FinalWin Prob.pScore
1821%93
101
779%103
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.58986.1
UTA logo UTA
120.99194.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA101
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:15)101
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 1101
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)99
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0UTABrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 299
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAHaslem Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)99
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)97
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)97
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 296
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 1:01UTABoozer Layup (24 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)96
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 1:09MIACook Slam Dunk (11 PTS)96
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 1:19UTAOkur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (D. Williams 15 AST)94
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 1:39MIADavis Driving Layup (13 PTS)94
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 1:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot92
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 2:03UTAKirilenko 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Boozer 5 AST)92
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 2:18UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)92
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 2:19UTAMISS Boozer 15' Jump Shot92
2.7%
98
97.3%
Q4 - 2:36UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:14)92
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 2:37MIAHeat Rebound92
3.3%
98
96.7%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 292
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 292
2.2%
98
97.8%
Q4 - 2:50UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)92
3.4%
98
96.6%
Q4 - 2:50UTABrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)92
3.7%
97
96.3%
Q4 - 2:54UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
5.3%
96
94.7%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot92
6.2%
96
93.8%
Q4 - 3:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
8.9%
96
91.1%
Q4 - 3:05UTAMISS D. Williams Layup92
7.6%
96
92.4%
Q4 - 3:19UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)92
5.1%
96
94.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot92
6.0%
96
94.0%
Q4 - 3:33UTABoozer 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS)92
10.0%
96
90.0%
Q4 - 3:44MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)92
13.5%
94
86.5%
Q4 - 3:44MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)91
12.8%
94
87.2%
Q4 - 3:44MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
9.9%
94
90.1%
Q4 - 3:45MIABoozer BLOCK (1 BLK)90
7.7%
94
92.3%
Q4 - 4:02UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)90
9.8%
94
90.2%
Q4 - 4:02UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 290
10.4%
93
89.6%
Q4 - 4:07MIAOkur STEAL (1 STL)90
9.6%
93
90.4%
Q4 - 4:32UTAOkur 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (D. Williams 14 AST)90
13.5%
93
86.5%
Q4 - 4:47UTAJAZZ Rebound90
18.3%
91
81.7%
Q4 - 4:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 290
19.1%
91
80.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)90
23.3%
91
76.7%
Q4 - 5:12UTABrewer Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (D. Williams 13 AST)89
18.4%
91
81.6%
Q4 - 5:22UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)89
23.7%
89
76.3%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot89
25.7%
89
74.3%
Q4 - 5:37UTAD. Williams Layup (20 PTS) (Kirilenko 9 AST)89
30.7%
89
69.3%
Q4 - 5:51MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (24 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)89
38.0%
87
62.0%
Q4 - 6:04UTABoozer 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Kirilenko 8 AST)87
29.1%
87
70.9%
Q4 - 6:14MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)87
34.8%
85
65.2%
Q4 - 6:17UTABoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)84
23.3%
85
76.7%
Q4 - 6:34MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)84
17.7%
85
82.3%
Q4 - 6:57UTAKirilenko Layup (8 PTS) (D. Williams 12 AST)82
14.2%
85
85.8%
Q4 - 7:09MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)82
17.8%
83
82.2%
Q4 - 7:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
22.8%
83
77.2%
Q4 - 7:18UTAMISS Boozer 15' Fadeaway Jumper82
21.2%
83
78.8%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMourning 7' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)82
17.8%
83
82.2%
Q4 - 8:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
15.0%
83
85.0%
Q4 - 8:04UTAMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 180
14.5%
83
85.5%
Q4 - 8:07UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
18.4%
81
81.6%
Q4 - 8:09UTAMISS Boozer 19' Jump Shot80
21.3%
81
78.7%
Q4 - 8:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)80
18.4%
81
81.6%
Q4 - 8:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
12.0%
81
88.0%
Q4 - 8:46UTAMISS Okur 18' Jump Shot77
11.1%
81
88.9%
Q4 - 8:58UTAJAZZ Rebound77
9.4%
81
90.6%
Q4 - 8:58UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup77
11.1%
81
88.9%
Q4 - 9:21MIACook 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)77
9.7%
81
90.3%
Q4 - 9:39UTAOkur 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (D. Williams 11 AST)75
