FinalWin Prob.pScore
256%94
95
1444%92
85
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
101.19491.7
MIA logo MIA
90.49496.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS95
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (13 PTS)95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 195
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T24)93
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0BOSPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)93
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 0:51.0BOSPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)92
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T23)91
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)91
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 0:56.0BOSWade BLOCK (2 BLK)91
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 1:24MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T22)91
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 1:41BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)91
98.1%
83
1.9%
Q4 - 1:41BOSMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 290
98.0%
83
2.0%
Q4 - 1:54MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (11 PTS)90
98.0%
83
2.0%
Q4 - 2:14BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)90
98.4%
81
1.6%
Q4 - 2:14BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
98.4%
81
1.6%
Q4 - 2:35MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)88
98.0%
81
2.0%
Q4 - 2:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
98.4%
79
1.6%
Q4 - 2:45BOSWade BLOCK (1 BLK)88
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 3:06BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot88
98.5%
79
1.5%
Q4 - 3:33BOSAllen 14' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)88
96.5%
79
3.5%
Q4 - 3:54MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)86
95.4%
79
4.6%
Q4 - 4:10MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
97.8%
76
2.2%
Q4 - 4:11BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
98.0%
76
2.0%
Q4 - 4:33MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)86
98.5%
76
1.5%
Q4 - 4:46BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P6.T18)86
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 5:12BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot86
98.7%
74
1.3%
Q4 - 5:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 5:24BOSMISS Pierce 14' Jump Shot86
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 5:41BOSCeltics Rebound86
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 5:42MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
98.7%
74
1.3%
Q4 - 5:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 5:50BOSMISS Pierce Driving Layup86
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 6:06MIAWilliams Driving Layup (19 PTS)86
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 6:19BOSGarnett Layup (21 PTS)86
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q4 - 6:21BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)84
98.3%
72
1.7%
Q4 - 6:22BOSMISS Posey Layup84
97.8%
72
2.2%
Q4 - 6:46BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
98.3%
72
1.7%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup84
98.1%
72
1.9%
Q4 - 7:11MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
96.9%
72
3.1%
Q4 - 7:13BOSMISS Pierce Layup84
97.1%
72
2.9%
Q4 - 7:30BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
97.7%
72
2.3%
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
97.5%
72
2.5%
Q4 - 7:39MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
96.9%
72
3.1%
Q4 - 7:40BOSMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q4 - 8:01BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
96.9%
72
3.1%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q4 - 8:09MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
96.1%
72
3.9%
Q4 - 8:10BOSMISS Pierce 21' Jump Shot84
96.4%
72
3.6%
Q4 - 8:33BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)84
97.0%
72
3.0%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q4 - 8:44BOSDavis STEAL (1 STL)84
96.1%
72
3.9%
Q4 - 9:00MIADavis Layup (6 PTS)84
97.0%
72
3.0%
Q4 - 9:01MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS Williams Layup84
97.6%
70
2.4%
Q4 - 9:08BOSWade STEAL (3 STL)84
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q4 - 9:24BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
97.8%
70
2.2%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot84
97.6%
70
2.4%
Q4 - 9:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)84
97.2%
70
2.8%
Q4 - 9:40BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 284
97.2%
70
2.8%
Q4 - 9:40BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)84
97.7%
70
2.3%
Q4 - 9:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)83
97.2%
70
2.8%
Q4 - 9:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 283
97.3%
69
2.7%
Q4 - 9:53BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)83
97.2%
69
2.8%
Q4 - 9:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T21)83
97.8%
69
2.2%
Q4 - 10:03BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)83
96.5%
69
3.5%
Q4 - 10:18BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
97.3%
69
2.7%
Q4 - 10:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 183
97.2%
69
2.8%
Q4 - 10:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
97.8%
67
2.2%
Q4 - 10:21BOSMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot83
97.9%
67
2.1%
Q4 - 10:26BOSPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q4 - 10:28BOSMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot83
98.0%
67
2.0%
