FinalWin Prob.pScore
734%95
110
266%100
128
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
117.09494.7
SAS logo SAS
136.29493.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS110
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)110
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot110
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)110
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:56.0ORLHoward 2' Layup (34 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)110
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09SASUdoka 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)108
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)108
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)105
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)105
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2104
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)104
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02ORLMISS Turkoglu 1' Reverse Layup104
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21SASParker 17' Jump Shot (29 PTS)104
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)104
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)101
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)101
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02ORLMISS Lewis 7' Jump Shot101
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)101
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 3:16SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)101
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 3:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)101
0.6%
113
99.4%
Q4 - 3:36ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot101
0.7%
113
99.3%
Q4 - 3:53SASParker 3' Layup (25 PTS)101
0.9%
113
99.1%
Q4 - 4:15ORLNelson 9' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)101
1.2%
111
98.8%
Q4 - 4:23ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
0.8%
111
99.2%
Q4 - 4:25SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot99
0.7%
111
99.3%
Q4 - 4:44ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)99
0.5%
111
99.5%
Q4 - 4:44ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)98
0.5%
111
99.5%
Q4 - 4:56SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)97
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 4:56SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 297
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 5:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)97
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 5:14ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Hook Shot97
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 5:35SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)97
0.9%
110
99.1%
Q4 - 5:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)97
1.7%
107
98.3%
Q4 - 5:52ORLHoward 1' Dunk (28 PTS)97
1.7%
107
98.3%
Q4 - 5:54ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot95
1.0%
107
99.0%
Q4 - 6:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)95
1.8%
107
98.2%
Q4 - 6:20SASMISS Finley 10' Jump Shot95
1.6%
107
98.4%
Q4 - 6:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)95
1.2%
107
98.8%
Q4 - 6:37ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
1.4%
107
98.6%
Q4 - 6:43ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)95
1.7%
107
98.3%
Q4 - 6:46SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Layup95
1.5%
107
98.5%
Q4 - 6:55ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T13)95
1.2%
107
98.8%
Q4 - 7:06ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
2.3%
107
97.7%
Q4 - 7:07SASMISS Finley Layup95
2.1%
107
97.9%
Q4 - 7:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)95
1.7%
107
98.3%
Q4 - 7:18ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot95
1.9%
107
98.1%
Q4 - 7:40SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)95
2.3%
107
97.7%
Q4 - 7:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)95
3.8%
104
96.2%
Q4 - 7:48ORLMISS Howard 3' Jump Shot95
4.1%
104
95.9%
Q4 - 8:08SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)95
6.0%
104
94.0%
Q4 - 8:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)95
9.5%
101
90.5%
Q4 - 8:18ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
10.2%
101
89.8%
Q4 - 8:31SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)95
11.9%
101
88.1%
Q4 - 8:42ORLLewis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)95
9.4%
101
90.6%
Q4 - 8:46SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)95
11.9%
101
88.1%
Q4 - 8:56ORLArroyo Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)95
9.4%
101
90.6%
Q4 - 9:03ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
12.7%
101
87.3%
Q4 - 9:04SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot95
11.9%
101
88.1%
Q4 - 9:22ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)95
10.2%
101
89.8%
Q4 - 9:22ORLMagic Rebound95
12.7%
101
87.3%
Q4 - 9:24ORLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)95
10.9%
101
89.1%
Q4 - 9:48SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)95
12.7%
101
87.3%
Q4 - 10:08ORLHoward 3' Alley Oop Dunk (26 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)95
16.1%
99
83.9%
Q4 - 10:34SASDuncan 2' Tip Shot (17 PTS)93
13.4%
99
86.6%
Q4 - 10:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)93
16.1%
97
83.9%
Q4 - 10:36SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Bank Shot93
18.5%
97
81.5%
Q4 - 10:56ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)93
16.0%
97
84.0%
Q4 - 11:18SASBarry 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)90
11.7%
97
88.3%
Q4 - 11:24SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
