FinalWin Prob.pScore
761%101
93
2239%97
90
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
94.998109.7
MIA logo MIA
91.89888.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)93
98.1%
90
1.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)92
97.6%
90
2.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIARichardson Driving Dunk (19 PTS)91
88.0%
90
12.0%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLBazemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
94.9%
88
5.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)90
93.5%
88
6.5%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMcGruder 3' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)89
88.0%
88
12.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)89
94.3%
86
5.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Waiters 3' Driving Layup89
97.4%
86
2.6%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#21)89
92.6%
86
7.4%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLHawks Rebound89
97.5%
86
2.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Millsap 18' Turnaround Jump Shot89
94.5%
86
5.5%
Q4 - 0:45.0ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
94.5%
86
5.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup89
93.0%
86
7.0%
Q4 - 1:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:10 Def:15)89
85.9%
86
14.1%
Q4 - 1:04ATLMISS Millsap 12' Pullup Jump Shot89
88.2%
86
11.8%
Q4 - 1:23ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
91.1%
86
8.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot89
89.4%
86
10.6%
Q4 - 1:44ATLSchroder Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T20)89
83.4%
86
16.6%
Q4 - 1:49ATLHawks Rebound89
89.1%
86
10.9%
Q4 - 1:50ATLMISS Bazemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
85.1%
86
14.9%
Q4 - 1:53ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
89.2%
86
10.8%
Q4 - 1:54ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
85.3%
86
14.7%
Q4 - 2:13MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)89
89.8%
86
10.2%
Q4 - 2:35ATLSchroder 2' Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS)89
94.9%
83
5.1%
Q4 - 2:52MIARichardson 5' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)87
91.6%
83
8.4%
Q4 - 3:12ATLHardaway Jr. 3' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)87
93.7%
81
6.3%
Q4 - 3:24MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P4.T23)85
91.9%
81
8.1%
Q4 - 3:31MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
84.2%
81
15.8%
Q4 - 3:32ATLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)85
85.8%
81
14.2%
Q4 - 3:46MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T22)85
89.0%
81
11.0%
Q4 - 4:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:10 Def:14)85
84.7%
81
15.3%
Q4 - 4:07ATLMISS Schroder 20' Jump Shot85
86.2%
81
13.8%
Q4 - 4:11ATLHawks Rebound85
89.3%
81
10.7%
Q4 - 4:12ATLMISS Bazemore 17' Pullup Jump Shot85
86.3%
81
13.7%
Q4 - 4:13ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
89.3%
81
10.7%
Q4 - 4:17MIAMISS Waiters 3' Finger Roll Layup85
88.1%
81
11.9%
Q4 - 4:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
84.8%
81
15.2%
Q4 - 4:26ATLMISS Schroder 17' Pullup Jump Shot85
86.3%
81
13.7%
Q4 - 4:39MIAWhiteside 3' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)85
89.4%
81
10.6%
Q4 - 4:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:10 Def:13)85
92.3%
79
7.7%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
94.1%
79
5.9%
Q4 - 5:06ATLBazemore 15' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Muscala 4 AST)85
90.5%
79
9.5%
Q4 - 5:26ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
87.5%
79
12.5%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
86.2%
79
13.8%
Q4 - 5:42MIAHEAT Rebound83
83.1%
79
16.9%
Q4 - 5:43MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot83
86.3%
79
13.7%
Q4 - 5:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:9 Def:13)83
83.1%
79
16.9%
Q4 - 5:51ATLMISS Schroder 12' Floating Jump Shot83
84.6%
79
15.4%
Q4 - 6:04MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)83
86.3%
79
13.7%
Q4 - 6:04MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)83
87.4%
78
12.6%
Q4 - 6:04MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
89.0%
77
11.0%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
91.2%
77
8.8%
Q4 - 6:20ATLBazemore 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Muscala 3 AST)83
89.1%
77
10.9%
Q4 - 6:32MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (15 PTS)80
