FinalWin Prob.pScore
2229%91
82
1571%99
79
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
94.38788.6
MIA logo MIA
90.88785.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA82
100%
79
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)81
97.8%
79
2.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup81
96.7%
79
3.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
72.9%
79
27.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot81
78.7%
79
21.3%
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
84.2%
79
15.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot81
68.9%
79
31.1%
Q4 - 1:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)81
74.3%
79
25.7%
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 281
76.4%
78
23.6%
Q4 - 1:11ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)81
69.9%
78
30.1%
Q4 - 1:11ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)80
66.9%
78
33.1%
Q4 - 1:18MIAHaslem Layup (17 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)79
57.4%
78
42.6%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
66.8%
76
33.2%
Q4 - 1:27ATLMISS Williams Layup79
70.4%
76
29.6%
Q4 - 1:49MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
74.8%
76
25.2%
Q4 - 1:49MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
76.9%
75
23.1%
Q4 - 1:58ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)79
82.7%
74
17.3%
Q4 - 2:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)76
65.3%
74
34.7%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 276
63.2%
74
36.8%
Q4 - 2:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
59.1%
74
40.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)76
60.1%
73
39.9%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
71.0%
73
29.0%
Q4 - 2:32ATLJohnson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T15)76
59.9%
73
40.1%
Q4 - 2:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)76
75.1%
73
24.9%
Q4 - 2:49ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
59.7%
73
40.3%
Q4 - 2:49ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
57.9%
73
42.1%
Q4 - 3:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
52.0%
73
48.0%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot74
47.4%
73
52.6%
Q4 - 3:31ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)74
37.6%
73
62.4%
Q4 - 3:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
22.7%
73
77.3%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot71
20.7%
73
79.3%
Q4 - 4:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
16.5%
73
83.5%
Q4 - 4:13MIAMISS Hardaway 3PT Jump Shot71
20.6%
73
79.4%
Q4 - 4:34ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T14)71
16.4%
73
83.6%
Q4 - 4:39ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)71
22.7%
73
77.3%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot71
20.6%
73
79.4%
Q4 - 4:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)71
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q4 - 4:58ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot71
18.1%
73
81.9%
Q4 - 5:14ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
22.8%
73
77.2%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot71
21.0%
73
79.0%
Q4 - 5:22ATLWade STEAL (2 STL)71
17.2%
73
82.8%
Q4 - 5:38MIADavis Dunk (17 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)71
22.8%
73
77.2%
Q4 - 5:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
29.0%
71
71.0%
Q4 - 5:46ATLO'Neal BLOCK (7 BLK)71
31.2%
71
68.8%
Q4 - 6:02ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
35.4%
71
64.6%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 171
34.3%
71
65.7%
Q4 - 6:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
41.5%
69
58.5%
Q4 - 6:08ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot71
44.1%
69
55.9%
Q4 - 6:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)71
50.2%
69
49.8%
Q4 - 6:26MIAMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
47.6%
69
52.4%
Q4 - 6:43ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)71
41.7%
69
58.3%
Q4 - 6:43ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)70
40.4%
69
59.6%
Q4 - 6:45ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
35.5%
69
64.5%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup69
33.1%
69
66.9%
Q4 - 7:00ATLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)69
28.0%
69
72.0%
Q4 - 7:16ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
34.5%
69
65.5%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot69
32.4%
69
67.6%
Q4 - 7:43ATLSmith Layup (14 PTS)69
27.8%
69
72.2%
Q4 - 7:56MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)67
23.3%
69
76.7%
Q4 - 8:29ATLLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)67
19.1%
69
80.9%
Q4 - 8:45ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
12.4%
69
87.6%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Bank Shot64
11.6%
69
88.4%
Q4 - 9:10ATLChildress Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)64
10.4%
69
89.6%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T17)62
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q4 - 9:44ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q4 - 10:02MIAParker Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T16)60
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q4 - 10:10ATLMISS Johnson Reverse Layup60
5.1%
69
94.9%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)60
5.9%
69
94.1%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)60
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q4 - 10:51ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q4 - 10:51ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q4 - 11:02ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q4 - 11:02ATLMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q4 - 11:19MIAHEAT Rebound58
