FinalWin Prob.pScore
2338%99
73
2162%103
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
82.08992.9
MIA logo MIA
106.79086.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILMISS Maker 20' Jump Shot73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MILMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAReed Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)73
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:13MILParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MILMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MILJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16MILMISS Antetokounmpo 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MILMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15MILSnell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 3:16MILWhiteside BLOCK (6 BLK)73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 3:18MILMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31MIAWaiters 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)73
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 3:53MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 3:54MILMISS Parker 1' Driving Layup73
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 4:10MIAWaiters 3' Driving Layup (21 PTS)73
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 4:20MIAHEAT Rebound73
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 4:21MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Jump Shot73
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 4:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)73
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 4:24MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup73
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 4:48MILSnell 16' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)73
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 5:19MIAWhiteside Dunk (11 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)71
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 5:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)71
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 5:32MILMISS Parker 1' Driving Layup71
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 5:50MIADragic 8' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 6:00MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)71
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 6:01MILWhiteside BLOCK (5 BLK)71
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q4 - 6:13MILSnell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q4 - 6:41MILAntetokounmpo 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)71
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q4 - 7:00MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)69
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 7:01MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot69
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q4 - 7:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q4 - 7:12MILWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)69
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q4 - 7:27MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)69
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q4 - 7:35MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)69
12.5%
74
87.5%
Q4 - 7:36MILWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)69
13.6%
74
86.4%
Q4 - 7:45MILDellavedova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
16.3%
74
83.7%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot69
15.0%
74
85.0%
Q4 - 8:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)69
13.9%
74
86.1%
Q4 - 8:06MILMISS Dellavedova 12' Floating Jump Shot69
14.9%
74
85.1%
Q4 - 8:19MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)69
17.2%
74
82.8%
Q4 - 8:19MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 269
18.5%
73
81.5%
Q4 - 8:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)69
17.3%
73
82.7%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot69
19.9%
73
80.1%
Q4 - 8:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)69
17.3%
73
82.7%
Q4 - 8:35MILJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)69
18.4%
73
81.6%
Q4 - 8:51MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (9 PTS)69
21.2%
73
78.8%
Q4 - 8:58MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
25.9%
71
74.1%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup69
29.4%
71
70.6%
Q4 - 9:08MIAHEAT Rebound69
26.2%
71
73.8%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
29.9%
71
70.1%
Q4 - 9:22MILAntetokounmpo 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)69
26.2%
71
73.8%
Q4 - 9:24MILTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
22.1%
71
77.9%
Q4 - 9:25MILMISS Brogdon 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
19.1%
71
80.9%
Q4 - 9:43MILTerry Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)67
22.0%
71
78.0%
Q4 - 9:46MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
18.1%
71
81.9%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot66
17.0%
71
83.0%
Q4 - 10:02MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
15.5%
71
84.5%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 266
18.5%
71
81.5%
Q4 - 10:04MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