82.3%
77
17.7%
Q4 - 6:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:9 Def:12)80
85.8%
75
14.2%
Q4 - 6:34MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup80
88.5%
75
11.5%
Q4 - 6:45MIAHEAT Rebound80
85.8%
75
14.2%
Q4 - 6:46ATLMISS Humphries 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
87.1%
75
12.9%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMcGruder 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)80
89.6%
75
10.4%
Q4 - 7:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:8 Def:12)80
90.7%
73
9.3%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS McGruder 5' Fadeaway Jumper80
92.3%
73
7.7%
Q4 - 7:31MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
90.7%
73
9.3%
Q4 - 7:32ATLMISS Millsap 11' Jump Shot80
91.5%
73
8.5%
Q4 - 7:48MIAJohnson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)80
93.0%
73
7.0%
Q4 - 7:59MIAHEAT Rebound80
94.5%
71
5.5%
Q4 - 8:00ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. Alley Oop Dunk80
95.0%
71
5.0%
Q4 - 8:03MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)80
94.8%
71
5.2%
Q4 - 8:19ATLMcGruder STEAL (2 STL)80
93.5%
71
6.5%
Q4 - 8:32ATLHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
94.9%
71
5.1%
Q4 - 8:33ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. Free Throw 2 of 280
93.8%
71
6.2%
Q4 - 8:33ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
94.7%
71
5.3%
Q4 - 8:41ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
93.5%
71
6.5%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Richardson 10' Pullup Jump Shot79
93.1%
71
6.9%
Q4 - 9:02ATLDelaney Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)79
91.0%
71
9.0%
Q4 - 9:11ATLDelaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
92.9%
71
7.1%
Q4 - 9:12MIAMISS McRoberts 3' Driving Layup79
92.3%
71
7.7%
Q4 - 9:25ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)79
91.0%
71
9.0%
Q4 - 9:25ATLHawks Rebound79
92.9%
71
7.1%
Q4 - 9:26ATLMISS Millsap 15' Turnaround Bank Shot79
91.6%
71
8.4%
Q4 - 9:49MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
92.9%
71
7.1%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 279
93.2%
70
6.8%
Q4 - 10:10ATLMillsap 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)79
91.9%
70
8.1%
Q4 - 10:28MIAJohnson Traveling Turnover (P6.T20)77
90.3%
70
9.7%
Q4 - 10:41ATLSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)77
87.9%
70
12.1%
Q4 - 10:41ATLMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 1 of 276
87.2%
70
12.8%
Q4 - 10:53ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
88.1%
70
11.9%
Q4 - 10:54MIAMISS McRoberts 8' Jump Shot76
87.3%
70
12.7%
Q4 - 11:17ATLMillsap 2' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Muscala 2 AST)76
84.1%
70
15.9%
Q4 - 11:29MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)74
81.2%
70
18.8%
Q4 - 11:47ATLHardaway Jr. 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)74
86.9%
67
13.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
84.3%
67
15.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMuscala 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)72
81.1%
67
18.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLHawks Rebound69
73.1%
67
26.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
71.9%
67
28.1%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:12)69
69.0%
67
31.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
70.3%
67
29.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)69
73.2%
67
26.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLMuscala 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)69
80.5%
64
19.5%
Q3 - 1:09MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)66
72.9%
64
27.1%
Q3 - 1:29ATLMillsap 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 1 AST)66
68.8%
64
31.2%
Q3 - 1:37MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)64
64.6%
64
35.4%
Q3 - 1:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:11)64
59.9%
64
40.1%
Q3 - 1:52ATLMISS Delaney 20' Pullup Jump Shot64
61.4%
64
38.6%
Q3 - 2:04MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T17)64
64.4%
64
35.6%
Q3 - 2:20ATLHardaway Jr. Running Dunk (10 PTS)64
59.7%
64
40.3%
Q3 - 2:24MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)62
55.5%
64
44.5%
Q3 - 2:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)62
50.5%
64
49.5%
Q3 - 2:32ATLMISS Millsap 9' Jump Shot62
52.1%
64
47.9%
Q3 - 2:49MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)62
55.5%
64
44.5%
