FinalWin Prob.pScore
635%106
106
365%111
110
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
99.1107114.1
PHX logo PHX
103.810699.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLPHX
Q4 - 0:00.0PHX106
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)106
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)106
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0PHXBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)106
2.2%
108
97.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
5.3%
108
94.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)106
13.9%
108
86.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0PHXMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 2106
16.5%
107
83.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)106
13.1%
107
86.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)105
11.4%
107
88.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:18)104
6.7%
107
93.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0PHXMISS Nash Free Throw 2 of 2104
5.8%
107
94.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)104
2.8%
107
97.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0PHXBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)104
6.6%
106
93.4%
Q4 - 0:24.0PHXMISS Stoudemire Layup104
13.1%
106
86.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0ORLTurkoglu 8' Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS)104
10.2%
106
89.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0PHXNash Unknown Turnover (P2.T15)102
7.1%
106
92.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)102
3.9%
106
96.1%
Q4 - 1:01PHXMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
6.3%
106
93.7%
Q4 - 1:21PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)102
5.0%
106
95.0%
Q4 - 1:22ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
6.1%
106
93.9%
Q4 - 1:35PHXMarion Layup (16 PTS) (Nash 14 AST)102
10.1%
106
89.9%
Q4 - 1:47ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)102
15.9%
104
84.1%
Q4 - 1:57ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
6.9%
104
93.1%
Q4 - 1:58PHXMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
5.9%
104
94.1%
Q4 - 2:17ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)99
4.2%
104
95.8%
Q4 - 2:39PHXSUNS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)96
2.1%
104
97.9%
Q4 - 2:39PHXSUNS Rebound96
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 2:39PHXMISS Barbosa 13' Jump Shot96
1.7%
104
98.3%
Q4 - 3:03PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)96
1.5%
104
98.5%
Q4 - 3:04ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 296
1.6%
104
98.4%
Q4 - 3:04ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 296
2.0%
104
98.0%
Q4 - 3:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:17)96
2.7%
104
97.3%
Q4 - 3:05ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
1.8%
104
98.2%
Q4 - 3:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:17)96
2.7%
104
97.3%
Q4 - 3:19PHXMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot96
2.2%
104
97.8%
Q4 - 3:45PHXNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
2.6%
104
97.4%
Q4 - 3:46ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
2.9%
104
97.1%
Q4 - 4:03ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
3.7%
104
96.3%
Q4 - 4:04PHXMISS Nash 23' Jump Shot96
3.3%
104
96.7%
Q4 - 4:27ORLHoward Putback Layup (30 PTS)96
2.4%
104
97.6%
Q4 - 4:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:16)94
1.7%
104
98.3%
Q4 - 4:31ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 4:44ORLMagic Rebound94
1.7%
104
98.3%
Q4 - 4:44PHXMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
1.5%
104
98.5%
Q4 - 5:00PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)94
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 5:02ORLMarion BLOCK (3 BLK)94
2.0%
104
98.0%
Q4 - 5:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:16)94
2.5%
104
97.5%
Q4 - 5:15PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 194
2.4%
104
97.6%
Q4 - 5:30ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)94
3.4%
102
96.6%
Q4 - 5:55PHXBarbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nash 13 AST)91
1.8%
102
98.2%
Q4 - 6:02PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
4.2%
99
95.8%
Q4 - 6:04ORLStoudemire BLOCK (2 BLK)91
4.6%
99
95.4%
Q4 - 6:12ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)91
5.8%
99
94.2%
Q4 - 6:13PHXMISS Stoudemire 8' Jump Shot91
5.2%
99
94.8%
Q4 - 6:30ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P8.T17)91
4.1%
99
95.9%
Q4 - 6:37PHXBarbosa Layup (14 PTS) (Nash 12 AST)91
5.7%
99
94.3%
Q4 - 6:42PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)91
7.3%
97
92.7%
Q4 - 6:42ORLHill BLOCK (2 BLK)91
8.0%
97
92.0%
Q4 - 7:04PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)91
11.4%
97
88.6%
Q4 - 7:04PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 291
11.9%
96
88.1%
Q4 - 7:04PHXNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
11.1%
96
88.9%
Q4 - 7:05PHXMISS Stoudemire Dunk91
13.3%
96
86.7%
Q4 - 7:25ORLHoward Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P7.T16)91
11.0%
96
89.0%
Q4 - 7:38PHXMarion Layup (14 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)91
14.4%
96
85.6%
Q4 - 7:59ORLHoward Dunk (28 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)91
17.6%
94
82.4%
Q4 - 8:12PHXMarion Foul Turnover (P4.T13)89
15.3%
94
84.7%
