Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, November 23, 2007

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	23	Kings	44%	98	84
	26	Trail Blazers	56%	100	87

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAC	97.7	86	86.5
POR	100.0	87	86.5

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+12

-18

POR

+14

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.02 51.2%

POR

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	POR
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAC	End of 4th Period (12:36 PM EST)	84 0%	87 100%
Q4 - 0:06.0	SAC	Garcia Foul Turnover (P2.T18)	84 12.7%	85 87.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0	POR	Roy Driving Layup (13 PTS)	84 38.7%	85 61.3%
Q4 - 0:34.0	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)	84 54.7%	83 45.3%
Q4 - 0:35.0	SAC	Aldridge BLOCK (3 BLK)	84 62.3%	83 37.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	84 70.7%	83 29.3%
Q4 - 0:55.0	POR	MISS Jack 10' Floating Jump Shot	84 66.0%	83 34.0%
Q4 - 1:15	SAC	Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Udrih 6 AST)	84 52.2%	83 47.8%
Q4 - 1:21	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	81 28.2%	83 71.8%
Q4 - 1:23	POR	MISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot	81 24.7%	83 75.3%
Q4 - 1:43	SAC	Udrih 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)	81 19.8%	83 80.2%
Q4 - 1:58	POR	Aldridge Foul Turnover (P2.T17)	79 13.8%	83 86.2%
Q4 - 2:12	SAC	Martin Dunk (18 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	79 8.8%	83 91.2%
Q4 - 2:30	POR	Jack Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	77 7.2%	83 92.8%
Q4 - 2:30	POR	Jack Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	77 7.5%	82 92.5%
Q4 - 2:30	SAC	Jack STEAL (1 STL)	77 8.8%	81 91.2%
Q4 - 2:39	SAC	Kings Rebound	77 16.4%	81 83.6%
Q4 - 2:42	SAC	MISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 2	77 9.5%	81 90.5%
Q4 - 2:42	SAC	World Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	77 12.2%	81 87.8%
Q4 - 2:57	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	76 12.0%	81 88.0%
Q4 - 2:59	POR	MISS Outlaw 20' Jump Shot	76 10.2%	81 89.8%
Q4 - 3:22	SAC	Martin 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	76 6.9%	81 93.1%
Q4 - 3:41	POR	Jack Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	74 7.3%	81 92.7%
Q4 - 3:41	POR	Jack Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	74 7.7%	80 92.3%
Q4 - 3:44	SAC	Blake STEAL (1 STL)	74 10.0%	79 90.0%
Q4 - 4:00	POR	Roy Layup (11 PTS)	74 13.8%	79 86.2%
Q4 - 4:14	SAC	Roy STEAL (3 STL)	74 18.4%	77 81.6%
Q4 - 4:31	POR	Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)	74 25.1%	77 74.9%
Q4 - 4:52	POR	Jump Ball Roy vs. Miller: Tip to Roy	74 41.1%	74 58.9%
Q4 - 4:52	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	74 51.1%	74 48.9%
Q4 - 4:55	SAC	MISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot	74 44.1%	74 55.9%
Q4 - 5:15	POR	Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Roy 8 AST)	74 50.1%	74 49.9%
Q4 - 5:27	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	74 65.9%	71 34.1%
Q4 - 5:28	POR	MISS Roy 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	74 71.2%	71 28.8%
Q4 - 5:47	SAC	Thomas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)	74 66.0%	71 34.0%
Q4 - 6:08	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)	74 71.0%	71 29.0%
Q4 - 6:09	POR	MISS Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2	74 70.1%	71 29.9%
Q4 - 6:09	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)	74 65.9%	71 34.1%
Q4 - 6:27	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	74 70.2%	70 29.8%
Q4 - 6:28	SAC	Outlaw BLOCK (3 BLK)	74 72.4%	70 27.6%