16.4%
71
83.6%
Q4 - 10:06MILDragic STEAL (1 STL)66
18.7%
70
81.3%
Q4 - 10:10MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)66
22.8%
70
77.2%
Q4 - 10:30MILBeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)66
18.7%
70
81.3%
Q4 - 10:30MILBeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
18.0%
70
82.0%
Q4 - 10:44MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)64
15.6%
70
84.4%
Q4 - 10:58MIAHEAT Rebound64
12.6%
70
87.4%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup64
14.7%
70
85.3%
Q4 - 11:05MILWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)64
13.5%
70
86.5%
Q4 - 11:17MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)64
16.4%
70
83.6%
Q4 - 11:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
23.1%
67
76.9%
Q4 - 11:25MILMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 164
23.7%
67
76.3%
Q4 - 11:25MILBeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)62
19.6%
67
80.4%
Q4 - 11:26MILMISS Brogdon 3' Running Layup62
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q4 - 11:30MILBrogdon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
19.6%
67
80.4%
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
18.5%
67
81.5%
Q4 - 11:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)62
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q4 - 11:49MILMISS Brogdon 8' Jump Bank Shot62
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
19.6%
67
80.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Waiters 33' 3PT Jump Shot62
18.5%
67
81.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0MILTerry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 4 AST)62
17.3%
67
82.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0MILBeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)59
12.1%
67
87.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Reed 6' Hook Shot59
11.4%
67
88.6%
Q3 - 1:00MILBeasley 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Plumlee 1 AST)59
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 1:05MILBucks Rebound57
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 1:06MILWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)57
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q3 - 1:20MILBucks Rebound57
9.1%
67
90.9%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q3 - 1:43MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 1:45MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 257
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q3 - 1:45MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)57
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 1:47MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Waiters 3' Layup56
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw Technical56
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 2:08MILPlumlee Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T12)56
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 2:25MILBrogdon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
8.2%
67
91.8%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 2:46MILPlumlee Foul Turnover (P1.T11)56
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 2:59MIAWhiteside 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)56
8.2%
67
91.8%
Q3 - 3:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)56
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
11.5%
65
88.5%
Q3 - 3:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
10.2%
65
89.8%
Q3 - 3:19MILMISS Brogdon 19' Jump Shot56
10.8%
65
89.2%
Q3 - 3:26MILBucks Rebound56
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 3:27MILMISS Snell 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
10.8%
65
89.2%
Q3 - 3:38MILBrogdon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
11.5%
65
88.5%
Q3 - 4:01MILBeasley 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)56
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 4:26MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)54
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 4:32MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)54
12.3%
62
87.7%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot54
13.9%
62
86.1%
Q3 - 4:50MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)54
12.3%
62
87.7%
Q3 - 5:12MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
15.1%
62
84.9%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Richardson 9' Jump Shot54
14.4%
62
85.6%
Q3 - 5:43MIAHEAT Rebound54
12.9%
62
87.1%
Q3 - 5:44MILMISS Beasley 3' Jump Shot54
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q3 - 5:45MILBeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
15.1%
62
84.9%
Q3 - 5:46MILWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)54
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q3 - 5:47MILBeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
15.1%
62
84.9%
Q3 - 5:48MILMISS Beasley 3' Jump Shot54
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q3 - 5:49MILBeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
15.1%
62
84.9%
Q3 - 5:50MILMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot54
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q3 - 6:01MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
15.5%
62