Q3 - 2:49MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)62
57.0%
63
43.0%
Q3 - 3:11ATLMillsap 13' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)62
60.1%
62
39.9%
Q3 - 3:22ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
56.0%
62
44.0%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup60
54.6%
62
45.4%
Q3 - 3:30MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
51.3%
62
48.7%
Q3 - 3:31ATLMISS Millsap 20' Jump Shot60
52.7%
62
47.3%
Q3 - 3:50MIARichardson Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)60
56.0%
62
44.0%
Q3 - 3:55MIAWaiters 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)60
60.4%
61
39.6%
Q3 - 4:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)60
64.1%
59
35.9%
Q3 - 4:13ATLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)60
65.5%
59
34.5%
Q3 - 4:36MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGruder 3 AST)60
68.6%
59
31.4%
Q3 - 4:53ATLHoward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P5.T16)60
75.0%
56
25.0%
Q3 - 4:59ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
78.6%
56
21.4%
Q3 - 5:00MIAMISS Richardson 23' Jump Shot60
77.5%
56
22.5%
Q3 - 5:06MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
74.7%
56
25.3%
Q3 - 5:07ATLWaiters BLOCK (1 BLK)60
75.8%
56
24.2%
Q3 - 5:27ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)60
78.1%
56
21.9%
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
77.1%
56
22.9%
Q3 - 5:51ATLKorver 7' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS)60
74.7%
56
25.3%
Q3 - 6:14MIAWhiteside Dunk (11 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)58
71.7%
56
28.3%
Q3 - 6:25MIAHEAT Rebound58
74.6%
54
25.4%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS Waiters 2' Running Layup58
76.8%
54
23.2%
Q3 - 6:31ATLWaiters STEAL (3 STL)58
74.6%
54
25.4%
Q3 - 6:53MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (9 PTS)58
77.7%
54
22.3%
Q3 - 6:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)58
80.1%
52
19.9%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup58
82.0%
52
18.0%
Q3 - 7:11MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
79.4%
52
20.6%
Q3 - 7:12ATLMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot58
80.3%
52
19.7%
Q3 - 7:20MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)58
82.2%
52
17.8%
Q3 - 7:32ATLHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T14)58
79.5%
52
20.5%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMcGruder 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)58
82.2%
52
17.8%
Q3 - 7:39MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
84.1%
50
15.9%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup58
85.7%
50
14.3%
Q3 - 7:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)58
84.1%
50
15.9%
Q3 - 7:57ATLMISS Schroder 9' Jump Shot58
84.8%
50
15.2%
Q3 - 8:02ATLHawks Rebound58
86.1%
50
13.9%
Q3 - 8:03ATLRichardson BLOCK (3 BLK)58
84.5%
50
15.5%
Q3 - 8:12MIAWaiters 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)58
86.1%
50
13.9%
Q3 - 8:34ATLKorver Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T13)58
87.5%
48
12.5%
Q3 - 8:42MIARichardson Inbound Turnover (P2.T14)58
89.3%
48
10.7%
Q3 - 8:45ATLSchroder 3' Driving Layup (14 PTS)58
87.5%
48
12.5%
Q3 - 8:54ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
86.1%
48
13.9%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
85.4%
48
14.6%
Q3 - 9:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)56
83.4%
48
16.6%
Q3 - 9:08ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 256
83.7%
48
16.3%
Q3 - 9:08ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 256
84.5%
48
15.5%
Q3 - 9:16MIAMcGruder 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)56
85.4%
48
14.6%
Q3 - 9:30ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)56
87.1%
46
12.9%
Q3 - 9:42ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)53
83.6%
46
16.4%
Q3 - 9:43MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 253
83.3%
46
16.7%
Q3 - 9:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)53
82.2%
46
17.8%
Q3 - 9:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)53
83.5%
45
16.5%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
84.9%
45
15.1%
Q3 - 10:05ATLSchroder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)53
83.2%
45
16.8%
Q3 - 10:07MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)53
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q3 - 10:13MIAHEAT Rebound53
83.2%
45
16.8%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Williams 2' Driving Layup53