Q4 - 6:47	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	74 77.0%	70 23.0%
Q4 - 6:49	SAC	MISS Thomas Layup	74 72.5%	70 27.5%
Q4 - 7:01	SAC	Kings Rebound	74 74.6%	70 25.4%
Q4 - 7:01	SAC	MISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot	74 70.3%	70 29.7%
Q4 - 7:20	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	74 74.7%	70 25.3%
Q4 - 7:21	POR	MISS Rodriguez 24' 3PT Jump Shot	74 72.9%	70 27.1%
Q4 - 7:43	SAC	World Peace 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	74 68.5%	70 31.5%
Q4 - 8:11	POR	Aldridge 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Roy 7 AST)	71 55.0%	70 45.0%
Q4 - 8:31	SAC	Miller Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)	71 61.2%	68 38.8%
Q4 - 8:48	SAC	Salmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	69 55.1%	68 44.9%
Q4 - 8:50	POR	MISS Rodriguez 7' Jump Shot	69 53.1%	68 46.9%
Q4 - 9:13	POR	Rodriguez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	69 48.2%	68 51.8%
Q4 - 9:14	SAC	MISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot	69 50.1%	68 49.9%
Q4 - 9:28	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)	69 54.5%	68 45.5%
Q4 - 9:28	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	69 48.2%	68 51.8%
Q4 - 9:28	POR	MISS Webster 21' Jump Shot	69 52.6%	68 47.4%
Q4 - 9:55	SAC	Udrih 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)	69 48.2%	68 51.8%
Q4 - 10:17	POR	Webster Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	66 37.1%	68 62.9%
Q4 - 10:17	POR	MISS Webster Free Throw 1 of 2	66 38.2%	67 61.8%
Q4 - 10:20	SAC	Rodriguez STEAL (1 STL)	66 36.7%	67 63.3%
Q4 - 10:38	POR	Webster 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)	66 42.6%	67 57.4%
Q4 - 10:54	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	66 53.5%	64 46.5%
Q4 - 10:56	SAC	MISS Garcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot	66 55.3%	64 44.7%
Q4 - 11:12	POR	Rodriguez Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)	66 58.5%	64 41.5%
Q4 - 11:22	SAC	Garcia Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	66 53.0%	64 47.0%
Q4 - 11:22	SAC	MISS Garcia Free Throw 1 of 2	65 52.0%	64 48.0%
Q4 - 11:35	POR	Rodriguez 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)	65 53.2%	64 46.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAC	End of 3rd Period (11:53 PM EST)	65 58.3%	62 41.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR	Rodriguez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)	65 63.8%	62 36.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	65 57.8%	62 42.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0	SAC	MISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 2	65 58.5%	62 41.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0	SAC	World Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	65 61.6%	62 38.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0	POR	Przybilla Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)	64 57.8%	62 42.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0	SAC	Garcia Driving Layup (16 PTS)	64 52.7%	62 47.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0	POR	Jack Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	62 47.6%	62 52.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0	POR	MISS Jack Free Throw 1 of 2	62 48.3%	61 51.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	62 47.6%	61 52.4%
Q3 - 1:01	SAC	MISS Garcia 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	62 48.8%	61 51.2%
Q3 - 1:19	POR	Przybilla Foul Turnover (P3.T12)	62 52.3%	61 47.7%
Q3 - 1:32	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	62 47.3%	61 52.7%
Q3 - 1:32	SAC	MISS Martin 15' Jump Shot	62 48.9%	61 51.1%
Q3 - 1:51	POR	Aldridge 13' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)	62 52.4%	61 47.6%