Q4 - 8:16PHXSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
12.3%
94
87.7%
Q4 - 8:18ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
13.1%
94
86.9%
Q4 - 8:36PHXHill 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)89
15.3%
94
84.7%
Q4 - 8:57ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)89
18.8%
92
81.2%
Q4 - 9:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:15)86
13.1%
92
86.9%
Q4 - 9:08PHXMISS Marion 13' Jump Bank Shot86
12.3%
92
87.7%
Q4 - 9:24ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)86
10.5%
92
89.5%
Q4 - 9:24ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)85
10.1%
92
89.9%
Q4 - 9:34PHXHill Driving Layup (13 PTS)84
8.5%
92
91.5%
Q4 - 9:41PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
10.5%
90
89.5%
Q4 - 9:42ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
11.2%
90
88.8%
Q4 - 9:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)84
13.0%
90
87.0%
Q4 - 9:54PHXMISS Diaw 18' Jump Shot84
12.2%
90
87.8%
Q4 - 10:07ORLHoward Layup (26 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)84
11.2%
90
88.8%
Q4 - 10:18ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
9.3%
90
90.7%
Q4 - 10:19PHXMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot82
8.6%
90
91.4%
Q4 - 10:38ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)82
7.4%
90
92.6%
Q4 - 10:46ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
6.0%
90
94.0%
Q4 - 10:46PHXMISS Skinner 17' Jump Shot80
5.6%
90
94.4%
Q4 - 10:57ORLLewis 13' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
4.8%
90
95.2%
Q4 - 11:05ORLMagic Rebound78
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q4 - 11:05ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q4 - 11:17PHXSkinner 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)78
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q4 - 11:25PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q4 - 11:27ORLMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q4 - 11:40ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
6.6%
88
93.4%
Q4 - 11:42PHXMISS Marion Layup78
6.2%
88
93.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHX78
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXSUNS Rebound78
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Barbosa 58' 3PT Jump Shot78
6.2%
88
93.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P6.T15)78
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
7.3%
88
92.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0PHXMISS Bell 15' Jump Shot78
6.8%
88
93.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)78
6.0%
88
94.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 277
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)77
6.0%
88
94.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0PHXMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot77
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0PHXSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
4.9%
88
95.1%
Q3 - 1:01PHXMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot77
6.2%
88
93.8%
Q3 - 1:06PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q3 - 1:07ORLMISS Redick Reverse Layup77
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q3 - 1:29PHXHill 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Barbosa 3 AST)77
6.5%
88
93.5%
Q3 - 1:47PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
9.3%
85
90.7%
Q3 - 1:48ORLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
9.8%
85
90.2%
Q3 - 1:59ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
11.1%
85
88.9%
Q3 - 2:00PHXMISS Barbosa 22' Jump Shot77
10.5%
85
89.5%
Q3 - 2:14PHXSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
9.7%
85
90.3%
Q3 - 2:15ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 177
9.9%
85
90.1%
Q3 - 2:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)75
8.3%
85
91.7%
Q3 - 2:24PHXMISS Barbosa 13' Running Jump Shot75
7.9%
85
92.1%
Q3 - 2:39ORLEvans 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)75
6.9%
85
93.1%
Q3 - 2:56PHXStoudemire 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)73
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q3 - 3:09ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)73
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q3 - 3:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)70
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q3 - 3:11ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q3 - 3:26PHXDiaw Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)70
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q3 - 3:35PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 3:36ORLStoudemire BLOCK (1 BLK)70
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q3 - 3:47PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q3 - 3:47PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)70
5.4%
82
94.6%
Q3 - 3:51PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q3 - 3:52ORLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
6.6%
81
93.4%
Q3 - 4:07PHXBarbosa Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)70
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q3 - 4:11PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)70
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q3 - 4:12ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
6.9%
81
93.1%
Q3 - 4:15ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q3 - 4:16ORLMISS Evans 7' Jump Shot70
