FinalWin Prob.pScore
652%97
102
1748%96
91
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
110.99286.9
MIA logo MIA
97.89398.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA102
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)102
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0UTAMISS Exum 16' Pullup Jump Shot102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMcGruder 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00UTAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 1 of 2102
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12UTAMack 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)102
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35MIAJohnson 3' Jump Shot (15 PTS)100
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55UTAMISS Hood 17' Jump Shot100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15MIAMcGruder 9' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (10 PTS)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33UTAMack 6' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hayward 4 AST)100
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03UTAHood Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)98
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03UTAHood Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)97
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:16MIARichardson 2' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)96
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30UTAMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:46UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Winslow 16' Pullup Jump Shot96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55UTAMISS Hayward 22' Jump Shot96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:12MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:27UTAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hayward 3 AST)96
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:43MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:55UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:04UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)90
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 5:22UTAExum Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)90
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 5:22UTAExum Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)89
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 5:26UTAMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Winslow 2' Driving Layup88
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 5:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)88
98.7%
75
1.3%
Q4 - 5:35UTAWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)88
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 5:57UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)88
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 6:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)88
98.0%
75
2.0%
Q4 - 6:20UTAMISS Hayward Free Throw 1 of 188
98.1%
75
1.9%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMcGruder 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)86
97.5%
75
2.5%
Q4 - 6:37MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
98.5%
72
1.5%
Q4 - 6:38UTAMISS Hayward 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot86
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q4 - 6:54UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Winslow 2' Layup86
98.9%
72
1.1%
Q4 - 7:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
97.9%
72
2.1%
Q4 - 7:02UTAMISS Hood 3' Driving Layup86
98.1%
72
1.9%
Q4 - 7:15MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)86
98.5%
72
1.5%
Q4 - 7:28MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q4 - 7:29UTAMISS Gobert 1' Layup86
98.9%
70
1.1%
Q4 - 7:47MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)86
99.1%
70
0.9%
Q4 - 7:47MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)86
99.2%
69
0.8%
Q4 - 8:02MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
99.0%
68
1.0%
Q4 - 8:03UTAMISS Hood 12' Turnaround Jump Shot86
99.1%
68
0.9%
Q4 - 8:28MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)86
99.3%
68
0.7%
Q4 - 8:42UTAMack 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)86
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 8:58MIAWinslow 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)84
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q4 - 9:15UTAGobert Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)84
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q4 - 9:15UTAGobert Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q4 - 9:16UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)82
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q4 - 9:17UTAMISS Lyles 9' Jump Bank Shot82
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q4 - 9:38MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)82
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q4 - 10:03UTAMack 6' Driving Bank Hook Shot (6 PTS)82
98.7%
63
1.3%
Q4 - 10:27MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
98.5%
63
1.5%
Q4 - 10:27MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
98.6%
62
1.4%
Q4 - 10:45UTAMack 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
98.8%
61
1.2%
Q4 - 11:05UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 178
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 11:20UTAGobert 2' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)78
98.5%
59
1.5%
Q4 - 11:38UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
98.1%
59
1.9%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Winslow 5' Driving Hook Shot76