Q3 - 2:09	SAC	Garcia 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	62 55.8%	59 44.2%
Q3 - 2:11	SAC	Garcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	60 51.6%	59 48.4%
Q3 - 2:13	SAC	Przybilla BLOCK (2 BLK)	60 48.0%	59 52.0%
Q3 - 2:19	POR	Jack Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)	60 51.6%	59 48.4%
Q3 - 2:47	SAC	Garcia 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	60 46.6%	59 53.4%
Q3 - 2:54	SAC	Garcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	58 42.4%	59 57.6%
Q3 - 2:55	POR	MISS Webster Layup	58 40.9%	59 59.1%
Q3 - 2:57	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	58 37.5%	59 62.5%
Q3 - 2:58	POR	MISS Webster 3PT Jump Shot	58 40.9%	59 59.1%
Q3 - 3:16	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	58 37.9%	59 62.1%
Q3 - 3:17	SAC	MISS Martin 22' Jump Shot	58 39.3%	59 60.7%
Q3 - 3:40	POR	Przybilla Foul Turnover (P2.T10)	58 42.5%	59 57.5%
Q3 - 4:01	SAC	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	58 37.7%	59 62.3%
Q3 - 4:03	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	58 42.5%	59 57.5%
Q3 - 4:04	SAC	MISS Garcia 23' Jump Shot	58 39.1%	59 60.9%
Q3 - 4:22	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	58 42.5%	59 57.5%
Q3 - 4:24	POR	MISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot	58 41.0%	59 59.0%
Q3 - 4:41	SAC	Martin 9' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)	58 37.7%	59 62.3%
Q3 - 4:54	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	56 34.3%	59 65.7%
Q3 - 4:55	POR	MISS Webster Layup	56 33.0%	59 67.0%
Q3 - 5:06	SAC	World Peace Layup (12 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	56 30.6%	59 69.4%
Q3 - 5:22	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	54 27.4%	59 72.6%
Q3 - 5:25	POR	MISS Frye Free Throw 1 of 1	54 26.9%	59 73.1%
Q3 - 5:34	SAC	Miller Layup (4 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)	54 30.6%	57 69.4%
Q3 - 5:51	POR	Blake 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Frye 1 AST)	52 27.4%	57 72.6%
Q3 - 5:59	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	52 30.5%	55 69.5%
Q3 - 6:00	SAC	MISS World Peace 27' 3PT Jump Shot	52 31.7%	55 68.3%
Q3 - 6:14	SAC	Martin Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)	52 34.7%	55 65.3%
Q3 - 6:26	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	51 31.2%	55 68.8%
Q3 - 6:27	POR	MISS Webster 3PT Jump Shot	51 30.1%	55 69.9%
Q3 - 6:35	POR	Frye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	51 27.6%	55 72.4%
Q3 - 6:38	SAC	MISS World Peace Reverse Layup	51 28.7%	55 71.3%
Q3 - 6:59	POR	Roy Layup (9 PTS)	51 31.2%	55 68.8%
Q3 - 7:08	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	51 34.3%	53 65.7%
Q3 - 7:10	POR	MISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot	51 37.1%	53 62.9%
Q3 - 7:28	SAC	Udrih Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)	51 34.3%	53 65.7%
Q3 - 7:45	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	51 38.4%	53 61.6%
Q3 - 7:45	POR	Aldridge Putback Slam Dunk (23 PTS)	51 38.4%	53 61.6%
Q3 - 7:47	POR	MISS Roy Layup	51 44.6%	51 55.4%
Q3 - 7:48	POR	Roy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	51 41.6%	51 58.4%
Q3 - 7:49	POR	MISS Roy Driving Layup	51 44.6%	51 55.4%
Q3 - 8:03	SAC	World Peace Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)	51 41.8%	51 58.2%
Q3 - 8:08	SAC	Kings Rebound	48 35.1%	51 64.9%
Q3 - 8:10	SAC	MISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot	48 32.4%	51 67.6%
Q3 - 8:33	POR	Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Roy 6 AST)	48 35.1%	51 64.9%
Q3 - 8:50	SAC	Udrih 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	48 41.7%	48 58.3%
Q3 - 9:02	POR	Frye Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)	46 38.2%	48 61.8%