6.9%
81
93.1%
Q3 - 4:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)70
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q3 - 4:26PHXMISS Diaw 15' Jump Shot70
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q3 - 4:37ORLRedick 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)70
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q3 - 4:57PHXDiaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)68
5.7%
81
94.3%
Q3 - 4:57PHXNash Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)68
5.6%
80
94.4%
Q3 - 5:10ORLTurkoglu Palming Turnover (P2.T14)68
9.6%
77
90.4%
Q3 - 5:30PHXNash 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)68
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q3 - 5:42ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)68
12.8%
75
87.2%
Q3 - 5:50ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
9.6%
75
90.4%
Q3 - 5:51PHXMISS Stoudemire 16' Jump Shot65
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q3 - 6:06ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)65
8.6%
75
91.4%
Q3 - 6:20PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)62
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q3 - 6:20PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q3 - 6:20PHXNash Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)62
7.4%
73
92.6%
Q3 - 6:26ORLNelson 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)62
8.6%
72
91.4%
Q3 - 6:45ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q3 - 6:46PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 160
7.3%
72
92.7%
Q3 - 7:07ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)60
8.9%
70
91.1%
Q3 - 7:23ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 7:24PHXMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot57
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 7:41PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q3 - 7:42ORLMISS Turkoglu 12' Jump Shot57
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q3 - 7:57PHXMarion Layup (12 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)57
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 8:02ORLBell STEAL (1 STL)57
8.0%
68
92.0%
Q3 - 8:17PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
9.4%
68
90.6%
Q3 - 8:17PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q3 - 8:32PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
10.5%
66
89.5%
Q3 - 8:33ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 8:38ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q3 - 8:41PHXMISS Stoudemire 3PT Jump Shot57
11.7%
66
88.3%
Q3 - 8:49ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)57
10.5%
66
89.5%
Q3 - 8:49ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 256
10.0%
66
90.0%
Q3 - 8:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)56
10.7%
66
89.3%
Q3 - 8:51ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
9.6%
66
90.4%
Q3 - 8:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)56
10.7%
66
89.3%
Q3 - 8:58PHXMISS Nash 17' Jump Shot56
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 9:17PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
9.5%
66
90.5%
Q3 - 9:18ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot56
9.9%
66
90.1%
Q3 - 9:31PHXSUNS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)56
10.8%
66
89.2%
Q3 - 9:55PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
9.4%
66
90.6%
Q3 - 9:56ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
9.9%
66
90.1%
Q3 - 10:12PHXBell 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)56
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 10:25ORLTurkoglu Layup (14 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)56
12.5%
64
87.5%
Q3 - 10:45PHXMarion Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)54
11.1%
64
88.9%
Q3 - 10:56ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
12.5%
62
87.5%
Q3 - 10:56ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
12.2%
62
87.8%
Q3 - 11:18PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
11.3%
62
88.7%
Q3 - 11:18PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
11.5%
61
88.5%
Q3 - 11:39ORLLewis 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)52
12.7%
60
87.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHX50
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
10.8%
60
89.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0PHXNash Driving Layup (2 PTS)48
9.2%
60
90.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLDooling 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
10.7%
58
89.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
9.2%
58
90.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0PHXMISS Skinner Free Throw 2 of 246
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0PHXMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 246
8.5%
58
91.5%
Q2 - 1:06ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)46
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q2 - 1:17PHXBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)44
7.5%
58
92.5%
Q2 - 1:42ORLHoward Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)44
10.0%
55
90.0%
Q2 - 1:47PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)42
8.4%
55
91.6%
Q2 - 1:50PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
7.9%
55
92.1%
Q2 - 1:52ORLSkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)42
8.0%
55
92.0%