98.0%
59
2.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA76
97.7%
59
2.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
97.1%
59
2.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0UTAMISS Hayward 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot76
97.3%
59
2.7%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIARichardson 2' Running Layup (10 PTS)76
97.7%
59
2.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0UTARichardson STEAL (2 STL)76
98.1%
57
1.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0UTAIngles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
98.5%
57
1.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS McRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
98.4%
57
1.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0UTAHayward 7' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)76
98.1%
57
1.9%
Q3 - 1:09MIAWilliams 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)74
97.2%
57
2.8%
Q3 - 1:26UTAExum 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)74
97.7%
55
2.3%
Q3 - 1:29UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
96.6%
55
3.4%
Q3 - 1:30UTAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
96.2%
55
3.8%
Q3 - 1:48MIAWilliams 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)71
96.7%
55
3.3%
Q3 - 1:59MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
97.2%
53
2.8%
Q3 - 2:00UTAMISS Ingles 19' Jump Shot71
97.4%
53
2.6%
Q3 - 2:16UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
97.2%
53
2.8%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot71
97.1%
53
2.9%
Q3 - 2:29UTAWithey Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)71
96.6%
53
3.4%
Q3 - 2:31UTAWithey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)69
96.0%
53
4.0%
Q3 - 2:32UTAMISS Hayward 9' Jump Shot69
95.5%
53
4.5%
Q3 - 2:51MIAJohnson 2' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)69
96.1%
53
3.9%
Q3 - 2:59MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
96.7%
51
3.3%
Q3 - 3:00UTAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot69
96.9%
51
3.1%
Q3 - 3:22UTAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
96.9%
51
3.1%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot69
96.7%
51
3.3%
Q3 - 3:38UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)69
96.3%
51
3.7%
Q3 - 3:50UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
94.8%
51
5.2%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
94.5%
51
5.5%
Q3 - 3:59MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
93.8%
51
6.2%
Q3 - 4:00UTAMISS Exum 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
94.1%
51
5.9%
Q3 - 4:15UTAExum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
94.3%
51
5.7%
Q3 - 4:16MIAMISS Richardson 1' Layup66
94.0%
51
6.0%
Q3 - 4:31UTAGobert 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Exum 2 AST)66
93.1%
51
6.9%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMcRoberts 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)64
92.2%
51
7.8%
Q3 - 4:59MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
93.2%
49
6.8%
Q3 - 5:00UTAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)64
93.5%
49
6.5%
Q3 - 5:20UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
93.7%
49
6.3%
Q3 - 5:21MIAMISS Winslow 20' Jump Shot64
93.4%
49
6.6%
Q3 - 5:30MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
92.6%
49
7.4%
Q3 - 5:31UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
92.9%
49
7.1%
Q3 - 5:46UTALyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
93.7%
49
6.3%
Q3 - 5:47MIAMISS Williams 2' Layup64
93.4%
49
6.6%
Q3 - 6:01UTALyles 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)64
91.9%
49
8.1%
Q3 - 6:19MIAMcRoberts 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)62
90.7%
49
9.3%
Q3 - 6:28MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
91.9%
47
8.1%
Q3 - 6:29UTAMISS Hood 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
92.3%
47
7.7%
Q3 - 6:46UTALyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
93.1%
47
6.9%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot62
92.8%
47
7.2%
Q3 - 7:00MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
92.0%
47
8.0%
Q3 - 7:01UTAMISS Lyles 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
91.6%
47
8.4%
Q3 - 7:13UTALyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
92.5%
47
7.5%
Q3 - 7:14MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 262
92.4%
47
7.6%
Q3 - 7:14MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 262
91.7%
47
8.3%
Q3 - 7:14MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
91.2%
47
8.8%
Q3 - 7:15MIAMISS Waiters 6' Hook Shot62
92.2%
47
7.8%
Q3 - 7:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)62
91.2%
47
8.8%
Q3 - 7:30UTAMISS Hood 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
91.7%
47
8.3%
Q3 - 7:50UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
92.6%
47
7.4%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Jump Shot62
92.2%
47
7.8%
Q3 - 8:05UTAWinslow STEAL (1 STL)62
90.8%
47
9.2%
Q3 - 8:10UTALyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
92.2%
47
7.8%
Q3 - 8:11MIAMISS Waiters 19' Jump Shot62
91.8%
47
8.2%
Q3 - 8:28UTAHood 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)62
90.8%
47
9.2%
Q3 - 8:53UTAJazz Rebound59
88.3%
47
11.7%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMISS Williams 2' Layup59
87.7%
47
12.3%
Q3 - 8:55MIAHEAT Rebound59
86.3%
47
13.7%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup59
87.7%
47
12.3%
Q3 - 9:17UTAGobert Tip Dunk Shot (6 PTS)59
85.6%
47
14.4%
Q3 - 9:18UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
83.8%
47
16.2%
Q3 - 9:19UTAMISS Hayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
82.3%
47
17.7%
Q3 - 9:26UTAHood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
83.8%
47
16.2%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Richardson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot57
83.2%
47
16.8%
Q3 - 9:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
81.7%
47
18.3%
Q3 - 9:36UTAMISS Exum 2' Reverse Layup57
82.3%
47
17.7%
Q3 - 9:58UTALyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
83.9%
47
16.1%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot57
83.2%
47
16.8%
Q3 - 10:14UTAHayward 10' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
81.0%
47
19.0%
Q3 - 10:28UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
79.0%
47
21.0%
Q3 - 10:29MIAMISS Richardson 11' Pullup Jump Shot55
78.2%
47
21.8%
Q3 - 10:49UTAExum 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hood 1 AST)55
76.4%
47
23.6%
Q3 - 11:03UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
70.9%
47
29.1%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup52
70.0%
47
30.0%
Q3 - 11:19MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
67.8%
47
32.2%
Q3 - 11:20UTAMISS Gobert 6' Floating Jump Shot52
68.8%
47
31.2%
Q3 - 11:29MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)52
70.9%
47
29.1%
Q3 - 11:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
67.8%
47
32.2%
Q3 - 11:43UTAMISS Lyles 11' Running Jump Shot52
68.8%
47
31.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
70.9%
47
29.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound52
67.8%
47
32.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
70.0%
47
30.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
67.9%
47
32.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0UTAMISS Mack 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
68.5%
47
31.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0UTAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
69.9%
47
30.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot52
69.3%
47
30.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0UTAHayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)52
67.9%
47
32.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0UTAHood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
61.0%
47
39.0%
Q2 - 1:01MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Turnaround Hook Shot49
60.0%
47
40.0%
Q2 - 1:22UTAHayward Driving Dunk (10 PTS)49
58.9%
47
41.1%
Q2 - 1:34MIAWilliams 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)47
54.2%
47
45.8%
Q2 - 1:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
58.9%
45
41.1%
Q2 - 1:43UTAMISS Hayward 2' Driving Layup47
59.4%
45
40.6%
Q2 - 1:56MIAWilliams Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)47
60.5%
45
39.5%
Q2 - 1:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
65.0%
43
35.0%
Q2 - 2:01UTAWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)47
64.7%
43
35.3%
Q2 - 2:06UTAExum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
66.6%
43
33.4%
Q2 - 2:07UTAMISS Exum 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
64.7%
43
35.3%
Q2 - 2:24MIARichardson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
66.6%
43
33.4%
Q2 - 2:39UTAWithey 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)47
69.5%
41
30.5%
Q2 - 2:40UTAWithey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
66.6%
41
33.4%
Q2 - 2:41UTAMISS Johnson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot45
64.8%
41
35.2%
Q2 - 2:56UTAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
66.6%
41
33.4%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Richardson 3' Driving Layup45
65.8%
41
34.2%
Q2 - 3:09UTAGobert Foul Turnover (P1.T6)45
63.3%
41
36.7%
Q2 - 3:15UTAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
66.5%
41
33.5%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot45
65.5%
41
34.5%
Q2 - 3:31UTAHood 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)45
63.4%
41
36.6%
Q2 - 3:53MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)43
61.0%
41
39.0%
Q2 - 4:08UTAHayward 6' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
63.2%
39
36.8%
Q2 - 4:17UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
60.5%
39
39.5%
Q2 - 4:18MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup41
59.7%
39
40.3%
Q2 - 4:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
57.8%
39
42.2%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
59.7%
39
40.3%
Q2 - 5:02MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
57.7%
39
42.3%
Q2 - 5:03UTAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
58.6%
39
41.4%
Q2 - 5:27MIAJohnson 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)41
60.6%
39
39.4%
Q2 - 5:51UTAGobert Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
63.1%
37
36.9%
Q2 - 5:51UTAGobert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
62.2%
37
37.8%
Q2 - 6:14MIAJohnson 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)39
60.8%
37
39.2%
Q2 - 6:25MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
62.8%
35
37.2%
Q2 - 6:26UTAMISS Hood 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
63.7%
35
36.3%
Q2 - 6:45UTAHood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
65.9%
35
34.1%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
64.9%
35
35.1%
Q2 - 7:02UTAJohnson 12' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
62.7%
35
37.3%
Q2 - 7:15MIARichardson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)37
60.4%
35
39.6%
Q2 - 7:34UTAHood Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)37
57.7%
35
42.3%
Q2 - 7:43MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)37
60.5%
35
39.5%
Q2 - 8:00UTAHood 13' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