Q3 - 9:10	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	46 34.8%	48 65.2%
Q3 - 9:11	SAC	MISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot	46 35.8%	48 64.2%
Q3 - 9:21	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	46 38.3%	48 61.7%
Q3 - 9:22	POR	MISS Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 1	46 37.8%	48 62.2%
Q3 - 9:24	POR	Frye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	46 41.7%	46 58.3%
Q3 - 9:25	SAC	MISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot	46 42.8%	46 57.2%
Q3 - 9:45	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)	46 45.4%	46 54.6%
Q3 - 10:11	SAC	Udrih Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)	46 41.5%	46 58.5%
Q3 - 10:29	POR	Blake Driving Layup (2 PTS)	46 45.4%	46 54.6%
Q3 - 10:37	SAC	World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)	46 48.6%	44 51.4%
Q3 - 10:46	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	43 41.9%	44 58.1%
Q3 - 10:47	POR	MISS Roy 24' 3PT Jump Shot	43 40.8%	44 59.2%
Q3 - 10:55	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	43 38.1%	44 61.9%
Q3 - 10:57	SAC	MISS Udrih 10' Jump Shot	43 39.3%	44 60.7%
Q3 - 11:06	POR	Webster Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)	43 41.8%	44 58.2%
Q3 - 11:06	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	43 38.4%	44 61.6%
Q3 - 11:08	SAC	MISS Miller 20' Jump Shot	43 39.4%	44 60.6%
Q3 - 11:23	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	43 41.9%	44 58.1%
Q3 - 11:24	POR	MISS Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 1	43 41.4%	44 58.6%
Q3 - 11:38	POR	Roy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	43 45.1%	42 54.9%
Q3 - 11:39	SAC	MISS Moore 19' Jump Shot	43 46.2%	42 53.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR	End of 2nd Period (11:12 PM EST)	43 48.7%	42 51.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	43 45.1%	42 54.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR	MISS Roy 47' 3PT Jump Shot	43 47.6%	42 52.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0	SAC	Garcia Driving Layup (10 PTS)	43 45.7%	42 54.3%
Q2 - 0:09.0	POR	Frye 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Roy 5 AST)	41 41.4%	42 58.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0	POR	Roy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	41 45.7%	40 54.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0	SAC	MISS Miller 19' Jump Shot	41 46.4%	40 53.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	41 48.0%	40 52.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0	SAC	Outlaw BLOCK (2 BLK)	41 46.4%	40 53.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	41 48.0%	40 52.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0	SAC	Outlaw BLOCK (1 BLK)	41 46.4%	40 53.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0	SAC	Salmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	41 48.0%	40 52.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0	POR	MISS Roy 18' Jump Shot	41 47.3%	40 52.7%
Q2 - 1:19	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	41 45.9%	40 54.1%
Q2 - 1:21	SAC	MISS Garcia Free Throw 2 of 2	41 46.2%	40 53.8%
Q2 - 1:21	SAC	Garcia Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	41 48.6%	40 51.4%
Q2 - 1:39	POR	Webster 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)	40 44.4%	40 55.6%
Q2 - 1:47	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	40 49.2%	38 50.8%
Q2 - 1:48	SAC	MISS Udrih Driving Layup	40 49.7%	38 50.3%
Q2 - 2:02	POR	Aldridge Foul Turnover (P1.T6)	40 51.2%	38 48.8%
Q2 - 2:11	SAC	Martin Foul Turnover (P3.T8)	40 48.3%	38 51.7%
Q2 - 2:20	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	40 51.2%	38 48.8%