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)58
6.5%
67
93.5%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 258
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q4 - 11:40ATLWilliams Layup (8 PTS)58
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL56
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)56
5.7%
66
94.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
4.7%
66
95.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0ATLDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)56
5.0%
66
95.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)56
5.7%
66
94.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)56
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 1:08ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
7.4%
64
92.6%
Q3 - 1:08ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
7.0%
64
93.0%
Q3 - 1:09ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 1:11ATLMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)54
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
6.4%
63
93.6%
Q3 - 1:38ATLHardaway STEAL (1 STL)54
7.3%
62
92.7%
Q3 - 1:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)54
8.8%
62
91.2%
Q3 - 2:00ATLMISS Smith 3' Jump Shot54
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q3 - 2:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
9.2%
62
90.8%
Q3 - 2:04ATLMISS Smith Finger Roll Layup54
8.1%
62
91.9%
Q3 - 2:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
9.2%
62
90.8%
Q3 - 2:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
9.6%
61
90.4%
Q3 - 2:27MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
10.7%
60
89.3%
Q3 - 2:29ATLMISS Johnson 7' Floating Jump Shot54
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q3 - 2:44MIAHaslem 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)54
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q3 - 2:55MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
14.8%
58
85.2%
Q3 - 2:56ATLMISS Childress 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
15.6%
58
84.4%
Q3 - 3:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
17.9%
58
82.1%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot54
17.1%
58
82.9%
Q3 - 3:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
15.3%
58
84.7%
Q3 - 3:31ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 254
15.6%
58
84.4%
Q3 - 3:31ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 254
17.1%
58
82.9%
Q3 - 3:40ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
17.9%
58
82.1%
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot54
17.1%
58
82.9%
Q3 - 3:50MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
15.2%
58
84.8%
Q3 - 3:52ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
16.0%
58
84.0%
Q3 - 3:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)54
17.9%
58
82.1%
Q3 - 3:56ATLMISS Smith 9' Hook Shot54
16.0%
58
84.0%
Q3 - 4:20ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
17.9%
58
82.1%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot54
17.1%
58
82.9%
Q3 - 4:49ATLHorford Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)54
15.2%
58
84.8%
Q3 - 5:11MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
13.7%
58
86.3%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 252
14.1%
57
85.9%
Q3 - 5:31ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)52
13.5%
57
86.5%
Q3 - 5:53MIAO'Neal Dunk (17 PTS) (Hardaway 3 AST)49
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q3 - 6:10ATLHorford Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)49
11.9%
55
88.1%
Q3 - 6:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
10.4%
55
89.6%
Q3 - 6:17MIAMISS Hardaway 12' Jump Shot47
10.0%
55
90.0%
Q3 - 6:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q3 - 6:27ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q3 - 6:43MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (15 PTS)47
10.4%
55
89.6%
Q3 - 6:59ATLSmith 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
11.9%
53
88.1%
Q3 - 7:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
10.4%
53
89.6%
Q3 - 7:02ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)45
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q3 - 7:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
10.7%
53
89.3%
Q3 - 7:07ATLO'Neal BLOCK (6 BLK)45
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q3 - 7:31MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)45
10.7%
53
89.3%
Q3 - 7:46ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)45
12.0%
51
88.0%
Q3 - 8:03MIAO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS)43
10.9%
51
89.1%
Q3 - 8:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
12.3%
49
87.7%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot43
13.6%
49
86.4%
Q3 - 8:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q3 - 8:18ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot43
12.8%
49
87.2%
Q3 - 8:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q3 - 8:29MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot43
13.6%
49
86.4%
Q3 - 8:49ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)43
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q3 - 9:05ATLHawks Rebound43
14.0%
49
86.0%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot43
13.5%
49
86.5%
Q3 - 9:26ATLSmith Driving Dunk (8 PTS)43
12.3%
49
87.7%
Q3 - 9:37MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)41
10.9%
49
89.1%
Q3 - 9:52ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)41
