FinalWin Prob.pScore
2432%92
90
1568%98
110
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
104.78684.8
MIA logo MIA
127.98687.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA90
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Quinn Driving Layup90
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0CHAHerrmann Layup (2 PTS) (Dudley 2 AST)90
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIACook Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T13)88
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHADavidson Layup (8 PTS)88
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0CHADavidson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:00CHAMISS Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot86
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 1:08MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24CHADavidson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24CHAMISS Davidson Free Throw 1 of 285
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MIAAl. Johnson Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59CHAMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 285
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)85
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06CHADavidson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23CHACarroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32CHADudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33CHAMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55MIAAl. Johnson Layup (3 PTS)81
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12CHAMISS Herrmann 20' Jump Shot81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIAAl. Johnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47CHACarroll 15' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)79
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28CHAAnderson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01CHAWilliams STEAL (3 STL)77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26MIAMourning Slam Dunk (8 PTS)77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58CHAMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 277
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09MIACook 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32CHAMISS McInnis 14' Fadeaway Jumper76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57CHACarroll 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davidson 1 AST)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:02CHADudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05CHAMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41CHADudley 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 8:18CHADavidson Traveling Turnover (P1.T18)72
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 8:20CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Al. Johnson Layup72
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 8:40CHADavidson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 8:40CHADavidson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59CHABobcats Rebound70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:22CHACarroll 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:26CHABobcats Rebound68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:27CHAMISS Carroll 16' Jump Shot68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:30CHABobcats Rebound68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:31CHAMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 268
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:17CHADavidson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:17CHACarroll Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:18CHADavidson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:19CHAMISS Davidson 18' Jump Shot64
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:42MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)64
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 11:01CHARichardson Driving Layup (10 PTS)64
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 11:14MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 11:22MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 11:23CHAMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 11:46MIACook 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)62
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound62
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)62
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIACook 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)62
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0CHACarroll Foul Turnover (P2.T17)62
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0CHAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)62
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0CHAHaslem STEAL (1 STL)62
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 1:12MIADavis 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)62
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 1:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 1:20CHAMISS Okafor Layup62
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 1:39MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)62
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q3 - 1:59CHAOkafor 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)62
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 2:22MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)60
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 2:35CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)60
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 2:35CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 259
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 2:49MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)59
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 3:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 3:12CHAMISS Felton 18' Fadeaway Jumper59
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 3:35CHADudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot59
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q3 - 3:54MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 3:55CHAMISS McInnis 19' Jump Shot59
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 4:08MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)59
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 4:28CHAOkafor 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T14)59
6.8%
69
93.2%
Q3 - 4:40CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
8.1%
69
91.9%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot59
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q3 - 4:53MIAHEAT Rebound59
6.8%
69
93.2%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot59