84.6%
45
15.4%
Q3 - 10:18ATLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)53
83.2%
45
16.8%
Q3 - 10:23ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot53
84.6%
45
15.4%
Q3 - 10:48ATLKorver 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Schroder 4 AST)53
83.2%
45
16.8%
Q3 - 11:03ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
81.3%
45
18.7%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Jump Shot51
80.6%
45
19.4%
Q3 - 11:21ATLHoward Tip Layup Shot (11 PTS)51
79.0%
45
21.0%
Q3 - 11:22ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
76.7%
45
23.3%
Q3 - 11:23ATLMISS Bazemore 2' Reverse Layup49
74.9%
45
25.1%
Q3 - 11:38MIARichardson 17' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
76.7%
45
23.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
79.0%
43
21.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound49
79.0%
43
21.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Richardson 34' 3PT Jump Shot49
80.6%
43
19.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLRichardson STEAL (2 STL)49
79.1%
43
20.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)49
80.5%
43
19.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)49
79.1%
43
20.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T11)47
76.1%
43
23.9%
Q2 - 1:13ATLHoward 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (9 PTS)47
74.3%
43
25.7%
Q2 - 1:24ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
70.5%
43
29.5%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot45
70.1%
43
29.9%
Q2 - 1:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)45
69.1%
43
30.9%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS Waiters 21' Jump Shot45
70.1%
43
29.9%
Q2 - 1:50MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
69.1%
43
30.9%
Q2 - 1:51ATLMISS Bazemore 20' Jump Shot45
69.6%
43
30.4%
Q2 - 1:57MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)45
70.5%
43
29.5%
Q2 - 2:17ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)45
68.4%
43
31.6%
Q2 - 2:29MIAJohnson 4' Driving Bank Shot (8 PTS)42
62.6%
43
37.4%
Q2 - 2:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
65.7%
41
34.3%
Q2 - 2:37ATLMISS Schroder 13' Floating Jump Shot42
66.5%
41
33.5%
Q2 - 2:50MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
68.2%
41
31.8%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 242
68.7%
40
31.3%
Q2 - 3:18ATLHardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)42
68.3%
40
31.7%
Q2 - 3:38MIAWilliams 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)39
63.3%
40
36.7%
Q2 - 3:50ATLHardaway Jr. 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)39
65.6%
38
34.4%
Q2 - 3:55MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)37
63.3%
38
36.7%
Q2 - 4:18MIAHEAT Rebound37
60.7%
38
39.3%
Q2 - 4:19ATLWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)37
61.6%
38
38.4%
Q2 - 4:31ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
63.4%
38
36.6%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
62.6%
38
37.4%
Q2 - 4:55ATLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)37
60.7%
38
39.3%
Q2 - 4:56ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
55.1%
38
44.9%
Q2 - 4:57ATLMISS Howard 2' Layup34
53.2%
38
46.8%
Q2 - 5:02ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
55.8%
38
44.2%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS Whiteside 17' Jump Shot34
54.9%
38
45.1%
Q2 - 5:21ATLMuscala 16' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)34
52.8%
38
47.2%
Q2 - 5:27MIARichardson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)32
50.2%
38
49.8%
Q2 - 5:51ATLMuscala 2' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)32
47.2%
38
52.8%
Q2 - 6:05MIARichardson 8' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
45.7%
38
54.3%
Q2 - 6:22ATLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Bazemore 1 AST)30
47.7%
36
52.3%
Q2 - 6:27MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)28
45.6%
36
54.4%
Q2 - 6:30ATLWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)28
42.3%
36
57.7%
Q2 - 6:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
45.6%
36
54.4%
Q2 - 6:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
46.5%
35
53.5%
Q2 - 6:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)28
47.7%
34
52.3%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS McGruder 1' Driving Layup28
50.0%
34
50.0%
Q2 - 7:04ATLSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
48.8%
34