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q4 - 9:51UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
9.8%
79
90.2%
Q4 - 9:52MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot75
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q4 - 10:06UTAMillsap Foul Turnover (P2.T11)75
12.6%
79
87.4%
Q4 - 10:21MIAHaslem 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)75
10.1%
79
89.9%
Q4 - 10:46UTAHarpring Layup (8 PTS) (Kirilenko 6 AST)73
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)73
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q4 - 11:29UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)71
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q4 - 11:36UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
13.0%
74
87.0%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Mourning 5' Jump Hook Shot71
13.8%
74
86.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound71
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 87' 3PT Jump Shot71
13.8%
74
86.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAHart Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)71
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0UTAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
13.2%
74
86.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
13.9%
74
86.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
15.7%
74
84.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0UTAMISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
14.9%
74
85.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIACook 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)71
13.2%
74
86.8%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q3 - 1:09UTAMISS Harpring 18' Jump Shot69
10.6%
74
89.4%
Q3 - 1:30UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
9.3%
74
90.7%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot69
9.9%
74
90.1%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q3 - 1:40UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
9.3%
74
90.7%
Q3 - 1:40UTAMISS Brewer Tip Shot69
10.6%
74
89.4%
Q3 - 1:41UTAMISS Boozer 14' Jump Shot69
10.6%
74
89.4%
Q3 - 2:03MIADavis Layup (9 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)69
9.4%
74
90.6%
Q3 - 2:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q3 - 2:10MIAOkur BLOCK (1 BLK)67
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 2:32UTAHarpring Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)67
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q3 - 2:57MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)67
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q3 - 3:08MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 3:09UTAMISS Brewer 20' Jump Shot65
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 3:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)65
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q3 - 3:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)64
4.8%
74
95.2%
Q3 - 3:37UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q3 - 3:37UTABrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q3 - 3:51UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
5.0%
72
95.0%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Wade 13' Running Jump Shot63
5.3%
72
94.7%
Q3 - 4:14UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Kirilenko 5 AST)63
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q3 - 4:27UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)63
8.3%
69
91.7%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 263
8.5%
69
91.5%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 263
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 4:31MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
9.9%
69
90.1%
Q3 - 4:32UTAMISS Brewer Layup63
9.4%
69
90.6%
Q3 - 4:35UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)63
8.3%
69
91.7%
Q3 - 4:38MIAKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)63
8.8%
69
91.2%
Q3 - 4:54UTAD. Williams Layup (15 PTS) (Boozer 4 AST)63
9.9%
69
90.1%
Q3 - 5:03MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T10)63
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 5:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
13.6%
67
86.4%
Q3 - 5:17UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
12.9%
67
87.1%
Q3 - 5:31MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)63
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 5:49UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)63
13.5%
67
86.5%
Q3 - 5:49UTAMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 263
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q3 - 6:06UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)63
13.4%
66
86.6%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 263
13.6%
66
86.4%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 263
14.9%
66
85.1%
Q3 - 6:24UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)63
15.5%
66
84.5%
Q3 - 6:28UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)63
20.0%
63
80.0%
Q3 - 6:29MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot63
20.8%
63
79.2%
Q3 - 6:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
22.9%
63
77.1%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot63
20.9%
63
79.1%
Q3 - 6:53MIAHeat Rebound63
22.9%
63
77.1%
Q3 - 6:53UTAMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q3 - 7:07UTAJAZZ Rebound63
19.7%
63
80.3%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
20.6%
63
79.4%
Q3 - 7:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
22.7%
63
77.3%
Q3 - 7:25UTAMISS Brewer Layup63
21.7%
63
78.3%
Q3 - 7:32UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
