.5 / 5
L. Babbitt350%1.5 / 3
W. Reed0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
81
+19
-10
100
MIA
79
+18
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.97 48.5%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.8
108.1
CHI 107.7 +4.4
MIA 103.3
Pace
95.0
95.0
CHI 92.1 +1.2
MIA 90.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.7
CHI 15.6 +0.2
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
51.2%
CHI 44.9%
MIA 48.3% +3.4%
TO %
13.6%
13.2%
CHI 10.9% +1.2%
MIA 12.1%
ORB %
27.0%
24.2%
CHI 27.3%
MIA 28.0% +0.7%
FTrt
25.9
25.1
CHI 22.5 +5.5
MIA 17.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
54.4%
CHI 48.6%
MIA 61.1% +12.5%
STL %
8.2%
7.5%
CHI 7.7%
MIA 8.7% +1.0%
BLK %
7.9%
9.3%
CHI 3.4%
MIA 6.8% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.6%
52.8%
CHI 48.5%
MIA 49.0% +0.5%
Rim FG%
57.4%
59.2%
CHI 57.7% +4.6%
MIA 53.1%
Mid FG%
39.8%
39.4%
CHI 34.0% +11.8%
MIA 22.2%
3P %
34.0%
36.5%
CHI 37.5%
MIA 44.8% +7.3%
FT %
79.8%
70.6%
CHI 90.0% +23.3%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
35.4%
CHI 29.2%
MIA 36.4% +7.2%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
33.1%
CHI 52.8%
MIA 30.7% +22.1%
3P Att. %
25.6%
31.4%
CHI 18.0%
MIA 33.0% +15.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points9895
Rebounds4846
Assists1822
Steals78
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (7)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)32 (1)
Field Goals37-8936-88
At-the-Rim FG15-2617-32
Midrange FG16-476-27
2-Point FG31-7323-59
3-Point FG6-1613-29
Free Throws18-2010-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 230 · 27
37.7
20
67%
4
5
3
0
2
1
1
3
9-10
90%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 277 · 29
37.5
16
40%
9
0
0
1
1
3
7
2
0-0
-
8-20
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 186 · 31
36.7
16
50%
12
6
2
0
1
0
1
11
3-4
75%
5-13
38%
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 220 · 35
32.4
13
36%
7
4
1
0
3
1
1
6
3-3
100%
5-13
38%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 31
22.6
8
57%
3
0
0
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 225 · 25
31.7
13
59%
4
1
1
0
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'10" 238 · 26
22.1
10
63%
5
1
0
0
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 250 · 22
10.2
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 200 · 25
9.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24
G · 6'4" 198 · 24
F · 6'6" 214 · 23
F · 6'8" 226 · 23
#7 · G · 6'6" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · G · 6'5" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
49%
48
18
7
2
10
0
12
36
18-20
90%
31-73
42%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.