FinalWin Prob.pScore
559%93
91
1541%90
98
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
108.38481.2
MIA logo MIA
114.08689.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0HOUJames Driving Layup (8 PTS)91
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 289
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUScola Layup (20 PTS)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)87
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 287
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound87
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:49.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 0:50.0HOUWade BLOCK (2 BLK)87
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 1:04HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 287
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 1:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 1:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)87
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 1:05HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 1:12MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)87
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 1:32MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
4.3%
93
95.7%
Q4 - 1:33HOUMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot87
5.2%
93
94.8%
Q4 - 1:50HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
8.9%
93
91.1%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot87
7.7%
93
92.3%
Q4 - 2:05MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
5.7%
93
94.3%
Q4 - 2:07HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot87
7.0%
93
93.0%
Q4 - 2:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)87
11.2%
93
88.8%
Q4 - 2:41HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)87
20.0%
90
80.0%
Q4 - 2:41HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 286
18.5%
90
81.5%
Q4 - 3:09HOUScola 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Head 1 AST)86
30.1%
88
69.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T13)84
25.4%
88
74.6%
Q4 - 3:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)84
20.8%
88
79.2%
Q4 - 3:40HOUMISS Head 19' Jump Shot84
22.8%
88
77.2%
Q4 - 4:05MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)84
27.1%
88
72.9%
Q4 - 4:18HOUBlount STEAL (1 STL)84
19.8%
88
80.2%
Q4 - 4:39HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)84
26.7%
88
73.3%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 284
25.7%
88
74.3%
Q4 - 4:40MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
21.4%
88
78.6%
Q4 - 4:56HOUYao Dunk (20 PTS)84
26.1%
87
73.9%
Q4 - 4:57HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
19.9%
87
80.1%
Q4 - 4:59HOUMISS McGrady Reverse Layup82
15.8%
87
84.2%
Q4 - 5:24HOUYao Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)82
23.8%
87
76.2%
Q4 - 5:38MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)81
18.2%
87
81.8%
Q4 - 5:59HOUScola Driving Layup (16 PTS)81
23.4%
85
76.6%
Q4 - 6:17HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
21.6%
85
78.4%
Q4 - 6:18MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
19.9%
85
80.1%
Q4 - 6:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)79
16.3%
85
83.7%
Q4 - 6:28HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot79
17.7%
85
82.3%
Q4 - 6:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)79
21.5%
85
78.5%
Q4 - 6:55HOUScola Layup (14 PTS) (James 3 AST)79
32.4%
82
67.6%
Q4 - 7:20MIAWade 8' Jump Hook Shot (21 PTS)77
30.2%
82
69.8%
Q4 - 7:27MIAHEAT Rebound77
35.5%
80
64.5%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot77
40.6%
80
59.4%
Q4 - 7:37MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
35.4%
80
64.6%
Q4 - 7:38HOUMISS James 3PT Jump Shot77
37.6%
80
62.4%
Q4 - 7:52HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
42.8%
80
57.2%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot77
40.5%
80
59.5%
Q4 - 8:15HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (18 PTS)77
37.4%
80
62.6%
Q4 - 8:24HOUScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)75
31.7%
80
68.3%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot75
30.0%
80
70.0%
Q4 - 8:46HOUHead Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)75
26.3%
80
73.7%
Q4 - 8:57HOUScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
21.7%
80
78.3%
Q4 - 8:58MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
20.4%
80
79.6%
Q4 - 9:05HOUHardaway STEAL (2 STL)73
19.7%
80
80.3%
Q4 - 9:16MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
24.0%
80
76.0%
Q4 - 9:16MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