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q3 - 5:12CHAFelton Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)59
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q3 - 5:16MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)56
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 5:34CHAFelton 6' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 5:42CHABobcats Rebound54
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 5:43CHAMISS Richardson Driving Layup54
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 6:06MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)54
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 6:21CHAWade STEAL (3 STL)54
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 6:42MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)54
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 6:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 6:57CHAO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)54
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 7:15MIAHardaway 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)54
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 7:33CHAWallace Driving Layup (16 PTS)54
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 7:48CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
7.9%
63
92.1%
Q3 - 7:49CHAMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot52
7.1%
63
92.9%
Q3 - 8:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)52
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 8:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
8.4%
62
91.6%
Q3 - 8:18MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q3 - 8:20CHAO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)52
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q3 - 8:31CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
10.8%
61
89.2%
Q3 - 8:32CHAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q3 - 8:40CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
10.8%
61
89.2%
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot52
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q3 - 9:00CHAWallace Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Felton 7 AST)52
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q3 - 9:06MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)50
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q3 - 9:29CHARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)50
7.2%
61
92.8%
Q3 - 9:49MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)47
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 10:06CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q3 - 10:06CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q3 - 10:25CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 145
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q3 - 10:30CHAHardaway STEAL (1 STL)45
6.5%
57
93.5%
Q3 - 10:37CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q3 - 10:38MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot45
7.2%
57
92.8%
Q3 - 11:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
6.7%
57
93.3%
Q3 - 11:12CHAMISS Brezec 17' Jump Shot45
7.0%
57
93.0%
Q3 - 11:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
7.7%
57
92.3%
Q3 - 11:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q3 - 11:44CHARichardson 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)45
8.6%
55
91.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA43
7.7%
55
92.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
7.7%
55
92.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Davis Layup43
7.8%
55
92.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAMcInnis 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)43
7.3%
55
92.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIADavis Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)41
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0CHAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
7.5%
53
92.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)41
7.9%
53
92.1%
Q2 - 1:00CHAFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)41
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)38
8.2%
50
91.8%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 238
8.6%
49
91.4%
Q2 - 1:35CHAWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)38
8.7%
49
91.3%
Q2 - 1:41MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)38
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 1:46CHADavis STEAL (3 STL)38
8.7%
49
91.3%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMourning Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)38
9.8%
49
90.2%
Q2 - 2:37CHAMcInnis 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q2 - 2:52MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)36
9.7%
47
90.3%
Q2 - 2:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
11.0%
45
89.0%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Haslem 5' Hook Shot36
12.2%
45
87.8%
Q2 - 3:12CHADavis STEAL (2 STL)36
11.2%
45
88.8%
Q2 - 3:34MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)36
12.6%
45
87.4%
Q2 - 3:49CHAFelton 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McInnis 3 AST)36
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 4:00MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)34
14.0%
42
86.0%
Q2 - 4:14CHAOkafor 8' Hook Bank Shot (4 PTS) (McInnis 2 AST)34
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 4:26CHARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
11.5%
42
88.5%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
11.2%
42
88.8%
Q2 - 4:43CHAFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 4:43CHAFelton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 4:48MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)30
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 5:01CHADavis STEAL (1 STL)30
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 5:15MIAO'Neal Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)30
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 5:37CHAOkafor Dunk (2 PTS) (Brezec 1 AST)30
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 5:56CHAFelton Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)28
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 5:57MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)27
10.6%
38
89.4%
Q2 - 6:04MIAHEAT Rebound27
11.8%
36
88.2%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Al. Johnson Layup27
12.8%
36
87.2%
Q2 - 6:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
11.8%
36
88.2%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 227
13.1%
36
86.9%
Q2 - 6:07MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
12.4%
36
87.6%
Q2 - 6:34CHABrezec 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)27
13.0%
35
87.0%
Q2 - 6:59MIADavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)25