84.5%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Dragic 20' Step Back Jump Shot54
14.9%
62
85.1%
Q3 - 6:25MIADragic Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)54
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q3 - 6:25MILHenson 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 3 AST)54
15.3%
61
84.7%
Q3 - 6:45MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)52
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 6:51MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
15.3%
59
84.7%
Q3 - 6:52MILMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot52
16.0%
59
84.0%
Q3 - 7:15MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
18.1%
59
81.9%
Q3 - 7:16MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 152
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q3 - 7:32MILAntetokounmpo Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Dellavedova 9 AST)52
20.1%
57
79.9%
Q3 - 7:36MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)50
18.1%
57
81.9%
Q3 - 7:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
15.6%
57
84.4%
Q3 - 7:47MILMISS Antetokounmpo 8' Hook Shot50
16.3%
57
83.7%
Q3 - 8:05MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)50
18.5%
57
81.5%
Q3 - 8:05MIAHEAT Rebound50
16.0%
57
84.0%
Q3 - 8:06MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
17.7%
57
82.3%
Q3 - 8:29MIAHEAT Rebound50
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q3 - 8:31MILMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
16.7%
57
83.3%
Q3 - 8:44MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)50
18.5%
57
81.5%
Q3 - 8:59MILParker Foul Turnover (P1.T9)50
22.9%
54
77.1%
Q3 - 9:00MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
26.2%
54
73.8%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Williams 3' Driving Layup50
25.1%
54
74.9%
Q3 - 9:15MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
23.2%
54
76.8%
Q3 - 9:16MILMISS Henson 7' Hook Shot50
24.1%
54
75.9%
Q3 - 9:35MIAWhiteside 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)50
26.1%
54
73.9%
Q3 - 9:57MILParker 3' Layup (11 PTS)50
28.8%
52
71.2%
Q3 - 10:02MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
26.2%
52
73.8%
Q3 - 10:03MILMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup48
24.2%
52
75.8%
Q3 - 10:13MILDellavedova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
26.2%
52
73.8%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Richardson 22' Jump Shot48
25.3%
52
74.7%
Q3 - 10:25MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
23.3%
52
76.7%
Q3 - 10:26MILMISS Antetokounmpo 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
24.2%
52
75.8%
Q3 - 10:47MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)48
26.2%
52
73.8%
Q3 - 10:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
28.7%
50
71.3%
Q3 - 10:55MILMISS Snell 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
29.7%
50
70.3%
Q3 - 11:03MILDellavedova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
31.8%
50
68.2%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Waiters 17' Jump Shot48
30.8%
50
69.2%
Q3 - 11:23MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
28.7%
50
71.3%
Q3 - 11:24MILMISS Dellavedova 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot48
29.6%
50
70.4%
Q3 - 11:39MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)48
31.8%
50
68.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL48
34.7%
48
65.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWaiters 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)48
37.3%
48
62.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
41.5%
46
58.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0MILMISS Dellavedova 20' Jump Shot48
42.1%
46
57.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIADragic 12' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)48
43.7%
46
56.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAHEAT Rebound48
48.0%
44
52.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Waiters 2' Layup48
49.6%
44
50.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
48.0%
44
52.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 11' Jump Shot48
48.7%
44
51.3%
Q2 - 1:20MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)48
49.5%
44
50.5%
Q2 - 1:40MILAntetokounmpo 2' Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (Dellavedova 8 AST)48
47.9%
44
52.1%
Q2 - 1:50MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
43.2%
44
56.8%
Q2 - 1:51MIAMISS Johnson 20' Pullup Jump Shot46
42.7%
44
57.3%
Q2 - 2:00MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
41.6%
44
58.4%
Q2 - 2:01MILMISS Snell 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
41.5%
44
58.5%
Q2 - 2:09MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
43.5%
44
56.5%
Q2 - 2:10MIAMISS Waiters 13' Fadeaway Jumper46
42.6%
44
57.4%
Q2 - 2:21MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
40.7%
44
59.3%
Q2 - 2:22MILMISS Teletovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
41.5%
44
58.5%
Q2 - 2:28MILTeletovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
43.5%
44
56.5%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot46
42.6%
44
57.4%
Q2 - 2:51MILHenson 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Snell 1 AST)46
40.7%
44
59.3%
Q2 - 3:03MIAReed Foul Turnover (P1.T3)44