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q3 - 10:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
11.0%
49
89.0%
Q3 - 10:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q3 - 10:29ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)41
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q3 - 10:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot39
10.6%
47
89.4%
Q3 - 10:51ATLO'Neal STEAL (2 STL)39
9.6%
47
90.4%
Q3 - 11:11MIAWade Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)39
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q3 - 11:25ATLPachulia Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)39
12.4%
45
87.6%
Q3 - 11:43MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (11 PTS)37
11.0%
45
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL37
12.4%
43
87.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound37
14.1%
43
85.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
13.4%
43
86.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
14.1%
43
85.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
13.4%
43
86.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
14.1%
43
85.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
13.8%
43
86.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
13.0%
43
87.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Davis 6' Jump Shot37
13.8%
43
86.2%
Q2 - 1:04ATLJohnson 6' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)37
13.5%
43
86.5%
Q2 - 1:16ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)35
11.4%
43
88.6%
Q2 - 1:28MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)34
10.1%
43
89.9%
Q2 - 1:48ATLChildress Dunk (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)34
9.5%
43
90.5%
Q2 - 2:14MIAHardaway Driving Layup (8 PTS)32
8.5%
43
91.5%
Q2 - 2:38ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
9.6%
41
90.4%
Q2 - 2:38ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 2:40ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
8.5%
41
91.5%
Q2 - 2:41ATLO'Neal BLOCK (5 BLK)30
7.9%
41
92.1%
Q2 - 2:56ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
8.5%
41
91.5%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 3:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
7.9%
41
92.1%
Q2 - 3:12ATLMISS Childress 20' Jump Shot30
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 3:30MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)30
8.9%
41
91.1%
Q2 - 3:39MIAWade Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)30
9.8%
39
90.2%
Q2 - 3:52ATLChildress 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 4:01MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS)27
9.0%
38
91.0%
Q2 - 4:20ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)27
10.0%
36
90.0%
Q2 - 4:20ATLHawks Rebound27
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 4:21ATLO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)27
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 4:44MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)27
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 4:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
10.0%
36
90.0%
Q2 - 4:50ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot27
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 5:10ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
11.3%
36
88.7%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 227
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 227
10.7%
36
89.3%
Q2 - 5:28ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)27
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 5:59MIAHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)25
9.2%
36
90.8%
Q2 - 6:11MIAParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 6:13ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot25
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 6:26MIAO'Neal Dunk (7 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)25
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 6:44MIAHEAT Rebound25
10.2%
34
89.8%
Q2 - 6:45ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
10.6%
34
89.4%
Q2 - 6:59MIAO'Neal Layup (5 PTS)25
11.5%
34
88.5%
Q2 - 7:02MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
12.9%
32
87.1%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot25
13.8%
32
86.2%
Q2 - 7:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
12.9%
32
87.1%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Hardaway Dunk25
13.8%
32
86.2%
Q2 - 7:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
12.9%
32
87.1%
Q2 - 7:25ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot25
13.2%
32
86.8%
Q2 - 7:40MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P4.T10)25
14.2%
32
85.8%
Q2 - 8:02ATLChildress Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)25
12.9%
32
87.1%
Q2 - 8:14MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)23
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q2 - 8:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
10.7%
32
89.3%
Q2 - 8:38ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot23
11.1%
32
88.9%
Q2 - 8:55MIAHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q2 - 8:55MIAHardaway Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
12.1%
31
87.9%
Q2 - 9:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
13.0%
30
87.0%
Q2 - 9:18ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 223
13.2%
30
86.8%
Q2 - 9:18ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
13.9%
30
86.1%
Q2 - 9:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 9:19ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot22
12.3%
30