51.2%
Q2 - 7:04ATLSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
48.1%
34
51.9%
Q2 - 7:13MIABabbitt Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)26
46.4%
34
53.6%
Q2 - 7:27MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
43.5%
34
56.5%
Q2 - 7:28ATLMISS Bazemore 2' Driving Layup26
44.4%
34
55.6%
Q2 - 7:40ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
46.4%
34
53.6%
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
45.5%
34
54.5%
Q2 - 7:50MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
43.5%
34
56.5%
Q2 - 7:51ATLMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
44.4%
34
55.6%
Q2 - 8:15MIAJohnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)26
46.5%
34
53.5%
Q2 - 8:20MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
43.8%
34
56.2%
Q2 - 8:21ATLMISS Millsap 1' Driving Layup26
44.6%
34
55.4%
Q2 - 8:36MIAJohnson 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)26
46.5%
34
53.5%
Q2 - 8:41ATLMcGruder STEAL (1 STL)26
48.9%
32
51.1%
Q2 - 8:57ATLHawks Rebound26
51.7%
32
48.3%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
50.8%
32
49.2%
Q2 - 9:12MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
49.3%
32
50.7%
Q2 - 9:13ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 226
49.7%
32
50.3%
Q2 - 9:13ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
51.3%
32
48.7%
Q2 - 9:22MIAJohnson 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
49.6%
32
50.4%
Q2 - 9:40ATLDelaney Free Throw 1 of 1 (1 PTS)25
51.8%
30
48.2%
Q2 - 9:43ATLDelaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
47.0%
30
53.0%
Q2 - 9:44MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup22
46.2%
30
53.8%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
44.2%
30
55.8%
Q2 - 9:54ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
45.1%
30
54.9%
Q2 - 10:04ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
47.3%
30
52.7%
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Babbitt 3PT Jump Shot22
46.4%
30
53.6%
Q2 - 10:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
44.4%
30
55.6%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
44.4%
30
55.6%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS McRoberts 1' Tip Layup Shot22
46.4%
30
53.6%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS Babbitt 3' Driving Layup22
46.4%
30
53.6%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
44.4%
30
55.6%
Q2 - 10:29ATLMISS Millsap 8' Jump Shot22
45.3%
30
54.7%
Q2 - 11:02MIAJohnson 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
47.6%
30
52.4%
Q2 - 11:22MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
49.9%
28
50.1%
Q2 - 11:23ATLMISS Delaney 17' Pullup Jump Shot22
50.7%
28
49.3%
Q2 - 11:40MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)22
52.4%
28
47.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
57.0%
25
43.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMillsap 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Muscala 1 AST)22
57.0%
25
43.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
54.5%
25
45.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAMISS McGruder 5' Jump Shot20
54.0%
25
46.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)20
52.8%
25
47.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
54.5%
25
45.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
53.3%
25
46.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
54.5%
25
45.5%
Q1 - 1:03ATLWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)20
53.0%
25
47.0%
Q1 - 1:12ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
54.8%
25
45.2%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Driving Layup20
54.2%
25
45.8%
Q1 - 1:37ATLMuscala 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Delaney 2 AST)20
53.0%
25
47.0%
Q1 - 1:44MIARichardson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
50.1%
25
49.9%
Q1 - 1:57MIAHEAT Rebound18
53.0%
23
47.0%
Q1 - 1:58ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
53.5%
23
46.5%
Q1 - 2:10ATLHawks Rebound18
55.4%
23
44.6%
Q1 - 2:11MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Jump Shot18
54.7%
23
45.3%
Q1 - 2:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
53.3%
23
46.7%
Q1 - 2:20ATLRichardson BLOCK (2 BLK)18
53.9%
23
46.1%
Q1 - 2:40MIAWaiters Foul Turnover (P2.T3)18
55.3%
23
44.7%
Q1 - 2:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)18
53.3%
23
46.7%
Q1 - 2:46ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
53.9%
23
46.1%