37.5%
44
62.5%
Q2 - 3:15MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
34.4%
44
65.6%
Q2 - 3:15MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)43
33.8%
44
66.2%
Q2 - 3:21MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)42
32.1%
44
67.9%
Q2 - 3:32MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
34.4%
42
65.6%
Q2 - 3:33MILMISS Parker 2' Jump Shot42
35.3%
42
64.7%
Q2 - 3:43MIAWaiters 17' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)42
37.5%
42
62.5%
Q2 - 4:01MILSnell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dellavedova 7 AST)42
39.7%
40
60.3%
Q2 - 4:07MILSnell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
34.3%
40
65.7%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot39
33.6%
40
66.4%
Q2 - 4:22MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)39
31.8%
40
68.2%
Q2 - 4:39MILSnell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
27.1%
40
72.9%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS Dragic 1' Reverse Layup36
26.4%
40
73.6%
Q2 - 4:46MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
24.9%
40
75.1%
Q2 - 4:47MILMISS Snell 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
25.5%
40
74.5%
Q2 - 5:12MIAReed 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)36
27.3%
40
72.7%
Q2 - 5:13MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
29.4%
38
70.6%
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS Waiters 18' Jump Shot36
31.1%
38
68.9%
Q2 - 5:31MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)36
29.4%
38
70.6%
Q2 - 5:31MILBucks Rebound36
31.9%
38
68.1%
Q2 - 5:32MILMISS Henson 20' Jump Shot36
30.1%
38
69.9%
Q2 - 5:57MIAWaiters 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)36
31.9%
38
68.1%
Q2 - 6:08MIAWaiters Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
34.0%
36
66.0%
Q2 - 6:08MIAWaiters Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (6 PTS)36
34.8%
35
65.2%
Q2 - 6:17MILSnell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)36
39.1%
34
60.9%
Q2 - 6:33MIAJohnson 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (7 PTS)33
34.6%
34
65.4%
Q2 - 6:54MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)33
36.5%
32
63.5%
Q2 - 6:54MILSnell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
32.2%
32
67.8%
Q2 - 6:54MILMISS Antetokounmpo 12' Fadeaway Jumper30
30.2%
32
69.8%
Q2 - 7:14MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)30
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 7:30MILParker 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dellavedova 6 AST)30
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 7:38MILBucks Rebound27
29.9%
30
70.1%
Q2 - 7:40MILMISS Dellavedova 9' Hook Shot27
28.3%
30
71.7%
Q2 - 7:51MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
29.9%
30
70.1%
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q2 - 8:10MIAHEAT Rebound27
27.5%
30
72.5%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 2 of 227
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 1 of 227
28.3%
30
71.7%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
27.5%
30
72.5%
Q2 - 8:23MILMISS Antetokounmpo 21' Jump Shot27
28.2%
30
71.8%
Q2 - 8:32MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
29.8%
30
70.2%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q2 - 8:48MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
27.5%
30
72.5%
Q2 - 8:49MILMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot27
28.2%
30
71.8%
Q2 - 9:13MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)27
29.8%
30
70.2%
Q2 - 9:20MILJohnson STEAL (1 STL)27
33.9%
27
66.1%
Q2 - 9:29MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q2 - 9:30MILMISS Dellavedova 11' Pullup Jump Shot27
34.7%
27
65.3%
Q2 - 9:47MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
35.7%
27
64.3%
Q2 - 10:02MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
34.0%
27
66.0%
Q2 - 10:03MILMISS Dellavedova 22' Jump Shot27
34.7%
27
65.3%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMcGruder 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)27
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q2 - 10:20MILMcGruder STEAL (1 STL)27
38.5%
25
61.5%
Q2 - 10:34MIARichardson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)27
41.2%
25
58.8%
Q2 - 10:41MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
43.3%
23
56.7%
Q2 - 10:42MILMISS Parker 1' Layup27
44.1%
23
55.9%
Q2 - 11:01MIAJohnson 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)27
45.3%
23
54.7%
Q2 - 11:15MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
49.4%
21
50.6%
Q2 - 11:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
47.7%
21
52.3%
Q2 - 11:24MILMISS Parker 8' Turnaround Jump Shot27
48.4%
21
51.6%
Q2 - 11:42MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)27
50.2%
21
49.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
47.7%
21
52.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound27
47.7%
21
52.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot27
48.7%
21
51.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0MILPlumlee 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Dellavedova 5 AST)27
47.5%
21
52.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)25
44.5%
21
55.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0MILBrogdon Foul Turnover (P1.T5)25