Q2 - 2:07PHXBarbosa Dunk (12 PTS)42
9.0%
55
91.0%
Q2 - 2:10ORLBarbosa STEAL (3 STL)42
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q2 - 2:28PHXBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)42
11.2%
53
88.8%
Q2 - 2:50ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)42
14.1%
50
85.9%
Q2 - 3:03PHXBell 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
11.8%
50
88.2%
Q2 - 3:15PHXSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
13.0%
48
87.0%
Q2 - 3:16ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot39
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 3:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)39
14.5%
48
85.5%
Q2 - 3:36PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
14.0%
48
86.0%
Q2 - 3:44ORLSkinner STEAL (1 STL)39
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 4:01PHXBell Layup (10 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)39
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q2 - 4:03PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 4:05ORLMarion BLOCK (2 BLK)39
16.7%
46
83.3%
Q2 - 4:17PHXBarbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)39
17.8%
46
82.2%
Q2 - 4:29ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)39
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 4:43ORLMagic Rebound36
17.8%
43
82.2%
Q2 - 4:44PHXMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
17.3%
43
82.7%
Q2 - 4:51PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
16.2%
43
83.8%
Q2 - 4:52ORLMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
16.7%
43
83.3%
Q2 - 5:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)36
18.0%
43
82.0%
Q2 - 5:03PHXMISS Bell 23' Jump Shot36
17.5%
43
82.5%
Q2 - 5:15ORLCook Foul Turnover (P1.T10)36
16.3%
43
83.7%
Q2 - 5:33PHXBarbosa Driving Layup (7 PTS)36
18.0%
43
82.0%
Q2 - 5:45ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q2 - 5:45ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
19.2%
41
80.8%
Q2 - 5:48PHXMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)34
18.0%
41
82.0%
Q2 - 6:02ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)34
16.5%
41
83.5%
Q2 - 6:16PHXMarion Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)31
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 6:21PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 6:22PHXMISS Diaw 12' Jump Shot31
13.4%
41
86.6%
Q2 - 6:28PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 6:29ORLMISS Lewis 5' Hook Shot31
12.9%
41
87.1%
Q2 - 6:48PHXHill Layup (8 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)31
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 7:05PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
15.6%
39
84.4%
Q2 - 7:06ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
16.1%
39
83.9%
Q2 - 7:17PHXStoudemire Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)31
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q2 - 7:35PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
18.6%
37
81.4%
Q2 - 7:35ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 2 of 231
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 7:35ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
19.8%
37
80.2%
Q2 - 7:36ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 7:39PHXMISS Diaw 6' Jump Shot30
18.2%
37
81.8%
Q2 - 7:54ORLArroyo Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
17.0%
37
83.0%
Q2 - 8:04PHXHill 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)28
15.8%
37
84.2%
Q2 - 8:17PHXSUNS Rebound28
17.1%
35
82.9%
Q2 - 8:17ORLHill BLOCK (1 BLK)28
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 8:32PHXMarion Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)28
18.8%
35
81.2%
Q2 - 8:34PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
17.1%
35
82.9%
Q2 - 8:35ORLMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot28
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 8:50PHXStoudemire Layup (8 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)28
18.8%
35
81.2%
Q2 - 9:07ORLHoward 12' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)28
20.3%
33
79.7%
Q2 - 9:27ORLMagic Rebound26
18.9%
33
81.1%
Q2 - 9:28PHXMISS Barbosa 21' Jump Shot26
18.4%
33
81.6%
Q2 - 9:37ORLLewis 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)26
17.2%
33
82.8%
Q2 - 9:49PHXStoudemire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)24
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q2 - 10:08ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)24
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q2 - 10:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)22
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q2 - 10:17PHXMISS Stoudemire 5' Jump Shot22
13.3%
33
86.7%
Q2 - 10:29ORLDooling Driving Dunk (2 PTS)22
12.4%
33
87.6%
Q2 - 10:34PHXDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q2 - 10:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
10.4%
33
89.6%
Q2 - 10:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q2 - 10:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)18
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q2 - 10:59PHXMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q2 - 11:11ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)18
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q2 - 11:20PHXStoudemire 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)18