19.7%
63
80.3%
Q3 - 7:33MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot63
20.6%
63
79.4%
Q3 - 7:56UTAKirilenko Layup (6 PTS) (D. Williams 10 AST)63
22.7%
63
77.3%
Q3 - 8:22MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)63
24.7%
61
75.3%
Q3 - 8:47UTAD. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)60
19.9%
61
80.1%
Q3 - 9:08MIAWade Layup (16 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)60
24.0%
58
76.0%
Q3 - 9:21UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
21.5%
58
78.5%
Q3 - 9:21UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
22.0%
57
78.0%
Q3 - 9:36MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)58
24.0%
56
76.0%
Q3 - 9:56UTABoozer 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)56
21.6%
56
78.4%
Q3 - 10:05UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot56
24.0%
54
76.0%
Q3 - 10:25UTABrewer Layup (6 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)56
26.1%
54
73.9%
Q3 - 10:34MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)56
28.6%
52
71.4%
Q3 - 10:49MIAHeat Rebound54
26.1%
52
73.9%
Q3 - 10:51MIAMISS Davis Layup54
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q3 - 11:05MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
25.1%
52
74.9%
Q3 - 11:06UTAMISS Brewer Layup54
24.3%
52
75.7%
Q3 - 11:26UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
22.6%
52
77.4%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 254
22.9%
52
77.1%
Q3 - 11:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
23.9%
52
76.1%
Q3 - 11:42UTAD. Williams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)53
22.7%
52
77.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA53
20.3%
52
79.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
20.3%
52
79.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Brewer Layup53
22.0%
52
78.0%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMourning Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)53
20.5%
52
79.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0UTABoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)51
17.8%
52
82.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
16.5%
52
83.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot51
16.9%
52
83.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
17.8%
52
82.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0UTAMISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
17.4%
52
82.6%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMourning Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
16.8%
52
83.2%
Q2 - 1:24UTAKirilenko Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)49
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q2 - 1:29MIABoozer STEAL (4 STL)49
13.5%
52
86.5%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Mourning Layup49
13.7%
52
86.3%
Q2 - 1:56UTAD. Williams Dunk (8 PTS)49
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q2 - 2:00MIABoozer STEAL (3 STL)49
16.7%
50
83.3%
Q2 - 2:16UTABoozer Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)49
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 2:21MIAD. Williams STEAL (1 STL)49
20.1%
48
79.9%
Q2 - 2:35UTAOkur 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)49
22.0%
48
78.0%
Q2 - 2:58UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
24.4%
46
75.6%
Q2 - 2:59MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot49
25.1%
46
74.9%
Q2 - 3:15UTABoozer 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)49
25.9%
46
74.1%
Q2 - 3:33MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)49
28.0%
44
72.0%
Q2 - 3:45UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
26.0%
44
74.0%
Q2 - 3:45UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
26.4%
43
73.6%
Q2 - 3:48UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
28.1%
42
71.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
28.9%
42
71.1%
Q2 - 3:56UTABoozer Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)47
30.9%
42
69.1%
Q2 - 4:00UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
28.1%
42
71.9%
Q2 - 4:02UTAMISS Boozer Layup47
28.8%
42
71.2%
Q2 - 4:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
27.2%
42
72.8%
Q2 - 4:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
26.8%
42
73.2%
Q2 - 4:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
25.0%
42
75.0%
Q2 - 4:27UTAMISS Okur 13' Fadeaway Jumper45
24.4%
42
75.6%
Q2 - 4:49UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
22.9%
42
77.1%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Hardaway 11' Jump Hook Shot45
23.6%
42
76.4%
Q2 - 5:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
24.7%
42
75.3%
Q2 - 5:08UTAMISS Kirilenko 16' Jump Shot45
24.0%
42
76.0%
Q2 - 5:14UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
22.5%
42
77.5%
Q2 - 5:15UTAMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot45
24.0%
42
76.0%
Q2 - 5:23UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
22.5%
42
77.5%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
23.1%
42
76.9%
Q2 - 5:47UTAOkur Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)45
24.7%
42
75.3%
Q2 - 6:05MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)45
26.0%
40
74.0%
Q2 - 6:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
22.4%
40
77.6%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot42
20.8%
40
79.2%
Q2 - 6:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
22.4%
40
77.6%
Q2 - 6:37UTAMISS D. Williams 13' Jump Shot42
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 6:55MIAWilliams Reverse Layup (9 PTS)42