Q1 - 2:59MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)18
55.3%
23
44.7%
Q1 - 3:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)18
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q1 - 3:09ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
60.9%
20
39.1%
Q1 - 3:18ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
62.5%
20
37.5%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Richardson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup18
61.8%
20
38.2%
Q1 - 3:33ATLMuscala Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Delaney 1 AST)18
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q1 - 3:47MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)16
58.2%
20
41.8%
Q1 - 3:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)16
62.3%
17
37.7%
Q1 - 3:53ATLMISS Muscala 2' Alley Oop Layup16
63.0%
17
37.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIAWilliams Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)16
64.8%
17
35.2%
Q1 - 4:26ATLWaiters STEAL (2 STL)16
66.4%
15
33.6%
Q1 - 4:28ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
68.7%
15
31.3%
Q1 - 4:29MIAMISS Williams 2' Driving Layup16
68.0%
15
32.0%
Q1 - 4:45ATLRichardson STEAL (1 STL)16
66.4%
15
33.6%
Q1 - 4:59MIAWhiteside 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS)16
68.7%
15
31.3%
Q1 - 5:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)16
70.2%
13
29.8%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup16
71.5%
13
28.5%
Q1 - 5:20ATLBazemore 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)16
70.2%
13
29.8%
Q1 - 5:29MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)14
68.6%
13
31.4%
Q1 - 5:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
66.6%
13
33.4%
Q1 - 5:32ATLMISS Bazemore 8' Jump Shot14
67.2%
13
32.8%
Q1 - 5:41ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
68.6%
13
31.4%
Q1 - 5:42ATLRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)14
67.2%
13
32.8%
Q1 - 5:54MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)14
68.6%
13
31.4%
Q1 - 6:06ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)14
70.0%
11
30.0%
Q1 - 6:19ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
66.7%
11
33.3%
Q1 - 6:20MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot11
66.1%
11
33.9%
Q1 - 6:28MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
64.8%
11
35.2%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS Richardson 7' Jump Shot11
66.1%
11
33.9%
Q1 - 6:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
64.8%
11
35.2%
Q1 - 6:45ATLMISS Howard 2' Layup11
65.4%
11
34.6%
Q1 - 6:54ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
66.7%
11
33.3%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
66.1%
11
33.9%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
64.9%
11
35.1%
Q1 - 7:08MIAMISS McGruder 7' Floating Jump Shot11
66.3%
11
33.7%
Q1 - 7:24ATLMillsap 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)11
64.9%
11
35.1%
Q1 - 7:32ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
63.4%
11
36.6%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
62.8%
11
37.2%
Q1 - 7:51ATLMillsap 9' Step Back Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
61.3%
11
38.7%
Q1 - 8:07ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
60.3%
11
39.7%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Whiteside Tip Layup Shot7
59.7%
11
40.3%
Q1 - 8:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
58.3%
11
41.7%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup7
59.7%
11
40.3%
Q1 - 8:24ATLSchroder 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
58.3%
11
41.7%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T1)5
56.6%
11
43.4%
Q1 - 8:58ATLBazemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
54.5%
11
45.5%
Q1 - 8:58ATLMISS Bazemore Free Throw 1 of 24
54.1%
11
45.9%
Q1 - 9:06MIARichardson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
55.0%
11
45.0%
Q1 - 9:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
56.4%
9
43.6%
Q1 - 9:18ATLMISS Bazemore 12' Jump Shot4
57.1%
9
42.9%
Q1 - 9:30ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
58.7%
9
41.3%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Turnaround Jump Shot4
58.0%
9
42.0%
Q1 - 9:55ATLHoward 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)4
56.4%
9
43.6%
Q1 - 10:05MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
54.9%
9
45.1%
Q1 - 10:21ATLSchroder 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
58.4%
6
41.6%
Q1 - 10:39MIAWilliams 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
56.8%
6
43.2%
Q1 - 10:57ATLSchroder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)0
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 11:14MIAWaiters 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)0
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 11:18ATLWaiters STEAL (1 STL)0
62.2%
2
37.8%
Q1 - 11:30MIAWhiteside 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
63.8%
2
36.2%
Q1 - 11:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
65.5%
0
34.5%
Q1 - 11:32MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
66.6%
0
33.4%
Q1 - 11:46ATLHoward Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T1)0
65.5%
0
34.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Howard: Tip to Millsap0
67.1%
0
32.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.03 51.7%
MIA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
20
31
65%
MIA
18
43
42%
Midrange
ATL
11
32
34%
MIA
11
23
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
MIA
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
Free Throws
ATL
13
19
68%
MIA
11
14
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Schröder1856%9.0 / 16
P. Millsap1542%7.5 / 18
T. Hardaway1568%7.5 / 11
M. Muscala14100%7.0 / 7
K. Bazemore1246%6.0 / 13
D. Howard1155%5.5 / 10
K. Korver450%2.0 / 4
T. Sefolosha338%1.5 / 4
M. Delaney113%0.5 / 4
K. Humphries0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson1968%9.5 / 14
H. Whiteside1950%9.5 / 19
T. Johnson1458%7.0 / 12
J. Johnson1381%6.5 / 8
D. Waiters1131%5.5 / 18
R. McGruder836%4.0 / 11
D. Williams638%3.0 / 8
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 3
L. Babbitt0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
79
+11
-19
90
MIA
75
+22
-23
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.03 51.7%
MIA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.4
108.1
ATL 94.9 +3.1
MIA 91.8
Pace
97.0
95.0
ATL 109.7 +21.1
MIA 88.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.7
ATL 13.1 +3.1
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
51.2%
ATL 50.0% +5.6%
MIA 44.4%
TO %
15.6%
13.2%
ATL 19.2% +0.3%
MIA 19.5%
ORB %
23.6%
24.2%
ATL 16.2%
MIA 37.0% +20.8%
FTrt
29.5
25.1
ATL 23.8 +8.1
MIA 15.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
54.4%
ATL 48.6% +12.5%
MIA 36.1%
STL %
8.4%
7.5%
ATL 14.3% +3.1%
MIA 11.2%
BLK %
8.5%
9.3%
ATL 6.1%
MIA 11.1% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.8%
ATL 51.7% +6.2%
MIA 45.5%
Rim FG%
58.1%
59.2%
ATL 64.5% +22.6%
MIA 41.9%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.4%
ATL 34.4%
MIA 47.8% +13.4%
3P %
34.1%
36.5%
ATL 35.3% +4.9%
MIA 30.4%
FT %
72.8%
70.6%
ATL 68.4%
MIA 78.6% +10.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
35.4%
ATL 38.8%
MIA 48.3% +9.6%
Mid Att. %
31.5%
33.1%
ATL 40.0%
MIA 25.8% +14.2%
3P Att. %
30.9%
31.4%
ATL 21.3%
MIA 25.8% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points9390
Rebounds3548
Assists1813
Steals1411
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)19 (2)23 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)31 (4)
Field Goals37-8036-89
At-the-Rim FG20-3118-43
Midrange FG11-3211-23
2-Point FG31-6329-66
3-Point FG6-177-23
Free Throws13-1911-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 246 · 32
34.5
15
42%
6
4
2
0
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
7-15
47%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
32.8
18
56%
1
4
1
0
5
1
1
0
2-2
100%
5-13
38%
2-2
100%
F · 6'5" 201 · 27
30.7
12
46%
3
1
2
2
2
3
0
3
3-4
75%
3-10
30%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 212 · 36
28.8
4
50%
2
0
0
1
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
24.6
11
55%
11
1
3
0
5
3
2
9
1-3
33%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 25
24.4
15
68%
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
5-6
83%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 220 · 33
23.3
3
38%
2
0
3
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25
22.0
14
100%
5
4
1
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 190 · 28
15.2
1
13%
2
3
0
0
2
1
0
2
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 32
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 218 · 23
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22
F · 6'11" 230 · 26
#32 · F · 6'8" 237 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
52%
35
18
14
4
19
0
6
29
13-19
68%
31-63
49%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.