87.7%
Q2 - 9:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot22
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 10:06ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
12.1%
30
87.9%
Q2 - 10:06ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 221
11.8%
30
88.2%
Q2 - 10:11MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)21
12.2%
30
87.8%
Q2 - 10:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
11.0%
30
89.0%
Q2 - 10:17ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot21
11.4%
30
88.6%
Q2 - 10:39MIAHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
12.2%
30
87.8%
Q2 - 10:39MIAHardaway Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
12.4%
29
87.6%
Q2 - 10:44MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 10:46ATLMISS Shel. Williams Driving Layup21
13.5%
28
86.5%
Q2 - 11:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
14.3%
28
85.7%
Q2 - 11:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
14.6%
27
85.4%
Q2 - 11:16ATLLue Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)21
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q2 - 11:28MIADavis 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)21
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
18.3%
24
81.7%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot21
19.3%
24
80.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
18.3%
24
81.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLParker STEAL (1 STL)21
18.3%
24
81.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)21
19.5%
24
80.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
18.4%
24
81.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS)21
19.5%
24
80.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)21
21.4%
22
78.6%
Q1 - 1:03ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
18.1%
22
81.9%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot18
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q1 - 1:19ATLHorford Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)18
17.0%
22
83.0%
Q1 - 1:37ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
15.5%
22
84.5%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot16
15.2%
22
84.8%
Q1 - 1:43MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14.5%
22
85.5%
Q1 - 1:43ATLMISS Lue 13' Jump Shot16
14.8%
22
85.2%
Q1 - 2:12ATLHawks Rebound16
15.6%
22
84.4%
Q1 - 2:13ATLMISS Horford 3' Jump Shot16
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q1 - 2:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
15.6%
22
84.4%
Q1 - 2:15ATLMISS Horford 4' Jump Shot16
14.8%
22
85.2%
Q1 - 2:35MIAHardaway 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)16
15.6%
22
84.4%
Q1 - 2:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
17.0%
20
83.0%
Q1 - 2:44ATLMISS Johnson 6' Hook Shot16
17.4%
20
82.6%
Q1 - 2:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
18.3%
20
81.7%
Q1 - 2:51ATLHardaway BLOCK (1 BLK)16
17.4%
20
82.6%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T6)16
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 3:15ATLLue 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 3:20ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.8%
20
84.2%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot14
15.4%
20
84.6%
Q1 - 3:37ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
14.5%
20
85.5%
Q1 - 3:37ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
14.3%
20
85.7%
Q1 - 3:51MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
13.6%
20
86.4%
Q1 - 4:03ATLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)12
15.5%
17
84.5%
Q1 - 4:19MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
17.0%
17
83.0%
Q1 - 4:32ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
19.3%
14
80.7%
Q1 - 4:32ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 211
19.1%
14
80.9%
Q1 - 4:48MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
19.6%
14
80.4%
Q1 - 5:04ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)11
22.0%
11
78.0%
Q1 - 5:04ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)10
21.7%
11
78.3%
Q1 - 5:22MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Williams: Tip to Johnson9
20.7%
11
79.3%
Q1 - 5:46ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
19.2%
11
80.8%
Q1 - 6:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)7
18.1%
11
81.9%
Q1 - 6:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
18.3%
10
81.7%
Q1 - 6:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
19.2%
9
80.8%
Q1 - 6:07ATLMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot7
19.6%
9
80.4%
Q1 - 6:20ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
20.6%
9
79.4%
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot7
20.2%
9
79.8%
Q1 - 6:39ATLSmith 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
19.2%
9
80.8%
Q1 - 6:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
18.1%
9
81.9%
Q1 - 6:42ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot5
17.2%
9
82.8%
Q1 - 7:05MIADavis 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
18.1%
9
81.9%
Q1 - 7:13ATLO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)5
19.1%
7
80.9%
Q1 - 7:22MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)5
20.5%
7
79.5%
Q1 - 7:41ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)5
19.1%
7
80.9%
Q1 - 7:47ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Williams Layup3
17.7%
7
82.3%
Q1 - 7:54MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
16.9%
7
83.1%
Q1 - 7:56ATLO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)3
17.3%
7
82.7%
Q1 - 8:10MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
18.0%
7
82.0%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 8:22ATLMISS Pachulia 14' Jump Shot3
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 8:35MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)3
21.6%
4
78.4%
Q1 - 9:02ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 9:07MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)0
20.3%
2
79.7%
Q1 - 9:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.8%
2
81.2%
Q1 - 9:18ATLMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot0
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 9:35MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
20.3%
2
79.7%
Q1 - 9:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
18.8%
2
81.2%
Q1 - 9:47ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 10:04MIAWade Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)0
20.1%
2
79.9%
Q1 - 10:07ATLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)0
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 10:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot0
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 10:30MIAHEAT Rebound0
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 10:31ATLMISS Johnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper0
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 10:37MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 10:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 10:42ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 10:42ATLMISS Williams Tip Shot0
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 10:45ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot0
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 11:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 20
22.3%
0
77.7%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 20
21.8%
0
78.2%
Q1 - 11:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:11ATLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)0
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 11:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot0
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 11:42ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:45ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:47ATLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
21.6%
0
78.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 44.1%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
13
29
45%
MIA
11
16
69%
Midrange
ATL
8
32
25%
MIA
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
ATL
22
28
79%
MIA
26
35
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2255%11.0 / 20
J. Smith1636%8.0 / 22
M. Williams1359%6.5 / 11
J. Childress1161%5.5 / 9
A. Horford630%3.0 / 10
A. Johnson563%2.5 / 4
T. Lue563%2.5 / 4
Z. Pachulia429%2.0 / 7
S. Williams0-0.0 / 1
M. West0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal1864%9.0 / 14
R. Davis1753%8.5 / 16
U. Haslem1761%8.5 / 14
D. Wade1447%7.0 / 15
A. Hardaway857%4.0 / 7
A. Mourning583%2.5 / 3
J. Williams0-0.0 / 4
S. Parker0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
73
+19
-14
92
MIA
70
+8
-17
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 44.1%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
100.2
ATL 94.3 +3.4
MIA 90.8
Pace
91.4
90.5
ATL 88.6 +3.1
MIA 85.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.3
ATL 16.3 +0.6
MIA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
48.2%
ATL 39.0%
MIA 44.9% +5.9%
TO %
15.5%
15.4%
ATL 14.4% +5.9%
MIA 20.3%
ORB %
29.8%
22.2%
ATL 34.0% +14.6%
MIA 19.4%
FTrt
34.0
30.0
ATL 36.4
MIA 59.3 +22.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
58.5%
ATL 51.9%
MIA 64.0% +12.1%
STL %
7.9%
7.9%
ATL 12.6% +3.4%
MIA 9.2%
BLK %
8.4%
7.1%
ATL 6.0%
MIA 18.0% +12.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
50.6%
ATL 44.1%
MIA 50.0% +5.9%
Rim FG%
58.6%
59.2%
ATL 44.8%
MIA 68.8% +24.0%
Mid FG%
38.5%
38.8%
ATL 25.0%
MIA 32.4% +7.4%
3P %
35.6%
35.8%
ATL 37.5% +4.2%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
77.2%
72.7%
ATL 78.6% +4.3%
MIA 74.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
30.2%
ATL 37.7% +10.5%
MIA 27.1%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
48.1%
ATL 41.6% +16.1%
MIA 57.6%
3P Att. %
16.5%
21.7%
ATL 20.8% +5.5%
MIA 15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points8279
Rebounds4538
Assists1416
Steals118
Blocks311
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)31 (3)
Field Goals27-7725-59
At-the-Rim FG13-2911-16
Midrange FG8-3211-34
2-Point FG21-6122-50
3-Point FG6-163-9
Free Throws22-2826-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 26
42.6
22
55%
7
4
0
0
3
1
1
6
7-8
88%
3-10
30%
3-7
43%
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
36.6
16
36%
11
4
0
2
3
4
4
7
8-12
67%
4-15
27%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 21
29.4
13
59%
10
1
3
1
2
3
2
8
5-6
83%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 33
27.0
5
63%
0
2
3
0
2
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 270 · 24
21.4
4
29%
3
0
1
0
1
5
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24
28.0
11
61%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21
26.6
6
30%
8
2
2
0
0
4
5
3
0-0
-
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
14.9
5
63%
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24
7.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
6.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32
F · 6'10" 235 · 23
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'3" 202 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
44%
45
14
11
3
14
0
16
29
22-28
79%
21-61
34%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.