24.7%
79
75.3%
Q4 - 9:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)73
28.3%
78
71.7%
Q4 - 9:29HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 273
29.0%
78
71.0%
Q4 - 9:29HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
32.2%
78
67.8%
Q4 - 9:32MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)72
28.5%
78
71.5%
Q4 - 9:58HOUHead Driving Layup (2 PTS)72
23.6%
78
76.4%
Q4 - 10:13HOUScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)70
21.4%
78
78.6%
Q4 - 10:15HOUMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
18.6%
78
81.4%
Q4 - 10:33MIAO'Neal Layup (26 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)70
21.3%
78
78.7%
Q4 - 10:59HOUJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)70
25.0%
76
75.0%
Q4 - 11:11MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T10)67
18.8%
76
81.2%
Q4 - 11:23MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
15.5%
76
84.5%
Q4 - 11:25HOUMISS Yao 12' Hook Shot67
16.5%
76
83.5%
Q4 - 11:46MIAWade Tip Shot (19 PTS)67
18.7%
76
81.3%
Q4 - 11:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
22.1%
74
77.9%
Q4 - 11:48MIAMISS Wade 5' Driving Bank Shot67
24.9%
74
75.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU67
22.0%
74
78.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)67
26.2%
74
73.8%
Q3 - 0:09.0HOUJames Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)67
32.4%
72
67.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)67
36.9%
72
63.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0HOUMISS James 19' Jump Shot67
33.7%
72
66.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAO'Neal 9' Running Hook Shot (24 PTS)67
36.9%
72
63.1%
Q3 - 1:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)67
43.1%
70
56.9%
Q3 - 1:06HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 267
43.7%
70
56.3%
Q3 - 1:06HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 267
46.8%
70
53.2%
Q3 - 1:21HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
48.1%
70
51.9%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot67
46.5%
70
53.5%
Q3 - 1:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
43.0%
70
57.0%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot67
46.5%
70
53.5%
Q3 - 1:38MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
43.0%
70
57.0%
Q3 - 1:40HOUWade BLOCK (1 BLK)67
44.5%
70
55.5%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T9)67
48.0%
70
52.0%
Q3 - 2:03HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)67
43.4%
70
56.6%
Q3 - 2:03HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 266
42.3%
70
57.7%
Q3 - 2:03HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
43.8%
70
56.2%
Q3 - 2:03HOUMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot66
40.4%
70
59.6%
Q3 - 2:14HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
43.8%
70
56.2%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 266
43.2%
70
56.8%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 266
40.1%
70
59.9%
Q3 - 2:22HOUHardaway STEAL (1 STL)66
38.9%
70
61.1%
Q3 - 2:41HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
43.8%
70
56.2%
Q3 - 2:42HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
40.4%
70
59.6%
Q3 - 2:49HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
43.8%
70
56.2%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup66
42.3%
70
57.7%
Q3 - 3:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
40.0%
70
60.0%
Q3 - 3:03HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
41.4%
70
58.6%
Q3 - 3:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
44.6%
70
55.4%
Q3 - 3:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
45.6%
69
54.4%
Q3 - 3:43MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
48.7%
68
51.3%
Q3 - 3:44HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 266
49.4%
68
50.6%
Q3 - 3:44HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
52.2%
68
47.8%
Q3 - 4:05MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
49.8%
68
50.2%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 265
50.5%
67
49.5%
Q3 - 4:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)65
49.1%
67
50.9%
Q3 - 4:13HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot65
50.6%
67
49.4%
Q3 - 4:29MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)65
54.1%
67
45.9%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 265
56.0%
66
44.0%
Q3 - 4:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)65
53.4%
66
46.6%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS O'Neal Layup65
56.8%
66
43.2%
Q3 - 4:43HOUO'Neal STEAL (2 STL)65
53.4%
66
46.6%
Q3 - 5:08HOURockets Rebound65
58.4%
66
41.6%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
57.1%
66
42.9%
Q3 - 5:17HOUHaslem STEAL (1 STL)65
54.0%
66
46.0%
Q3 - 5:34HOURockets Rebound65
58.4%
66
41.6%
Q3 - 5:35MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot65
57.0%
66
43.0%
Q3 - 5:54MIAHEAT Rebound65
53.9%
66
46.1%
Q3 - 5:55HOUMISS Scola 9' Hook Shot65
55.3%
66
44.7%
Q3 - 6:11HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
58.5%
66
41.5%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot65
57.3%
66
42.7%
Q3 - 6:32HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Scola 3 AST)65
54.3%
66
45.7%
Q3 - 6:53MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)62
46.6%
66
53.4%
Q3 - 6:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)62
50.3%
64
49.7%
Q3 - 7:01HOUMISS Alston 9' Floating Jump Shot62
51.5%
64
48.5%
Q3 - 7:16HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
54.5%
64
45.5%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 262
54.0%
64
46.0%
Q3 - 7:17MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)62
52.5%
64
47.5%
Q3 - 7:33HOUHayes 4' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)62
54.0%
63
46.0%
Q3 - 7:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
50.7%
63
49.3%
Q3 - 7:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
51.4%
62
48.6%
Q3 - 7:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
54.0%
61
46.0%
Q3 - 7:53HOUMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot60
55.4%
61
44.6%
Q3 - 8:08MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)60
58.8%
61
41.2%
Q3 - 8:31HOUYao Dunk (17 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)60
54.5%
61
45.5%
Q3 - 8:43MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)58
51.2%
61
48.8%
Q3 - 9:09HOUYao 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
58.6%
58
41.4%
Q3 - 9:19HOURockets Rebound56
55.1%
58
44.9%
Q3 - 9:20HOUO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)56
52.5%
58
47.5%
Q3 - 9:37MIAO'Neal Layup (20 PTS)56
55.1%
58
44.9%
Q3 - 9:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
58.6%
56
41.4%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot56
61.2%
56
38.8%
Q3 - 10:07HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)56
59.0%
56
41.0%
Q3 - 10:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
52.3%
56
47.7%
Q3 - 10:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
53.0%
55
47.0%
Q3 - 10:40HOUYao Dunk (13 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)53
55.5%
54
44.5%
Q3 - 11:02MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (18 PTS)51
53.0%
54
47.0%
Q3 - 11:17HOUYao 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)51
56.3%
52
43.7%
Q3 - 11:35MIAO'Neal Dunk (16 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)49
53.0%
52
47.0%
Q3 - 11:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
56.2%
50
43.8%
Q3 - 11:50HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot49
57.3%
50
42.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU49
59.8%
50
40.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)49
59.8%
50
40.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
57.2%
50
42.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 248
56.5%
50
43.5%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)48
56.2%
50
43.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
63.5%
47
36.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
64.2%
47
35.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
65.7%
47
34.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper48
65.0%
47
35.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0HOUMcGrady Layup (14 PTS)48
63.5%
47
36.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
59.5%
47
40.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0HOUMISS Yao 20' Jump Shot46
57.9%
47
42.1%
Q2 - 1:12HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
59.3%
47
40.7%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 246
59.0%
47
41.0%
Q2 - 1:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)46
57.7%
47
42.3%
Q2 - 1:27MIAHEAT Rebound46
60.7%
46
39.3%
Q2 - 1:28HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
61.2%
46
38.8%
Q2 - 1:31HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
62.3%
46
37.7%
Q2 - 1:32HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
61.2%
46
38.8%
Q2 - 1:42HOURockets Rebound46
62.3%
46
37.7%
Q2 - 1:43HOUMISS McGrady 10' Jump Shot46
61.2%
46
38.8%
Q2 - 1:51MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)46
62.3%
46
37.7%
Q2 - 1:52HOUWade STEAL (1 STL)46
60.7%
46
39.3%
Q2 - 2:09MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)46
63.0%
46
37.0%
Q2 - 2:33HOUMcGrady Reverse Layup (12 PTS)46
66.0%
44
34.0%
Q2 - 2:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)44
62.9%
44
37.1%
Q2 - 3:04HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
68.4%
41
31.6%
Q2 - 3:04HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
67.8%
41
32.2%
Q2 - 3:16MIAHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)42
66.1%
41
33.9%
Q2 - 3:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
63.0%
41
37.0%
Q2 - 3:22HOUMISS Mutombo Layup42
64.0%
41
36.0%
Q2 - 3:30HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
66.1%
41
33.9%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot42
65.2%
41
34.8%
Q2 - 3:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
63.0%
41
37.0%
Q2 - 3:40HOUMISS McGrady 8' Jump Shot42
64.0%
41
36.0%
Q2 - 3:51HOURockets Rebound42
66.1%
41
33.9%
Q2 - 3:52HOUMISS James 20' Jump Shot42
64.0%
41
36.0%
Q2 - 4:13HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
65.9%
41
34.1%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 242
65.6%
41
34.4%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 242
64.5%
41
35.5%
Q2 - 4:35HOUScola 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 2 AST)42
63.3%
41
36.7%
Q2 - 4:53MIAHardaway 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
60.6%
41
39.4%
Q2 - 5:12MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
63.3%
39
36.7%
Q2 - 5:13HOUMISS Wells Free Throw 2 of 240
63.7%
39
36.3%
Q2 - 5:13HOUWells Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
65.2%
39
34.8%
Q2 - 5:29MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)39
63.6%
39
36.4%
Q2 - 5:47HOUWells Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Scola 2 AST)39
65.9%
37
34.1%
Q2 - 6:03MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)37
63.9%
37
36.1%
Q2 - 6:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
65.9%
35
34.1%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade Layup37
67.9%
35
32.1%
Q2 - 6:26HOUScola 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 1 AST)37
65.9%
35
34.1%
Q2 - 6:50MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)35
63.9%
35
36.1%
Q2 - 6:59HOUWells Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
60.8%
35
39.2%
Q2 - 6:59HOUWells Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
60.0%
35
40.0%
Q2 - 7:08HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
58.8%
35
41.2%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Hook Shot33
58.0%
35
42.0%
Q2 - 7:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
56.1%
35
43.9%
Q2 - 7:27HOUMISS Wells 15' Jump Shot33
56.9%
35
43.1%
Q2 - 7:55HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
58.8%
35
41.2%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
58.0%
35
42.0%
Q2 - 8:11HOUJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)33
55.9%
35
44.1%
Q2 - 8:27MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)30
51.1%
35
48.9%
Q2 - 8:41HOUYao 15' Hook Shot (9 PTS)30
48.2%
35
51.8%
Q2 - 8:53HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
45.9%
35
54.1%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot28
45.1%
35
54.9%
Q2 - 9:10MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
43.7%
35
56.3%
Q2 - 9:11HOUMISS Wells 17' Jump Shot28
44.5%
35
55.5%
Q2 - 9:23MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
46.4%
35
53.6%
Q2 - 9:42HOUScola 5' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)28
48.6%
33
51.4%
Q2 - 9:44HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)26
46.4%
33
53.6%
Q2 - 9:46HOUMISS Yao 10' Hook Shot26
44.4%
33
55.6%
Q2 - 10:10MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
46.5%
33
53.5%
Q2 - 10:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
51.1%
30
48.9%
Q2 - 10:17HOUMISS Wells 19' Jump Shot26
52.0%
30
48.0%
Q2 - 10:40MIAHardaway 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
53.9%
30
46.1%
Q2 - 11:06HOUScola Layup (6 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)26
56.4%
28
43.6%
Q2 - 11:22MIAMourning Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)24
54.0%
28
46.0%
Q2 - 11:36HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)24
56.4%
26
43.6%
Q2 - 11:36HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
58.7%
26
41.3%
Q2 - 11:38HOUMISS James Driving Layup24
57.1%
26
42.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU24
58.7%
26
41.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
58.7%
26
41.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot24
57.9%
26
42.1%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
56.6%
26
43.4%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 224
58.2%
26
41.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
56.9%
26
43.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
59.0%
25
41.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot24
59.5%
25
40.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS)24
60.7%
25
39.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Davis Free Throw Technical24
63.5%
23
36.5%
Q1 - 1:12HOUMcGrady Layup (8 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)24
63.5%
23
36.5%
Q1 - 1:29MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
60.8%
23
39.2%
Q1 - 1:42HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
63.5%
21
36.5%
Q1 - 1:42HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
63.2%
21
36.8%
Q1 - 1:42HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
60.8%
21
39.2%
Q1 - 1:43HOUMISS Scola Layup20
59.6%
21
40.4%
Q1 - 1:58MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)20
60.8%
21
39.2%
Q1 - 2:19HOUAlston Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)20
63.6%
19
36.4%
Q1 - 2:26HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
61.3%
19
38.7%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot18
60.6%
19
39.4%
Q1 - 2:43HOUYao Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)18
59.2%
19
40.8%
Q1 - 2:47HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
61.3%
19
38.7%
Q1 - 2:49HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot18
59.8%
19
40.2%
Q1 - 2:59HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
61.3%
19
38.7%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Davis 18' Turnaround Jump Shot18
60.8%
19
39.2%
Q1 - 3:22HOUYao 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
59.1%
19
40.9%
Q1 - 3:36HOURockets Rebound16
57.2%
19
42.8%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Wade Layup16
56.4%
19
43.6%
Q1 - 3:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
54.7%
19
45.3%
Q1 - 3:55HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot16
55.4%
19
44.6%
Q1 - 4:07MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)16
57.6%
19
42.4%
Q1 - 4:24HOUMcGrady 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)16
54.9%
19
45.1%
Q1 - 4:27HOURockets Rebound14
53.2%
19
46.8%
Q1 - 4:28HOUO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)14
51.3%
19
48.7%
Q1 - 4:49MIAWade Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)14
53.2%
19
46.8%
Q1 - 5:00HOUScola Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
54.9%
17
45.1%
Q1 - 5:07HOUYao Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)12
53.7%
17
46.3%
Q1 - 5:16HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
51.6%
17
48.4%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot11
50.9%
17
49.1%
Q1 - 5:33HOUScola Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)11
49.2%
17
50.8%
Q1 - 5:35HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 5:37HOUMISS Yao 12' Jump Shot9
45.7%
17
54.3%
Q1 - 5:57MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 6:11HOUMcGrady Dunk (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)9
49.8%
15
50.2%
Q1 - 6:21MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)7
47.8%
15
52.2%
Q1 - 6:43HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)7
45.7%
15
54.3%
Q1 - 7:06HOURockets Rebound4
43.4%
15
56.6%
Q1 - 7:08MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 24
43.1%
15
56.9%
Q1 - 7:08MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)4
42.4%
15
57.6%
Q1 - 7:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
43.1%
14
56.9%
Q1 - 7:13HOUMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot4
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 7:47MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)4
45.1%
14
54.9%
Q1 - 7:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
46.8%
12
53.2%
Q1 - 7:55HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
47.4%
12
52.6%
Q1 - 8:16MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)4
49.6%
12
50.4%
Q1 - 8:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
53.1%
9
46.9%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot4
54.6%
9
45.4%
Q1 - 8:44HOUMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
53.1%
9
46.9%
Q1 - 9:08MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)2
51.4%
9
48.6%
Q1 - 9:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
54.7%
6
45.3%
Q1 - 9:19HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
55.4%
6
44.6%
Q1 - 9:30HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.1%
6
42.9%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
56.3%
6
43.7%