14.0%
95
86.0%
Q4 - 11:25ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
14.8%
95
85.2%
Q4 - 11:45SASDuncan 5' Turnaround Bank Shot (15 PTS)90
16.9%
95
83.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL90
20.0%
93
80.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)90
23.9%
93
76.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)90
20.6%
93
79.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)87
14.7%
93
85.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)87
20.6%
90
79.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASMISS Oberto 4' Tip Shot87
23.0%
90
77.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
20.6%
90
79.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASMISS Vaughn 4' Running Jump Shot87
23.0%
90
77.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
20.6%
90
79.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
21.6%
90
78.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
24.2%
90
75.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASMISS Oberto 13' Jump Shot87
23.0%
90
77.0%
Q3 - 1:13ORLLewis 12' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)87
20.9%
90
79.1%
Q3 - 1:33SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)85
17.9%
90
82.1%
Q3 - 1:33SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)85
18.3%
89
81.7%
Q3 - 1:45ORLDooling 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)85
20.9%
88
79.1%
Q3 - 2:01SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)83
18.2%
88
81.8%
Q3 - 2:04SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
27.7%
84
72.3%
Q3 - 2:05SASMISS Barry 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
30.6%
84
69.4%
Q3 - 2:28ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)83
27.7%
84
72.3%
Q3 - 2:45SASParker 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)81
24.4%
84
75.6%
Q3 - 2:51ORLBarry STEAL (1 STL)81
27.7%
82
72.3%
Q3 - 3:07SASParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS)81
32.0%
82
68.0%
Q3 - 3:26SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
35.8%
80
64.2%
Q3 - 3:28ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 281
36.4%
80
63.6%
Q3 - 3:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)81
38.5%
80
61.5%
Q3 - 3:39ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
36.0%
80
64.0%
Q3 - 3:40SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot80
34.7%
80
65.3%
Q3 - 3:57SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
31.7%
80
68.3%
Q3 - 3:58ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 180
32.3%
80
67.7%
Q3 - 4:10ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
28.1%
80
71.9%
Q3 - 4:11SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
26.9%
80
73.1%
Q3 - 4:26ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)78
24.3%
80
75.7%
Q3 - 4:26ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)77
23.7%
80
76.3%
Q3 - 4:43SASParker 3' Running Layup (19 PTS)76
21.7%
80
78.3%
Q3 - 5:01SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
24.7%
78
75.3%
Q3 - 5:02ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot76
25.7%
78
74.3%
Q3 - 5:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)76
28.1%
78
71.9%
Q3 - 5:14SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
27.0%
78
73.0%
Q3 - 5:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
24.6%
78
75.4%
Q3 - 5:28ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot76
25.6%
78
74.4%
Q3 - 5:43SASDuncan 8' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)76
28.1%
78
71.9%
Q3 - 6:06ORLLewis 16' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
31.0%
76
69.0%
Q3 - 6:26SASParker 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)74
28.0%
76
72.0%
Q3 - 6:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
31.1%
74
68.9%
Q3 - 6:35ORLMISS Turkoglu 1' Layup74
32.2%
74
67.8%
Q3 - 6:52SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS)74
34.9%
74
65.1%
Q3 - 7:10ORLHoward 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (21 PTS)74
37.6%
72
62.4%
Q3 - 7:36SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
34.6%
72
65.4%
Q3 - 7:36SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 272
35.6%
71
64.4%
Q3 - 7:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
34.1%
71
65.9%
Q3 - 7:38SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
36.9%
71
63.1%
Q3 - 7:53ORLTurkoglu 3' Layup (18 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)72
34.1%
71
65.9%
Q3 - 8:11SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)70
31.1%
71
68.9%
Q3 - 8:27ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)70
37.5%
68
62.5%
Q3 - 8:44ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
41.6%
68
58.4%
Q3 - 8:45SASMISS Finley 13' Jump Shot70
40.3%
68
59.7%
Q3 - 8:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
37.5%
68
62.5%
Q3 - 8:53ORLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)70
38.7%
68
61.3%
Q3 - 9:14SASGinobili 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)70
40.5%
68
59.5%
Q3 - 9:19ORLFinley STEAL (1 STL)70
43.9%
66
56.1%
Q3 - 9:23ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
47.7%
66
52.3%
Q3 - 9:24SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
46.6%
66
53.4%
Q3 - 9:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
44.0%
66
56.0%
Q3 - 9:31ORLMISS Turkoglu 1' Layup70
45.1%
66
54.9%
Q3 - 9:56SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)70
47.8%
66
52.2%
Q3 - 10:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
53.6%
63
46.4%
Q3 - 10:06SASMISS Parker 17' Fadeaway Jumper70
56.3%
63
43.7%
Q3 - 10:33ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)70
53.6%
63
46.4%
Q3 - 10:50SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
