Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Bobcats | 64% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Celtics | 82% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Heat | 71% | 99 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Mavericks | 40% | 94 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Knicks | 17% | 94 | 86 |
 | 6 | Pistons | 83% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Lakers | 55% | 104 | 103 |
 | 18 | Bucks | 45% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | 48% | 103 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Hornets | 78% | 106 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BC945C;}%20.st1{fill:%23860038;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M356.2,121.3V98.4l-5.6-5.7c-72-68.5-226.2,21.4-278.6,64.8l-25.9,40.1l32.2-8c-49.4,62-31.8,102.7-29.7,106.9%20c5.2,14.6,17.1,26.3,36.3,34c14.6,5.8,31.2,6.6,45.4,5.9c61.4-2.9,134-41.2,180.9-81.9l1.1-0.9l9.3-47.1l-18.2,10.1%20c-63.3,27.8-114.2,43.2-114.2,43.2c-33.3,10.4-48.6,12.1-59.5,9.5l-1.3-0.4c-3-1.2-3.5-3.9-3.5-4.6c-0.5-20.8,35.4-65.6,53.4-85%20c16.8-18.1,43.3-37.9,65.7-47.3c15-6.3,24.7-8.8,29.2-8.4c-1.2,3.9-3.3,8.7-6.2,14.5c0,0-24,47.3-25,49.2L356.2,121.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M213.9,118c-20.6,10.9-44.3,32.8-51.7,40.7C101.8,223,59.5,309,191.7,267.8c0,0,51.4-15.6,115.2-43.6%20C126.3,376.8-44.2,313,123.6,152.5c-15.3,3.5-30.7,6.8-45.8,11c53.7-44.5,201.1-127.4,266.9-64.8l-70.3,43.1%20C304.6,82.7,250.2,96.6,213.9,118'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 11 | Cavaliers | 63% | 100 | 97 |
 | 30 | Timberwolves | 37% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Magic | 34% | 95 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 46% | 92 | 106 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, November 20, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 17 | Wizards | 66% | 101 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 69% | 99 | 95 |
| 20 | Hawks | 31% | 92 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 30% | 96 | 111 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 70% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 58% | 105 | 134 |
| 25 | Pacers | 42% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 56% | 108 | 108 |
| 28 | Knicks | 44% | 107 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 24% | 93 | 99 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 76% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Bulls | 34% | 97 | 91 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 66% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 66% | 108 | 100 |
| 19 | Kings | 34% | 103 | 98 |
Monday, November 19, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 94 | 92 |
| 19 | Bobcats | 60% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 39% | 106 | 108 | |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 61% | 109 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | 47% | 98 | 95 |
| 14 | Hornets | 53% | 99 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 29% | 95 | 75 | |
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Sunday, November 18, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 38% | 102 | 106 |
| 13 | Raptors | 62% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 51% | 100 | 102 |
| 6 | Magic | 49% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 57% | 100 | 95 |
| 18 | Kings | 43% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 33% | 96 | 78 |
| 9 | Lakers | 67% | 102 | 106 |
Saturday, November 17, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 99 | 90 |
| 17 | Wizards | 68% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 33% | 98 | 84 | |
| 22 | Bobcats | 67% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 63% | 108 | 97 |
| 26 | Pacers | 37% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 49% | 90 | 91 |
| 21 | Nets | 51% | 91 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 65% | 99 | 100 | |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 35% | 94 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 35% | 98 | 96 |
| 20 | Bucks | 65% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 54% | 100 | 115 |
| 7 | Rockets | 46% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 12% | 95 | 105 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 88% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 22% | 101 | 83 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 78% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 51% | 99 | 92 |
| 16 | Clippers | 49% | 98 | 73 |
Friday, November 16, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 32% | 97 | 101 |
| 15 | Raptors | 68% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 92 | 88 |
| 24 | 76ers | 58% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 17% | 87 | 91 |
| 1 | Celtics | 83% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 55% | 97 | 95 |
| 19 | Nets | 45% | 96 | 70 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 36% | 102 | 126 | |
| 23 | Hawks | 64% | 106 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 48% | 104 | 94 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 52% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 61% | 103 | 120 | |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 39% | 99 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 34% | 88 | 84 |
| 2 | Spurs | 66% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 60% | 103 | 105 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 40% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 38% | 99 | 118 |
| 21 | Kings | 62% | 103 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 38% | 100 | 91 |
| 10 | Lakers | 62% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 42% | 106 | 105 |