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q2 - 11:35ORLHoward Dunk (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)18
10.6%
31
89.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHX16
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
8.9%
31
91.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Arroyo 13' Jump Shot16
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q1 - 0:20.0PHXHill Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
9.8%
31
90.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0PHXSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
10.9%
29
89.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot16
11.1%
29
88.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0PHXBarbosa Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)16
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0ORLBarbosa STEAL (2 STL)16
10.9%
29
89.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0PHXBarbosa Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)16
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
10.9%
29
89.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
11.1%
29
88.9%
Q1 - 1:08PHXBarbosa 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)16
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q1 - 1:22ORLFoyle Foul Turnover (P1.T7)16
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q1 - 1:26ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13.8%
27
86.2%
Q1 - 1:28PHXMISS Skinner Layup16
13.5%
27
86.5%
Q1 - 1:38PHXSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q1 - 1:39ORLMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 116
13.1%
27
86.9%
Q1 - 1:43ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q1 - 1:44PHXMISS Barbosa 22' Jump Shot14
11.5%
27
88.5%
Q1 - 1:57ORLHoward Dunk (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)14
11.0%
27
89.0%
Q1 - 2:09PHXBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)12
10.1%
27
89.9%
Q1 - 2:24PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
12.0%
24
88.0%
Q1 - 2:25ORLMISS Dooling Layup12
12.3%
24
87.7%
Q1 - 2:28ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 2:30PHXMISS Bell Layup12
12.6%
24
87.4%
Q1 - 2:43ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)12
12.0%
24
88.0%
Q1 - 2:53PHXBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 2:53PHXMISS Barbosa Free Throw 1 of 212
13.1%
23
86.9%
Q1 - 3:14ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (6 PTS)12
13.2%
23
86.8%
Q1 - 3:26PHXMarion Layup (8 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)10
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 3:31ORLBarbosa STEAL (1 STL)10
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 3:51PHXMarion Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)10
14.4%
21
85.6%
Q1 - 4:02ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T4)10
15.5%
19
84.5%
Q1 - 4:19PHXMarion Slam Dunk (4 PTS)10
16.9%
19
83.1%
Q1 - 4:22ORLMarion STEAL (1 STL)10
17.9%
17
82.1%
Q1 - 4:32PHXDiaw 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)10
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 4:40PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
20.7%
15
79.3%
Q1 - 4:41ORLMISS Lewis Layup10
21.2%
15
78.8%
Q1 - 4:57PHXBarbosa Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
22.5%
15
77.5%
Q1 - 5:09PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 5:10ORLMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot10
24.3%
13
75.7%
Q1 - 5:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)10
25.5%
13
74.5%
Q1 - 5:33PHXMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot10
24.9%
13
75.1%
Q1 - 5:50ORLTurkoglu 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 6:01ORLMagic Rebound8
22.5%
13
77.5%
Q1 - 6:03PHXMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot8
22.0%
13
78.0%
Q1 - 6:09ORLHoward Layup (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)8
21.0%
13
79.0%
Q1 - 6:30PHXHill Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
19.8%
13
80.2%
Q1 - 6:49PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
21.0%
11
79.0%
Q1 - 6:50ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 6:53ORLMagic Rebound6
22.5%
11
77.5%
Q1 - 6:53ORLMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)6
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 7:17PHXStoudemire Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)6
22.7%
11
77.3%
Q1 - 7:26PHXSUNS Rebound6
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 7:27ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
24.4%
9
75.6%
Q1 - 7:40ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.5%
9
74.5%
Q1 - 7:41PHXMISS Hill 9' Jump Shot6
25.0%
9
75.0%
Q1 - 7:52PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 7:54ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 26
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 7:54ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
25.1%
9
74.9%
Q1 - 7:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)5
24.0%
9
76.0%
Q1 - 8:00PHXMISS Hill Layup5
23.6%
9
76.4%
Q1 - 8:05PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 8:06ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot5
23.0%
9
77.0%
Q1 - 8:14PHXStoudemire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
24.0%
9
76.0%
Q1 - 8:17ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 8:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)3
21.4%
9
78.6%
Q1 - 8:30PHXMISS Nash Layup3
21.0%