46.9%
63
53.1%
Q3 - 10:50SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
47.3%
62
52.7%
Q3 - 10:50SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
50.1%
61
49.9%
Q3 - 10:50SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot67
52.9%
61
47.1%
Q3 - 11:03SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
49.2%
61
50.8%
Q3 - 11:04ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
50.3%
61
49.7%
Q3 - 11:27SASGinobili 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)67
52.9%
61
47.1%
Q3 - 11:41ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)67
56.2%
59
43.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL64
49.5%
59
50.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASParker 1' Layup (15 PTS)64
49.5%
59
50.5%
Q2 - 0:12.0ORLLewis 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)64
52.4%
57
47.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASParker 1' Layup (13 PTS)62
48.1%
57
51.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
52.4%
55
47.6%
Q2 - 1:02SASParker 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)59
44.1%
55
55.9%
Q2 - 1:16SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
48.9%
53
51.1%
Q2 - 1:17ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
49.4%
53
50.6%
Q2 - 1:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)59
50.6%
53
49.4%
Q2 - 1:34SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot59
50.1%
53
49.9%
Q2 - 1:49ORLBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)59
48.9%
53
51.1%
Q2 - 1:59SASMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot56
40.5%
53
59.5%
Q2 - 1:59ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
41.0%
53
59.0%
Q2 - 2:15ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
38.4%
53
61.6%
Q2 - 2:15ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 255
37.8%
53
62.2%
Q2 - 2:19ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
38.1%
53
61.9%
Q2 - 2:21SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot55
37.3%
53
62.7%
Q2 - 2:38ORLHoward Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)55
35.5%
53
64.5%
Q2 - 2:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)53
32.4%
53
67.6%
Q2 - 2:52SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 253
32.1%
53
67.9%
Q2 - 2:52SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 253
30.3%
53
69.7%
Q2 - 2:59ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)53
30.0%
53
70.0%
Q2 - 3:11ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
25.0%
53
75.0%
Q2 - 3:12SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q2 - 3:28ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)50
22.6%
53
77.4%
Q2 - 3:45SASParker 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
18.9%
53
81.1%
Q2 - 4:03ORLHoward 2' Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)47
20.8%
51
79.2%
Q2 - 4:07ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
18.9%
51
81.1%
Q2 - 4:08SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot45
18.4%
51
81.6%
Q2 - 4:30SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
17.2%
51
82.8%
Q2 - 4:31ORLMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot45
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q2 - 4:44SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
18.9%
51
81.1%
Q2 - 4:44SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
19.5%
50
80.5%
Q2 - 4:58ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)45
20.8%
49
79.2%
Q2 - 4:58ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 244
20.1%
49
79.9%
Q2 - 5:05ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
20.9%
49
79.1%
Q2 - 5:07SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
20.3%
49
79.7%
Q2 - 5:34ORLHoward 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)44
18.9%
49
81.1%
Q2 - 5:58SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)42
17.4%
49
82.6%
Q2 - 6:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
20.8%
46
79.2%
Q2 - 6:15ORLMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot42
21.5%
46
78.5%
Q2 - 6:33SASGinobili 10' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)42
23.0%
46
77.0%
Q2 - 6:54ORLHoward 6' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)42
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 7:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)40
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 7:15SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
22.6%
44
77.4%
Q2 - 7:32ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 7:50SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)38
19.6%
44
80.4%
Q2 - 8:11ORLHoward 1' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)38
21.2%
42
78.8%
Q2 - 8:31SASBarry 1' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)36
19.7%
42
80.3%
Q2 - 8:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 8:35SASMISS Udoka 22' Jump Shot36
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 8:47SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 8:49ORLMISS Arroyo 14' Jump Shot36
21.8%
40
78.2%
Q2 - 9:02SASGinobili 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)36
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 9:15ORLArroyo 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
24.8%
38
75.2%
Q2 - 9:28SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)34
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 9:35ORLDuncan STEAL (1 STL)34
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 9:52ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
29.0%
35
71.0%
Q2 - 9:53SASMISS Udoka 5' Running Jump Shot34
28.3%
35
71.7%
Q2 - 10:13ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P2.T5)34