12.0%
35
88.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
11.3%
35
88.7%
Q2 - 7:04CHAMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot25
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 7:28MIACook Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)25
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 7:28MIACook Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)25
12.6%
34
87.4%
Q2 - 7:28MIACook Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)25
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 7:32MIAHEAT Rebound25
14.8%
32
85.2%
Q2 - 7:33MIAMISS O'Neal Layup25
15.8%
32
84.2%
Q2 - 7:50MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
14.8%
32
85.2%
Q2 - 7:51CHAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 225
14.9%
32
85.1%
Q2 - 7:51CHARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
15.7%
32
84.3%
Q2 - 7:55CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
14.9%
32
85.1%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot24
14.4%
32
85.6%
Q2 - 8:18CHARichardson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)24
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q2 - 8:24CHABrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
12.5%
32
87.5%
Q2 - 8:26MIAMISS Davis Driving Layup22
12.1%
32
87.9%
Q2 - 8:46CHABrezec 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
11.3%
32
88.7%
Q2 - 8:57CHABobcats Rebound20
10.4%
32
89.6%
Q2 - 8:58CHAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot20
9.7%
32
90.3%
Q2 - 9:22MIADavis Driving Layup (7 PTS)20
10.6%
32
89.4%
Q2 - 9:38CHACarroll 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST)20
11.5%
30
88.5%
Q2 - 9:51MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)18
10.6%
30
89.4%
Q2 - 9:58MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
12.5%
27
87.5%
Q2 - 10:00CHAMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot18
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q2 - 10:21MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T4)18
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q2 - 10:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)18
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q2 - 10:34CHAMISS McInnis 14' Jump Shot18
13.1%
27
86.9%
Q2 - 10:46MIAWilliams 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS)18
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q2 - 11:01CHADudley Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
15.2%
25
84.8%
Q2 - 11:26MIACook 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)16
13.9%
25
86.1%
Q2 - 11:41CHAHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T7)16
15.2%
23
84.8%
Q2 - 11:48CHACarroll Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)16
16.5%
23
83.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA15
15.2%
23
84.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound15
13.9%
23
86.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 30' 3PT Jump Shot15
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHEAT Rebound15
14.2%
23
85.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0CHAMISS Dudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
14.5%
23
85.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIACook Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)15
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0CHAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)15
16.7%
21
83.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0CHADudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17.7%
21
82.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 215
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
16.5%
21
83.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
18.0%
20
82.0%
Q1 - 1:02CHAMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)15
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 1:03CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
19.2%
20
80.8%
Q1 - 1:04CHAMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)15
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 1:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)15
19.2%
20
80.8%
Q1 - 1:25CHAWade STEAL (2 STL)15
18.1%
20
81.9%
Q1 - 1:42MIADavis Layup (2 PTS)15
19.2%
20
80.8%
Q1 - 1:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q1 - 1:56CHAMISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 2:22MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)15
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 2:28CHAMISS Wallace Layup15
24.7%
16
75.3%
Q1 - 2:34CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
25.9%
16
74.1%
Q1 - 2:35CHAMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)15
24.7%
16
75.3%
Q1 - 2:52CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
25.9%
16
74.1%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot15
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 3:08CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)15
24.0%
16
76.0%
Q1 - 3:10CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
21.0%
16
79.0%
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade Layup12
20.5%
16
79.5%
Q1 - 3:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
19.4%
16
80.6%
Q1 - 3:31CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 112
19.6%
16
80.4%
Q1 - 3:31CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
18.2%
16
81.8%
Q1 - 3:32CHAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
17.2%
16
82.8%
Q1 - 3:41CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
18.2%
16
81.8%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Hardaway 16' Jump Shot10
17.7%
16
82.3%
Q1 - 4:00CHADudley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
16.7%
16
83.3%
Q1 - 4:19MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
15.7%
16
84.3%
Q1 - 4:40MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Okafor: Tip to Hardaway8
14.3%
16
85.7%
Q1 - 4:41CHAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)8
14.7%
16
85.3%
Q1 - 4:56MIAWade Layup (7 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)8
15.7%
16
84.3%
Q1 - 5:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
16.8%
14
83.2%
Q1 - 5:05CHAMISS Felton Driving Layup8
17.2%
14
82.8%
Q1 - 5:22CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
18.1%
14
81.9%
Q1 - 5:24MIAMISS Hardaway Driving Layup8
17.7%
14
82.3%
Q1 - 5:36CHAWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T4)8
16.8%
14
83.2%
Q1 - 5:44CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
18.1%
14
81.9%
Q1 - 5:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 28
18.0%
14
82.0%
Q1 - 5:47MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)8
17.5%
14
82.5%
Q1 - 6:09CHAOkafor Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
18.2%
13
81.8%
Q1 - 6:30MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
19.5%
13
80.5%