Q4 - 10:44BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q4 - 10:46BOSMISS Posey 16' Fadeaway Jumper83
98.0%
67
2.0%
Q4 - 11:14MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)83
97.9%
67
2.1%
Q4 - 11:29MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
98.6%
64
1.4%
Q4 - 11:30BOSMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
98.7%
64
1.3%
Q4 - 11:49MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
98.9%
64
1.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS83
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound83
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot83
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
99.5%
58
0.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0BOSMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)83
99.5%
58
0.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)83
99.6%
58
0.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)83
99.7%
55
0.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)82
99.7%
55
0.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAHaslem Dunk (14 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)81
99.7%
55
0.3%
Q3 - 1:08BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)81
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q3 - 1:08BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 280
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q3 - 1:33MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T20)80
99.7%
53
0.3%
Q3 - 1:48BOSRondo Dunk (2 PTS)80
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q3 - 1:49BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q3 - 1:50BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
99.4%
53
0.6%
Q3 - 2:16MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)78
99.3%
53
0.7%
Q3 - 2:23BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)78
99.2%
53
0.8%
Q3 - 2:37MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)76
99.1%
53
0.9%
Q3 - 2:37MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
99.1%
52
0.9%
Q3 - 2:59BOSPerkins Layup (7 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)76
99.2%
51
0.8%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMourning Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)74
98.9%
51
1.1%
Q3 - 3:47BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)74
98.7%
51
1.3%
Q3 - 3:47BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 273
98.6%
51
1.4%
Q3 - 4:02BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
98.4%
51
1.6%
Q3 - 4:15MIAHEAT Rebound73
98.2%
51
1.8%
Q3 - 4:16BOSMISS Garnett Alley Oop Layup73
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)73
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 4:26BOSHardaway STEAL (4 STL)73
98.2%
51
1.8%
Q3 - 4:39BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS Hardaway 15' Jump Shot73
98.4%
51
1.6%
Q3 - 4:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
98.2%
51
1.8%
Q3 - 4:50BOSMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)73
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q3 - 4:55BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Hardaway Tip Shot73
98.4%
51
1.6%
Q3 - 4:58MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
98.2%
51
1.8%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot73
98.4%
51
1.6%
Q3 - 5:19BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)73
98.0%
51
2.0%
Q3 - 5:35MIAHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)71
97.6%
51
2.4%
Q3 - 5:39BOSWilliams STEAL (1 STL)71
97.2%
51
2.8%
Q3 - 5:53MIAHardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)71
97.6%
51
2.4%
Q3 - 6:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
98.0%
48
2.0%
Q3 - 6:06BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 6:12BOSCeltics Rebound71
98.3%
48
1.7%
Q3 - 6:13BOSMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)71
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 6:17BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)71
98.3%
48
1.7%
Q3 - 6:19BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 6:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)71
98.3%
48
1.7%
Q3 - 6:46MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
98.0%
48
2.0%
Q3 - 6:47BOSMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot71
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 7:11BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
98.0%
48
2.0%
Q3 - 7:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
97.7%
48
2.3%
Q3 - 7:22BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
97.8%
48
2.2%
Q3 - 7:32MIAQuinn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)71
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 7:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
97.7%
48
2.3%
Q3 - 7:42BOSMISS Garnett 16' Jump Shot71
97.8%
48
2.2%
Q3 - 7:54BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot71
98.0%
48
2.0%
Q3 - 8:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
97.6%
48
2.4%
Q3 - 8:11BOSMISS Allen Driving Layup71
97.7%
48
2.3%
Q3 - 8:29MIAHardaway 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)71
97.9%
48
2.1%
Q3 - 8:49BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)71
98.2%
46
1.8%
Q3 - 8:58MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)68
97.6%
46
2.4%
Q3 - 9:15BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)68
96.9%
46
3.1%
Q3 - 9:34BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
95.9%
46
4.1%
Q3 - 9:36BOSMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot65
95.5%
46
4.5%
Q3 - 9:51MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Hardaway 3 AST)65
95.9%
46
4.1%