Q2 - 2:21	POR	MISS Outlaw 21' Jump Shot	40 50.3%	38 49.7%
Q2 - 2:45	SAC	Garcia Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	40 48.3%	38 51.7%
Q2 - 2:45	SAC	Garcia Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	39 47.8%	38 52.2%
Q2 - 2:54	SAC	Salmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	38 44.9%	38 55.1%
Q2 - 2:56	POR	MISS Aldridge Layup	38 44.0%	38 56.0%
Q2 - 3:12	SAC	World Peace Foul Turnover (P1.T7)	38 41.8%	38 58.2%
Q2 - 3:21	POR	Webster Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	38 45.1%	38 54.9%
Q2 - 3:21	POR	Webster Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	38 45.7%	37 54.3%
Q2 - 3:30	SAC	Martin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	38 47.7%	36 52.3%
Q2 - 3:45	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	38 51.0%	36 49.0%
Q2 - 3:47	POR	MISS Outlaw 22' Jump Shot	38 50.0%	36 50.0%
Q2 - 3:54	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	38 47.7%	36 52.3%
Q2 - 3:56	SAC	MISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot	38 48.7%	36 51.3%
Q2 - 4:07	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	38 50.4%	36 49.6%
Q2 - 4:08	POR	MISS Roy Free Throw 2 of 2	38 50.0%	36 50.0%
Q2 - 4:08	POR	MISS Roy Free Throw 1 of 2	38 48.0%	36 52.0%
Q2 - 4:11	SAC	Roy STEAL (1 STL)	38 47.6%	36 52.4%
Q2 - 4:33	SAC	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	38 50.4%	36 49.6%
Q2 - 4:34	POR	MISS Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2	38 50.1%	36 49.9%
Q2 - 4:34	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	38 48.2%	36 51.8%
Q2 - 4:55	SAC	Moore Layup (8 PTS) (World Peace 5 AST)	38 50.5%	35 49.5%
Q2 - 5:06	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	36 47.6%	35 52.4%
Q2 - 5:07	POR	MISS Rodriguez 25' 3PT Jump Shot	36 46.6%	35 53.4%
Q2 - 5:21	SAC	Outlaw STEAL (1 STL)	36 44.5%	35 55.5%
Q2 - 5:36	POR	Roy Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Rodriguez 1 AST)	36 47.6%	35 52.4%
Q2 - 5:56	SAC	Martin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	36 50.2%	33 49.8%
Q2 - 6:01	SAC	Kings Rebound	36 53.1%	33 46.9%
Q2 - 6:02	SAC	Aldridge BLOCK (2 BLK)	36 50.8%	33 49.2%
Q2 - 6:17	POR	Outlaw Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	36 53.1%	33 46.9%
Q2 - 6:23	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	36 49.8%	33 50.2%
Q2 - 6:23	POR	MISS Roy 5' Running Jump Shot	36 52.1%	33 47.9%
Q2 - 6:38	POR	MISS Webster Free Throw Technical	36 49.8%	33 50.2%
Q2 - 6:50	SAC	Thomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	36 49.8%	33 50.2%
Q2 - 6:54	POR	Outlaw 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Roy 4 AST)	36 53.1%	33 46.9%
Q2 - 7:14	SAC	Thomas Layup (2 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)	36 55.0%	31 45.0%
Q2 - 7:33	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	34 52.6%	31 47.4%
Q2 - 7:34	POR	MISS Outlaw 19' Jump Shot	34 51.8%	31 48.2%
Q2 - 7:55	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	34 49.8%	31 50.2%
Q2 - 7:56	SAC	MISS World Peace 20' Jump Shot	34 50.7%	31 49.3%
Q2 - 8:12	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)	34 52.4%	31 47.6%
Q2 - 8:14	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	34 57.1%	28 42.9%
Q2 - 8:16	POR	MISS Roy 3PT Jump Shot	34 59.1%	28 40.9%
Q2 - 8:43	SAC	World Peace 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	34 57.2%	28 42.8%
Q2 - 9:17	POR	Outlaw 21' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	32 54.5%	28 45.5%
Q2 - 9:39	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	32 56.7%	26 43.3%
Q2 - 9:40	SAC	MISS Garcia 27' 3PT Jump Shot	32 57.5%	26 42.5%
Q2 - 9:47	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	32 59.5%	26 40.5%