| 14 | Warriors | 58% | 109 | 122 |
Thursday, November 15, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 45% | 95 | 92 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 55% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 27% | 97 | 102 |
| 4 | Suns | 73% | 105 | 112 |
Wednesday, November 14, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 53% | 103 | 92 |
| 15 | Raptors | 47% | 102 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 28% | 103 | 90 |
| 18 | Wizards | 72% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bobcats | 37% | 93 | 109 |
| 25 | Hawks | 63% | 98 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 42% | 100 | 117 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 58% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 20% | 89 | 69 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 80% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 24% | 95 | 104 | |
| 16 | Heat | 76% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 35% | 101 | 99 |
| 21 | Bucks | 65% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 23% | 91 | 76 |
| 7 | Hornets | 77% | 100 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 53% | 97 | 103 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 47% | 96 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 28% | 96 | 93 |
| 3 | Rockets | 72% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 22% | 98 | 93 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 78% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 28% | 100 | 81 |
| 17 | Clippers | 72% | 108 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 41% | 103 | 111 |
| 14 | Warriors | 59% | 106 | 104 |
Tuesday, November 13, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 48% | 92 | 76 |
| 22 | Bobcats | 52% | 93 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | SuperSonics | 22% | 102 | 76 | |
| 8 | Magic | 78% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 72% | 106 | 101 |
| 25 | Pacers | 28% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 76% | 104 | 99 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 24% | 95 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 21% | 91 | 84 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 79% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 28% | 95 | 92 |
| 2 | Spurs | 72% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 16% | 98 | 102 |
| 3 | Suns | 84% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 65% | 99 | 94 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 94 | 102 |
Monday, November 12, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 42% | 95 | 84 | |
| 13 | Nets | 58% | 97 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 36% | 103 | 100 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 64% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 24% | 99 | 93 |
| 7 | Jazz | 76% | 108 | 117 |
Sunday, November 11, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 47% | 103 | 101 |
| 24 | Hawks | 53% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 44% | 99 | 75 |
| 21 | Knicks | 56% | 101 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 54% | 99 | 93 | |
| 19 | 76ers | 46% | 97 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 70% | 97 | 85 |
| 23 | Bobcats | 30% | 90 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 16% | 88 | 88 |
| 1 | Spurs | 84% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 68% | 106 | 107 |
| 29 | SuperSonics | 32% | 100 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 51% | 102 | 103 |
| 18 | Clippers | 49% | 101 | 95 |
Saturday, November 10, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 47% | 107 | 106 |
| 8 | Magic | 53% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 57% | 107 | 113 |
| 27 | Pacers | 43% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 54% | 96 | 112 |
| 14 | Nets | 46% | 94 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 29% | 89 | 101 |
| 9 | Bulls | 71% | 97 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 23% | 104 | 94 |
| 7 | Jazz | 77% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 33% | 93 | 93 |
| 26 | Kings | 67% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 73% | 103 | 82 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 95 | 91 |
Friday, November 9, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 46% | 93 | 105 |
| 19 | 76ers | 54% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pacers | 43% | 99 | 87 |
| 24 | Bobcats | 57% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 20% | 93 | 83 |
| 4 | Celtics | 80% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 56% | 104 | 112 |
| 20 | Knicks | 44% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 66% | 103 | 106 |
| 25 | Heat | 34% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 48% | 108 | 118 |
| 15 | Wizards | 52% | 109 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 31% | 96 | 79 |
| 5 | Pistons | 69% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 54% | 98 | 97 |
| 9 | Hornets | 46% | 97 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 17% | 89 | 88 |
| 2 | Rockets | 83% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 46% | 102 | 98 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 18% | 95 | 93 |
| 10 | Lakers | 82% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 60% | 101 | 93 |
| 23 | Kings | 40% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 65% | 114 | 103 |
| 28 | SuperSonics | 35% | 109 | 101 | |
Thursday, November 8, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 40% | 99 | 85 |
| 16 | Nets | 60% | 102 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 48% | 92 | 93 |
| 12 | Bulls | 52% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 58% | 106 | 120 |
| 14 | Warriors | 42% | 103 | 115 |