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 7:12UTABoozer Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)40
18.6%
40
81.4%
Q2 - 7:19UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot40
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 7:41UTAOkur 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)40
22.0%
38
78.0%
Q2 - 8:00MIABoozer STEAL (2 STL)40
25.7%
35
74.3%
Q2 - 8:18UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)40
27.6%
35
72.4%
Q2 - 8:39MIADavis 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)40
25.3%
35
74.7%
Q2 - 8:47MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
23.7%
35
76.3%
Q2 - 8:48UTAMISS D. Williams 19' Jump Shot38
23.0%
35
77.0%
Q2 - 8:52UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
21.6%
35
78.4%
Q2 - 8:55MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot38
22.2%
35
77.8%
Q2 - 9:21UTAHarpring 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)38
23.2%
35
76.8%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMourning Dunk (5 PTS)38
24.8%
33
75.2%
Q2 - 9:50MIAHeat Rebound36
23.2%
33
76.8%
Q2 - 9:51UTAMISS Boozer 17' Jump Shot36
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q2 - 10:05UTAJAZZ Rebound36
21.3%
33
78.7%
Q2 - 10:06UTAMISS Millsap 16' Jump Shot36
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q2 - 10:33MIACook 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
21.3%
33
78.7%
Q2 - 10:45MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
19.8%
33
80.2%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot34
18.6%
33
81.4%
Q2 - 10:59MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
19.8%
33
80.2%
Q2 - 10:59UTAMISS Giricek 23' Jump Shot34
19.3%
33
80.7%
Q2 - 11:17MIADavis 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)34
17.8%
33
82.2%
Q2 - 11:35UTACollins 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harpring 2 AST)32
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA32
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound32
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Collins Layup32
18.8%
31
81.2%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)32
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0UTAHarpring 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)29
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
16.4%
29
83.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 228
16.0%
29
84.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0UTAMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Cook Dunk28
15.5%
29
84.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0UTAMISS Hart 18' Jump Shot28
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q1 - 1:02UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q1 - 1:04UTAMISS Brewer Layup28
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q1 - 1:10UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 228
15.3%
29
84.7%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 228
16.2%
29
83.8%
Q1 - 1:27MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q1 - 1:29UTAMISS Harpring Layup28
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q1 - 1:44MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T4)28
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q1 - 1:56UTAHarpring 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)28
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q1 - 2:14UTAJAZZ Rebound28
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 2:15UTAMISS Millsap 19' Jump Shot28
18.5%
27
81.5%
Q1 - 2:32UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 2:35UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 2 of 228
18.7%
27
81.3%
Q1 - 2:35UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 228
17.8%
27
82.2%
Q1 - 2:51MIAO'Neal Layup (7 PTS)28
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 3:11UTAOkur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harpring 1 AST)26
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q1 - 3:29MIADavis Backcourt Turnover (P1.T3)26
18.6%
24
81.4%
Q1 - 3:41UTAKirilenko Layup (4 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)26
20.1%
24
79.9%
Q1 - 3:44UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Hardaway 3PT Jump Shot26
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q1 - 4:03UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q1 - 4:24MIAWade Driving Dunk (10 PTS)26
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 4:42UTABoozer 11' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)24
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 4:53MIAKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)24
25.6%
17
74.4%
Q1 - 5:01UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
26.3%
17
73.7%
Q1 - 5:01UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 224
26.7%
16
73.3%
Q1 - 5:15MIAMourning 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)24
26.2%
16
73.8%
Q1 - 5:25MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
24.8%
16
75.2%
Q1 - 5:27UTAMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot22
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 5:42MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)22
23.1%
16
76.9%
Q1 - 6:02UTAKirilenko 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)19
19.9%
16
80.1%
Q1 - 6:10MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)19
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 6:25UTABrewer 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)17
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 6:40MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)17