Q2 - 9:48	POR	MISS Rodriguez Driving Layup	32 58.6%	26 41.4%
Q2 - 10:02	SAC	Garcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)	32 56.4%	26 43.6%
Q2 - 10:14	POR	Przybilla Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	29 51.8%	26 48.2%
Q2 - 10:14	POR	Przybilla Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	29 52.8%	25 47.2%
Q2 - 10:25	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	29 53.9%	24 46.1%
Q2 - 10:26	SAC	MISS Hawes 8' Turnaround Hook Shot	29 54.8%	24 45.2%
Q2 - 10:40	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 56.7%	24 43.3%
Q2 - 10:42	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	29 53.9%	24 46.1%
Q2 - 10:42	POR	MISS Przybilla Tip Shot	29 55.9%	24 44.1%
Q2 - 10:42	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	29 53.9%	24 46.1%
Q2 - 10:42	POR	MISS Przybilla Tip Shot	29 55.9%	24 44.1%
Q2 - 10:44	POR	MISS Jack Driving Layup	29 55.9%	24 44.1%
Q2 - 11:00	SAC	Garcia Driving Layup (2 PTS)	29 54.0%	24 46.0%
Q2 - 11:15	SAC	Douby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 51.1%	24 48.9%
Q2 - 11:16	POR	MISS Webster 3PT Jump Shot	27 50.4%	24 49.6%
Q2 - 11:37	SAC	Salmons 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	27 48.8%	24 51.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	End of 1st Period (10:36 PM EST)	25 46.3%	24 53.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	25 43.9%	24 56.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	MISS Rodriguez 31' 3PT Jump Shot	25 45.6%	24 54.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 44.0%	24 56.0%
Q1 - 0:05.0	SAC	MISS Salmons 11' Jump Shot	25 44.5%	24 55.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0	SAC	Salmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 45.8%	24 54.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0	POR	MISS Rodriguez Free Throw 1 of 1	25 45.6%	24 54.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0	SAC	Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	25 48.7%	22 51.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0	SAC	Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	24 48.4%	22 51.6%
Q1 - 1:01	POR	Aldridge 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)	23 45.8%	22 54.2%
Q1 - 1:24	SAC	Moore Dunk (6 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)	23 48.7%	20 51.3%
Q1 - 1:40	POR	Aldridge Layup (11 PTS) (Przybilla 1 AST)	21 45.8%	20 54.2%
Q1 - 2:01	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	21 48.6%	18 51.4%
Q1 - 2:02	SAC	Przybilla BLOCK (1 BLK)	21 49.3%	18 50.7%
Q1 - 2:16	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	21 50.8%	18 49.2%
Q1 - 2:17	POR	MISS Jack 3PT Jump Shot	21 50.1%	18 49.9%
Q1 - 2:28	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	21 48.6%	18 51.4%
Q1 - 2:29	POR	MISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot	21 50.1%	18 49.9%
Q1 - 2:44	SAC	Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	21 48.6%	18 51.4%
Q1 - 2:44	SAC	MISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2	20 48.3%	18 51.7%
Q1 - 2:49	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	20 48.4%	18 51.6%
Q1 - 2:51	POR	MISS Jack 24' 3PT Jump Shot	20 47.8%	18 52.2%
Q1 - 2:58	POR	Roy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 46.3%	18 53.7%
Q1 - 2:59	SAC	MISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot	20 46.9%	18 53.1%
Q1 - 3:14	POR	Jack 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	20 48.3%	18 51.7%
Q1 - 3:38	SAC	Udrih 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	20 50.3%	16 49.7%
Q1 - 4:05	POR	Roy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	18 48.2%	16 51.8%
Q1 - 4:20	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 52.1%	13 47.9%