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 10:25SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
29.1%
35
70.9%
Q2 - 10:25SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
29.4%
34
70.6%
Q2 - 10:32SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
30.9%
33
69.1%
Q2 - 10:33ORLMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot34
31.6%
33
68.4%
Q2 - 10:51SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)34
33.3%
33
66.7%
Q2 - 11:07SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
37.1%
30
62.9%
Q2 - 11:08ORLMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot34
37.8%
30
62.2%
Q2 - 11:22ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
39.4%
30
60.6%
Q2 - 11:24SASMISS Vaughn 14' Jump Shot34
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q2 - 11:36ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)34
37.1%
30
62.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL34
39.5%
30
60.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)34
39.5%
30
60.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Reverse Layup34
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q1 - 0:14.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
37.0%
30
63.0%
Q1 - 0:15.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 234
37.3%
30
62.7%
Q1 - 0:15.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 234
38.5%
30
61.5%
Q1 - 0:15.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)34
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q1 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot34
37.5%
30
62.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASOberto 1' Layup (6 PTS)34
38.8%
30
61.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
41.6%
28
58.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASMISS Ginobili 10' Jump Shot34
42.8%
28
57.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0SASSPURS Rebound34
41.6%
28
58.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0SASMISS Vaughn 14' Jump Shot34
42.8%
28
57.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASSPURS Rebound34
41.6%
28
58.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot34
42.8%
28
57.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
41.6%
28
58.4%
Q1 - 0:57.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
40.7%
28
59.3%
Q1 - 1:02SASVaughn 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)32
38.7%
28
61.3%
Q1 - 1:20ORLArroyo 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
41.5%
26
58.5%
Q1 - 1:34SASOberto 3' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)30
38.7%
26
61.3%
Q1 - 1:55ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
41.5%
24
58.5%
Q1 - 1:55ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)29
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q1 - 1:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)28
38.7%
24
61.3%
Q1 - 2:00SASMISS Parker 1' Layup28
38.2%
24
61.8%
Q1 - 2:23ORLTurkoglu 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
36.8%
24
63.2%
Q1 - 2:35SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
34.5%
24
65.5%
Q1 - 2:39SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
39.0%
21
61.0%
Q1 - 2:40ORLMISS Dooling 2' Layup26
39.6%
21
60.4%
Q1 - 2:56SASOberto Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)26
41.1%
21
58.9%
Q1 - 3:06ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)26
42.4%
19
57.6%
Q1 - 3:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)26
44.9%
19
55.1%
Q1 - 3:14SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot26
44.2%
19
55.8%
Q1 - 3:30ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)26
42.5%
19
57.5%
Q1 - 3:50SASParker 1' Layup (4 PTS)23
38.4%
19
61.6%
Q1 - 3:56SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 3:57ORLMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
41.1%
17
58.9%
Q1 - 4:13SASDuncan Dunk (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)23
42.2%
17
57.8%
Q1 - 4:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
43.9%
15
56.1%
Q1 - 4:22ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot23
44.7%
15
55.3%
Q1 - 4:30ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
46.6%
15
53.4%
Q1 - 4:31SASMISS Bowen 5' Jump Shot23
45.8%
15
54.2%
Q1 - 4:51ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)23
43.9%
15
56.1%
Q1 - 4:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 4:59SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot20
39.3%
15
60.7%
Q1 - 5:17ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)20
36.8%
15
63.2%
Q1 - 5:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
33.2%
15
66.8%
Q1 - 5:30SASMISS Parker 4' Floating Jump Shot17
32.6%
15
67.4%
Q1 - 5:49ORLHoward 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)17
31.2%
15
68.8%
Q1 - 5:59SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
29.6%
15
70.4%
Q1 - 5:59SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 215
29.9%
14
70.1%
Q1 - 6:00SASSPURS Rebound15
29.4%
14
70.6%
Q1 - 6:00SASMISS Parker 2' Layup15
30.8%
14
69.2%
Q1 - 6:08ORLTurkoglu 2' Layup (6 PTS)15
29.2%
14
70.8%
Q1 - 6:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 6:18SASMISS Duncan 10' Fadeaway Bank Shot13
27.1%
14
72.9%
Q1 - 6:39ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
26.0%
14
74.0%
Q1 - 6:56SASGinobili 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)11
24.5%
14
75.5%
Q1 - 7:14ORLHoward 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)11
25.9%
12
74.1%
Q1 - 7:26SASDuncan 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)9
24.6%
12
75.4%
Q1 - 7:42ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)9
25.9%
10
74.1%
Q1 - 7:47ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