Q3 - 10:12BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
96.1%
44
3.9%
Q3 - 10:36MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)63
95.6%
44
4.4%
Q3 - 10:57BOSGarnett 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)63
96.6%
41
3.4%
Q3 - 11:22MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)61
95.9%
41
4.1%
Q3 - 11:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
95.3%
41
4.7%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade 8' Hook Shot61
95.7%
41
4.3%
Q3 - 11:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
95.3%
41
4.7%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Wade Layup61
95.7%
41
4.3%
Q3 - 11:44BOSGarnett 14' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)61
95.3%
41
4.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA59
94.7%
41
5.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound59
93.9%
41
6.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 38' 3PT Jump Shot59
93.9%
41
6.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Rebound59
93.5%
41
6.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0BOSMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot59
93.7%
41
6.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
94.0%
41
6.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0BOSMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
93.7%
41
6.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
94.1%
41
5.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
94.2%
40
5.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
95.0%
39
5.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
94.9%
39
5.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)57
94.1%
39
5.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)57
94.2%
38
5.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0BOSGarnett 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)57
95.0%
37
5.0%
Q2 - 1:22BOSCeltics Rebound57
95.0%
37
5.0%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 257
95.0%
37
5.0%
Q2 - 1:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
94.5%
37
5.5%
Q2 - 1:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
95.3%
36
4.7%
Q2 - 1:34BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 257
95.3%
36
4.7%
Q2 - 1:34BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
95.7%
36
4.3%
Q2 - 1:43BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
95.0%
36
5.0%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
94.9%
36
5.1%
Q2 - 2:04BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
94.1%
36
5.9%
Q2 - 2:04BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
94.0%
36
6.0%
Q2 - 2:21MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)54
93.3%
36
6.7%
Q2 - 2:41BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)54
92.6%
36
7.4%
Q2 - 2:58MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T10)52
91.6%
36
8.4%
Q2 - 3:02MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
89.8%
36
10.2%
Q2 - 3:03BOSMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
90.2%
36
9.8%
Q2 - 3:17BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
91.0%
36
9.0%
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot52
90.7%
36
9.3%
Q2 - 3:39BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
89.9%
36
10.1%
Q2 - 3:39BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
89.5%
36
10.5%
Q2 - 3:49BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
88.9%
36
11.1%
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
88.5%
36
11.5%
Q2 - 4:08BOSGarnett Layup (6 PTS)50
86.9%
36
13.1%
Q2 - 4:14MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)48
85.6%
36
14.4%
Q2 - 4:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
84.1%
36
15.9%
Q2 - 4:30BOSMISS Garnett 12' Fadeaway Jumper48
84.6%
36
15.4%
Q2 - 4:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)48
85.6%
36
14.4%
Q2 - 4:59BOSHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)48
84.1%
36
15.9%
Q2 - 5:23MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
80.6%
36
19.4%
Q2 - 5:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
83.8%
33
16.2%
Q2 - 5:30BOSMISS Allen 5' Layup45
84.3%
33
15.7%
Q2 - 5:32BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
85.4%
33
14.6%
Q2 - 5:33BOSMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot45
84.3%
33
15.7%
Q2 - 5:42MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)45
85.4%
33
14.6%
Q2 - 5:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
83.8%
33
16.2%
Q2 - 5:47BOSMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot45
84.3%
33
15.7%
Q2 - 5:57BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
85.4%
33
14.6%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot45
84.9%
33
15.1%
Q2 - 6:17BOSHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)45
83.3%
33
16.7%
Q2 - 6:37MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)42
80.4%
33
19.6%
Q2 - 6:42MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
83.3%
30
16.7%
Q2 - 6:43BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
83.9%
30
16.1%
Q2 - 6:54MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)42
85.1%
30
14.9%
Q2 - 7:05BOSGarnett 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)42
85.5%
28
14.5%
Q2 - 7:23MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)40
84.3%
28
15.7%
Q2 - 7:38BOSPollard Foul Turnover (P1.T10)40
85.6%
26
14.4%
Q2 - 7:54BOSCeltics Rebound40
86.9%
26
13.1%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
86.5%
26
13.5%
Q2 - 7:59MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
85.6%
26
14.4%
Q2 - 8:01BOSMISS Scalabrine 3PT Jump Shot40
85.6%
26
14.4%
Q2 - 8:23BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