Q1 - 4:21	SAC	MISS Moore 6' Hook Shot	18 52.9%	13 47.1%
Q1 - 4:45	POR	Przybilla Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Webster 1 AST)	18 54.8%	13 45.2%
Q1 - 5:01	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	18 55.7%	11 44.3%
Q1 - 5:01	SAC	MISS Udrih 3PT Jump Shot	18 56.4%	11 43.6%
Q1 - 5:04	SAC	Kings Rebound	18 58.0%	11 42.0%
Q1 - 5:04	SAC	Aldridge BLOCK (1 BLK)	18 56.4%	11 43.6%
Q1 - 5:14	POR	Przybilla Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	18 58.0%	11 42.0%
Q1 - 5:17	SAC	Martin 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)	18 55.8%	11 44.2%
Q1 - 5:28	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	15 51.8%	11 48.2%
Q1 - 5:29	POR	MISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot	15 51.1%	11 48.9%
Q1 - 5:39	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	15 49.5%	11 50.5%
Q1 - 5:40	POR	MISS Roy 16' Jump Shot	15 51.1%	11 48.9%
Q1 - 5:49	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	15 49.5%	11 50.5%
Q1 - 5:51	SAC	MISS World Peace 22' Jump Shot	15 50.2%	11 49.8%
Q1 - 6:24	POR	Aldridge Driving Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Roy 3 AST)	15 51.2%	11 48.8%
Q1 - 6:41	SAC	Moore Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	15 53.1%	9 46.9%
Q1 - 6:41	SAC	Moore Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	14 52.6%	9 47.4%
Q1 - 7:05	POR	Roy 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	13 50.6%	9 49.4%
Q1 - 7:23	SAC	Miller Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	13 52.3%	7 47.7%
Q1 - 7:40	POR	Aldridge 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)	13 54.4%	7 45.6%
Q1 - 7:51	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	13 56.1%	5 43.9%
Q1 - 7:52	SAC	MISS World Peace 21' Jump Shot	13 56.8%	5 43.2%
Q1 - 8:11	POR	Aldridge 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Roy 2 AST)	13 58.2%	5 41.8%
Q1 - 8:34	SAC	Martin Driving Dunk (5 PTS)	13 59.8%	3 40.2%
Q1 - 8:37	POR	Webster Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	11 58.2%	3 41.8%
Q1 - 8:56	SAC	World Peace Driving Dunk (2 PTS)	11 56.1%	3 43.9%
Q1 - 8:58	POR	Frye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	9 54.5%	3 45.5%
Q1 - 9:09	SAC	Miller 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)	9 52.0%	3 48.0%
Q1 - 9:17	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	7 50.7%	3 49.3%
Q1 - 9:18	POR	MISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot	7 50.0%	3 50.0%
Q1 - 9:25	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 48.3%	3 51.7%
Q1 - 9:27	SAC	MISS Martin 17' Jump Shot	7 49.0%	3 51.0%
Q1 - 9:36	SAC	World Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 50.7%	3 49.3%
Q1 - 9:36	POR	MISS Frye 7' Hook Shot	7 50.0%	3 50.0%
Q1 - 10:01	SAC	Udrih 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)	7 48.3%	3 51.7%
Q1 - 10:06	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	5 46.6%	3 53.4%
Q1 - 10:07	POR	MISS Frye 18' Jump Shot	5 46.0%	3 54.0%
Q1 - 10:13	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5 44.5%	3 55.5%
Q1 - 10:15	SAC	MISS Martin 18' Jump Shot	5 45.2%	3 54.8%
Q1 - 10:38	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	5 46.6%	3 53.4%
Q1 - 10:56	SAC	Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)	5 50.1%	0 49.9%
Q1 - 11:07	SAC	Martin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 46.3%	0 53.7%
Q1 - 11:09	POR	MISS Webster 20' Jump Shot	2 45.8%	0 54.2%
Q1 - 11:25	SAC	Moore Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)	2 44.6%	0 55.4%
Q1 - 11:41	POR	Blake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	0 42.7%	0 57.3%
Q1 - 12:00	POR	Jump Ball Aldridge vs. Miller: Tip to Webster	0 41.0%	0 59.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.02 51.2%