27.5%
10
72.5%
Q1 - 7:48SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot9
27.0%
10
73.0%
Q1 - 8:02ORLTurkoglu 1' Layup (4 PTS)9
25.8%
10
74.2%
Q1 - 8:14SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)7
24.5%
10
75.5%
Q1 - 8:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
27.3%
7
72.7%
Q1 - 8:23ORLMISS Howard 1' Layup7
27.8%
7
72.2%
Q1 - 8:37SASParker 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
29.0%
7
71.0%
Q1 - 8:49SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
30.4%
5
69.6%
Q1 - 8:50ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup7
30.9%
5
69.1%
Q1 - 8:55ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
32.2%
5
67.8%
Q1 - 8:56SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot7
31.6%
5
68.4%
Q1 - 9:12ORLHoward 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)7
30.0%
5
70.0%
Q1 - 9:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
28.9%
5
71.1%
Q1 - 9:21SASMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot5
28.3%
5
71.7%
Q1 - 9:43ORLTurkoglu 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
27.0%
5
73.0%
Q1 - 9:55SASBowen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)3
25.9%
5
74.1%
Q1 - 10:08ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
27.0%
3
73.0%
Q1 - 10:16ORLMagic Rebound1
25.7%
3
74.3%
Q1 - 10:16ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot1
24.6%
3
75.4%
Q1 - 10:36SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)1
25.7%
3
74.3%
Q1 - 10:47ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 10:47ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 20
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 10:51ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 10:52SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot0
28.2%
0
71.8%
Q1 - 11:03ORLParker STEAL (1 STL)0
27.1%
0
72.9%
Q1 - 11:13ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 11:15SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Bank Shot0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:32SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.1%
0
72.9%
Q1 - 11:33ORLMISS Bogans 9' Jump Shot0
27.5%
0
72.5%
Q1 - 11:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 11:45SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Howard: Tip to Oberto0
27.1%
0
72.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.22 61.1%
SAS
1.23 61.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
17
25
68%
SAS
24
36
67%
Midrange
ORL
15
30
50%
SAS
11
33
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
SAS
13
19.5
24
54%
81%
Free Throws
ORL
16
24
67%
SAS
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard3471%17.0 / 24
H. Turkoglu2662%13.0 / 21
J. Nelson1563%7.5 / 12
R. Lewis1260%6.0 / 10
K. Bogans1286%6.0 / 7
C. Arroyo758%3.5 / 6
K. Dooling450%2.0 / 4
J. Redick0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker3267%16.0 / 24
M. Ginobili2764%13.5 / 21
T. Duncan2059%10.0 / 17
B. Barry19119%9.5 / 8
M. Finley1139%5.5 / 14
B. Bowen857%4.0 / 7
F. Oberto660%3.0 / 5
I. Udoka350%1.5 / 3
J. Vaughn225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
83
+5
-11
88
SAS
91
+12
-3
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.22 61.1%
SAS
1.23 61.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
106.5
ORL 117.0
SAS 136.2 +19.1
Pace
93.5
89.5
ORL 94.7 +1.3
SAS 93.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.5
ORL 15.2 +0.2
SAS 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
50.4%
ORL 62.7% +4.1%
SAS 58.6%
TO %
14.7%
13.4%
ORL 13.2%
SAS 2.8% +10.4%
ORB %
23.4%
23.4%
ORL 8.8%
SAS 20.9% +12.1%
FTrt
35.5
27.6
ORL 32.0 +6.2
SAS 25.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
58.5%
ORL 47.6%
SAS 62.5% +14.9%
STL %
6.8%
7.1%
ORL 2.1%
SAS 4.3% +2.2%
BLK %
6.2%
6.5%
ORL 5.8% +2.2%
SAS 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
52.8%
ORL 61.1%
SAS 61.5% +0.4%
Rim FG%
61.5%
60.6%
ORL 68.0% +1.3%
SAS 66.7%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.4%
ORL 50.0% +16.7%
SAS 33.3%
3P %
38.6%
36.9%
ORL 50.0%
SAS 54.2% +4.2%
FT %
72.1%
76.1%
ORL 66.7%
SAS 79.2% +12.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
30.8%
ORL 33.3%
SAS 38.7% +5.4%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
44.1%
ORL 40.0%
SAS 35.5% +4.5%
3P Att. %
32.2%
25.1%
ORL 26.7% +0.9%
SAS 25.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points110128
Rebounds3740
Assists2030
Steals24
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)3 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)31 (0)
Field Goals42-7548-93
At-the-Rim FG17-2524-36
Midrange FG15-3011-33
2-Point FG32-5535-69
3-Point FG10-2013-24
Free Throws16-2419-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 235 · 28
44.9
12
60%
6
1
0
1
5
3
0
6
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 220 · 29
42.0
26
62%
5
5
0
0
1
2
0
5
6-7
86%
7-12
58%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
41.1
34
71%
16
0
1
3
2
4
3
13
6-12
50%
14-19
74%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 28
37.1
12
86%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
G · 6'0" 190 · 26
30.6
15
63%
5
9
0
0
2
2
0
5
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 200 · 28
17.4
7
58%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
15.4
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
5
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 270 · 33
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 238 · 31
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
#13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
61%
37
20
2
4
11
0
3
34
16-24
67%
32-55
58%
10-20
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.