49.9%
18
50.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAReed 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)25
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 1:05MILTeletovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)25
54.4%
16
45.6%
Q1 - 1:24MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
49.1%
16
50.9%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 222
49.6%
15
50.4%
Q1 - 1:32MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
49.7%
15
50.3%
Q1 - 1:33MILMISS Teletovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
50.3%
15
49.7%
Q1 - 1:48MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
51.5%
15
48.5%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
51.0%
15
49.0%
Q1 - 1:59MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
49.7%
15
50.3%
Q1 - 2:00MILMISS Beasley 5' Jump Shot22
50.3%
15
49.7%
Q1 - 2:15MIAJohnson 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)22
51.6%
15
48.4%
Q1 - 2:24MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
54.2%
13
45.8%
Q1 - 2:25MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot22
55.6%
13
44.4%
Q1 - 2:41MILBeasley 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)22
54.2%
13
45.8%
Q1 - 2:54MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
51.6%
13
48.4%
Q1 - 3:05MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
53.0%
11
47.0%
Q1 - 3:06MILMISS Beasley 17' Pullup Jump Shot20
53.8%
11
46.2%
Q1 - 3:23MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)20
55.6%
11
44.4%
Q1 - 3:30MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
59.7%
8
40.3%
Q1 - 3:31MILMISS Snell 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
60.5%
8
39.5%
Q1 - 3:45MILBeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
62.1%
8
37.9%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
61.4%
8
38.6%
Q1 - 3:54MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
59.8%
8
40.2%
Q1 - 3:55MILMISS Brogdon 1' Driving Layup20
60.5%
8
39.5%
Q1 - 4:07MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)20
61.5%
8
38.5%
Q1 - 4:20MILBeasley Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)20
63.2%
6
36.8%
Q1 - 4:29MILBeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
65.6%
6
34.4%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 220
65.3%
6
34.7%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 220
64.1%
6
35.9%
Q1 - 4:30MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
63.2%
6
36.8%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup20
64.9%
6
35.1%
Q1 - 4:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
63.2%
6
36.8%
Q1 - 4:38MILMISS Brogdon 1' Tip Layup Shot20
64.0%
6
36.0%
Q1 - 4:39MILBrogdon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
65.6%
6
34.4%
Q1 - 4:40MILMISS Brogdon 2' Jump Shot20
64.0%
6
36.0%
Q1 - 4:49MILSnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
65.6%
6
34.4%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Dragic 15' Fadeaway Jumper20
64.9%
6
35.1%
Q1 - 5:07MILParker Dunk (6 PTS) (Brogdon 1 AST)20
61.4%
6
38.6%
Q1 - 5:22MILBeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
59.7%
6
40.3%
Q1 - 5:23MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup18
59.1%
6
40.9%
Q1 - 5:43MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)18
57.6%
6
42.4%
Q1 - 5:46MILBeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
53.6%
6
46.4%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
53.0%
6
47.0%
Q1 - 5:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)15
51.4%
6
48.6%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMISS Williams 1' Cutting Layup Shot15
53.0%
6
47.0%
Q1 - 6:00MILBeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
51.4%
6
48.6%
Q1 - 6:12MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
52.4%
6
47.6%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Richardson Driving Dunk15
51.7%
6
48.3%
Q1 - 6:25MILBeasley 3' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dellavedova 3 AST)15
50.2%
6
49.8%
Q1 - 6:45MIARichardson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
48.4%
6
51.6%
Q1 - 7:11MILParker Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Dellavedova 2 AST)13
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 7:13MILDellavedova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
47.6%
4
52.4%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
46.9%
4
53.1%
Q1 - 7:25MILWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)11
45.3%
4
54.7%
Q1 - 7:35MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
47.6%
4
52.4%
Q1 - 7:36MILMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 211
45.7%
4
54.3%
Q1 - 7:36MILBeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
46.9%
4
53.1%
Q1 - 7:51MILBucks Rebound10
45.7%
4
54.3%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Reverse Layup10
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 8:19MILParker Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Dellavedova 1 AST)10
43.5%
4
56.5%
Q1 - 8:27MILBeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 8:52MILSnell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)8
39.8%
4
60.2%
Q1 - 8:58MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
36.4%
4
63.6%
Q1 - 9:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)5