POR

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

58%

POR

63%

Midrange

SAC

38%

POR

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

10.5

37%

55%

POR

7.5

25%

38%

Free Throws

SAC

72%

POR

59%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Martin	21	66%	10.5 / 16
M. World Peace	17	57%	8.5 / 15
F. Garcia	17	61%	8.5 / 14
B. Udrih	11	42%	5.5 / 13
M. Moore	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Miller	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Salmons	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Thomas	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Hawes	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge	28	88%	14.0 / 16
B. Roy	13	41%	6.5 / 16
S. Blake	13	72%	6.5 / 9
M. Webster	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Jack	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Outlaw	6	43%	3.0 / 7
C. Frye	4	50%	2.0 / 4
S. Rodriguez	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Przybilla	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+12

-18

POR

+14

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.02 51.2%

POR

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	107.2 107.2	SAC 97.7 +2.3 POR 100.0
Pace	95.0 88.0	SAC 86.5 +0.1 POR 86.5
Avg. Poss. Time	15.0 17.1	SAC 16.6 +0.0 POR 16.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.3% 48.9%	SAC 49.3% +0.7% POR 48.6%
TO %	16.0% 13.6%	SAC 18.4% POR 16.7% +1.7%
ORB %	25.1% 26.8%	SAC 12.5% POR 23.8% +11.3%
FTrt	34.6 28.1	SAC 25.0 POR 37.0 +12.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	51.5% 59.0%	SAC 56.3% POR 63.6% +7.3%
STL %	8.3% 6.2%	SAC 7.0% POR 8.0% +1.0%
BLK %	6.5% 7.0%	SAC 5.7% POR 15.1% +9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	54.1% 51.8%	SAC 51.2% +1.2% POR 50.0%
Rim FG%	58.2% 57.4%	SAC 58.3% POR 63.0% +4.7%
Mid FG%	40.7% 41.9%	SAC 37.9% POR 42.3% +4.4%
3P %	37.3% 37.7%	SAC 36.8% +11.8% POR 25.0%
FT %	79.8% 76.7%	SAC 72.2% +12.9% POR 59.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	36.7% 24.9%	SAC 33.3% POR 37.0% +3.7%
Mid Att. %	42.5% 53.3%	SAC 40.3% POR 35.6% +4.7%
3P Att. %	20.8% 21.8%	SAC 26.4% POR 27.4% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Game Totals	SAC	POR
Possessions	86	87
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	84	87
Rebounds	36	38
Assists	18	21
Steals	6	7
Blocks	3	8
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (8)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	28 (3)
Field Goals	32-72	33-73
At-the-Rim FG	14-24	17-27
Midrange FG	11-29	11-26
2-Point FG	25-53	28-53
3-Point FG	7-19	5-20
Free Throws	13-18	16-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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23 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 32	41.3	6	38%	5	3	1	1	4	4	2	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 25	37.8	21	66%	7	2	1	0	4	5	0	7	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	3-5	60%
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 28	37.4	17	57%	11	5	2	0	1	3	1	10	3-5	60%	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 25	34.5	11	42%	4	6	0	0	4	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Mikki Moore F · 7'0" 225 · 32	22.9	8	50%	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	0	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26	21.6	17	61%	2	0	1	0	2	4	1	1	4-6	67%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
John Salmons F · 6'6" 210 · 28	20.6	2	33%	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kenny Thomas C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30	15.6	2	50%	2	1	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Quincy Douby G · 6'3" 175 · 24	5.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Spencer Hawes F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Williams F-C · 6'10" 260 · 24
Darryl Watkins C · 6'11" 258 · 23
Mike Bibby #10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Shareef Abdur-Rahim #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	51%	36	18	6	3	18	0	4	32	13-18	72%	25-53	47%	7-19	37%

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23 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 32	41.3	6	38%	5	3	1	1	4	4	2	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 25	37.8	21	66%	7	2	1	0	4	5	0	7	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	3-5	60%
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 28	37.4	17	57%	11	5	2	0	1	3	1	10	3-5	60%	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 25	34.5	11	42%	4	6	0	0	4	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Mikki Moore F · 7'0" 225 · 32	22.9	8	50%	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	0	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26	21.6	17	61%	2	0	1	0	2	4	1	1	4-6	67%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
John Salmons F · 6'6" 210 · 28	20.6	2	33%	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kenny Thomas C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30	15.6	2	50%	2	1	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Quincy Douby G · 6'3" 175 · 24	5.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Spencer Hawes F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Williams F-C · 6'10" 260 · 24
Darryl Watkins C · 6'11" 258 · 23
Mike Bibby #10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Shareef Abdur-Rahim #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	51%	36	18	6	3	18	0	4	32	13-18	72%	25-53	47%	7-19	37%

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26 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 22	42.9	28	88%	12	0	0	3	2	4	4	8	4-8	50%	12-15	80%	0-0	-
Brandon Roy G · 6'6" 211 · 23	35.7	13	41%	4	8	3	0	0	2	1	3	0-2	0%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Martell Webster F · 6'7" 230 · 21	34.0	8	36%	9	1	0	0	2	2	1	8	3-5	60%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 28	26.2	13	72%	0	4	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-7	43%
Channing Frye C · 6'11" 255 · 25	15.3	4	50%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jarrett Jack G · 6'3" 200 · 24	28.7	7	44%	0	5	1	0	1	2	0	0	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 23	27.5	6	43%	5	0	1	3	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 21	16.7	4	29%	1	1	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 28	13.0	4	50%	5	1	0	2	4	5	3	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Taurean Green G · 6'0" 177 · 21
Raef LaFrentz C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 21
Darius Miles #23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Greg Oden #52 · C · 7'0" 273 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
James Jones #33 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	50%	38	21	7	8	15	0	10	28	16-27	59%	28-53	53%	5-20	25%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE