Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, December 3, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Bobcats | 29% | 92 | 79 |
 | 14 | Raptors | 71% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Mavericks | 55% | 96 | 103 |
 | 13 | Bulls | 45% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Heat | 21% | 93 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Magic | 44% | 106 | 123 |
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Sunday, December 2, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Celtics | 82% | 102 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 13% | 87 | 79 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Knicks | 26% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 28% | 88 | 95 | |
 | 8 | Pistons | 72% | 96 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 37% | 97 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 65% | 110 | 109 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 35% | 106 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 48% | 105 | 104 |
 | 11 | Lakers | 52% | 106 | 97 |
Saturday, December 1, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 45% | 99 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 33% | 89 | 92 |
| 16 | Nets | 67% | 95 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Timberwolves | 26% | 98 | 80 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 74% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 49% | 99 | 108 |
| 11 | Hornets | 51% | 100 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 31% | 90 | 95 |
| 13 | Bulls | 69% | 96 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 63% | 99 | 117 |
 | 20 | Bucks | 37% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, November 30, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 42% | 95 | 82 |
| 16 | Raptors | 58% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 47% | 99 | 84 |
| 23 | 76ers | 53% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 55% | 101 | 88 |
| 28 | Knicks | 45% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 57% | 98 | 92 | |
| 25 | Hawks | 43% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 56% | 94 | 95 |
| 14 | Heat | 44% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 80% | 99 | 106 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 20% | 88 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 17% | 92 | 80 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 83% | 105 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 35% | 100 | 96 |
| 9 | Jazz | 65% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 35% | 106 | 106 |
| 3 | Suns | 65% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 34% | 99 | 107 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 66% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 54% | 106 | 93 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 46% | 105 | 95 | |
Thursday, November 29, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 12% | 92 | 59 |
| 1 | Celtics | 88% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 41% | 104 | 99 |
| 10 | Lakers | 59% | 107 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 49% | 101 | 94 |
| 8 | Warriors | 51% | 102 | 113 |
Wednesday, November 28, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 25% | 98 | 91 |
| 14 | Raptors | 75% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 66% | 101 | 106 |
| 24 | 76ers | 34% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 43% | 97 | 80 |
| 25 | Hawks | 57% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 33% | 94 | 74 |
| 8 | Pistons | 67% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 13% | 90 | 103 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 87% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 19% | 95 | 94 |
| 2 | Spurs | 81% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 40% | 101 | 100 |
| 3 | Suns | 60% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 52% | 106 | 103 |
| 19 | Kings | 48% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 41% | 99 | 95 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 75% | 109 | 110 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 25% | 101 | 94 | |
Tuesday, November 27, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 61% | 100 | 104 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 39% | 97 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 36% | 97 | 110 |
| 17 | Nets | 64% | 102 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bobcats | 32% | 92 | 90 |
| 15 | Heat | 68% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 35% | 94 | 114 |
| 18 | Bucks | 65% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 34% | 91 | 78 |
| 16 | Bulls | 66% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 30% | 102 | 112 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 70% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 20% | 101 | 99 | |
| 9 | Lakers | 80% | 112 | 106 |
Monday, November 26, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 63% | 105 | 109 |
| 28 | Knicks | 37% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 17% | 90 | 103 |
| 10 | Hornets | 83% | 102 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 20% | 98 | 110 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 80% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 67% | 100 | 99 |
| 21 | Kings | 33% | 94 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 66% | 104 | 85 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 98 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 64% | 99 | 88 |
| 19 | Clippers | 36% | 95 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 56% | 111 | 114 |
| 12 | Warriors | 44% | 109 | 129 |
Sunday, November 25, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 38% | 92 | 78 |
| 15 | Raptors | 62% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 49% | 103 | 111 |
| 22 | Pacers | 51% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 46% | 99 | 103 |
| 10 | Pistons | 54% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 80% | 106 | 116 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 20% | 95 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 30% | 94 | 102 | |
| 8 | Lakers | 70% | 101 | 100 |
Saturday, November 24, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 54% | 97 | 78 |
| 28 | Knicks | 46% | 96 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 37% | 95 | 108 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 63% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 53% | 100 | 100 |
| 27 | 76ers | 47% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 72% | 100 | 96 |
| 24 | Bobcats | 28% | 92 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 29% | 94 | 99 |
| 6 | Magic | 71% | 101 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 46% | 105 | 118 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 54% | 107 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 61% | 98 | 94 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 39% | 95 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 32% | 97 | 81 |
| 5 | Rockets | 68% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 59% | 103 | 95 |
| 16 | Bucks | 41% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 56% | 100 | 98 | |
| 22 | Clippers | 44% | 98 | 89 |
Friday, November 23, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 46% | 105 | 123 |
| 19 | Wizards | 54% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bobcats | 25% | 96 | 92 |
| 6 | Magic | 75% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 26% | 96 | 94 |
| 2 | Celtics | 74% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 59% | 93 | 91 |
| 15 | Heat | 41% | 90 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 23% | 88 | 78 |
| 10 | Pistons | 77% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 69% | 106 | 107 |
| 21 | Pacers | 31% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 13% | 93 | 88 |
| 1 | Spurs | 87% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 15% | 94 | 93 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 85% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 37% | 99 | 71 | |
| 9 | Jazz | 63% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 20% | 100 | 94 |
| 4 | Suns | 80% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 44% | 98 | 84 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 55% | 100 | 98 | |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 45% | 98 | 93 | |
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 36% | 97 | 114 |
| 16 | Bobcats | 64% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 18% | 97 | 82 |
| 1 | Celtics | 82% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 29% | 91 | 82 |
| 15 | Heat | 71% | 99 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 40% | 94 | 100 |
| 5 | Rockets | 60% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 17% | 94 | 86 |
| 6 | Pistons | 83% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 55% | 104 | 103 |
| 18 | Bucks | 45% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 48% | 103 | 95 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 52% | 104 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 22% | 96 | 105 |
| 13 | Hornets | 78% | 106 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 63% | 100 | 97 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 37% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 34% | 95 | 110 |
| 2 | Spurs | 66% | 100 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 19% | 100 | 111 |
| 3 | Suns | 81% | 111 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 46% | 92 | 106 | |
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 93 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 55% | 105 | 90 |
| 21 | Clippers | 45% | 103 | 101 |
Tuesday, November 20, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 34% | 95 | 101 |
| 17 | Wizards | 66% | 101 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 69% | 99 | 95 |
| 20 | Hawks | 31% | 92 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 30% | 96 | 111 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 70% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 58% | 105 | 134 |
| 25 | Pacers | 42% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 56% | 108 | 108 |
| 28 | Knicks | 44% | 107 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 24% | 93 | 99 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 76% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 34% | 97 | 91 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 66% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 66% | 108 | 100 |
| 19 | Kings | 34% | 103 | 98 |