86.6%
26
13.4%
Q2 - 8:25MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot40
86.1%
26
13.9%
Q2 - 8:36BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
85.1%
26
14.9%
Q2 - 8:36BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
85.0%
26
15.0%
Q2 - 8:42MIAAl. Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)38
84.0%
26
16.0%
Q2 - 9:04BOSHouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)38
81.9%
26
18.1%
Q2 - 9:22BOSPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
78.9%
26
21.1%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
78.3%
26
21.7%
Q2 - 9:44BOSPosey Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)35
77.0%
26
23.0%
Q2 - 9:58BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
75.4%
26
24.6%
Q2 - 9:59MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 233
75.1%
26
24.9%
Q2 - 9:59MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
74.3%
26
25.7%
Q2 - 10:14BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)33
74.7%
25
25.3%
Q2 - 10:14BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
76.8%
25
23.2%
Q2 - 10:15BOSO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)33
75.4%
25
24.6%
Q2 - 10:38BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
76.8%
25
23.2%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
76.2%
25
23.8%
Q2 - 10:50MIAHEAT Rebound33
74.8%
25
25.2%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Cook 7' Jump Shot33
76.2%
25
23.8%
Q2 - 10:55BOSCook STEAL (1 STL)33
74.8%
25
25.2%
Q2 - 11:08BOSPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
76.3%
25
23.7%
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot33
75.8%
25
24.2%
Q2 - 11:28MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
74.5%
25
25.5%
Q2 - 11:29BOSMISS Pierce 14' Jump Shot33
75.1%
25
24.9%
Q2 - 11:37BOSPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
76.3%
25
23.7%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
75.8%
25
24.2%
Q2 - 11:48BOSPosey Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)33
74.5%
25
25.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
72.7%
25
27.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound31
70.7%
25
29.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 49' 3PT Jump Shot31
72.1%
25
27.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)31
70.5%
25
29.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)30
70.2%
25
29.8%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
68.0%
25
32.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 229
68.4%
24
31.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0BOSScalabrine 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pollard 1 AST)29
68.5%
24
31.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
63.8%
24
36.2%
Q1 - 1:10BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)26
68.5%
21
31.5%
Q1 - 1:10BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)25
68.1%
21
31.9%
Q1 - 1:25MIACook 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)24
66.0%
21
34.0%
Q1 - 1:31BOSMourning STEAL (1 STL)24
68.5%
19
31.5%
Q1 - 1:52MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
70.1%
19
29.9%
Q1 - 1:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
68.5%
19
31.5%
Q1 - 1:56BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q1 - 2:14BOSPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
70.4%
19
29.6%
Q1 - 2:16BOSMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 124
68.8%
19
31.2%
Q1 - 2:30MIAHaslem 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)21
64.2%
19
35.8%
Q1 - 2:49BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)21
66.5%
17
33.5%
Q1 - 2:57MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
62.0%
17
38.0%
Q1 - 2:58MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
59.9%
17
40.1%
Q1 - 2:59BOSMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)18
60.6%
17
39.4%
Q1 - 3:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
62.0%
17
38.0%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 218
62.4%
16
37.6%
Q1 - 3:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
61.8%
16
38.2%
Q1 - 3:22BOSMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot18
62.5%
16
37.5%
Q1 - 3:31BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
64.2%
16
35.8%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot18
63.4%
16
36.6%
Q1 - 3:47BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
61.8%
16
38.2%
Q1 - 3:47BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
61.5%
16
38.5%
Q1 - 3:59MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)16
59.9%
16
40.1%
Q1 - 4:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
61.8%
14
38.2%
Q1 - 4:06MIAMISS O'Neal Layup16
63.5%
14
36.5%
Q1 - 4:29BOSAllen 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
61.7%
14
38.3%
Q1 - 4:39BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
60.1%
14
39.9%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Hardaway 22' Jump Shot14
59.3%
14
40.7%
Q1 - 4:57BOSHardaway STEAL (3 STL)14
57.5%
14
42.5%
Q1 - 5:00BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
60.1%
14
39.9%
Q1 - 5:02BOSMISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot14
58.4%
14
41.6%
Q1 - 5:13MIAHardaway Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)14
60.0%
14
40.0%
Q1 - 5:29BOSPerkins Slam Dunk (2 PTS)14
57.8%
14
42.2%
Q1 - 5:30BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
55.9%
14
44.1%
Q1 - 5:31BOSMISS Garnett 14' Jump Shot12
54.3%
14
45.7%
Q1 - 5:48MIAO'Neal Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)12
55.9%
14
44.1%
Q1 - 5:53BOSHardaway STEAL (2 STL)12
57.7%
12
42.3%
Q1 - 6:15MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
59.8%
12
40.2%
Q1 - 6:31BOSPierce Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)12
61.6%
10
38.4%
Q1 - 6:34BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
63.6%
10
36.4%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot12
63.0%
10
37.0%
Q1 - 6:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
61.7%
10
38.3%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot12
63.0%
10
37.0%
Q1 - 7:17BOSPierce 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
61.5%
10
38.5%
Q1 - 7:32MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)10
59.9%
10
40.1%
Q1 - 7:45BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
61.5%
8
38.5%
Q1 - 7:55MIAO'Neal Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
58.1%
8
41.9%
Q1 - 7:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
56.0%
8
44.0%
Q1 - 8:01BOSMISS Garnett 12' Jump Shot7
57.1%
8
42.9%
Q1 - 8:24MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS)7
58.5%
8
41.5%
Q1 - 8:45BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)7
60.1%
6
39.9%
Q1 - 8:51MIAHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
56.7%
6
43.3%
Q1 - 8:54BOSHardaway STEAL (1 STL)4
54.6%
6
45.4%
Q1 - 8:59BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
56.7%
6
43.3%
Q1 - 9:07BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
54.8%
6
45.2%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS Haslem Reverse Layup3
54.0%
6
46.0%
Q1 - 9:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
52.4%
6
47.6%
Q1 - 9:14BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot3
53.1%
6
46.9%
Q1 - 9:41MIAO'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)3
54.8%
6
45.2%
Q1 - 9:53BOSHaslem STEAL (1 STL)3
56.2%
4
43.8%
Q1 - 10:30MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)3
58.3%
4
41.7%
Q1 - 10:52BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P1.T1)3
59.9%
2
40.1%
Q1 - 11:00BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
61.9%
2
38.1%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Hardaway 21' Jump Shot3
61.2%
2
38.8%
Q1 - 11:23BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)3
60.1%
2
39.9%
Q1 - 11:35MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
56.4%
2
43.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Perkins: Tip to Haslem0
58.3%
0
41.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.04 52.2%
MIA
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
9
19
47%
MIA
10
17
59%
Midrange
BOS
10
32
31%
MIA
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
MIA
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
Free Throws
BOS
27
34
79%
MIA
11
17
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2764%13.5 / 21
K. Garnett2352%11.5 / 22
R. Allen1739%8.5 / 22
E. House964%4.5 / 7
K. Perkins788%3.5 / 4
J. Posey643%3.0 / 7
R. Rondo375%1.5 / 2
B. Scalabrine375%1.5 / 2
S. Pollard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams2265%11.0 / 17
U. Haslem1864%9.0 / 14
S. O'Neal1381%6.5 / 8
D. Wade1031%5.0 / 16
D. Cook857%4.0 / 7
R. Davis638%3.0 / 8
A. Hardaway542%2.5 / 6
C. Quinn375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
77
+14
-17
91
MIA
70
+10
-24
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.04 52.2%
MIA
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.6
100.2
BOS 101.1
MIA 90.4 +10.6
Pace
91.5
90.5
BOS 91.7
MIA 96.4 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.3
BOS 15.7
MIA 14.9 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.2%
48.2%
BOS 46.6%
MIA 52.9% +6.3%
TO %
15.7%
15.4%
BOS 17.0% +6.6%
MIA 23.6%
ORB %
26.6%
22.2%
BOS 27.3% +7.3%
MIA 20.0%
FTrt
34.6
30.0
BOS 46.6 +22.3
MIA 24.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.4%
58.5%
BOS 58.6% +11.7%
MIA 46.9%
STL %
9.3%
7.9%
BOS 16.0% +3.2%
MIA 12.8%
BLK %
7.9%
7.1%
BOS 0.0%
MIA 13.7% +13.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.1%
50.6%
BOS 52.2%
MIA 53.1% +0.9%
Rim FG%
58.2%
59.2%
BOS 47.4%
MIA 58.8% +11.4%
Mid FG%
43.2%
38.8%
BOS 31.3%
MIA 42.9% +11.6%
3P %
38.1%
35.8%
BOS 45.5% +5.5%
MIA 40.0%
FT %
77.1%
72.7%
BOS 79.4% +14.7%
MIA 64.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.1%
30.2%
BOS 26.0% +1.7%
MIA 24.3%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
48.1%
BOS 43.8%
MIA 40.0% +3.8%
3P Att. %
24.9%
21.7%
BOS 30.1%
MIA 35.7% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points9585
Rebounds4039
Assists1715
Steals1512
Blocks07
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)24 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals29-7332-70
At-the-Rim FG9-1910-17
Midrange FG10-3212-28
2-Point FG19-5122-45
3-Point FG10-2210-25
Free Throws27-3411-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 205 · 32
43.2
17
39%
4
4
4
0
1
1
3
1
10-11
91%
2-12
17%
1-5
20%
F · 6'11" 240 · 32
38.0
23
52%
9
1
0
0
4
1
3
6
3-5
60%
10-20
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 30
37.0
27
64%
7
3
2
0
6
5
1
6
8-9
89%
2-9
22%
5-9
56%
G · 6'1" 186 · 22
34.5
3
75%
4
6
5
0
2
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 270 · 23
26.0
7
88%
5
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 31
27.6
6
43%
5
2
2
0
0
3
1
4
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
17.0
9
64%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 33
11.3
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 30
5.5
3
75%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22
G · 6'4" 170 · 22
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
#42 · · 6'4" 213 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
40
17
15
0
17
0
12
28
27-34
79%
19-51
37%
10-22
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.