65.1%
32
34.9%
Q2 - 8:19MIAWinslow 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)35
62.6%
32
37.4%
Q2 - 8:44UTAIngles 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)35
64.8%
30
35.2%
Q2 - 9:03MIARichardson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)33
62.4%
30
37.6%
Q2 - 9:17UTAHood Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
64.5%
28
35.5%
Q2 - 9:17UTAHood Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
64.1%
28
35.9%
Q2 - 9:37MIAMcRoberts Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)31
62.4%
28
37.6%
Q2 - 9:48UTALyles 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
59.7%
28
40.3%
Q2 - 9:54MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)29
57.5%
28
42.5%
Q2 - 10:08UTAHood 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
54.6%
28
45.4%
Q2 - 10:26MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)27
52.6%
28
47.4%
Q2 - 10:49UTAMack 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
57.1%
25
42.9%
Q2 - 11:08MIAWinslow Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)25
54.7%
25
45.3%
Q2 - 11:13UTAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)25
57.0%
23
43.0%
Q2 - 11:26MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
59.4%
23
40.6%
Q2 - 11:47UTAHood 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Withey 1 AST)25
61.7%
21
38.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
59.5%
21
40.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound23
57.0%
21
43.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Winslow 19' Running Jump Shot23
58.7%
21
41.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
57.2%
21
42.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Hayward 18' Jump Shot23
57.6%
21
42.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
58.8%
21
41.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 123
58.6%
21
41.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
61.7%
19
38.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0UTAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot23
62.2%
19
37.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0UTAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
63.3%
19
36.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS McRoberts 12' Pullup Jump Shot23
62.8%
19
37.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0UTAMack Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)23
61.7%
19
38.3%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
63.3%
19
36.7%
Q1 - 1:19UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)23
68.1%
16
31.9%
Q1 - 1:35MIAWinslow 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
63.3%
16
36.7%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
66.0%
14
34.0%
Q1 - 1:50UTAMISS Lyles 16' Jump Shot20
66.5%
14
33.5%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMcGruder 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
67.8%
14
32.2%
Q1 - 2:26UTAJohnson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
70.0%
12
30.0%
Q1 - 2:48UTAMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
67.8%
12
32.2%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot18
67.2%
12
32.8%
Q1 - 3:08UTAGobert Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
65.3%
12
34.7%
Q1 - 3:08UTAMISS Gobert Free Throw 1 of 217
64.6%
12
35.4%
Q1 - 3:15UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
65.6%
12
34.4%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup17
64.9%
12
35.1%
Q1 - 3:40MIAHEAT Rebound17
63.3%
12
36.7%
Q1 - 3:41UTAMISS Lyles 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
64.0%
12
36.0%
Q1 - 4:05MIAWaiters Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)17
65.4%
12
34.6%
Q1 - 4:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
63.0%
12
37.0%
Q1 - 4:15UTAMISS Johnson 20' Fadeaway Jumper17
63.8%
12
36.2%
Q1 - 4:32MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
65.4%
12
34.6%
Q1 - 4:49UTAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)17
63.0%
12
37.0%
Q1 - 4:58UTAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
59.2%
12
40.8%
Q1 - 4:59MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 214
58.9%
12
41.1%
Q1 - 4:59MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
57.6%
12
42.4%
Q1 - 5:07UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)14
58.6%
11
41.4%
Q1 - 5:33MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)11
54.7%
11
45.3%
Q1 - 5:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
52.4%
11
47.6%
Q1 - 5:57UTARichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)11
53.1%
11
46.9%
Q1 - 6:10MIARichardson 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
54.5%
11
45.5%
Q1 - 6:26UTAExum Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
56.4%
9
43.6%
Q1 - 6:45MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
58.5%
9
41.5%
Q1 - 6:45MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 211
59.0%
8
41.0%
Q1 - 6:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
58.3%
8
41.7%
Q1 - 6:49UTAMISS Exum 2' Driving Layup11
59.0%
8
41.0%
Q1 - 7:15MIAWhiteside Dunk (6 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)11
60.2%
8
39.8%
Q1 - 7:28UTAExum 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
61.7%
6
38.3%
Q1 - 7:33UTAExum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
60.2%
6
39.8%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
59.5%
6
40.5%
Q1 - 7:51UTAFavors 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Hayward 2 AST)9
58.0%
6
42.0%
Q1 - 8:10MIAWaiters 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
56.7%
6
43.3%
Q1 - 8:20MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 8:21UTAMISS Hayward 18' Pullup Jump Shot7
59.0%
4
41.0%
Q1 - 8:36UTAJazz Rebound7
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
59.8%
4
40.2%
Q1 - 8:41UTARichardson STEAL (1 STL)7
58.3%
4
41.7%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)7
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 9:07UTAHood 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
61.7%
2
38.3%
Q1 - 9:22UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
60.4%
2
39.6%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
59.7%
2
40.3%
Q1 - 9:35UTAFavors 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hayward 1 AST)5
58.2%
2
41.8%
Q1 - 9:53UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 23
56.4%
2
43.6%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 23
55.5%
2
44.5%
Q1 - 9:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)3
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 9:56MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot3
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 10:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 10:03UTAMISS Hood 18' Pullup Jump Shot3
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 10:13UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
56.5%
2
43.5%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
55.9%
2
44.1%
Q1 - 10:39UTAGobert Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
54.4%
2
45.6%
Q1 - 10:39UTAMISS Gobert Free Throw 1 of 22
53.8%
2
46.2%
Q1 - 10:51UTAHood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 10:52MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
54.0%
2
46.0%
Q1 - 11:12UTAFavors 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Exum 1 AST)2
52.8%
2
47.2%
Q1 - 11:36MIAWhiteside 2' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
50.8%
2
49.2%
Q1 - 11:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
52.8%
0
47.2%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Driving Layup0
53.9%
0
46.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Gobert: Tip to Babbitt0
52.8%
0
47.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.15 57.3%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
13
21
62%
MIA
23
36
64%
Midrange
UTA
21
40
53%
MIA
10
28
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
MIA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
UTA
16
19
84%
MIA
10
19
53%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hayward2563%12.5 / 20
R. Hood1757%8.5 / 15
R. Gobert1260%6.0 / 10
S. Mack1275%6.0 / 8
D. Exum1045%5.0 / 11
J. Johnson1050%5.0 / 10
D. Favors6100%3.0 / 3
T. Lyles429%2.0 / 7
J. Withey4100%2.0 / 2
J. Ingles250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside1550%7.5 / 15
J. Johnson1594%7.5 / 8
R. McGruder14100%7.0 / 7
J. Richardson1238%6.0 / 16
J. Winslow1142%5.5 / 13
D. Williams1161%5.5 / 9
T. Johnson536%2.5 / 7
D. Waiters433%2.0 / 6
J. McRoberts450%2.0 / 4
L. Babbitt0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
83
+6
-9
89
MIA
85
+7
-8
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.15 57.3%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.0
108.1
UTA 110.9
MIA 97.8 +13.0
Pace
91.2
95.0
UTA 86.9
MIA 98.8 +11.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.7
UTA 16.6
MIA 14.6 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
51.2%
UTA 53.1% +3.1%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
14.1%
13.2%
UTA 9.2%
MIA 9.2%
ORB %
23.2%
24.2%
UTA 14.6% +5.3%
MIA 9.3%
FTrt
28.8
25.1
UTA 23.5
MIA 23.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
54.4%
UTA 30.0%
MIA 55.3% +25.3%
STL %
7.3%
7.5%
UTA 5.4%
MIA 5.4%
BLK %
8.5%
9.3%
UTA 6.3%
MIA 6.6% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
52.8%
UTA 57.3% +7.8%
MIA 49.5%
Rim FG%
60.4%
59.2%
UTA 61.9%
MIA 63.9% +2.0%
Mid FG%
40.3%
39.4%
UTA 52.5% +16.8%
MIA 35.7%
3P %
37.2%
36.5%
UTA 30.0% +0.6%
MIA 29.4%
FT %
74.7%
70.6%
UTA 84.2% +31.6%
MIA 52.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
35.4%
UTA 25.9%
MIA 44.4% +18.5%
Mid Att. %
31.1%
33.1%
UTA 49.4%
MIA 34.6% +14.8%
3P Att. %
32.7%
31.4%
UTA 24.7% +3.7%
MIA 21.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsUTAMIA
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points10291
Rebounds4539
Assists1221
Steals55
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (0)4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)35 (1)
Field Goals40-8138-81
At-the-Rim FG13-2123-36
Midrange FG21-4010-28
2-Point FG34-6133-64
3-Point FG6-205-17
Free Throws16-1910-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 226 · 27
34.6
25
63%
9
4
0
0
1
1
1
8
4-5
80%
9-16
56%
1-4
25%
G · 6'8" 206 · 24
34.3
17
57%
4
1
0
1
1
4
0
4
4-4
100%
5-9
56%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 258 · 24
33.1
12
60%
12
0
2
2
1
5
2
10
6-8
75%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 214 · 21
28.9
10
45%
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 265 · 25
5.9
6
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 35
28.5
10
50%
6
2
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 203 · 27
22.8
12
75%
2
2
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
6-6
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 234 · 21
20.2
4
29%
5
0
1
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'8" 220 · 29
16.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
· 7'0" 231 · 27
14.5
4
100%
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 235 · 23
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 31
G · 6'1" 179 · 24
#10 · G · 6'5" 214 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C-F · 6'8" 250 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
57%
45
12
5
4
9
0
6
39
16-19
84%
34-61
56%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.