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 9:11MILMISS Dellavedova 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
34.8%
4
65.2%
Q1 - 9:20MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
36.3%
4
63.7%
Q1 - 9:21MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 9:40MILSnell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)5
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 10:04MIAWilliams 3' Putback Layup (2 PTS)2
31.1%
4
68.9%
Q1 - 10:05MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 10:06MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot2
33.8%
2
66.2%
Q1 - 10:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot2
33.8%
2
66.2%
Q1 - 10:27MILAntetokounmpo Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)2
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 10:49MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 10:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Williams 2' Driving Layup2
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:03MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:04MILMISS Parker 12' Pullup Jump Shot2
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 11:12MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Hook Shot2
37.0%
0
63.0%
Q1 - 11:23MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
37.0%
0
63.0%
Q1 - 11:44MILHenson Dunk (2 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)2
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Henson: Tip to Antetokounmpo0
34.2%
0
65.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.79 39.7%
MIA
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
15
34
44%
MIA
23
40
57%
Midrange
MIL
6
28
21%
MIA
9
27
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
MIA
7
10.5
30
23%
35%
Free Throws
MIL
10
13
77%
MIA
11
21
52%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo1441%7.0 / 17
T. Snell1470%7.0 / 10
M. Beasley1350%6.5 / 13
J. Henson1275%6.0 / 8
J. Parker1128%5.5 / 20
J. Terry4200%2.0 / 1
M. Teletovic350%1.5 / 3
M. Plumlee250%1.0 / 2
M. Dellavedova0-0.0 / 7
M. Brogdon0-0.0 / 7
T. Maker0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters2352%11.5 / 22
J. Richardson1847%9.0 / 19
G. Dragic1650%8.0 / 16
H. Whiteside1243%6.0 / 14
J. Johnson945%4.5 / 10
T. Johnson844%4.0 / 9
W. Reed660%3.0 / 5
D. Williams220%1.0 / 5
R. McGruder225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
76
+16
-13
92
MIA
83
+25
-7
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.79 39.7%
MIA
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.5
108.1
MIL 82.0 +24.6
MIA 106.7
Pace
94.2
95.0
MIL 92.9 +6.3
MIA 86.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.7
MIL 15.5 +1.1
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.2%
MIL 37.1%
MIA 43.8% +6.7%
TO %
14.1%
13.2%
MIL 14.2%
MIA 7.0% +7.2%
ORB %
21.6%
24.2%
MIL 22.2%
MIA 32.1% +9.9%
FTrt
27.4
25.1
MIL 15.3
MIA 21.6 +6.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
54.4%
MIL 71.4% +22.7%
MIA 48.7%
STL %
8.6%
7.5%
MIL 4.5%
MIA 5.6% +1.1%
BLK %
9.7%
9.3%
MIL 11.9%
MIA 12.9% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.0%
52.8%
MIL 39.7%
MIA 44.4% +4.7%
Rim FG%
60.2%
59.2%
MIL 44.1%
MIA 57.5% +13.4%
Mid FG%
38.5%
39.4%
MIL 21.4%
MIA 33.3% +11.9%
3P %
37.0%
36.5%
MIL 30.4% +7.1%
MIA 23.3%
FT %
76.8%
70.6%
MIL 76.9% +24.5%
MIA 52.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.8%
35.4%
MIL 40.0%
MIA 41.2% +1.2%
Mid Att. %
28.2%
33.1%
MIL 32.9%
MIA 27.8% +5.1%
3P Att. %
29.0%
31.4%
MIL 27.1%
MIA 30.9% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes23.024.9
Points7396
Rebounds4859
Assists2019
Steals45
Blocks88
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)17 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)42 (2)
Field Goals28-8539-97
At-the-Rim FG15-3423-40
Midrange FG6-289-27
2-Point FG21-6232-67
3-Point FG7-237-30
Free Throws10-1311-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 243 · 22
35.3
14
41%
7
4
0
4
1
4
1
6
4-5
80%
5-13
38%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 250 · 22
32.7
11
28%
8
2
1
1
2
2
2
6
0-0
-
4-14
29%
1-6
17%
G · 6'7" 221 · 25
32.3
14
70%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
G · 6'4" 198 · 26
31.5
0
0%
4
9
1
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-6
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 229 · 26
28.0
12
75%
5
0
1
2
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 249 · 28
17.3
2
50%
2
1
0
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 24
16.5
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-6
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
15.9
13
50%
10
0
0
0
2
2
4
6
3-5
60%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 39
15.7
4
200%
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
1-1
100%
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 242 · 31
12.1
3
50%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 202 · 20
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 20
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 26
#22 · F · 6'7" 222 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F · 6'10" 225 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
73
40%
48
20
4
8
13
0
12
36
10-13
77%
21-62
34%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.