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 6:58UTAD. Williams 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)15
19.9%
12
80.1%
Q1 - 7:01UTAJAZZ Rebound15
20.4%
10
79.6%
Q1 - 7:01UTAMISS Boozer Layup15
21.4%
10
78.6%
Q1 - 7:16UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.4%
10
79.6%
Q1 - 7:18MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot15
20.9%
10
79.1%
Q1 - 7:38UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 7:54MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
20.5%
10
79.5%
Q1 - 7:54MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 214
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 8:04UTAOkur Dunk (5 PTS)14
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 8:16MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)14
21.4%
8
78.6%
Q1 - 8:37UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 8:37UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 212
20.6%
7
79.4%
Q1 - 8:57MIAWade Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
20.1%
7
79.9%
Q1 - 9:06UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
19.0%
7
81.0%
Q1 - 9:21MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
17.6%
7
82.4%
Q1 - 9:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 9:30UTAMISS Brewer 20' Jump Shot8
16.4%
7
83.6%
Q1 - 9:50MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
15.5%
7
84.5%
Q1 - 10:07UTABrewer Dunk (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)6
14.6%
7
85.4%
Q1 - 10:12MIABoozer STEAL (1 STL)6
15.5%
5
84.5%
Q1 - 10:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
16.6%
5
83.4%
Q1 - 10:17UTAMISS Okur 18' Jump Shot6
16.3%
5
83.7%
Q1 - 10:30MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
15.5%
5
84.5%
Q1 - 10:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
13.7%
5
86.3%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS Hardaway 20' Jump Shot3
13.1%
5
86.9%
Q1 - 11:00UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
13.7%
5
86.3%
Q1 - 11:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
14.6%
3
85.4%
Q1 - 11:06MIAO'Neal Layup (3 PTS)3
14.6%
3
85.4%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMISS Wade Layup1
13.1%
3
86.9%
Q1 - 11:27UTAOkur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)1
13.6%
3
86.4%
Q1 - 11:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 20
15.0%
0
85.0%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Okur vs. O'Neal: Tip to Haslem0
15.4%
0
84.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.1%
UTA
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
28
68%
UTA
17
29
59%
Midrange
MIA
16
35
46%
UTA
19
38
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
UTA
6
9.0
11
55%
82%
Free Throws
MIA
16
31
52%
UTA
20
28
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2650%13.0 / 26
J. Williams15107%7.5 / 7
R. Davis1558%7.5 / 13
A. Mourning1359%6.5 / 11
S. O'Neal1255%6.0 / 11
D. Cook1169%5.5 / 8
U. Haslem956%4.5 / 8
A. Hardaway0-0.0 / 3
M. Blount0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Okur2583%12.5 / 15
C. Boozer2460%12.0 / 20
D. Williams2475%12.0 / 16
R. Brewer1750%8.5 / 17
A. Kirilenko1063%5.0 / 8
M. Harpring867%4.0 / 6
J. Collins250%1.0 / 2
J. Hart0-0.0 / 1
P. Millsap0-0.0 / 2
G. Giricek0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+12
-12
89
UTA
79
+13
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.12 56.1%
UTA
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
113.5
MIA 113.5
UTA 120.9 +7.4
Pace
90.5
93.6
MIA 86.1
UTA 94.1 +8.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.5
MIA 16.7
UTA 15.3 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
52.8%
MIA 56.7%
UTA 57.7% +1.0%
TO %
15.4%
15.2%
MIA 11.9%
UTA 11.7% +0.2%
ORB %
22.2%
29.6%
MIA 23.7%
UTA 25.0% +1.3%
FTrt
30.0
34.9
MIA 41.3 +5.4
UTA 35.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
66.0%
MIA 55.0%
UTA 90.5% +35.5%
STL %
7.9%
9.3%
MIA 7.9% +0.2%
UTA 7.7%
BLK %
7.1%
7.3%
MIA 10.4% +5.6%
UTA 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
55.9%
MIA 56.1%
UTA 59.1% +3.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
61.4%
MIA 67.9% +9.3%
UTA 58.6%
Mid FG%
38.8%
44.2%
MIA 45.7%
UTA 50.0% +4.3%
3P %
35.8%
37.2%
MIA 41.7%
UTA 54.5% +12.8%
FT %
72.7%
75.9%
MIA 51.6%
UTA 71.4% +19.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
39.1%
MIA 37.3% +0.2%
UTA 37.2%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
44.3%
MIA 46.7% +2.1%
UTA 48.7%
3P Att. %
21.7%
16.6%
MIA 16.0% +1.9%
UTA 14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points101110
Rebounds3337
Assists2238
Steals77
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)29 (2)
Field Goals40-7542-78
At-the-Rim FG19-2817-29
Midrange FG16-3519-38
2-Point FG35-6336-67
3-Point FG5-126-11
Free Throws16-3120-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
43.3
9
56%
9
1
0
0
0
5
3
6
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
42.1
26
50%
4
10
5
2
3
3
0
4
6-12
50%
10-18
56%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
35.4
15
107%
1
4
2
0
5
3
0
1
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
3-3
100%
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
22.5
12
55%
5
3
0
2
2
5
2
3
2-6
33%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 36
13.6
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
32.5
15
58%
3
0
0
0
1
4
1
2
2-3
67%
5-7
71%
1-5
20%
C · 6'10" 261 · 38
22.8
13
59%
5
1
0
2
1
2
2
3
3-6
50%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
21.7
11
69%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32
6.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
56%
33
22
7
7
12
0
9
24
16-31
52%
35-63
56%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.