9
79.0%
Q1 - 8:45PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
20.0%
9
80.0%
Q1 - 8:46ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot3
20.4%
9
79.6%
Q1 - 9:07PHXStoudemire 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)3
21.3%
9
78.7%
Q1 - 9:21PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
22.3%
7
77.7%
Q1 - 9:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 23
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 9:22ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
23.2%
7
76.8%
Q1 - 9:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
22.6%
7
77.4%
Q1 - 9:27ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 9:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
22.6%
7
77.4%
Q1 - 9:39PHXMISS Nash 17' Jump Shot2
22.1%
7
77.9%
Q1 - 9:50ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
21.0%
7
79.0%
Q1 - 9:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.1%
7
79.9%
Q1 - 9:55PHXMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot0
19.6%
7
80.4%
Q1 - 10:12PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
18.7%
7
81.3%
Q1 - 10:14ORLBell BLOCK (1 BLK)0
19.1%
7
80.9%
Q1 - 10:28PHXBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)0
20.0%
7
80.0%
Q1 - 10:34PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.3%
4
77.7%
Q1 - 10:35ORLMISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot0
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 10:59ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 11:00PHXMISS Hill 12' Jump Shot0
23.4%
4
76.6%
Q1 - 11:14ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)0
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 11:32PHXBell 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)0
23.8%
4
76.2%
Q1 - 12:00PHXJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Howard: Tip to0
28.1%
0
71.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.1%
PHX
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
19
29
66%
PHX
20
28
71%
Midrange
ORL
11
24
46%
PHX
16
42
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
10
15.0
34
29%
44%
PHX
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
ORL
16
25
64%
PHX
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard3065%15.0 / 23
H. Turkoglu2566%12.5 / 19
R. Lewis1843%9.0 / 21
J. Redick880%4.0 / 5
J. Nelson750%3.5 / 7
K. Bogans643%3.0 / 7
C. Arroyo433%2.0 / 6
K. Dooling450%2.0 / 4
M. Evans440%2.0 / 5
B. Cook0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Bell2063%10.0 / 16
A. Stoudemire1959%9.5 / 16
S. Marion1777%8.5 / 11
L. Barbosa1757%8.5 / 15
S. Nash1558%7.5 / 13
G. Hill1550%7.5 / 15
B. Diaw542%2.5 / 6
B. Skinner225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
90
+8
-17
98
PHX
93
+7
-13
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.1%
PHX
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
113.1
ORL 99.1 +4.7
PHX 103.8
Pace
93.5
96.9
ORL 114.1 +14.4
PHX 99.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.4
ORL 12.6 +1.8
PHX 14.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
55.1%
ORL 51.7%
PHX 53.4% +1.7%
TO %
14.7%
14.3%
ORL 14.8%
PHX 13.3% +1.5%
ORB %
23.4%
22.4%
ORL 12.2% +0.3%
PHX 11.9%
FTrt
35.5
29.2
ORL 28.7
PHX 28.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
64.5%
ORL 52.5%
PHX 67.4% +14.9%
STL %
6.8%
6.7%
ORL 5.6%
PHX 5.7% +0.1%
BLK %
6.2%
8.6%
ORL 5.7%
PHX 18.9% +13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.57 and 2.57.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
57.6%
ORL 54.1% +0.2%
PHX 53.9%
Rim FG%
61.5%
64.2%
ORL 65.5%
PHX 71.4% +5.9%
Mid FG%
40.8%
45.9%
ORL 45.8% +7.7%
PHX 38.1%
3P %
38.6%
39.3%
ORL 29.4%
PHX 41.2% +11.8%
FT %
72.1%
78.3%
ORL 64.0%
PHX 68.0% +4.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
31.8%
ORL 33.3% +1.1%
PHX 32.2%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
42.2%
ORL 27.6% +20.7%
PHX 48.3%
3P Att. %
32.2%
26.0%
ORL 39.1% +19.5%
PHX 19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsORLPHX
Possessions107106
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points106110
Rebounds4348
Assists2129
Steals66
Blocks410
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (4)43 (2)
Field Goals40-8743-87
At-the-Rim FG19-2920-28
Midrange FG11-2416-42
2-Point FG30-5336-70
3-Point FG10-347-17
Free Throws16-2517-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
45.9
30
65%
23
1
0
2
8
5
5
18
4-10
40%
13-19
68%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 28
43.2
18
43%
5
2
2
0
2
3
0
5
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
3-12
25%
F · 6'10" 220 · 29
40.5
25
66%
8
6
0
1
2
3
0
8
4-4
100%
6-9
67%
3-8
38%
G · 6'0" 190 · 26
27.4
7
50%
4
3
0
0
2
5
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 215 · 28
16.6
6
43%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 200 · 28
20.4
4
33%
0
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
18.4
4
50%
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
13.2
8
80%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29
9.2
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
3.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 270 · 33
2.0
0
0%
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
#13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'9" 238 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
54%
43
21
6
4
17
0
6
37
16-25
64%
30-53
57%
10-34
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.