Q1 - 10:05HOUYao 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
54.9%
6
45.1%
Q1 - 10:25MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
53.3%
6
46.7%
Q1 - 10:35HOUO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)0
54.9%
4
45.1%
Q1 - 10:52MIADavis Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)0
57.0%
4
43.0%
Q1 - 10:58MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. McGrady: Tip to O'Neal0
58.5%
2
41.5%
Q1 - 10:59HOUMISS Hayes 4' Jump Shot0
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 11:12HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
60.5%
2
39.5%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot0
60.0%
2
40.0%
Q1 - 11:26MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.9%
2
41.1%
Q1 - 11:28HOUO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
59.4%
2
40.6%
Q1 - 11:40MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS)0
60.5%
2
39.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Yao: Tip to Williams0
62.4%
0
37.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.95 47.4%
MIA
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
21
29
72%
MIA
13
20
65%
Midrange
HOU
10
35
29%
MIA
20
37
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
MIA
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
Free Throws
HOU
14
22
64%
MIA
23
38
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao2071%10.0 / 14
L. Scola2063%10.0 / 16
T. McGrady1938%9.5 / 25
S. Battier964%4.5 / 7
M. James850%4.0 / 8
B. Wells536%2.5 / 7
L. Head450%2.0 / 4
R. Alston321%1.5 / 7
C. Hayes250%1.0 / 2
D. Mutombo125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3155%15.5 / 28
S. O'Neal2676%13.0 / 17
R. Davis1255%6.0 / 11
U. Haslem1155%5.5 / 10
J. Williams650%3.0 / 6
A. Mourning563%2.5 / 4
A. Hardaway4100%2.0 / 2
M. Blount375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
75
+17
-9
92
MIA
73
+8
-13
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.95 47.4%
MIA
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
100.2
HOU 108.3
MIA 114.0 +5.6
Pace
90.7
90.5
HOU 81.2
MIA 89.0 +7.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.3
HOU 17.7
MIA 16.2 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
48.2%
HOU 47.0%
MIA 57.7% +10.7%
TO %
14.4%
15.4%
HOU 9.8% +3.9%
MIA 13.7%
ORB %
29.1%
22.2%
HOU 31.0% +12.2%
MIA 18.8%
FTrt
27.6
30.0
HOU 26.8
MIA 58.5 +31.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.5%
HOU 52.8% +5.6%
MIA 47.2%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
HOU 6.0%
MIA 8.1% +2.1%
BLK %
7.8%
7.1%
HOU 7.0%
MIA 7.8% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
50.6%
HOU 47.4%
MIA 60.5% +13.1%
Rim FG%
57.9%
59.2%
HOU 72.4% +7.4%
MIA 65.0%
Mid FG%
40.6%
38.8%
HOU 28.6%
MIA 54.1% +25.5%
3P %
34.2%
35.8%
HOU 27.8%
MIA 37.5% +9.7%
FT %
72.6%
72.7%
HOU 63.6% +3.1%
MIA 60.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
30.2%
HOU 35.4% +4.6%
MIA 30.8%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
48.1%
HOU 42.7% +14.2%
MIA 56.9%
3P Att. %
25.5%
21.7%
HOU 22.0% +9.6%
MIA 12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions8486
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points9198
Rebounds3935
Assists1917
Steals57
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (4)29 (4)
Field Goals36-8236-65
At-the-Rim FG21-2913-20
Midrange FG10-3520-37
2-Point FG31-6433-57
3-Point FG5-183-8
Free Throws14-2223-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 225 · 29
41.2
19
38%
6
4
1
1
3
4
2
4
5-10
50%
7-16
44%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 29
36.5
9
64%
7
2
1
0
0
5
1
6
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-7
43%
C · 7'6" 310 · 27
35.2
20
71%
7
2
0
1
1
6
2
5
4-4
100%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 31
26.9
3
21%
1
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 240 · 24
11.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 241 · 28
36.4
20
63%
9
3
1
1
2
5
4
5
0-0
-
10-16
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 32
17.3
8
50%
0
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31
13.2
5
36%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 41
11.7
1
25%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 25
10.2
4
50%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 31
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24
#20 · F · 6'10" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · G · 6'0" 161 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · F · 6'9" 248 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
47%
39
19
5
4
9
0
13
26
14-22
64%
31-64
48%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.