Q1 - 6:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
22.1%
10
77.9%
Q1 - 6:53CHAMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot8
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 7:24MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)8
23.5%
10
76.5%
Q1 - 7:30MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 7:31CHAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot8
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 7:42CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
26.3%
8
73.7%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot8
25.8%
8
74.2%
Q1 - 7:47MIAHEAT Rebound8
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 7:48MIAMISS Wade Layup8
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 7:51CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)8
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 8:17MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
26.2%
8
73.8%
Q1 - 8:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS O'Neal Reverse Layup8
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 8:34CHABrezec 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)8
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 8:43MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)6
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 9:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 9:04CHAMISS Felton Tip Shot6
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 9:05CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 9:07CHAMISS Felton Driving Layup6
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 9:14CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot6
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 9:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot6
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 9:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 9:38CHAMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 9:58CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot6
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 10:18CHAWallace 15' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)6
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 10:23MIAHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 10:26MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 10:28MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 10:41CHAWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)4
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 10:59MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)1
21.9%
4
78.1%
Q1 - 11:17CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)1
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 11:17CHABobcats Rebound1
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 11:18CHAMISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot1
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 11:32CHAFelton Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)1
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 11:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 11:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
23.3%
1
76.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Okafor: Tip to Quinn0
24.4%
0
75.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.31 65.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
11
24
46%
MIA
17
28
61%
Midrange
CHA
19
34
56%
MIA
18
31
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
MIA
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
Free Throws
CHA
18
24
75%
MIA
25
31
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Wallace1647%8.0 / 17
M. Carroll1583%7.5 / 9
R. Felton1458%7.0 / 12
J. Richardson1045%5.0 / 11
J. Davidson867%4.0 / 6
E. Okafor750%3.5 / 7
P. Brezec675%3.0 / 4
J. Dudley675%3.0 / 4
J. McInnis433%2.0 / 6
W. Herrmann233%1.0 / 3
D. Anderson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis2382%11.5 / 14
D. Cook1986%9.5 / 11
S. O'Neal1575%7.5 / 10
U. Haslem1458%7.0 / 12
D. Wade1350%6.5 / 13
J. Williams1169%5.5 / 8
A. Mourning880%4.0 / 5
A. Johnson550%2.5 / 5
A. Hardaway233%1.0 / 3
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
68
+17
-18
85
MIA
73
+11
-13
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.31 65.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.7
100.2
CHA 104.7
MIA 127.9 +23.3
Pace
91.9
90.5
CHA 84.8
MIA 87.3 +2.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.3
CHA 17.0
MIA 16.5 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
48.2%
CHA 48.6%
MIA 61.6% +13.0%
TO %
14.9%
15.4%
CHA 18.3%
MIA 13.6% +4.7%
ORB %
25.7%
22.2%
CHA 28.6% +6.4%
MIA 22.2%
FTrt
32.3
30.0
CHA 32.4
MIA 44.9 +12.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
58.5%
CHA 58.8% +3.8%
MIA 55.0%
STL %
8.1%
7.9%
CHA 7.0%
MIA 12.8% +5.8%
BLK %
7.7%
7.1%
CHA 10.2%
MIA 13.8% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.6%
50.6%
CHA 52.3%
MIA 65.5% +13.2%
Rim FG%
57.1%
59.2%
CHA 45.8%
MIA 60.7% +14.9%
Mid FG%
39.2%
38.8%
CHA 55.9%
MIA 58.1% +2.2%
3P %
36.7%
35.8%
CHA 25.0%
MIA 50.0% +25.0%
FT %
71.4%
72.7%
CHA 75.0%
MIA 80.6% +5.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
30.2%
CHA 32.4%
MIA 40.6% +8.1%
Mid Att. %
41.7%
48.1%
CHA 45.9%
MIA 44.9% +1.0%
3P Att. %
22.0%
21.7%
CHA 21.6% +7.1%
MIA 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points90110
Rebounds3131
Assists2022
Steals611
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (7)6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (1)25 (2)
Field Goals34-7440-69
At-the-Rim FG11-2417-28
Midrange FG19-3418-31
2-Point FG30-5835-59
3-Point FG4-165-10
Free Throws18-2425-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 225 · 27
33.2
10
45%
2
3
0
1
2
3
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
1-5
20%
F · 6'7" 220 · 25
32.3
16
47%
5
1
2
0
4
4
2
3
3-4
75%
5-14
36%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 205 · 23
29.7
14
58%
6
7
2
1
3
2
1
5
5-5
100%
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
27.8
7
50%
6
1
1
2
3
3
3
3
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 28
22.0
6
75%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 22
23.5
6
75%
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 33
21.4
4
33%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 212 · 27
19.8
15
83%
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
1
4-6
67%
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 230 · 23
13.6
8
67%
3
1
0
1
1
3
2
1
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
8.3
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 195 · 33
4.9
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#15 · C · 7'0" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'8" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
52%
31
20
6
6
18
0
10
21
18-24
75%
30-58
52%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.